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Posted on 08/27/2005 8:05:55 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Hurricane warnings and watches are posted. Hurricane Katrina continues to strengthen in the Gulf of Mexico. The forecast models continue to converge upon New Orleans. However, all interests in the northern Gulf of Mexico should follow the path of this very large and dangerous storm, and be prepared for a major hurricane landfall. There have been reports of coastal animals leaving in droves for higher ground. Meanwhile, New Orleans continues to suggest that residents evacuate.
The following links are self-updating:
Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi
Buoy Data Florida
Images:
New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait
Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop
Northwest Florida Long Range Radar
Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop
Other Resources:
Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
New Orleans Web Cams Loads of web cam sites here. The sites have been very slow due to high traffic
New Orleans Music Online Couldn't resist--love that jazz
Golden Triangle Weather Page Nice Beaumont weather site with lots of tracks and graphics
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics
Live streaming:
copy/paste into player:
WWL-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
WVTM-TV/DT Birmingham (WMP) - mms://a1256.l1289835255.c12898.g.lm.akamaistream.net/D/1256/12898/v0001/reflector:35255
WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38202.asx
Hurricane City (Real Player) - http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
ABCNews Now (Real Player) - http://reallive.stream.aol.com/ramgen/redundant/abc/now_hi.rm
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part III
Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12
Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
---|---|---|---|---|
Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
Glad you checked in and are OK - thanks for the local update.
A cat four is NOT worse than a cat 5. Whoever said that doesn't know what they are talking about.
Well, that makes no sense. A Category 5 is worse than a Category 4 by every measure.
How far inland would you suggest people who work to provide oil, gas and commerce through the ports live? If memory serves me, Houston also is below sea level. Where should those that work in ports live?
Here are the levee height maps if you can make sense of them. I don't know this area enough to figure them out.
http://www.mvn.usace.army.mil/pao/response/amaps.asp
I was kinda wondering that too. I'm not too familiar with hurricanes - but I wonder if it'd be possible for a hurricane to ramp itself up too quickly before landfall - and therefore be unable to sustain itself?
Anyone out there know?
It means I was only 11 years of age when Camille struck only about 25 miles east of where they now predict this one to make landfall...eye-wise.
August 17, 1969
we were moved into a gym basement in the middle of the night in 100mph plus winds
the next day, my dad picked me up to go the few miles down to the coast for relief work...he was a general contractor...
most folks who lived thru that learned.
the surge and winds were records
what I was saying was, often times the strength at sea is not the strength at landfall. the timing of the eyewall replacement cycle seems to be a factor in that.
Night, Blam.........keep us posted.
That what I an waiting to see to. All models in good agreement, and NHC is excellent in thier forecasting, so I think I will not worry about this one.
The fact that is still hasn't turned north is bad for NO. The 0z tracks shifted enough to make the track over NO less severe as far as flooding goes. Winds, well... that's going to be a problem regardless it seems.
Eyewall replacements typically last ~18 hours, from beginning to end. Considering we are 36-48 hours out... it's possible that we will be in the middle of another as it comes ashore. I'm trying to look for reasons the storm wont be a catastrophe, and the only ones that come to mind are if it manages to find a relatively less populated area. I think 140-150 sustained at landfall is a good bet... ~155-165 possible if it comes in during another ERC.
OK I am laughing.Your right :) got to go to bed-love you much,night.
Not really, but hurricanes do weird things.
Now, it could undergo an eyewall replacement, which would weaken it, but this storm has not been hurt too much by the cycles. It even gained strength with some pretty crappy eye structure today if you can believe that!
ROFL! I have a "Cat 4" too but no pix handy.
Well its official now...Cat 4 ground zero the Big Easy
Liberal/Democrats should NEVER be elected to ANY leadership positions.
What radar loop are you using ? All of the radar sites I go to have it too far out in the gulf to see now.
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