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Population expert sees dangers as U.S. birthrate falls below replacement
cna ^ | April 8, 2010

Posted on 04/08/2010 6:56:47 AM PDT by NYer

Washington D.C., Apr 8, 2010 / 06:37 am (CNA/EWTN News).- The U.S. birthrate fell from 2007 to 2008 and is now below replacement rate. One population expert, noting that children are the “only future a country has,” warns that a scarcity of children condemns a country to stagnation, bankruptcy and eventually death.

The U.S. National Vital Statistics Report for April 2010 shows that the U.S. birthrate fell two percent from 2007 to 2008. It is a drop below the replacement fertility rate of 2.1 children per woman.

In 2008 there were 41.5 births per 1,000 teens aged 15 to 19, also a two percent drop. The report also indicates that more U.S. children are being born out of wedlock than ever before.

According to the Washington Post, an October survey by the Pew Research Center said that 14 percent of Americans ages 18 to 34 and eight percent of those aged 35 to 44 said they postponed having a child because of the recession.

CNA discussed the report in a Wednesday e-mail interview with Steven Mosher, president of the Population Research Institute (PRI).

Asked whether the drop in births could be attributed to the economic downturn, he replied:

“Children are an expression of hope in the future. With the downturn in housing prices, and the upswing in the unemployment rate, it is not surprising that many couples decided to defer having children until the economic downturn had corrected itself. We will, I predict, see a bigger drop in the birthrate in 2009, when the unemployment rate closed in on 10 percent, 9.3 percent according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics.”

He said birth rates have fallen in Europe and other developed countries, “for the same reason.”

CNA asked whether an increase in the abortion rate could have been a factor in the falling birth rate.

Mosher said “anecdotal evidence” suggests Americans are “increasingly aborting babies who were unfortunate enough to be conceived during this economic recession.”

He reported that more men and women are having themselves sterilized and contraceptive use is also up.

Asked about the broader consequences for a country below a replacement birth rate, Mosher commented:

“Look at present-day Greece, which is going over a demographic cliff because of a scarcity of children. Too few young people are entering the work force to replace retiring workers, entitlement spending is increasing at the same time that tax revenues are leveling off, and the government is technically bankrupt.

“Children are the only future a country has, and countries that fail to provide for the future in the most fundamental way--by providing the future generation--are condemned to stagnation, bankruptcy, and death.”


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; Government; Philosophy
KEYWORDS: population; populationcontrol
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To: screaminsunshine

That’s what this is about — amnesty will “cure” the problem and allow us to stave off “stagnation, bankruptcy and eventually death.”


21 posted on 04/08/2010 7:02:56 AM PDT by Mr. Mojo
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To: MrB
Stop denigrating marriage??

Are you saying I'm doing this?? I'm not even implying that....

22 posted on 04/08/2010 7:03:27 AM PDT by Sacajaweau (What)
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To: wombtotomb
self haters.

The Secret to the Suicidal Liberal Mind

23 posted on 04/08/2010 7:03:44 AM PDT by MrB (The difference between a humanist and a Satanist is that the latter knows who he's working for.)
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To: NYer

Population didnt increase much during last depression either.


24 posted on 04/08/2010 7:04:11 AM PDT by PghBaldy (Like the Ft Hood Killer, James Earl Ray was just stressed when he killed MLK Jr.)
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To: Sacajaweau

not you,
our secular humanist society.

See tagline


25 posted on 04/08/2010 7:04:11 AM PDT by MrB (The difference between a humanist and a Satanist is that the latter knows who he's working for.)
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To: NYer

DUUUHHHH...


26 posted on 04/08/2010 7:04:12 AM PDT by Dick Bachert (THE 2010 ELECTIONS ARE THE MOST IMPORTANT IN OUR LIFETIMES! BE THERE!!!)
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To: NYer

“condemns a country to stagnation, bankruptcy and eventually death”

the fruits of progressivism


27 posted on 04/08/2010 7:04:56 AM PDT by all the best
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To: NYer
warns that a scarcity of children condemns a country to stagnation, bankruptcy and eventually death.

What is this guy smoking?
China has had a one child policy in place for decades, and in that period, they have gone from a backward third world country, to one of the strongest economies on the planet, even while amassing vast foreign reserves, and becoming one of the biggest creditor nations of America. Mindlessly pumping out children never helped any country to go from poverty to rich country status.
Sounds like loony left BS designed to push amnesty on an unwilling country to me.

28 posted on 04/08/2010 7:05:00 AM PDT by SmokingJoe
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To: NYer

Outlaw abortion and the number will go back above the replacement figure.


29 posted on 04/08/2010 7:05:31 AM PDT by Blood of Tyrants (The US will not die with a whimper. It will die with thundering applause from the left.)
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To: NYer

No surprise here. As the culture follows the path of deravity that so much of Europe has taken birthrates will continue to drop. There will be enclaves here and there that will buck the trend and they will consist of groups that the degenerate majority despise. But it is just a matter of time before that majority becomes the minority and finds itself bred into irrelevance.


30 posted on 04/08/2010 7:05:44 AM PDT by scory
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To: Touch Not the Cat

sadly, you’re correct on this I fear. Were it so that the reverse would be the motivating factor; having children and fighting to protect them from slavery. We have gone over a cliff I fear-too many only look in a mirror to see what matters to them today.....


31 posted on 04/08/2010 7:06:17 AM PDT by wombtotomb
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To: NYer

Propaganda just in time for Obama’s amnesty push.


32 posted on 04/08/2010 7:07:11 AM PDT by ruination
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To: MrB
Bureau of the Census: An Older and More Diverse Nation by Midcentury

"By 2050, the minority population — everyone except for non-Hispanic, single-race whites — is projected to be 235.7 million out of a total U.S. population of 439 million. The nation is projected to reach the 400 million population milestone in 2039."

Since 2000, the population of the US has increased by 28 million, or 4 million more than the current population of Texas.

33 posted on 04/08/2010 7:07:15 AM PDT by kabar
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To: MrB
Those “screaming for population control” are actually “screaming for white/Euroethnic population control”.

That's about the size of it.

34 posted on 04/08/2010 7:08:12 AM PDT by ecomcon
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To: NYer

“””Asked about the broader consequences for a country below a replacement birth rate, Mosher commented:

“Too few young people are entering the work force to replace retiring workers, entitlement spending is increasing at the same time that tax revenues are leveling off, and the government is technically bankrupt.””””


Not having enough children is only a problem when you have government leaders creating entitlements that are paid by the younger workers. That is why the USA needs a continual population increase to pay for the Marxist entitlements passed by Congress.

Without these entitlement programs we would be perfectly happy with a stagnant population.


35 posted on 04/08/2010 7:08:38 AM PDT by Presbyterian Reporter
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To: scory

By 2023 half of the children 18 and under will be minorities as defined by the USG.


36 posted on 04/08/2010 7:08:44 AM PDT by kabar
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Comment #37 Removed by Moderator

To: SmokingJoe

And why are you peddling the chicom bullshit here? China is going to hit a wall in 20 years. But go on, preach it brother.


38 posted on 04/08/2010 7:09:27 AM PDT by BenKenobi ("we shall defend our Island, whatever the cost may be")
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To: NYer
Which is the excuse mostly given for wanting all the immigration amnesty.
The problem with now having 90+ percent of it coming from border countries is the new potential citizen would have duel citizenship with IMO almost always only loyalty to their original country.

Then there is the Democrat problem we have with who was allowed to come here. We'll legally take on hundreds of thousands of illiterates, but we only allow a low tens of thousands in of highly educated people in who could really contribute best and pay taxes. Plus IMO, if you opened up to the highly educated, we'd get far more from Europe IMO.

:-)

39 posted on 04/08/2010 7:09:27 AM PDT by A CA Guy ( God Bless America, God bless and keep safe our fighting men and women.)
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To: NYer

This is one of many reasons that abortion is a National Security issue.


40 posted on 04/08/2010 7:11:03 AM PDT by Little Ray (The Gods of the Copybook Headings with terror and slaughter return!)
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