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These pollsters were right in 2016 and 2020 — and they think Harris has already lost her mojo
NY Post ^ | 09/03/2024 | A.G. Gancarski

Posted on 09/04/2024 6:42:28 AM PDT by ChicagoConservative27

Most polls show Vice President Kamala Harris leading in the swing states that will decide the election. But two Southern state pollsters are bucking the trend — and they’ve got former President Donald Trump up big.

The polling by InsiderAdvantage and Trafalgar in seven battleground states finds Trump on a path to 296 electoral votes — suggesting that Harris has already lost her momentum.

Matt Towery of Georgia-based InsiderAdvantage found Trump ahead in Arizona, Nevada and North Carolina (and down by 0.4% only in Georgia).

He noted that both he and Robert Calahy of Trafalgar (which handled Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan) were both in the top three pollsters in the ‘16 and ‘20 cycles because their methodology allows them to “pick up some Trump vote that some of the other pollsters might not be able to get.”

(Excerpt) Read more at nypost.com ...


TOPICS: Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; Your Opinion/Questions
KEYWORDS: 2016; 2020; harris; poll; polls; pollsters
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A lady at work who is in her 50s and grew up in Ukraine during soviet times said she has no idea how anybody can vote for kneepads. She said she already lived communism and does not want to again
1 posted on 09/04/2024 6:42:28 AM PDT by ChicagoConservative27
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To: ChicagoConservative27

Has she cackled her way into obscurity?


2 posted on 09/04/2024 6:48:28 AM PDT by Leep (Re-elect deep state. 2024!)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

Harris never had any MOJO. And never will.


3 posted on 09/04/2024 6:49:07 AM PDT by tennmountainman ( (“Less propaganda would be appreciated.” JimRob 12-2-2023 DITTO)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

“She said she already lived communism and does not want to again”

Lots of American born citizens have no such frame of reference or education. Those Americans want communism, very much.


4 posted on 09/04/2024 6:50:20 AM PDT by brownsfan (It's going to take real, serious, hard times to wake the American public.)
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To: brownsfan

You are so right. The lady at work saw the Reagan movie and it touched her heart because Reagan was why she moved to the USA.


5 posted on 09/04/2024 6:51:38 AM PDT by ChicagoConservative27
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To: ChicagoConservative27

6 posted on 09/04/2024 6:51:57 AM PDT by ClearCase_guy (My decisions about people are based almost entirely on skin color. I learned this from Democrats.)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

Polling in 2020 should not have been predictive because they won by massive cheating, for which you can not poll.


7 posted on 09/04/2024 6:53:14 AM PDT by G Larry (Its RACIST to impose slave wages on LEGAL immigrants and minorities by importing cheap ILLEGAL labor)
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To: ChicagoConservative27
In both 2016 and 2020 the polls...the major ones at least...underestimated DJT by two or three points. If the same is true this year that means that DJT is guaranteed at least 300EVs.

But then there *is* the fraud factor.

8 posted on 09/04/2024 6:54:09 AM PDT by Gay State Conservative (Import The Third World,Become The Third World)
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To: G Larry

It wasn’t really *massive* cheating. It was a few thousand votes in about a dozen counties in three or four states. However,the *consequences* were certainly massive.


9 posted on 09/04/2024 6:56:34 AM PDT by Gay State Conservative (Import The Third World,Become The Third World)
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To: ChicagoConservative27
She opens her mouth....and nothing comes out. Her voice and those flailing hands drive me nuts...You don't hear anything...they are such a distraction.

And I'm still trying to figure out why so many women are for killing babies....when the vast majority wouldn't even consider it. Why cast a vote for an abortion for someone else?? It's weird.

10 posted on 09/04/2024 7:00:11 AM PDT by Sacajaweau (mY)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

I’m not sure how to achieve it, but winning over some of the single female / cat lady vote would put Trump +10. It’s his only weak demographic. All he has to do is cut the margin of loss in that demo - he doesn’t have to win them.


11 posted on 09/04/2024 7:05:13 AM PDT by imabadboy99
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To: ChicagoConservative27

She never had any MOJO... there have never been a more fake and astroturfed candidate that Kamala... Not ever Potato Joe nor Fauxbama were as bad as this fustercluck.

Not only this, but the more I see of this woman, particularly unscripted, the more it is obvious something just isn’t right with her.. I know there are rumors she’s an alcoholic, and I’m not sure if that’s what wrong with her or not, but the more I see of her, its not hard to understand why people come to that conclusion.

There is just something way way way off with her, and I’m not saying that because I disagree with her politically, I say it because her behavior and speech patterns and constant word salad are not that of a normal person at all.


12 posted on 09/04/2024 7:07:25 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: ChicagoConservative27

I had a Russian woman tell me in some cases newer immigrants were more patriotic than others. She has a valid point but of course she came here legally.


13 posted on 09/04/2024 7:07:28 AM PDT by rrrod (6)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

I think she’s peaked and at this point the media is putting lipstick on a pig.


14 posted on 09/04/2024 7:16:44 AM PDT by Bon of Babble (You Say You Want a Revolution?)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

In 2016, the LA Times ran a novel poll where they polled the exact same people over time. It foretold a Trump win, and nobody at the time could believe it. Despite nailing it, we haven’t heard from that LA Times poll ever again.


15 posted on 09/04/2024 7:19:27 AM PDT by Reeses
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To: Sacajaweau

And I’m still trying to figure out why so many women are for killing babies....when the vast majority wouldn’t even consider it. Why cast a vote for an abortion for someone else?? It’s weird.>>. The whole republican leadership in PA are commie baby killers. men included. And many of the women i suspect either got abortions their husbands didn’t know about or may want to in the future. ANd yet they vote conservative at the local level.


16 posted on 09/04/2024 7:22:35 AM PDT by kvanbrunt2
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To: ChicagoConservative27

Most polls lie to achieve their desired end result.


17 posted on 09/04/2024 7:23:23 AM PDT by GrumpyOldGuy
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To: Reeses

I remember that as well


18 posted on 09/04/2024 7:28:09 AM PDT by Jeff Vader ( )
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To: HamiltonJay

She often sounds like she’s stoned, in my opinion.


19 posted on 09/04/2024 7:28:59 AM PDT by Lizavetta
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To: ChicagoConservative27

Her VP pick was bad, and the Dem convention was a big nothing, and the CNN interview was panned by everyone. and strangely, tactically a poor idea, she got into a back and forth with those gold star families (you can not win a debate on those terms).


20 posted on 09/04/2024 7:32:00 AM PDT by goodolemr
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