Posted on 09/30/2006 10:13:58 PM PDT by okstate
WASHINGTON — Democrats are slightly ahead of Republican incumbents in three election battleground states that will help determine control of the Senate, a series of polls released Sunday showed.
In Montana, Democrat Jon Tester had the support of 47 percent of registered voters, while incumbent Republican Sen. Conrad Burns had the support of 40 percent.
In Ohio, Democrat Rep. Sherrod Brown had 45 percent of registered voters, while incumbent Republican Sen. Mike DeWine had 43 percent.
In Tennessee, Democratic Rep. Harold Ford Jr. had 43 percent, and former Chattanooga Mayor Bob Corker, the Republican Senate nominee, had 42 percent.
Democrats probably must win all three races if they’re to take back control of the Senate on Nov. 7. They need to gain six seats overall, and these three are among the six seats held by Republicans that are considered most vulnerable.
Another Republican incumbent, Sen. George Allen of Virginia, was locked in a 43 percent to 43 percent dead heat with Democratic challenger James Webb, according to a poll released Friday by McClatchy Newspapers and MSNBC.
The surveys underscored how much these states are up for grabs and how much rides on the final five weeks of campaigning. The work of both major parties to get their supporters to turn out on Election Day could prove decisive. One in 10 voters remain undecided in Montana and Ohio, 12 percent in Virginia and 14 percent in Tennessee.
The polls were all conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc. for newspapers in each of the states — Lee Newspapers in Montana, the Cleveland Plain Dealer in Ohio and the Memphis Commercial Appeal and Chattanooga Times Free Press in Tennessee. Each state poll was of 625 registered voters and had an error margin of plus or minus four percentage points. The polls were taken between Monday and Thursday.
Mason-Dixon conducted a broader series of polls for McClatchy Newspapers and MSNBC in seven other closely fought Senate battleground states. Virginia results were released Friday, and the other six will be released Monday.
Ping - Mason-Dixon Senate polls in TN, OH, MT. Tester's winning, DeWine's down, and Corker and Ford are nearly tied (Ford leads by one)
Yet more registered-voter polls.
Gallup observed this phenomenon in Montana and Ohio for the Senate races in particular.
What to you think this phenomenon means?
Democrats are more motivated to vote. We have to convince typically Republican voters to "come home" to our candidates. If we do, our losses won't be too bad (probably just Burns, Santorum, and Chafee in the Senate). If we don't we're looking at losing 5 or 6 seats.
not good
Primary voting is not a function of the "motivation" of the parties.
It's about how competitive the races are, obviously.
In a competitive primary race more people will vote than in a non-competitive race. Has absolutely nothing to do with the state of the party.
hide and watch...save the ultra liberal areas
we are gonna kick ass BIG TIME...hide and watch
I believe it too.
see my handle ? done some serious face to face research in bits of California ,Arizona where I live, and Nevada.
All want to be safe from moolim terrorists and NONE BELIEVE DEMS will keep em safe
In about 2 weeks the Repubs surge and it doesn't stop until election day.
And we get an undeniable mandate from the public that the WOT is to continue with increased majorities.
Nonsense.
This poll confirms that 50% of our fellow Americans are retarded.
"However, we should pick up NJ and MO is looking nice."
Keep in mind that 49% of NJ voters "strongly disapprove" of Bush (per Rasmussen) in addition to 13% that "somewhat disapprove."
I was driving through Jersey City (a RAT stronghold) and they have plastered every light pole with "Stop Bush! Vote Nov 7th!" signs... no mention of their corrupt Dem candidate's name (Menendez) to be seen.
Add in a history of election fraud (with the election boards dominated by Democrats in major counties) and I'd say NJ is 50/50 at best. I agree that MO is key, as are OH, VA, and TN.
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