Posted on 08/13/2024 1:17:25 PM PDT by Macho MAGA Man
Vice President Kamala Harris is leading former President Donald Trump by nine percentage points in a key battleground state, according to a new poll.
The survey, conducted by the Independent Center between August 8 and August 11, reveals that Harris received 51 percent of the vote among respondents in Wisconsin, compared to Trump's 42 percent in a head-to-head matchup.
Harris is also leading Trump by five percentage points in Michigan, securing 49 percent of the vote to the former president's 43 percent; and in Pennsylvania by 4 percentage points with 49 percent to Trump's 45 percent.
In Wisconsin, Harris maintains her 9 percentage point lead when third-party candidates are included, securing 49 percent of the vote to Trump's 40 percent.
Robert F. Kennedy Jr., who has seen a decline in the polls since President Joe Biden dropped out of the race, secured only 3 percent of the vote.
In Michigan, Harris still leads Trump by 6 points when third party candidates were included, while she had a smaller lead of 4 points in Pennsylvania.
(Excerpt) Read more at newsweek.com ...
POS is lying. Here is the trash the MSM is trying to push into office.
https://thelibertydaily.com/harris-walz-campaign-gets-busted-spoofing-news-outlets/
If Kamala Harris wins in November i am leaving my beloved U S of A.
And unlike the libs I mean it!
Another laughable push poll. How many of these are people going to post?
Kamala wildly popular on the way to a sure thing landslide....(/S)
Please use the buddy system to go to the high ledges and talk the other FReepers back inside.
Polls are the worse news since election eve dure thing for Hillary’s victory which even she and her staff believed fully.
Corrected:
Polls are the worst news since the election eve sure thing....
Definitions:
I had thought a push poll is a poll with questions structured to push an answer.
There is nothing in the text to suggest that is going on.
Look, you make 1000 phone calls or whatever. Your turnout model is X/Y for Dem/GOP. X/Y for Man/Woman. X% for black turnout. (few blacks in Wisconsin). You make your phone calls and you fit the respondent into your model. You may get too many women answering and you have to toss some. You may get too many blacks and have to toss them.
You have a model and that’s what you want for results. Once you have enough model-conforming samples for a decent MOE, you stop and you go back and add up which of those said Harris and which said Trump. Then publish.
You can then decide, hell, maybe my previous model was wrong. More women are going to show up. Or more Dems.
Having more Dems than GOP is not oversampling. Having more Dems than you specified in your model is oversampling.
The models are largely arbitrary and if you are paid by a campaign to adjust your model, because they need better results for fundraising, then you will likely take the money.
CRITICAL TRUTH: You can get different results from two polls without any phone call respondents changing their minds.
Think about that. These polls can be adjusted by adjusting the model.
Bravo!
NOT BUYING THIS
Over representation of sub groups/ bad sampling etc
Why, the Independent Center is the premiere organization of polling excellence. /s
Their LinkeIn page has 19 followers.
I understand this. Kamala makes me feel so good and brings me joy so I will have to vote for her, She is now for a strong border and wants to exempt tips from taxation. Trump is so mean looking and does not bring me joy. She stirs something deep inside of me. Trump may have taken a bullet for democracy, faced years of lies and political impeachments and false convictions means nothing but he does not bring me joy. Therefore I’mjoining with the 25% of Americans who want communism, anarchy, rioting, fecal matter in our streets and the abandonment of our only true ally, Israel. (sarc)
Fakery, that’s how it’s “possible”. Total lies.
This “Independent Center” has a website that suddenly came into existence last December.
GMAFB. It’s a poll. Therefore, it’s BS.
“The survey, conducted by the Independent Center”
Ditto, I could name 20 pollsters off the top of my head but never heard of this one.
The cheat still doesn’t look real, in spite of them. It looks like what it is—a cheat.
A certain percentage of Americans have becoming exponentially stupider, coupled with having a suicide complex.
Not me. I’ll stay and fight. I’ll probably retire and go Galt too.
I’ve pondered on the topic you bring up. It seems like when you get too many Whites in an area they can do really stupid things.
Like let in hoards of incompatible cultures.
Or vote away their freedoms.
Think Northern Europe for example.
My guess is we all have a tendency to think everyone is like us and grew up like us.
For people who are in an orderly White society you might view the world as orderly.
If you grew up in the inner city as I did, having friends murdered, robbed or raped growing up you develop a completely different worldview and are thus much more wary.
How do we know this mystery organization even conducted a poll at all? Easy as can be: Just invent a fictitious official-sounding organization, and then issue a press release about a fake Kamala-worshipping poll. That’s a product that the far-left media will snap up in a millisecond, no questions asked.
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