Posted on 10/11/2006 5:42:55 PM PDT by okstate
October 11, 2006 - Nelson Leads Harris 61 - 33 In Florida Senate Race, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Voters Say U.S. Is Losing The War In Iraq
In the Florida Senate race, Democratic incumbent U.S. Sen. Bill Nelson has a commanding 61 - 33 percent lead over U.S. Rep. Katherine Harris among likely voters, including leaners, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Six percent are undecided and 18 percent of likely voters who name a candidate say they could change their mind in the next four weeks.
Sen. Nelson leads Rep. Harris 56 - 31 percent among registered voters, with 11 percent undecided. This compares to a 61 - 24 percent Nelson lead in a July 27 poll by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University.
In this latest survey, Republican likely voters back Harris 67 - 27 percent, while Democrats back Nelson 85 - 10 percent and independent voters back Nelson 65 - 26 percent.
"Congresswoman Harris has made some progress in her race against Sen. Nelson, but with four weeks until the election, it isn't nearly enough to make her a serious threat to the incumbent," said Peter Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.
"Floridians, by almost a two-to-one margin, still view her unfavorably - an indication of just how difficult a task she faces. In order to win, she'll have to convince Floridians she is not who they think she is."
Only 20 percent of Florida voters have a favorable opinion of Harris, with 37 percent unfavorable, 16 percent mixed and 26 percent who haven't heard enough to form an opinion.
Nelson gets a 31 - 12 percent favorability, with 19 percent mixed and 38 percent who haven't heard enough to form an opinion.
"For a politician who has held statewide office for more than a decade, Sen. Nelson's profile is surprisingly fuzzy. Four in 10 voters say they need to know more about him before they can decide if they view him favorably or unfavorably," Brown said.
"But it doesn't matter because Congresswoman Harris is so weak. She is losing a quarter of the Republican vote and more than 60 percent of the independent vote and getting only half of the white evangelical vote - a recipe for electoral disaster for a Republican in Florida."
Bush Approval
Florida voters disapprove 59 - 37 percent of the job President George W. Bush is doing. Voters say 55 - 28 percent that the U.S. is losing the war in Iraq, and 44 - 39 percent that the U.S. is losing the war on worldwide terrorism.
From October 3 - 8, Quinnipiac University surveyed 968 Florida registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.2 percentage points. The survey includes 783 likely voters, with a margin of error of +/- 3.5 percentage points. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Florida, Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Ohio and the nation as a public service and for research.
Would any of your Florida "knowledge" help THIS race??
This thread and this other thread
POLL: Katherine Harris Beats Bill Nelson -- Leads 54% to 45% http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1716433/posts don't jive.
Sumtins a kilter.
That's a STRAW poll. Not a real poll. A STRAW poll.
This is a disgrace.
Ya think? Maybe it's because the first poll was held at a political rally where people paid for the privilege of casting a vote, and where anyone, even 6 year old, could cast a ballot.
Sumtins a kilter.
It was a straw poll by Mrs. Harris' committee.
Could not agree more. After all the gaffes and mistakes her campaign made she STILL won the primary. Ridiculous.
For a while, Katherine Harris was showing improvement as a candidate. She avoided any gaffes and even showed some poise on the campaign stump. But then she appeared to attack Bill Nelson's Christianity.
Katherine Harris has many virtues and talents, but electoral office isn't the proper outlet for them. Hopefully, she'll find her niche after the election.
Wait a bit. Pretty soon the Harris fanatics will show up and tell you how their girl is going to overcome all odds and win.
The poll cited in that thread is a straw poll, not scientific.
the only that would have helped was a diferent candidate
i'm not afraid to call it like it is, Harris was the wrong politician for the job
A Fahrenheit 9/11 fan? Jerk.
Thanks, I had seen that poll and it was definitely a surprise to see another one which was so diametrically at odds with it!
ping
This poll must have been confined to the state's rectal region (Broward county and all points south)--this in no way reflects the consensus of opinion in the panhandle sans the socialist republic of Tallahasse.
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