Posted on 11/07/2024 11:12:15 PM PST by MinorityRepublican
For much of the 2024 US presidential campaign, polls and pundits rated the race too close to call.
Then Donald Trump delivered a commanding victory over Kamala Harris, winning at least five battleground states, and performing unexpectedly well in other places.
He is now poised to become the first Republican in two decades to win the popular vote, and could enter office with a Republican-controlled House and Senate at his back.
So were the polls wrong about it being a tight contest?
At the national level, they certainly appeared to underestimate Trump for the third election in a row.
But in the battleground states such as Pennsylvania, where most of the polling was focused, Trump's margin of victory was typically within striking distance of his performance in the polls, even if the forecasts were slightly lower than the final outcome.
The average polling error seen in these swing states was not actually that big. Still, in tight campaigns, small changes can make a big difference.
(Excerpt) Read more at bbc.com ...
The Cope is strong in this one...
I'm getting REAL sick of their bullsqueeze.
The polling was terrible, totally against Trump.
Same in 2016, Same in 2020.
Liberal women REALLY want to talk to pollsters and won't stop talking to them!
Pollsters understand this and try to bake this into their polling.
They were off.
Thx you wolly git! We was so hoping another captain obvious would be ambling along.
But they couldn't save Harris no matter how much they tried. She was a brutally awful presidential candidate who avoided real interviews and avoided answering real questions. Heck, she screwed the pooch trying to answer softball questions from the likes of Oprah. She avoided the Al Smith dinner, instead submitting a dreadful video that was insulting to Catholics. She insulted men everywhere. She was quite possibly the worst presidential candidate ever.
Nope.
Yes,
Polls are there to manipulate.
They have lazy voters and had to frame the race as close to encourage turnout and the try to save the down ballot races.
They used polls. Celebrities. Concerts.
Didn’t work.
Rasmussen called it correctly as he has done in the past without political bias. Most of the other polls were politically biased by choice. It is that simple.
MAGA people don’t answer polls correctly.
Taking polling averages obscures the fact that many individual polls were outside the margin of error. There were later polls that had Harris +4 or better in the popular vote. The popular vote right now stands at Trump +3. A 7 point miss is pretty big. And I haven’t forgotten the Iowa poll either.
Even polling averages are a problem sometimes. I believe Rick Scott was +4, and he ended up +13. In that case I think they’re were a lot of push polls, with pollsters trying to pump up the Dems chances. Same with Ted Cruz in TX. He didn’t win by a landslide, but +8.5 is pretty decisive, and far from the 2 point margin some pollsters wanted folks to believe.
The polls in general were a little better than 2016 or 2020, when Hillary and Biden were +10 or better in multiple major polls.
Well...when your sources are pure agitprop....
I’m convinced, the polls exist only to sway elections. Common sense told us this race was never close to even. They continued to say Harris 49/46, Trump 47/44, it was never that close.
The Harris/Walz ticket was a total sham, no one with a brain believed they were viable.
No pollster talked to me. And they probably never will, as long as I refuse to answer phone calls from numbers I don’t recognize.
The polls have become part of the propaganda process and as such are not to be believed.
British media such as the BCC, The Economist, Financial Times, and so forth are so hateful of Trump that they played up the fake polls. That's no secret. It's called FAKE NEWS.
Please keep your biased editorial stories to yourselves. We'll do very well with MAGA and our hero, President Donald Trump.
And as Britain steadily descends into chaos and illegal immigrant hell, Trump and his team are going to make America great again -- and save OUR Republic.
We didn't need King George in the 1700s. We sure as heck don't your 21st century meddling into an America that will be returned to We the People in the next several years.
If we listened to the intellectuals yet idiots in the UK, we'd have a DEI-hire, sleep-to-the-top President and America would become a communist banana republic in short order.
Mind your own store, BBC. Fix YOUR OWN country!
With all due respect.
One of the reasons they wanted to kill Trump in Butler, JMHO.
Ironically, Pelosi, Biden, Obama and Blackrock / Dominion will likely say “ Ok, we agree that Trump won in 2020 so that means he is illegally serving a 3rd term now”. “He must be impeached”
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.