Posted on 12/19/2024 1:43:10 PM PST by KingofZion
US intelligence assessments before Israel escalated its conflict against the Lebanese Hezbollah terror group in September said that such a move risked sparking an all-out war in which hundreds — if not thousands — of Israelis would be killed, three US officials and one Israeli official told The Times of Israel...
...the US officials said, acknowledging that both countries’ assessments proved wildly inaccurate within days, as the IDF methodically took out much of Hezbollah’s missile and drone capabilities, dismantled its military infrastructure in southern Lebanon, picked off almost every member of its senior leadership and killed or wounded thousands of operatives — many of them in audacious mass detonations of the terror group’s communication devices.
Hezbollah did manage to expand the range of its rocket and drone launches, disrupting life for tens of thousands of citizens in parts of Israel that had been free of such threats over the past year. Fifty-seven Israeli soldiers and 21 civilians were killed during the roughly two-month escalation that ensued...
As tensions between Israel and Hezbollah began to ratchet up over the summer, US intelligence assessments had warned of a very different scenario in the offing.
“The assessments… were that this was potentially going to be a catastrophic war that would cause potentially hundreds or thousands of Israeli casualties as Hezbollah missiles overwhelmed Israeli defenses,” said one of the US officials....
But Israel was unmoved by the words of caution from Washington, and the IDF conducted airstrikes two days later that eliminated the leadership of Hezbollah’s elite Radwan force. Then, on September 27, Israel killed Hezbollah’s longtime secretary-general, Hassan Nasrallah.
Reflecting on how events developed over the past several months, a third US official noted that it was possible to defend the summertime intelligence assessments by chalking up Israel’s battlefield achievements to luck.
(Excerpt) Read more at timesofisrael.com ...
Biden team wrong again - shocker.
Utter and complete B.S.!
U.S. Intel was not an objective observer making an objective assesment, they were part of a policy objective trying to force an outcome they wanted, keeping Israel in control and Hezbollah alive.
The US probably calculated that Israel would do wonderfully and that Hezbollah would be destroyed.
Can’t have that. The Deep State hates the Jews.
So we told Israel that this would be a disaster for them.
But they aren’t stupid and they ignored us.
And it worked out wonderfully.
IDF Don’t mess around.
“US intelligence assessments....proved wildly inaccurate”
Precise reason the current intelligence clown show needs to be flushed like the stinking turd it is.
...US Intel WRONG AGAIN
US Intel didn’t know about the exploding pagers. Mossad did.
When did “intelligence” come to mean and opinion and speculation, rather than just information?
more like biased wishful thinking...
Luck?
Try some combination of Divine assistance, Israeli excellence, and Arab incompetence.
It was a catastrophic outcome for Hezbollah, Iran and their supporters in the US government.
“ The US probably calculated that Israel would do wonderfully and that Hezbollah would be destroyed. Can’t have that. The Deep State hates the Jews.”
Indeed. I laugh at the idiots who say the Deep State is controlled by Israel.
It’s the opposite. The Deep State — including the Deep State infesting Israel and basically every country— hates Israel and America just the same. Hates free people, in general, in fact.
Wrongly envisioned by “three US officials...”
1) Joe Biden
2) Joseph R. Biden
3) Joseph Robinette Biden
That will perhaps go down as the biggest, most precise, and most powerful decapitation strike in the history of mankind.
We’re living it, so we don’t understand its significance, but it’s astounding.
3-5k head guys taken out in one call.
Simply amazing.
Even now the American Deep State is shoveling money at their Israeli hired seditionists, most notably $900 million to far-Left criminal Ehud Barak. No way US Deep State wants Israel governed by election winners.
...a third US official noted that it was possible to defend the summertime intelligence assessments by chalking up Israel’s battlefield achievements to luck.
Firing the third US official is possible to defend by chalking it up to wanting to rid the gov't of skinheads and other racists.
Well it was for Hezbollah.
To see why just read Sun Tzu’s Art of War.
He said always give your enemies room to escape.
Iran had Israel’s back to the sea and threatened to genocide them.
When you have no out you’ll fight like hell.
And Israel did.
As usual.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.