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Nelson Leads Harris 61 - 33 In Florida Senate Race (Quinnipiac poll)
Quinnipiac University ^ | 11 October 2006 | Quinnipiac University

Posted on 10/11/2006 5:42:55 PM PDT by okstate

October 11, 2006 - Nelson Leads Harris 61 - 33 In Florida Senate Race, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Voters Say U.S. Is Losing The War In Iraq

In the Florida Senate race, Democratic incumbent U.S. Sen. Bill Nelson has a commanding 61 - 33 percent lead over U.S. Rep. Katherine Harris among likely voters, including leaners, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Six percent are undecided and 18 percent of likely voters who name a candidate say they could change their mind in the next four weeks.

Sen. Nelson leads Rep. Harris 56 - 31 percent among registered voters, with 11 percent undecided. This compares to a 61 - 24 percent Nelson lead in a July 27 poll by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University.

In this latest survey, Republican likely voters back Harris 67 - 27 percent, while Democrats back Nelson 85 - 10 percent and independent voters back Nelson 65 - 26 percent.

"Congresswoman Harris has made some progress in her race against Sen. Nelson, but with four weeks until the election, it isn't nearly enough to make her a serious threat to the incumbent," said Peter Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"Floridians, by almost a two-to-one margin, still view her unfavorably - an indication of just how difficult a task she faces. In order to win, she'll have to convince Floridians she is not who they think she is."

Only 20 percent of Florida voters have a favorable opinion of Harris, with 37 percent unfavorable, 16 percent mixed and 26 percent who haven't heard enough to form an opinion.

Nelson gets a 31 - 12 percent favorability, with 19 percent mixed and 38 percent who haven't heard enough to form an opinion.

"For a politician who has held statewide office for more than a decade, Sen. Nelson's profile is surprisingly fuzzy. Four in 10 voters say they need to know more about him before they can decide if they view him favorably or unfavorably," Brown said.

"But it doesn't matter because Congresswoman Harris is so weak. She is losing a quarter of the Republican vote and more than 60 percent of the independent vote and getting only half of the white evangelical vote - a recipe for electoral disaster for a Republican in Florida."

Bush Approval

Florida voters disapprove 59 - 37 percent of the job President George W. Bush is doing. Voters say 55 - 28 percent that the U.S. is losing the war in Iraq, and 44 - 39 percent that the U.S. is losing the war on worldwide terrorism.

From October 3 - 8, Quinnipiac University surveyed 968 Florida registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.2 percentage points. The survey includes 783 likely voters, with a margin of error of +/- 3.5 percentage points. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Florida, Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Ohio and the nation as a public service and for research.


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: 2006; 2006polls; florida; harris; implodingcampaign; nelson; poll; polls; quinnipiac
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We will see the Governor's race numbers released tomorrow, I'd guess. Harris just can't seem to catch a break in this race -- and too bad, because Nelson certainly was vulnerable this year.
1 posted on 10/11/2006 5:42:56 PM PDT by okstate
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To: penelopesire

Would any of your Florida "knowledge" help THIS race??


2 posted on 10/11/2006 5:46:20 PM PDT by Txsleuth (FREEPATHON TIME--You need FR, you know you do, so please don't forget to donate!!)
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To: okstate

This thread and this other thread

POLL: Katherine Harris Beats Bill Nelson -- Leads 54% to 45% http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1716433/posts don't jive.

Sumtins a kilter.


3 posted on 10/11/2006 5:47:37 PM PDT by SandRat (Duty, Honor, Country. What else needs to be said?)
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To: SandRat

That's a STRAW poll. Not a real poll. A STRAW poll.


4 posted on 10/11/2006 5:48:41 PM PDT by okstate
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To: okstate
Why couldn't Floridians nominate a candidate who could win?

This is a disgrace.

5 posted on 10/11/2006 5:49:09 PM PDT by Jim Noble (Some moron brought a cougar to a party, and it went berserk.)
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To: SandRat
Sumtins a kilter.

Ya think? Maybe it's because the first poll was held at a political rally where people paid for the privilege of casting a vote, and where anyone, even 6 year old, could cast a ballot.

6 posted on 10/11/2006 5:50:08 PM PDT by Non-Sequitur
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To: SandRat

Sumtins a kilter.

It was a straw poll by Mrs. Harris' committee.


7 posted on 10/11/2006 5:50:20 PM PDT by ConservativeGreek
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To: Jim Noble

Could not agree more. After all the gaffes and mistakes her campaign made she STILL won the primary. Ridiculous.


8 posted on 10/11/2006 5:50:21 PM PDT by okstate
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To: okstate; fieldmarshaldj; AuH2ORepublican; wagglebee; AntiGuv; RobFromGa; FloridianBushFan; ...

For a while, Katherine Harris was showing improvement as a candidate. She avoided any gaffes and even showed some poise on the campaign stump. But then she appeared to attack Bill Nelson's Christianity.

Katherine Harris has many virtues and talents, but electoral office isn't the proper outlet for them. Hopefully, she'll find her niche after the election.


9 posted on 10/11/2006 5:51:00 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued (Nihilism is at the heart of Islamic culture)
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To: Jim Noble

Wait a bit. Pretty soon the Harris fanatics will show up and tell you how their girl is going to overcome all odds and win.


10 posted on 10/11/2006 5:51:21 PM PDT by Non-Sequitur
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To: All
It so aggravating to see the Republicans give Senate seats to the Democrats. There are probably 10 Democratic Senators representing states that voted for President Bush and whose people are basically conservative in their thoughts and values.
11 posted on 10/11/2006 5:51:36 PM PDT by Jonah Johansen ("Coming soon to a neighborhood near you")
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To: okstate

Defeat Bill Nelson
12 posted on 10/11/2006 5:52:24 PM PDT by Recovering_Democrat (I am SO glad to no longer be associated with the party of "dependence on government"!)
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To: SandRat; FairOpinion; OldFriend; NormsRevenge; Enterprise; Sam Spade; BigSkyFreeper; ...

The poll cited in that thread is a straw poll, not scientific.


13 posted on 10/11/2006 5:53:16 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued (Nihilism is at the heart of Islamic culture)
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To: okstate
Well, someone needs to post this, so it might as well be me....


14 posted on 10/11/2006 5:54:13 PM PDT by Yossarian (Everyday, somewhere on the globe, somebody is pushing the frontier of stupidity.)
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To: Txsleuth

the only that would have helped was a diferent candidate

i'm not afraid to call it like it is, Harris was the wrong politician for the job


15 posted on 10/11/2006 5:54:51 PM PDT by finnman69 (cum puella incedit minore medio corpore sub quo manifestu s globus, inflammare animos)
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To: Recovering_Democrat

A Fahrenheit 9/11 fan? Jerk.


16 posted on 10/11/2006 5:55:04 PM PDT by popdonnelly
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To: Jim Noble; Non-Sequitur
She's a real conservative. I would think that would make ya'll happy. Not some electable RINO.
17 posted on 10/11/2006 5:55:11 PM PDT by A.Hun (Common sense is no longer common.)
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To: Clintonfatigued

Thanks, I had seen that poll and it was definitely a surprise to see another one which was so diametrically at odds with it!


18 posted on 10/11/2006 5:56:07 PM PDT by Enterprise (Let's not enforce laws that are already on the books, let's just write new laws we won't enforce.)
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To: NewRomeTacitus; ken5050; quantim; ForOurFuture

ping


19 posted on 10/11/2006 5:57:04 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued (Nihilism is at the heart of Islamic culture)
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To: okstate
Florida voters disapprove 59 - 37 percent of the job President George W. Bush is doing.

This poll must have been confined to the state's rectal region (Broward county and all points south)--this in no way reflects the consensus of opinion in the panhandle sans the socialist republic of Tallahasse.

20 posted on 10/11/2006 6:00:23 PM PDT by DaBroasta (Help stop the hate--vote Republican)
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