“I don’t understand why Trump getting Covid would hurt his support.”
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Trump’s covid doesn’t change the way people will vote. It changed his supporters willingness to participate in a poll at that time.
People’s Pundit pollster said that you don’t go from +1 to -12 like Rasmussen did so quickly from changing opinion. Public opinion doesn’t work like that. He thinks because of the covid virus its possible Rasmussen hit “response bias” in the Rasmussen poll. “Response bias is when voters and their party do not want to participate in polls and surveys because there is bad news for their guy. He wasn’t getting accurate people, to tell you the truth.” This was a failed poll because of the crisis.
Pollsters are having a very hard time polling this year. Response rates are down to 1% at Trafalgar. And republicans are 5 times more likely to say no to polls in general. Trump supporters even more likely to avoid disclosing who they plan to vote for.
Very interesting post. Thanks.