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Locked on 08/28/2005 8:10:53 PM PDT by Admin Moderator, reason: |
Posted on 08/28/2005 2:38:16 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Extremely dangerous Hurricane Katrina is bearing down on the North Central Gulf of Mexico and New Orleans metro area. Thousands of people did not evacuate New Orleans. Outer bands of Katrina are reaching the Louisiana coast.
Due to the size and intensity of this storm, all interests in the North Gulf of Mexico should be in their safe locations.
The following links are self-updating:
Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi
Buoy Data Florida
Images:
New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait
Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop
Northwest Florida Long Range Radar
Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop
Other Resources:
Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
New Orleans Web Cams Loads of web cam sites here. The sites have been very slow due to high traffic
New Orleans Music Online Couldn't resist--love that jazz
Golden Triangle Weather Page Nice Beaumont weather site with lots of tracks and graphics
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics
Live streaming:
WWL-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
WVTM-TV/DT Birmingham (WMP) - mms://a1256.l1289835255.c12898.g.lm.akamaistream.net/D/1256/12898/v0001/reflector:35255
WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38202.asx
Hurricane City (Real Player) - http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
ABCNews Now (Real Player) - http://reallive.stream.aol.com/ramgen/redundant/abc/now_hi.rm
WKRG-TV/DT Mobile (WMP) - mms://wmbcast.mgeneral.speedera.net/wmbcast.mgeneral/wmbcast_mgeneral_aug262005_1435_95518
Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
---|---|---|---|---|
Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
The new position, assuming it stays on the current course, puts landfall 7.88 miles east of due south of Houma.
All the models show a curve to the north, but this is probably the furthest western (best case scenario) we can express. Still looking for good news, not finding much.
I agree with you.......
going due north now it appears. It looks like the earlier track east of NO a bit will be more correct, but it will not go that far to the east..within 30 miles
Speaking of Geraldo-where is he? Afraid his moustache will get blown away?
aren't they going to start flying hourly hurricane hunters into it now?
Looks like its starting to weaken.
regarding Superdome...
because they are stupid and criminally neglegant IMHO.
read this article:
I suggest you read articles on the SuperDome. It is not recommended above Category II, according to some, and has NOT BEEN TESTED.
From:
http://www.wwltv.com/local/stories/wwl092304thanh.1295648.html
On the surface, the Superdome seems like the most logical choice for an emergency shelter, and city officials are leaning in the Domes direction for future shelter needs instead of schools.
Anything above a category two makes them pretty much ineligible because theyre not wind resistant enough and they're in flood prone areas it looks as though we're pointing to the Superdome in being reinforced with the proper back up system as shelter of last resort, said Nagin.
It appears a facility as large as the Dome could hold up in hurricane conditions but Bill Curl, spokesman for the Superdome, says that is yet to be tested and if there is no other choice then maybe the Dome could serve as a shelter.
Only in dire emergencies. The Superdome is not a shelter, said Curl.
According to Curl, the assumption that the Superdome can withstand hurricane force winds is just that: an assumption. He says more analysis is needed to determine what the Dome can actually withstand because previous wind studies have become somewhat irrelevant since they did not factor in the new high-rise buildings around the Dome.
They create a wind tunnel effect and that needs to be tested. There were initial studies that indicated 130 miles per hour, but we dont know, said Curl. He adds that the Dome is not impervious to the same elements other areas would be exposed to.
If we were to lose power, if we were to lose plumbing facilities, if a storm were to hit and create flooding in the area; the Superdome would not be a desirable place to be, he said.
****
That article was written last Year, and nothing has been done to reinforce that structure.. I wonder what people would think if they read the Article I did about that place.
Even The spokesman said it should NOT be used a as Shelter. You cannot get any more specific as that.
Kind of how I feel when the Mod's issue warnings, and I am a teacher.
OK, I suggest they clear out one of the grocery stores of non-perishables & water, and take them over to the superdome. How are they planning on feeding those folks anyhow? Do they think all of them have brought enough food & water for their families for several days?
Thank you. I am having a hard time worrying about my fellow Americans in harm's way, many for no fault except they are too poor to leave. I've been there.
I pray for them, and pray they help and take care of each other as well.
Shep should be at the dome. That is the more important story.
yep.
This is an absolute disaster either of life and property or of planning.
Dear GOD I hope it is just a disaster of planning and that we will not have to see large numbers of dead because of it.
I'm sure Shep knows where/how to seek shelter.
Steve Lyons on TWC showed latest radar loop showing a definite turn to due north.
And you've slept in the mud at Bristol. That gives you a lot of clout with all of us!
anything is possible....
any wobbles can REALLY affect what happens.
I remember shouting "Hallelujah" when I heard that--and I'm sure my response was echoed by a lot of Floridians!
If you can't see it, she made sure to let everybody know by what it was she said all day long, that she cared........
I'm so choked up
This really chokes me up
This one has got me all choked up
I think he is aware of the fact, if he see's the light of day. He seems more and more ...(lack of appropriate word...morbid) everytime they go to him. I noticed they are not cutting to him as often either.
"Wouldnt'a a low yield nuke break up the storm.....?" Didja ever hear the term "a fart in a whirlwind"?
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