Posted on 10/29/2024 7:44:19 PM PDT by thegagline
New polls show Donald Trump has a chance to flip three states Joe Biden won narrowly in 2020.
If that scenario comes to pass, the Republican nominee could have 255 electoral votes, meaning he’d be able to win the presidency by wresting one more swing state from Kamala Harris’ grasp.
In Pennsylvania, per a CBS-YouGov survey of 1,273 registered voters, Trump and Harris are knotted at 49% each, with the vice president ahead 50% to 46% with independents. (But 12% of independents not leaning Trump say they could vote for him still, while 4% of non-Harris indy voters say the same.)
Voters say they’re locked into their choices: 95% of Harris supporters rule out changing their mind between now and Election Day, and 94% of those backing the former president swear they won’t dump Trump.
Issues playing strongly into Trump’s favor include the economy, considered “major” for 81% of those polled, and inflation, a principal preoccupation for 74% of respondents.
***
While CBS sees a dead heat in Pennsylvania, which Biden won by 1.17 points four years ago, CNN’s latest polling predicts a hair-thin split of two southwestern battlegrounds.
In the race for 11 electoral votes in Arizona, its survey predicts Harris winning 48% to 47%, which is a seismic shift from the 49% to 44% lead Trump had last time it was in the field back in August — but it’s still a margin-of-error contest.
In Nevada, it’s the opposite. A previous 1-point lead for Harris has flipped in CNN’s modeling to a single-digit advantage for The Donald, which would put a half-dozen electoral votes in his column if it holds.
In both states, just 8% say they’re willing to change their minds. But their motivations differ based on who they’re supporting.
***
(Excerpt) Read more at nypost.com ...
ICYMI Biden referred to Trump supporters as garbage
Article does not match the headline at all. “Verge of victory” apparently equals having a very tiny polling lead, or even no lead at all.
The hysterical gaslighting in this election — from both sides — is becoming absurd to a degree we’ve never seen before.
No way independents are going for Harris.
The polls show Trump ahead in at least six states that Biden won in 2020.
https://www.facebook.com/groups/26012226159/posts/10160212228936160/
https://www.facebook.com/groups/26012226159/posts/10160211400061160/
Same sentiments are being expressed on the other side.
Where have you read 📚 that?
If we could just let the gamblers decide the fate of the country in 2024 ...
There is a report that in PA busses of illegals are being brought to election sites and being sent to the front of the line ahead of Americans waiting to vote. This is probably happening everywhere.
Acquaintances.
>> If we could just let the gamblers decide the fate of the country in 2024 ...
LOL
The Heels Up Campaign knows they’ve already lost Nevada, Arizona, Georgia and North Carolina. They pulled their ads out of Nevada and North Carolina to try to shore up Virginia. In Arizona, Republicans have an astonishing 130,000 early vote lead.....8%. And Republicans have been doing it with their low propensity voters. Their high propensity voters in several of these states are still waiting to storm the polls on election day.
From this point on, if she loses ANY remaining Swing state, its game over.
Yes, but with Biden on the earlier ticker the Dems were the ones who knew when to hold ‘em and when to fold ‘em. Without a new vote by the people despite many thousands who voted their choice in primaries.
Polymarket: Odds of Trump are double the Kamala number. 64 to 32. That could change with another assassination attempt.
In 2020 Bidog lead all of those states in the polling by 5 to 8 point and still almost lost them. The headline is a tacit admission of the “Shy Trump” voter and assumes that JUST LIKE 2016AND 2020 TRUMP WILL OUT PERFORM THE POLLS.
>> JUST LIKE 2016AND 2020 TRUMP WILL OUT PERFORM THE POLLS.
Your lips to GOD’s ear!!
Unless the pollsters have now figured out that they need to adjust their polls to account for the shy Trump voter.
Why isn’t that a thread? ... it will be :)
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