Posted on 10/07/2020 10:15:09 AM PDT by sojc
https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2020/white_house_watch_oct07
Survey of 2,500 Likely Voters was conducted September 30, October 1 and 4-6, 2020 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 2 percentage points.
Me too. Was out of town working and glanced at the hotel lobby TV on the way to the room believing I saw a very red map. Went to bed and was awakened by a colleague’s phone call. Turned on the TV for the best entertainment EVER.
Obviously you don’t remember 2016 . Relax and go vote on nov 3 and we will win by a good margin . MAGA
Since you believe them, you are either complicit or a cretin.
I just got polled!!!
They asked who I would vote for and I said Trump and they asked if I would be voting for Kelly or McSally in AZ and I said McSally, asked if I was a registered R, D....and I said Republican.
I realize Ras has been all over lately and early voting and enthusiasm on the ground seems to contradict these numbers, but it’s unsettling to see them aligning with MSM polls. Hopefully, they will serve to goose our turnout and suppress theirs (desperation > apathy).
I hope that Trump guts it out again, but at some point we’re going to have to figure out a plan for confronting all the structural advantages that the left has built instead of relying upon a once in a lifetime politician to temporarily derail them for one or two elections.
I don’t understand why Trump getting Covid would hurt his support.
Also, what if he’s disease free in a week or less with only mild symptoms and back to 100%? What affect does that have?
I don’t understand it either. It makes no sense why someone would suddenly vote for pro open borders, pro BLM/ANTIFA, anti-2A, Pro abortion Biden because Trump got a mild fu for a couple of days and recovered.
It doesn't make sense because it's not true.
It's worse than not true, it's a giant steaming pile.
I take a dump on your skills.
I do remember.
According to Rasmussen Reports, Biden’s lead grew from 1 point to 8 points just after Trump nominated Barrett. There’s something wrong with that. Is Barrett so disliked by voters so much that Biden increased his lead by 7 points?
Rasmussen is not infallible, and no single poll should be believed. Even polls that match election results are sometimes just lucky.
Rasmussen has screwed the pooch on this one, probably because of several factors... But it should be taken only as a kick in the pants to all the freaking losers that buy into this nonsense.
“I don’t understand why Trump getting Covid would hurt his support.”
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Trump’s covid doesn’t change the way people will vote. It changed his supporters willingness to participate in a poll at that time.
People’s Pundit pollster said that you don’t go from +1 to -12 like Rasmussen did so quickly from changing opinion. Public opinion doesn’t work like that. He thinks because of the covid virus its possible Rasmussen hit “response bias” in the Rasmussen poll. “Response bias is when voters and their party do not want to participate in polls and surveys because there is bad news for their guy. He wasn’t getting accurate people, to tell you the truth.” This was a failed poll because of the crisis.
Pollsters are having a very hard time polling this year. Response rates are down to 1% at Trafalgar. And republicans are 5 times more likely to say no to polls in general. Trump supporters even more likely to avoid disclosing who they plan to vote for.
According to the News Misleadia?
Trump will lose another 18 percentage points.
Very interesting post. Thanks.
One of the most recent polls I saw, had Biden 21 points ahead of Trump.
I dug in, and found there was a 17 point sampling advantage to the Democrats.
Looks like no 2nd debate.
Oh yes, I knew your post was sarcasm. I responded to yours because it was one of the sane posts. By the way, as a fellow Wisconsinite, I’ve got your back!
And he is literally losing in almost all of them, and with wide margins. Only a couple are safe or close.
This is going to be VERY BAD, and I’m tired of everybody here putting their head in the sand saying it will be fine, the polls are rigged etc.
Look, in 2016, some polls did have a ridiculous Hillary lead. But, the state polls were much closer.
This year, they aren’t.
We are going to lose, and it will be big.
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