Posted on 08/15/2019 10:23:53 AM PDT by Red Badger
President Trumps approval rating has edged up, driven by long-term confidence in his economy and boosted by the lackluster performances of the two dozen Democrats trying to beat him in the 2020 election, according to the latest Zogby Analytics poll.
The contrarian survey, provided exclusively to Secrets, pushes back on some other recent polls showing a surge in Trumps disapproval rating.
Namely, it found that recent issues portrayed as trouble for Trump havent hurt him and that he is growing in support among Africans Americans, Hispanics, independents, and younger voters.
President Trump's job approval has continued to rise the last few months, said pollster Jonathan Zogby in his analysis of likely voters.
It's true Trump is riding high on positive economic news, he said.
But, he added, It's also very plausible he is benefiting from poor performances by the Democratic presidential candidates who have continued to move very far to the left with their policies. The Democrats have floated nationalizing healthcare, strict gun control, The Green New Deal, and raising taxes, all which are very unpopular in polling on a national level and in key battleground states.
Overall, Trumps approval rating is 51%, and disapproval 47%. Among those who approve, 27% said strongly and 24% somewhat approve. The largest group, however, was those who strongly disapprove, at a sky high 37%. Another 10% said that they somewhat disapprove.
As the country continues to divide over the 2020 race and Trumps policies and agenda, the president is benefiting from a very strong GOP approval rating, said Zogby, a sign that he has not lost his base. And hes gaining among independents.
An overwhelming number of Republicans approved (86% approve/13% disapprove), while independents were more balanced in their impression of Trump's job performance (45% approve/50% disapprove). The president's numbers continue to improve with independents, which a few months ago his approval rating was in the 30's, said the analysis.
And he is picking up support among two groups that the media has pitted against the president: blacks and Hispanics. Heres what Zogby wrote in his analysis:
Race also played a factor in Trump's job approval rating. Hispanics, this time around, were much more likely to approve of his job performance (49% approve/51% disapprove), while the president also saw his numbers jump with African Americans. This was his second straight poll with over a quarter support from African Americans (28% approve/70% disapprove). If Trump wins half of Hispanics and a quarter of African Americans in 2020, Democrats will be in trouble!
Zogby said that older millennial voters approve of Trump, and a growing number of younger voters too.
However, he continues to have trouble with suburban women, a pocket the media has described as his albatross. The one important group Trump continues to see his support wane was with suburban women (38% approve/57% disapprove). This is an important group for him if he is going to win again in the blue wall states he won in 2016. The blow of losing support from suburban women was blunted with his gains with urban women--46% approve/53% disapprove and urban men (56% approve/43% disapprove), said Zogby.
His bottom line in his analysis:
Trump's job approval rating is tied for the highest we have on record. His numbers are being driven by record low unemployment and an inflated stock market, but a potential recession looms. Besides a good economy, Trump's good approval rating is being driven by a surge in popularity among voters living in the South and Central regions, independents, millennials, suburban men, urban men, and older voters. Trump's approval rating has improved with minorities: 28% of African Americans and 49% of Hispanics at least somewhat approve of the president. Both are very good numbers, historically, for Trump. Trump's support has spiked among consumers, mainly NASCAR fans and weekly Walmart and Amazon shoppers. A solid majority of each group gives the president a positive job rating. Trump has recently seen a spike in support among large and small city voters more than half of each group approves of the president. Trump is also polling well among urban women, but has seen his support from suburban women take a beating. Religious voters are key to Trump winning in 2020. They make up a big part of the electorate and have a big presence in battleground states. Right now the president is polling very well with Catholics, Protestants, and evangelicals.
Just keep ‘em talking.
For all their painting Trump as a racist, he grew up in NYC and has worked with all types, including all races, in the City to the point where he as a genuine and easy understanding and rapport with other races—unlike many Republicans.
I thought it was a very positive report. I think you read a different article or did not read it at all. It mentions how his popularity is at a record high for their poll. The only weakness it mentions is with suburban women, which is something I have personally encountered in everyday life.
But, but, bit - the new Fox poll out yesterday showed Trump’s approval had dropped to 43% - it’s all so confusing....
Washington Examiner is very pro conservative and Trump. The issue is that you get offended when a news organization reports the news and you don’t perceive it as pro Trump. The news should report the facts, which the Examiner does.
It doesn’t matter what day it is.
Two different headlines.
One says his polling numbers are going up, and one says they are going down.
It is ridiculous to pay attention to any of them.
BLEXIT is real
thank you Candace Owens
Oh please, its another cuckshed
Not possible.
faucet man, I disagree. All that would be necessary is:
1. Increase long-term interest rates which would depress the markets for housing, autos, and other durable goods, while forcing increased expenditures by the governments of the world to service their debt, and;
2. Acknowledge the actual rate of inflation, increasing the costs of every contract with escalation.
Ummm...now its becoming clearer why the urgent call for recession...
If only President Trump would hold some rallies out there and draw the isolated Republicans out of their holes. If so, miracles do happen, distant though they may appear to be.
White supremacy narrative failed. Now they’re going to talk down the economy. Don’t you know there’s a recession looming? The ratio is inverted or something, so you don’t really have low unemployment and real wages aren’t rising, because...inverted ratio. Almost every recession occurred after an inverted ratio, sometimes 18 months later. Inverted ratio. Woooooooooooooooo! Also animal entrails, tea lives and palmistry, and the stars are all aligned for a recession, toooooo!
Even when Fox was mildly conservative (years ago), their polls skewed left.
I stopped paying attention to them long ago.
Oh, please it’s another idiot zombie.
I do not think any republican could capture California, but I too would LOVE to see President Trump do some rallies there and specifically address the problems in California. It would motivate a large number of republicans in the state who have probably given up to come out and vote. It would put the left on the defensive. It would be fun.
Why not?
? Go to their site which features a popup poll which asks
in all seriousness if Trump is doing enough to combat white
supremacy. Perfect fodder for self hating cucks
if the shoe fits wear it
This can’t be true. Fox News has a poll showing President Trump losing to all the top candidates for the Democratic Presidential nomination. [/sarc]
Yeah, winning is a SUPER long shot (as in nonexistant). My thoughts as well on the motivation electing some down-ticket Republicans, and goading the Democrats into spending money in a "safe" state.
They were ignored until our great president showed the deplorable conditions under which they lived (under Dem administrations); he represented them well.
These figures really hurt the chances of Warren, Sanders, and other white libs; there are simply not enough angry white women with p%&#@ hats to get them across the finish line in a national election - and non-whites have a healthy distrust of them.
That’s the trade war with China.
It’s necessary but don’t put blame where it doesn’t belong.
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