Posted on 11/16/2022 6:35:38 AM PST by karpov
Donald Trump announced his 2024 presidential campaign Tuesday night, heavy with the odor of a man fighting the last war. But politics is all about matching the man to the moment. Trump’s moment was six years ago. The nation’s voters have moved on, and if early signs are any indication, Republican primary voters are ready to consider doing so as well.
The 2022 midterms were about as decisive a failure for Trump as it was possible for them to be. Consider, as one item of evidence, the exit polls. Exit polls are not perfect; even though they should have the advantage over other polls of polling only people who actually voted, they still have their known biases and shortcomings. Still, they are the only evidence we get of who voted for whom and why at the time of the actual election, and when they deliver messages in bold, screaming letters, we should listen.
The 2022 exit polls examined the national House electorate and 19 Senate and/or governors races across eleven states — Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Texas, and Wisconsin. Two of the clearest findings across all of these races are that (1) Donald Trump is profoundly unpopular with the people who voted in 2022 and (2) Trump was a fatal drag on many Republican candidates.
On the first point, look at Trump’s favorability ratings. He is viewed unfavorably by a solid majority of the midterm voters nationally (by a 19-point margin of 58 percent to 39 percent), and in every state polled, even places such as Texas (52 percent disapproval to 45 percent approval), Ohio (53 percent to 44 percent), and North Carolina (53 percent to 43 percent) that he won two years ago.
(Excerpt) Read more at nationalreview.com ...
Forget it, Jake.
It’s National Review.
National reSpew
Toxic to whom...to what? The Establishment/Swamp (GOP and Dems) or, perhaps, to the Woke?
What do you expect from National Review?
Polls two years out are real accurate /s
“NR said the same crap six years ago too. Now they say that was “his moment””
So true…
Great point.
How does that square with the fact that Trump’s endorsement leading up to the election was like gold, and Trumps candidates did well overall.
He’s had some great ideas and laid out the blueprint on what our priorities should be but he’s no longer the one to make it happen. It doesn’t help that he sat on his PAC money or continues to take pot shots are perceived rivals like DeSantis, Youngkin and others. For all his talk last night about bringing people together, it rang hollow. It’s also telling that Ivanka wasn’t there last night. Her statement about focusing on family with Jared, not politics, is a thin disguise. She wasn’t there. I hope no one is afraid to jump into 2024 because Trump announced.
Be like Twitter used to be and BAN articles from National Review.
I think Trump will lose in the battleground states. Look at what happened in Arizona: The Trump slate of candidates lost. Only Kari Lake was about to make it close.
You can scream FRAUD all you want, but the rules will be the same (or worse, with both a Democrat Gov and Sec of State now). Two of the people I convinced to vote for Trump in 2020 have already told me no way, no how will they EVER vote for Trump again - and they voted FOR Kari Lake!
If you don’t win the battleground states, you LOSE.
SO you think Desantis would get more popular votes than Trump? Over 80 million? Riiiight.
Trump’s candidates underperformed or lost in every battleground state. Show me someone tied to Trump in a battleground state who outperformed Republicans who were NOT tied to him.
We’ll see.
The RINOs are the very essence of “toxic”.
The National Review has long ago lost any meaningful influence in conservative politics.
Nobody has “…moved on…”.
Saving America and our cherished liberties from the communist future the RINOs have planned for us is the most important movement in contemporary politics, and Donald Trump is the only person who can save us and the country.
The RINOs and publications like the NR are Chinese communist collaborators, and are every bit as guilty of treason as Benedict Arnold
The same RAG that published the anti-Trump screed years ago trying to keep Trump from getting nominated. About 19 so-called ‘conservatives’ on why they think he was not good for the party. Their ‘poll’ is meaningless.
Lying, cheating, grifting.
There is only one candidate that has declared for ‘24 - Trump. So if you continue to trash him now then I will assume you are a Democrat troll.
Do you think Trump will get 80 million votes?
Show me a battleground state where the Republican candidates tied to Trump outperformed those who were not.
And yes, I think DeSantis WOULD get a lot more votes than Trump. Trump can only block DeSantis, but Trump can’t win the battleground states.
PS: I passionately supported and donated to the Trump slate of candidates in Arizona. Now we have almost solid Democrat control of the state.
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