Posted on 10/07/2020 10:15:09 AM PDT by sojc
Explain why Trump is pulling ads from the Midwest into areas that should be even safer. I will wait.
:)
“Look, in 2016, some polls did have a ridiculous Hillary lead. But, the state polls were much closer.”
_________________
The polls released during the last week of the 2016 campaign showed Clinton beating Trump by 4% in Pennsylvania; 5% in Michigan; 7% in Wisconsin. Trump won all those states and pollsters have been trying to determine why they were so far off ever since...:-)
“Ditto. I was foolish enough to believe that 0bama would lose. He won.....twice. The Resistance from the Left is massive”
The fact that he won twice is all you need to know about the tyranny of the majority/stupid and where we are. There is nothing that could change the outcome because of the demographics.
Nice piece of analysis, MDAMB.
Answering a survey is exactly like Facebook, YOU ARE THE PRODUCT.
It doesn't have a single thing to do with making an opinion count, that's what Election Day is for.
I am in NC, my wife has the same complaint. But I see Trump adds during the day?
I heard he misappropriated , stole, $40 million, I also heard he mismanaged $170 million. That was about 1/2 of what I heard Trump had on hand. So I matched my previous donation last week. But I donate a small amount, Trump needs to personally appeal for funds on Rush tomorrow. We need more people to donate.
Indeed.....very odd.
Don’t go by that. I’m watching Real clear politics website which in 2016 allowed me to accurately predict Trumps win.
Back in October of 2016, 26 days before the election they had Hillary leading Trump by 5.1
Same time this year 2020, 26 days before the election Biden is leading even less at 4.6. Not a lot of difference from Hillary, but I am predicting Trump will win again and with an even larger victory than Hillary because I believe there a LOT of really pissed off people out there who are sick to death of the left and their BS.
Source:
“ Explain why Trump is pulling ads from the Midwest into areas that should be even safer. I will wait.”
With NC and AZ it’s likely due to Senate races.
Exactly. The Trump campaign even knows this, the shifting money to southern states he won last time. But this is Trump’s fault making the campaign just about himself instead of Biden.
OMG if you think Trump is losing you need to go whine someplace else GEEZE!!!
........by November 1, Rasmussen will be saying “within the margin of error” to cover his sorry behind!
I am wondering how people are viewing his poo pooing of mask wearing, holding events recently in the rose garden where almost no people were wearing masks. I counted 3 masks at one event and 4 at another. Now more than a dozen people are also testing positive who attended those events, as well as people in the White House close to the president. There has also been repeated reporting on TV that a large number of states are reporting a surge in Covid positive test, and they are more likely to be the Trump supporting states of the last election. Reports today said the White House is missing a lot of people now, and one report said that people who did wear masks there were teased and ridiculed.
The most accurate polling is by Big Data Poll/People’s Pundit, the correctly poll more in one state than some of these do nationally. They will do it correctly by demographic and region, they know about response bias and have nailed state after state. Some of these polls are so poorly run they wouldn’t get a passing school grade if there were a school project.
People’s Pundit are about to poll PA.
The rest of these are just to sell papers and media time and push fund raising
You can find them on twitter here
https://twitter.com/Peoples_Pundit?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Eauthor
Also see on Youtube See Inside the Numbers by Barnes and Baris
Here is how it goes:
Pollster: “Who are your voting for?”
Liberal: “Blah blah blah...”
Conservative: Checks number. “Who the hell is that?” Silences ringer.
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