Trump and Harris dead even in battleground states as base rallies for Dems: poll

The New York Post ^ | 08/04/2024 | Ryan King

[thegagline]

With the Democratic base seemingly mobilized after replacing President Biden at the top of the ticket, former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris are dead even in the battleground states, a new poll revealed.

Trump and Harris notched 50% apiece in the battleground state average, and the vice president scored a one-point lead over the Republican nominee in a national head-to-head matchup, a CBS News/YouGov poll found, garnering 50% to Trump’s 49%.

Republicans haven’t won the national popular vote in a presidential election since 2004.

In the battleground states, Michigan went 48% Harris to 48% Trump, with Pennsylvania (50%, 50%), Wisconsin (49%, 50%), Arizona (49%, 49%), Georgia (47%, 50%), Nevada (50%, 48%) and North Carolina (47%, 50%) all deadlocked at or near a statistical tie.

If the general election broke along those lines, Trump would lead in the Electoral College 261 to 232, but still falling short of the 270 electoral votes a candidate needs in order to win.

Powering Harris’ ascent in the CBS poll appears to be female, younger, and black voters flocking back to the Democrats.

The outlet’s July poll found that 58% of black voters indicated they planned to cast their ballots this cycle. Now that figure has jumped to 74%.

Female voters also had high marks for Harris relative to Trump, with 70% of them feeling her policies would help women, compared to 43% who said the same about Trump, per the CBS poll.

Harris was the choice among 45% of men and 54% of women. Meanwhile, Trump was the choice among 54% of men and 45% of women, according to the poll.

[thegagline]

The more disliked Vice President in (recent) history is now allegedly tied in the polls in the all important swing states. She is polling particularly well among women and blacks.

[packagingguy]

“We will live in squalor, be broke, be taxed to death but we’re getting free abortions!”

[OttawaFreeper]

I’m wondering if she is now peaking and in the next while, her brand could likely falter as her real record is discussed and scrutinized. The media can not sustain the propping up for terribly a long time.

[alloysteel]

Once again, people are distracted by the projected image, and overlook the very distinct differences in reality.

Critical thinking is a fading trait among US voters.

[Openurmind]

Don’t believe it. They are putting out one fake poll after another right now. The propaganda machine is in high gear.

[Deo et patriae]

A report like this is what’s to be expected from the NYT.
Can’t believe anything they say about polls.

[Political Junkie Too]

Right now, the polls are showing that RFK, Jr. is hurting President Trump more than Kamala Harris.

According to polls that ask both the head-to-head and the full-lineup preferences:

• National (CBS News/YouGov 8/4/24)
  • Harris: 50 - Trump: 49
  • Harris: 49 (-1) - Trump: 47 (-2) - Kennedy: 2 - Stein: 0 - West: 0

• National (Rasmussen Reports 8/1/24)
  • Harris: 44 - Trump: 49
  • Harris: 45 (+1) - Trump: 46 (-3) - Kennedy: 5 - Stein: 1 - West: 1

• Ohio (Fabrizio/Anzalone 8/1/24)
  • Harris: 42 - Trump: 52
  • Harris: 39 (-3) - Trump: 48 (-4) - Kennedy: 9 - Stein: 1 - West: N/A

• New Hampshire (WHDH-TV/Emerson 7/31/24)
  • Harris: 50 - Trump: 46
  • Harris: 48 (-2) - Trump: 41 (-5) - Kennedy: 6 - Stein: 1 - West: 0

• Arizona (Bloomberg/Morning Consult 7/31/24)
  • Harris: 49 - Trump: 47
  • Harris: 48 (-1) - Trump: 44 (-3) - Kennedy: 5 - Stein: 1 - West: N/A

• Georgia (Bloomberg/Morning Consult 7/31/24)
  • Harris: 47 - Trump: 47
  • Harris: 45 (-2) - Trump: 45 (-2) - Kennedy: 4 - Stein: 0 - West: N/A

• Michigan (Bloomberg/Morning Consult 7/31/24)
  • Harris: 53 - Trump: 42
  • Harris: 51 (-2) - Trump: 39 (-3) - Kennedy: 5 - Stein: 1 - West: N/A

• Nevada (Bloomberg/Morning Consult 7/31/24)
  • Harris: 47 - Trump: 45
  • Harris: 43 (-4) - Trump: 43 (-2) - Kennedy: 7 - Stein: 1 - West: N/A

• North Carolina (Bloomberg/Morning Consult 7/31/24)
  • Harris: 46 - Trump: 48
  • Harris: 44 (-2) - Trump: 45 (-3) - Kennedy: 5 - Stein: 0 - West: N/A

• Pennsylvania (Bloomberg/Morning Consult 7/31/24)
  • Harris: 46 - Trump: 50
  • Harris: 44 (-2) - Trump: 46 (-4) - Kennedy: 3 - Stein: 1 - West: N/A

• Wisconsin (Bloomberg/Morning Consult 7/31/24)
  • Harris: 49 - Trump: 47
  • Harris: 44 (-5) - Trump: 45 (-2) - Kennedy: 6 - Stein: 0 - West: N/A

• Oregon (Hoffman Research 7/31/24)
  • Harris: 49 - Trump: 44
  • Harris: 45 (-4) - Trump: 40 (-4) - Kennedy: 7 - Stein: 1 - West: N/A

• National (Harvard-Harris 7/30/24)
  • Harris: 48 - Trump: 52
  • Harris: 43 (-5) - Trump: 47 (-5) - Kennedy: 8 - Stein: 1 - West: 1

• Wisconsin (Fox News 7/27/24)
  • Harris: 49 - Trump: 50
  • Harris: 46 (-3) - Trump: 46 (-4) - Kennedy: 5 - Stein: 1 - West: 1

• Michigan (Fox News 7/27/24)
  • Harris: 49 - Trump: 49
  • Harris: 43 (-6) - Trump: 45 (-4) - Kennedy: 7 - Stein: 1 - West: 1

• Pennsylvania (Fox News 7/27/24)
  • Harris: 49 - Trump: 49
  • Harris: 45 (-4) - Trump: 43 (-6) - Kennedy: 7 - Stein: 1 - West: 1

• Minnesota (Fox News 7/27/24)
  • Harris: 52 - Trump: 46
  • Harris: 47 (-4) - Trump: 41 (-5) - Kennedy: 4 - Stein: 1 - West: 1

• National (Wall Street Journal 7/27/24)
  • Harris: 47 - Trump: 49
  • Harris: 45 (-2) - Trump: 44 (-5) - Kennedy: 4 - Stein: 1 - West: 1

• National (Forbes/HarrisX 7/26/24)
  • Harris: 49 - Trump: 51
  • Harris: 44 (-5) - Trump: 44 (-7) - Kennedy: 10 - Stein: 1 - West: 1

• National (New York Times/Siena 7/25/24)
  • Harris: 47 - Trump: 48
  • Harris: 44 (-3) - Trump: 43 (-5) - Kennedy: 5 - Stein: 1 - West: 0

• Arizona (The Hill/Emerson 7/25/24)
  • Harris: 44 - Trump: 49
  • Harris: 40 (-4) - Trump: 48 (-1) - Kennedy: 5 - Stein: 1 - West: 1

• Georgia (The Hill/Emerson 7/25/24)
  • Harris: 46 - Trump: 48
  • Harris: 43 (-3) - Trump: 46 (-2) - Kennedy: 4 - Stein: 1 - West: 1

• Michigan (The Hill/Emerson 7/25/24)
  • Harris: 45 - Trump: 46
  • Harris: 44 (-1) - Trump: 44 (-2) - Kennedy: 5 - Stein: 1 - West: 1

• Pennsylvania (The Hill/Emerson 7/25/24)
  • Harris: 46 - Trump: 48
  • Harris: 44 (-2) - Trump: 46 (-2) - Kennedy: 3 - Stein: 1 - West: 1

• Wisconsin (The Hill/Emerson 7/25/24)
  • Harris: 47 - Trump: 47
  • Harris: 45 (-2) - Trump: 45 (-2) - Kennedy: 3 - Stein: 1 - West: N/A

• New Hampshire (Univ New Hampshire 7/25/24)
  • Harris: 53 - Trump: 46
  • Harris: 49 (-4) - Trump: 43 (-3) - Kennedy: 4 - Stein: 0 - West: 0

• Maine (The Hill/Emerson 7/25/24)
  • Harris: 54 - Trump: 45
  • Harris: 48 (-4) - Trump: 40 (-5) - Kennedy: 4 - Stein: 1 - West: 1

• National (Rasmussen Reports 7/25/24)
  • Harris: 43 - Trump: 50
  • Harris: 42 (-1) - Trump: 49 (-1) - Kennedy: 4 - Stein: 1 - West: 0

---

Based on this data, President Trump's campaign should be reaching out to RFK, Jr. to ask him to withdraw from the election and endorse President Trump. That would make an enormous shift in the polls on the order of Harris replacing Biden as the Democrat candidate.

-PJ

[MinorityRepublican]

I’m wondering if she is now peaking and in the next while, her brand could likely falter as her real record is discussed and scrutinized.

Kamala's handlers will hide her the next 90 days. Liberal Media will encourage white suburban women to make history to vote for Kamala. She's a blank candidate and she has none of the baggage that the Clintons had. So it looks like the election will be close.

[mel]

Believe me people are dumb and I am not a rocket scientist but I see it in my work

[Pox]

If you buy into these push polls, you aren’t playing with a full deck.

[Indy Pendance]

The propaganda machine is in high gear

[MinorityRepublican]

Believe me people are dumb and I am not a rocket scientist but I see it in my work

I believe it. Unfortunately, we have the 19th Amendment. The voters are being manipulated by the Liberal Media. It's working.

[butlerweave]

Harris’s strategy is Hide In Biden’s basement and say nothing until it’s over ,LOL

[Liz]

Wait for it, people.

Now that we’ve learned Kamala Harris’ blissfully wed hubby was doing a number on his kid’s nanny, Kamala is being morphed into a total innocent——kinda like a girlfriend of Mayberry’s lunkhead, Gomer Pyle.

Because her husband knocked up the nanny unbenownst to his then-wife, Kamala is no longer being media-glorified -——no more to be depicted as “Wonder Woman,” the hidden light of the Biden admin.

And Jill is fine with that.

[thegagline]

” Don’t believe it.”

[God luvs America]

Here’s why i think this poll is BS- there is no way i believe DJT is only up 3pts in North Carolina. It’s a lot more than 3%

[Lib-Lickers 2]

when you marry someone just after the first date the honeymoon night probably is hot and heavy but the relationship tends to wear out quickly when you actually get to know the person

[HandBasketHell]

From the poll's internals:

This CBS News/YouGov survey was conducted with a representative sample of 3,102 registered voters nationwide interviewed between July 30-August 2nd, 2024. The survey included an oversample of Black respondents.

[Liz]

Kamala Harris did not grow up in a red, white and blue, all-American, flag-waving household.
<><>Kamala has always been an inbred radical.
<><>Kamala grew up in the family of two foreign-born committed Marxists.
<><>Imbued with Marxist philosophy discussed at the dinner table for her entire life.
<><>Equity, and the other components of Critical Race Theory, is who Kamala is.
<><>She deeply believes that it is the job of the state to make things “fair.”

Kamala Harris was birthed of foreign-born parents more Marxist than Bernie Sanders.

She was “officially” declared the Democratic Party’s 2024 candidate for the office of the presidency by a majority of Democratic Party state delegates.

After winning not a single delegate during the 2020 primaries, and not even being on the ballot during the 2024 primaries, Kamala Harris has successfully subverted democracy——the Commie way——to become the Democrats’ presidential candidate with a $350 million war chest.

[Trump Girl Kit Cat]

Getting ready for the steal!!