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Nelson Leads Harris 61 - 33 In Florida Senate Race (Quinnipiac poll)
Quinnipiac University ^ | 11 October 2006 | Quinnipiac University

Posted on 10/11/2006 5:42:55 PM PDT by okstate

October 11, 2006 - Nelson Leads Harris 61 - 33 In Florida Senate Race, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Voters Say U.S. Is Losing The War In Iraq

In the Florida Senate race, Democratic incumbent U.S. Sen. Bill Nelson has a commanding 61 - 33 percent lead over U.S. Rep. Katherine Harris among likely voters, including leaners, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Six percent are undecided and 18 percent of likely voters who name a candidate say they could change their mind in the next four weeks.

Sen. Nelson leads Rep. Harris 56 - 31 percent among registered voters, with 11 percent undecided. This compares to a 61 - 24 percent Nelson lead in a July 27 poll by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University.

In this latest survey, Republican likely voters back Harris 67 - 27 percent, while Democrats back Nelson 85 - 10 percent and independent voters back Nelson 65 - 26 percent.

"Congresswoman Harris has made some progress in her race against Sen. Nelson, but with four weeks until the election, it isn't nearly enough to make her a serious threat to the incumbent," said Peter Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"Floridians, by almost a two-to-one margin, still view her unfavorably - an indication of just how difficult a task she faces. In order to win, she'll have to convince Floridians she is not who they think she is."

Only 20 percent of Florida voters have a favorable opinion of Harris, with 37 percent unfavorable, 16 percent mixed and 26 percent who haven't heard enough to form an opinion.

Nelson gets a 31 - 12 percent favorability, with 19 percent mixed and 38 percent who haven't heard enough to form an opinion.

"For a politician who has held statewide office for more than a decade, Sen. Nelson's profile is surprisingly fuzzy. Four in 10 voters say they need to know more about him before they can decide if they view him favorably or unfavorably," Brown said.

"But it doesn't matter because Congresswoman Harris is so weak. She is losing a quarter of the Republican vote and more than 60 percent of the independent vote and getting only half of the white evangelical vote - a recipe for electoral disaster for a Republican in Florida."

Bush Approval

Florida voters disapprove 59 - 37 percent of the job President George W. Bush is doing. Voters say 55 - 28 percent that the U.S. is losing the war in Iraq, and 44 - 39 percent that the U.S. is losing the war on worldwide terrorism.

From October 3 - 8, Quinnipiac University surveyed 968 Florida registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.2 percentage points. The survey includes 783 likely voters, with a margin of error of +/- 3.5 percentage points. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Florida, Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Ohio and the nation as a public service and for research.


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: 2006; 2006polls; florida; harris; implodingcampaign; nelson; poll; polls; quinnipiac
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To: sgtbono2002

I don't know about that.

I'd vote for her just because I can't stand Nelson, but I do like sanity in my elected officials.

If she passes that test, it isn't obvious to the rest of the world.


61 posted on 10/11/2006 11:00:07 PM PDT by zbigreddogz
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To: CyberAnt

Dude, I like Rush as much as the next guy, but please tell me you aren't so dilluted that you actually think he ever has audited himself like that.


62 posted on 10/11/2006 11:01:49 PM PDT by zbigreddogz
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To: zbigreddogz

Look Dude .. I'm not like your "dude" if you get my drift!

Actually, Rush doesn't AUDIT HIMSELF - there are organizations who do that type of thing - FOR EVERY PROGRAM. Like get a brain!


63 posted on 10/11/2006 11:06:15 PM PDT by CyberAnt (Drive-By Media: Fake news, fake documents, fake polls)
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To: dawn53
...She chose to give up her "safe" seat in Congress to run for the Senate.

Just my take, but ambition got the best of her.

My take too. I think her seat in the House will stay GOP, so it could be worse.

64 posted on 10/11/2006 11:18:52 PM PDT by Virginia-American (Don't bring a comic book to an encyclopedia fight)
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To: CyberAnt

Wow dude, you are like, totally dellusional and stuff.


65 posted on 10/11/2006 11:21:43 PM PDT by zbigreddogz
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To: zbigreddogz

I don't think so "dude" - I already got your number .. and it's a BIG FAT ZERO!! and it matches that huge hole in your head.


66 posted on 10/11/2006 11:23:32 PM PDT by CyberAnt (Drive-By Media: Fake news, fake documents, fake polls)
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To: okstate
"Florida voters disapprove 59 - 37 percent of the job President George W. Bush is doing. Voters say 55 - 28 percent that the U.S. is losing the war in Iraq, and 44 - 39 percent that the U.S. is losing the war on worldwide terrorism."

Crap like this just underscores that there is something wrong with these polls. Florida is the STRONGEST GOP state in the country. The rat has virtually NO chance in any of the statewide races except Senate. We will win by big margins all up and down the ticket, again except for the Senate race.

As far as Harris losing by 80 points or whatever ridiculous number they want to say: Bull shiite!


it is simply not structurally possible for any Republican to lose by more than 10 points in Fla. for a simple reason: It is not possible for a Democrat to win statewide by more than 10 points. Nelson is NOT a nationally known rat figure. He has zero star power so there is no extra draw for him. The pre election final poll numbers will be so dismal for the rat in Fla. that many rank and file rats will stay home. How can I say this? The very poor showing in the Fla. rat primaries, that's how.
67 posted on 10/12/2006 4:37:55 AM PDT by jmaroneps37 (DON'T BELIEVE PESSIMISM: FEELINGS ARE FOR LOVE SONGS. FACTS ARE FOR PREDICTING WHO WINS IN NOV)
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To: Jonah Johansen

It is frustrating to see states like North and South Dakota, Montana, Arkansas, and Florida, (7 RAT Senators) keep electing liberal RAT Senators.


68 posted on 10/12/2006 4:44:46 AM PDT by GeorgefromGeorgia
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To: SandRat

Um, no. The Qunnipac poll was a scientific poll, the one the Harris campaign cites was a $25.00 buy-in straw poll at the equivalent of an ice cream social.

It's a shame we couldn't find a conservative with a real shot to run this race.


69 posted on 10/12/2006 7:13:57 AM PDT by CrAZyFreeper (Democracy, like a loaded gun, is not a toy; but it sure is fun to use.)
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To: A.Hun; Jim Noble; Non-Sequitur
She's a real conservative. I would think that would make ya'll happy. Not some electable RINO.

For some reason RINOs don't like to vote for conservative politicians. But they sure like to lambast conservative voters who express any hesitation about voting for RINOs.

Why is that?

70 posted on 10/12/2006 7:22:44 AM PDT by savedbygrace (SECURE THE BORDERS FIRST (I'M YELLING ON PURPOSE))
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To: Extremely Extreme Extremist
I'll throw my vote away to the hot Momma who looks good on the horse with a solid conservative record anyday. "Throwing away" being the operative term here. Instead of getting a less-than-perfect Republican who will at least caucus with the party, we get a liberal who will work against it.
71 posted on 10/12/2006 7:48:00 AM PDT by CrAZyFreeper (Democracy, like a loaded gun, is not a toy; but it sure is fun to use.)
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To: CyberAnt

LOL!!!

Has anybody ever told you that you are hilariously easy to upset?


72 posted on 10/12/2006 9:26:20 AM PDT by zbigreddogz
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To: okstate

Good poll for the FR Harris haters, but it is still phony. Nice try bet the mix is +15% Dims.

Pray for W and Our Freedom Fighters


73 posted on 10/12/2006 9:33:34 AM PDT by bray (Voting for the Rats is Suicide)
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To: jmaroneps37
"Florida is the STRONGEST GOP state in the country."

Your whole argument is a house of cards. No need to respond to the rest of your post if you honestly believe what I just quoted.

74 posted on 10/12/2006 10:24:58 AM PDT by okstate
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To: Yossarian

She needs to shorten those stirrups!


75 posted on 10/12/2006 10:29:45 AM PDT by rahbert
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To: DaBroasta

The Panhandle, particularly minus Leon County, has less than 10% of the population of Florida.


76 posted on 10/12/2006 10:30:47 AM PDT by HostileTerritory
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To: bray

Well, go ahead and show us some 'realistic' numbers, with backup, please.


77 posted on 10/12/2006 10:38:46 AM PDT by BritExPatInFla
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To: Lib-Lickers 2

The embarrassment is that Florida Republicans haven't gotten behind her instead of bitching about her being the candidate. She won the primary, meaning she was the preferred choice of the Republican primary voters.

If you aren't going to support her in the general election, then don't gripe when she loses.


78 posted on 10/12/2006 10:42:03 AM PDT by 1L
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To: Jim Noble
Why couldn't Floridians nominate a candidate who could win?

Because the Florida GOP wanted to just coronate someone. This is what happens when the state party leadership and the rank-and-file have a fundamental disagreement on who actually runs the show.

The Florida GOP leadership should be ashamed of themselves.
79 posted on 10/12/2006 10:44:34 AM PDT by Antoninus (Ruin a Democrat's day...help re-elect Rick Santorum.)
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To: okstate
Nelson reminds me of Dr Angus:

Who we all know is full of sits!

80 posted on 10/12/2006 10:48:30 AM PDT by Warren_Piece (Smart is easy. Good is hard.)
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