Farming Insider Warns The Coming Food Shortages Are Going To Be Far Worse Than We’re Being Told

Republic Brief ^ | 01/31/2022 | Jeff Miller

[SeekAndFind]

In many grocery stores across the country, there are shortages of certain items, and food supplies have become scarce globally.

Many farmers will find it impossible to plant corn this year due to dramatically increased fertilizer costs, according to a new report. Below is an excerpt from an email from an insider in the industry.

“Things for 2022 are interesting (and scary). Input costs for things like fertilizer, liquid nitrogen and seeds are like triple and quadruple the old prices. It will not be profitable to plant this year. Let me repeat, the economics will NOT work.

Our plan, is to drop about 700 acres of corn off and convert to soybeans (they use less fertilizer, and we also have chicken manure from that operation). Guess what? We are not the only ones with those plans. Already there is a shortage of soybean seeds, so we will see how that will work out.

The way I see it, there will be a major grain shortage later in the year, especially with corn. I mean, we are small with that. What about these people in the midwest who have like 10,000 acres of corn? This will not be good.”

A subsequent email elaborated on his remarks…

“As for the farming, I see it getting bad. Things like fertilizer and liquid nitrogen have tripled and quadrupled in price.

Yes commodity prices are up, but that certainly won’t cover the new increased input costs. We are in NC, so while certainly not like the midwest, we still grow grain. The midwest of course will have these same higher input costs as well.

Corn for example, typically takes about 600 pounds of fertilizer per acre, plus 50 gallons of liquid nitrogen. Times that by many acres and thats a lot of money. Soybeans take much less.

The plan for us, and most others around here, is to drastically cut corn acres and switch to soybeans. Problem is, there is apparently a soybean seed shortage because others have this plan as well. We were lucky enough to pre buy enough to do it. However, most people, especially younger farmers, or farmers where that is all they do, probably don’t have the money to front like that.

The way I see it, a corn shortage will come. I guess there could possibly be a glut of soybeans, but remember that could depend on the seed being available. I guess there are other alternatives, maybe milo, oats, or barley.

Of course the corn market is much larger. Think animal feed and ethanol. I mean for animals, soybeans are used too, but its a mix. What happens to the animal producers who depend on reasonably priced corn? I just don’t see how it can end well. I mean, even if we end up with plenty of soybeans, even a glut, then you have a busted market for that. I don’t know.

There just isn’t much history to base any of this on. I just see it hurting both grain farmers, and animal farmers, and also translating to more shortages and price increases for consumers who buy the end products.”

Among the foundational components of our food supply is corn.

Corn can be found in just about everything one way or another if you go to the grocery store and read the ingredients.

It’s not just here in the United States that fertilizer prices are skyrocketing.

The high price of fertilizer in South America will greatly affect coffee production…

The Wall Street Journal reported:

“Christina Ribeiro do Valle, who comes from a long line of coffee growers in Brazil, is this year paying three times what she paid last year for the fertilizer she needs. Coupled with a recent drought that hit her crop hard, it means Ms. do Valle, 75, will produce a fraction of her Ribeiro do Valle brand of coffee, some of which is exported.

There is also a shortage of fertilizer. “This year, you pay, then put your name on a waiting list, and the supplier delivers it when he has it,” she said.”

Coffee drinkers will soon have to pay higher prices for their favorite beverage in the morning.

The high cost of fertilizer in Africa could result in “30 million metric tons less food produced”…

“Fertilizer demand in sub-Saharan Africa could fall 30% in 2022, according to the International Fertilizer Development Center, a global nonprofit organization. That would translate to 30 million metric tons less food produced, which the center says is equivalent to the food needs of 100 million people.

“Lower fertilizer use will inevitably weigh on food production and quality, affecting food availability, rural incomes and the livelihoods of the poor,” said Josef Schmidhuber, deputy director of the United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization’s trade and markets division.”

National shortages have been reported across the country, and The Wall Street Journal published an article recently titled “U.S. Food Supply Is Under Pressure, From Plants To Store Shelves.”

Residents of Washington, D.C., are being told “just buy what you need and leave some for others.”

“If you’re hitting the grocery store to prepare for winter weather, please just buy what you need and leave some for others! You may have noticed empty shelves in some stores due to national supply chain issues, but there is no need to buy more than you normally would.”

If you're hitting the grocery store to prepare for winter weather, please just buy what you need and leave some for others!

You may have noticed empty shelves in some stores due to national supply chain issues, but there is no need to buy more than you normally would. pic.twitter.com/RcCNNa4Zj4

— DC Homeland Security & Emergency Management (@DC_HSEMA)


January 15, 2022

[Fury]

A farming “insider”.

That could be anyone from a seed salesman to an equipment operator.

[redgolum]

Corn will be planted, but not with the same level of fertilizer, herbicides, and pesticides as before.

Since most of the input costs are from Bayer/Monsanto, they will start screaming to world governments for a bail out.

Yields will go down. HFCS and ethanol will take a hit. Meat prices at the store will sky rocket while live head prices plummet.

Yeah... Get a freezer. Plant a Garden. Learn to can and preserve food. The US SHOULD be OK, but many other places won’t be.

[redgolum]

There isn’t enough seed.

A lot has went overseas.

[backwoods-engineer]

A side point, but I want to make clear they are not really using liquid nitrogen. It is anhydrous ammonia. Farm boy here.

[Ruy Dias de Bivar]

The US Farmer can outproduce anyone. That is why in the 1930s Dust Bowl years FDR ordered the slaughter and burial of tens of thousands of cattle and hogs, to get the price up.

Starving people without jobs were denied access to the beef.

[McGavin999]

LOL, only Americans can approach hard times with good humor and a we can work with that attitude.

[CodeJockey]

Take what you need? Looters will take all they can carry.

[dljordan]

If you need food just find those houses that have the ‘Love is Love, Water is Life, Black Lives Matter’ signs in their yards. They can’t defend themselves and most of them work for the government.

[The Duke]

"I grew up so poor we gleaned fields for veggies. We would start out the week with stew and every day we just added water and veggies. I can stretch a dollar like nobody else. I have a nice big yard and can grow what I need. I have a couple of old depression era cookbooks, a casserole can last a long time."

I'm convinced that, at this phase of the game, this is how we fight the lefties. By starving the beast, and by becoming tougher people. By living a more spartan lifestyle, we become Spartans.

[Mr. K]

I used to make that too- “The never-ending soup” we used to call it- every day we would add something new like a can of corn or tomatoes, or cream- depending on which direction it was taking.

Could easily get it to last a week.

[redgolum]

Family legend here.

Grandpa had dairy cows. The NRA men came and dumped the milk, and said he had to stop milking to raise prices.

So... Grandpa bootlegged milk to the local community and town.

Not sure if it is true, but something I think about. He had to smuggle milk to starving children because FDR said so.

[ridesthemiles]

Corn == Ethanol

[Tilted Irish Kilt]

Prepper Ping - Mid Winter report on Grains and Necessary Fertilizers Shortages
You can't eat sunshine and windmills - the after effects from sudden fossil fuel shut down
Fertilizer costs to farmers have tripled in price !Farm report :

" “Things for 2022 are interesting (and scary). Input costs for things like fertilizer, liquid nitrogen and seeds are like triple and quadruple the old prices.
It will not be profitable to plant this year. Let me repeat, the economics will NOT work."

"Our plan, is to drop about 700 acres of corn off and convert to soybeans (they use less fertilizer, and we also have chicken manure from that operation).
Guess what? We are not the only ones with those plans.
Already there is a shortage of soybean seeds, so we will see how that will work out.

"The way I see it, there will be a major grain shortage later in the year, especially with corn. I mean, we are small with that.
What about these people in the midwest who have like 10,000 acres of corn? This will not be good.”

"Corn for example, typically takes about 600 pounds of fertilizer per acre, plus 50 gallons of liquid nitrogen.
Times that by many acres and thats a lot of money.
Soybeans take much less.

" The plan for us, and most others around here, is to drastically cut corn acres and switch to soybeans.
Problem is, there is apparently a soybean seed shortage because others have this plan as well.
We were lucky enough to pre buy enough to do it.
However, most people, especially younger farmers, or farmers where that is all they do, probably don’t have the money to front like that."

Is this a planned famine as a result of mandated elimination of petroleum products by the regime ?
Unintended consequences, ..or Ivy League computer modeling into subsistence and population control ?
Nothing from the regime surprises me, anymore. Take note of how our grandparents survived during hard times, or how the British survived during WWII .
You can't hunt deer if there aren't any around to harvest; look at those who survived the Depression.
Read the entire article to gain a full understanding of the enormity of the farm situation and necessary fertilizers Your comments welcomed .

[metmom]

People will have to go back to eating real food.

The snacks and junk food could disappear from the shelves tomorrow and still no one would starve to death. They would complain mightily, but starve? No. Not yet.

[Tilted Irish Kilt]

Stolen from previous posting by metmom :

metmom :" If you are thinking about stocking up now, you are already too late.But I suppose better late than never."

"One can also join Diana’s weekly gardening thread and learn some basics about gardening and growing your own food. It may be more essential than you realize."

[gundog]

Like during the Depression, songbirds are gonna be on the menu.

[Tilted Irish Kilt]

“Who controls the food supply controls the people;
who controls the energy can control whole continents;
who controls money can control the world.”
— Henry Kissinger
(Emphasis mine)

Quote Source :
http://quotefancy.com/quote/1275693/Henry-Kissinger-Who-controls-the-food-supply-controls-the-people-who-controls-the-energy

[DuncanWaring]

Youtube on cheap eating:

https://www.youtube.com/c/GreatDepressionCooking

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4ZFp5n9Qqzc

[Man from Oz]

Sure, only 15%...

You surely heard during the recent pandemic of our dairy farmers who were forced to dump their milk because there were no plastic containers available to package the milk?

Or, the lack of labor in our beef processing facilities which had the obvious impact on availability and price.

This food supply chain issue is much more than the food itself...

MFO

[McGavin999]

Yep, that’s exactly what it will take.