Two weeks before election day 2020 their website headline was:
The New York Times / Siena College National Poll: Biden Leads Trump 50-41%
That was double his actual margin at the national level.
On November 1, 2020, Siena had these numbers in the battleground states:
All wayyy off from the actual results, even if we assume no vote fraud. Let me make clear I don't assume that but - assuming no vote fraud would put the Siena polls in the best possible light. Trump carried Florida and they had Biden winning it. Biden won those other states very narrowly. Siena had him winning them in a breeze.
Does that make any sense? Maybe his "economic indicators and historical trends" have shifted a little in Trump's favor since his last forecast. This must be some super sophisticated thing he does.
All that Tiffany necklace glitter at the border wall isn’t gold.
What a pity.
/s
Mark Levin tonight gave an opening statement on his show “Life, Liberty and Levin” that just utterly obliterates the Biden/Kamala regime.
I could only find 60 seconds of it, but if you can find the whole thing, please pass it around especially to anyone you know who is undecided or says they are not going to vote. It is vitally important we get as many people as we possibly can out there to vote for Trump or we are finished as a country
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=86e3_IjAJDY&ab_channel=FoxNews
Let’s bring reality into the discussion.
Trump is beating his opponent by about 50%.
The fact 538 considers the NYT/sienna polls the most accurate tells you all you need to know about 538. It’s not even close the the most accurate
I thought he had Trump’s chances of winning were well over 55%?
I think the polls were skewed in 2020 ahead of the fraud.
No way anyone will ever convince me that Biden won that election.
I went to bed with Trump leading in every swing state.
some with 90% counted.
Got my DNA test back today. It's confirmed. I'm 100%
behind Trump.
It’s disgusting that this braindead whore is even a candidate.
Now the Republicans outnumber Democrats, that should mean the polls are way off.
Her only real chance of winning is by deception, cheat and fraud.
She is completely out of sync with priorities of the USA.
While storm wiping out towns on east coast she runs a pathetic commercial where she acts like the school girl didn’t get asked to the dance exactly how she wanted.
Her commercial shows she is stuck on stupid. She turned down her chance at a debate. Performs mediocre in a debate she had manipulated in multiple ways to help her. Now she whines for another?
Didn’t Simver have Trump with about a 60% chance of winning about a week or so ago? This stuff moves all over the place for no reason that makes sense, as nothing big changed I. The last two weeks.
What a crock. She had ZERO chance of beating a turnip unless they cheat hard enough. And they will.
Unless I’m mistaken DJT outperformed the polls by at least a couple of points in both 2016 and 2020. That stands to reason...most polls are done to assist Rat Party Headquarters so they skew the internal numbers to give the Rat a false advantage.
Nate Silver applies probabity like they did in the Naked Gun where there was a 50-50 chance but only a 10% chance of that.
Nate Silver is all over the place. Constantly “covering his bases” so if he’s wrong he can point to one daily prediction he made and say, “See, I predicted him to win”!
“Despite this tightening, Silver’s analysis still gives Harris a slight edge over Trump“
How is it that Trump is always gaining but never pulls ahead in so many of these articles? I KNEW the above line was in there upon seeing the headline. Trump’s been “tightening” for so long he ought to be strangling Harris by now.
In a legitimate election Harris wouldn’t be close in a s**t fight.