Posted on 07/26/2018 6:13:55 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
A sneak peek at the Timess news analysis from Nov. 4, 2020.
Nov. 4, 2020
In the end, a bitterly fought election came down to the old political aphorism, popularized during Bill Clintons successful 1992 run against George H.W. Bush: Its the economy, stupid. This time, however, it was the Republican incumbent, not his Democratic challenger, who benefited from that truism.
Donald J. Trump has been decisively re-elected as president of the United States, winning every state he carried in 2016 and adding Nevada, even as he once again failed, albeit narrowly, to gain a majority of the popular vote. Extraordinary turnout in California, New York, Illinois and other Democratic bastions could not compensate for the presidents abiding popularity in the states that still decide who gets to live in the White House: Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Florida.
Yet, unlike 2016, last nights outcome came neither as a political upset nor as a global shock. Mr. Trump and Vice President Mike Pence have consistently polled ahead of Senator Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts and her running mate, Senator Sherrod Brown of Ohio, since July. The New York Times correctly predicted the outcome of the race in every state, another marked change from 2016.
In exit poll interviews, Mr. Trumps supporters frequently cited the state of the economy to explain their vote. What part of Dow 30,000 do the liberals not understand? Kevin OReilly of Manchester, N.H., told The Times....
(Excerpt) Read more at nytimes.com ...
I would swap VA with NH there. I think New Hampshire is more likely given how it played out in 2016
NH, ME more likely than VA which has been polluted by an influx of DC bureaucrats
What is this Constitution thing you speak of ?? /s
So please, don't think VA as being a swiing state - it isn't.
I would be very surprised if he wins Minnesota. Minneapolis and St Paul dominate that state, and both, especially Minneapolis, are Moonbat Central, Minnesota. Unless of course the suburbs get flipped. My assessment of the burbs, especially Edina, Eden Prairie, Lake Minnetonka area, is wannabe Westchester County, NY. At best RINO, never-Trumpers.
Those suburbs have a front row seat to Mogadishu on the Mississippi shenanigans. I’ve got Democrat relatives there and they are not happy. I’m not saying they will certainly vote Trump but MN will be close again.
Not VA. Filled with big gubbermint workers now.
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