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Robert Shiller: Recession Likely Years Away Due To Bullish Trump effect
CNBC ^ | October 20, 2019 | Stephanie Landsman

Posted on 10/20/2019 4:56:40 PM PDT by Kenny Bania

Nobel-prize winning economist Robert Shiller believes a recession may be years away due to a bullish Trump effect in the market.

According to the Yale University professor, President Donald Trump is creating an environment that’s conducive to strong consumer spending, and it’s a major force that should hold off a recession.

Before the markets can take-off, Shiller stresses President Trump needs to get past the impeachment inquiry. He sees this as the biggest threat to his optimistic forecast.

Yet, he’s sticking with the idea that the economy and markets should have a lot of runway left for gains if President Trump remains in office due to his pro-spending, pro-business narrative.

Shiller contends the next recession may not hit for another three years, and it could be mild.

(Excerpt) Read more at cnbc.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Front Page News; News/Current Events; US: California; US: Connecticut
KEYWORDS: 2020election; boycotts; cnbc; connecticut; dnctalkingpoint; dnctalkingpoints; election2020; incometaxes; mediawingofthednc; msnbc; nbc; nobrainscollectively; partisanmediashills; presstitutes; recession; sanctions; shiller; smearmachine; stephanielandsman; tariffs; taxcutsandjobsact; taxreform; tcja; trade; trumpeconomy; yale

1 posted on 10/20/2019 4:56:40 PM PDT by Kenny Bania
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To: Kenny Bania

Economists as a whole never seem to agree.

Shiller is not a good name for an economist.


2 posted on 10/20/2019 5:05:20 PM PDT by grumpygresh (Civil disobedience by jury nullification.)
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To: Kenny Bania

Darn, the bad news for Leftists just keeps piling up.


3 posted on 10/20/2019 5:06:18 PM PDT by DoughtyOne (This space for rent.)
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To: Kenny Bania

Markets go up and down. At least he acknowledges the obvious that we’re in an up phase now with pdjt.


4 posted on 10/20/2019 5:07:16 PM PDT by faithhopecharity ( “Politicians are not , born; they are excreted.” Marcus Tullius Cicero (106 to 43 BCE))
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To: Kenny Bania

So let’s impeach Orangeman
He’s obviously an idiot.

Sarc


5 posted on 10/20/2019 5:12:09 PM PDT by silverleaf (Age Takes a Toll: Please Have Exact Change)
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To: Kenny Bania

Always a good time to add to S&P 500 index mutual funds.


6 posted on 10/20/2019 5:12:55 PM PDT by upchuck (Democraps say the President is out of control. They mean the President of out of THEIR control.)
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To: Kenny Bania

Early October 2019 Trump issued two executive orders that reduced GUIDANCE. Guidance is unelected, unaccountable bureaucrats from issuining edicts that have the force of law. They typically have the net effect of protecting big business from the threat of small business competition.

I suggest that much excessive regulation remains to be removed.

I suggest that one of the major reasons for the great economy is the roll back of some of the excessive regulations.

I suggest that continued rollback will continue to free small business to expand and become big.

The states, especially the red states, should learn and do the same. Many red states have excessive regulation that suppress their economy.

There is a need for a small amount of regulation. But both state and Federal government have gone to excess.


7 posted on 10/20/2019 5:23:19 PM PDT by spintreebob (nv)
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To: DoughtyOne

Recession will come back when the rats take control again


8 posted on 10/20/2019 5:33:33 PM PDT by ronnie raygun (nic dip.com)
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To: Kenny Bania

A lot of the Market is based on human psychology.

Having a positive-attitude, pro-business President that supports the markets and workers goes a long way to reassuring investors.

In that way, Trump’s the exact opposite of Lizzie Warren and Bernie with their clutch-and-grab socialism.


9 posted on 10/20/2019 5:34:46 PM PDT by canuck_conservative
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To: ronnie raygun

I agree.

Trump’s fault...


10 posted on 10/20/2019 5:40:08 PM PDT by DoughtyOne (This space for rent.)
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To: Kenny Bania

“Gold,Jerry,GOLD!”
.
Ovaltine,
Why don’t they
Call it “Roundtine?”


11 posted on 10/20/2019 6:19:09 PM PDT by Big Red Badger (Despised by the Despicable!)
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To: faithhopecharity

Markets go up and down. Nuff said


12 posted on 10/20/2019 6:45:20 PM PDT by griswold3 (Democratic Socialism is Slavery by Mob Rule!)
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To: Kenny Bania

Simply, the less taken out of the private sector, the larger it grows.


13 posted on 10/20/2019 8:12:35 PM PDT by Son House
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To: Kenny Bania

I hope there’s a little dip somewhere along the line so I can invest some surplus cash.


14 posted on 10/20/2019 9:13:00 PM PDT by Unam Sanctam
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To: grumpygresh

Isn’t he a TV preacher?


15 posted on 10/21/2019 7:00:42 AM PDT by Fai Mao (There is no rule of law in the US until The PIAPS is executed.)
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To: Kenny Bania

Market up 50% since Trump was elected. That is in 3 years!
Average market gains are closer to 7% per year. Do the figuring.

When Trump leaves the office, it will be 30% down in 3 years to adjust to the 100 year old average of gains.


16 posted on 10/21/2019 7:52:06 AM PDT by entropy12 (You are either for free enterprise or for government price fixing. Can't be for both as convenient.)
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To: Kenny Bania

Economists predicting stuff usually ends badly. But if it leads to a few more leftards jumping off of Trump Tower to make a statement, it’s a good thing.


17 posted on 10/21/2019 5:05:50 PM PDT by Eleutheria5 (If you are not prepared to use force to defend civilization, then be prepared to accept barbarism.)
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To: spintreebob

Gov Ducey in AZ seems to have the right idea. He and the legislature have been doing some innovative changes that are really helping workers, and thus business.

A great example is that for a whole slew of professional licenses, such as cosmetology, if they are licensed in another state their license is good in AZ with a minimum of fuss and low or no cost.

It shows how deregulation can work from the bottom up, as well as from the top down and right in the middle.


18 posted on 10/22/2019 3:07:49 PM PDT by yefragetuwrabrumuy (Liberalism is the belief everyone else should be in treatment for your disorder.)
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