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WSJ: Media Bears - Why 1/3 of Americans think we're in recession when the economy is booming.
Wall Street Journal ^ | August 19, 2005 | Editorial

Posted on 08/19/2005 5:22:29 AM PDT by OESY

The paradox of the year is why so many Americans tell pollsters they feel bad about an economy that's been so good, with solid job growth and corporate profits, rising wages and home prices, and a huge decline in the budget deficit. Perhaps one reason is because the media keep saying the economy stinks.

That's the conclusion of... the Media Research Center, which finds that so far this year 62% of the news stories on the Big Three TV networks have portrayed the U.S. economy in negative fashion. The "negative full length TV news stories on the economy outnumbered positive stories by an overwhelming ratio of 4 to 1," the MRC reports.

...[A] CBS Evening News story on July 22 said that the economy is "very tenuous. It could fall apart at any moment. One piece of bad news, one additional terrorist attack, one negative corporate earnings, and it goes right down again." Contrast that funeral dirge with what Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan told Congress that same day: "The outlook is one of sustained economic growth."...

Media coverage of President Bush's tax cuts has been particularly slanted. During the 2003 tax-cut debate, three of every four major TV network news stories were negative. The favorite criticisms were liberal echoes that it would bust the budget and favor the rich. Earlier this year, a news story on National Public Radio announced that "as everyone knows, the primary cause of the budget deficit was the Bush tax cuts." No word yet on whom NPR is crediting with this year's revenue surge of $262 billion. Robert Rubin?

Given all of this doom-and-gloom reporting, maybe the surprise is that Americans are nonetheless behaving with their typical optimism, buying goods and services, bidding up the stock market, and creating new businesses....

(Excerpt) Read more at online.wsj.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Editorial; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: budget; bush; cbs; corporateprofits; decline; deficit; economy; greenspan; homeprices; jobgrowth; media; mediaresearch; mrc; msm; npr; polls; pollsters; risingwages; rubin; tv
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1 posted on 08/19/2005 5:22:39 AM PDT by OESY
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To: OESY

Imagine that...


2 posted on 08/19/2005 5:26:21 AM PDT by Echo Talon (http://echotalon.blogspot.com)
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To: Grampa Dave

Hooverville ping.


3 posted on 08/19/2005 5:27:40 AM PDT by CasearianDaoist
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To: OESY
A third of Americans are out to lunch. Always were, always will be.

They are not reachable and I don't see any reason to bother.

4 posted on 08/19/2005 5:28:38 AM PDT by OldFriend (MERCY TO THE GUILTY IS CRUELTY TO THE INNOCENT ~ Adam Smith)
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To: OESY

The stock market has not moved up that much. The reason why 1/3 of the population thinks it is a recession is because of their decline in buying power. Mainly because they have not gotten the wage increase that others have and because of the increasingly high gas prices.


5 posted on 08/19/2005 5:30:28 AM PDT by tomjohn77
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To: tomjohn77
I think that's right. Because of the little arrows on the TV screens, the psychological impact of the stock market is important to perceptions. Likewise, the constant drumbeat of "gas prices" has people in a tizzy, even though last night on the FOX business show, all the analysts agreed that we'd have to see $90 a barrel before it would seriously affect the U.S. economy.

But the MSM only covers high gas prices, not good jobs reports or rising productivity. There are academic studies that confirm this, especially during a GOP administration, when they are FAR more likely to report bad news over good.

6 posted on 08/19/2005 5:34:22 AM PDT by LS (CNN is the Amtrak of news)
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To: OESY
Obviously, the media's dishonest reporting on the economy is
matched by their dishonest reporting of our military's successes.
7 posted on 08/19/2005 5:44:18 AM PDT by jigsaw (The Democratic Party has Irritable Howl Syndrome.)
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To: tomjohn77

Fixed income is also pretty tough. Finding investment vehicles with a decent return has gotten harder and harder to do.

The inflationary increases take a toll on retirees.


8 posted on 08/19/2005 5:49:08 AM PDT by OpusatFR (Try permaculture and get back to the Founders intent. Mr. Jefferson lives!)
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To: OESY

Probably because 1/3 of Americans are actually economically literate. They understand the overwhelming trade and current account deficits. They realize that the massive amounts of credit creation by the Fed (to boost the housing market) is doing great damage to America's international competitiveness.


9 posted on 08/19/2005 5:51:49 AM PDT by hubbubhubbub
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To: LS

I was reading newsweek/time magazine at the gym. They have a section with the up/down arrow about people in the news. Bush or someone in the administration always has a down arrow. A has been dem. always has an up arrow.


10 posted on 08/19/2005 5:52:26 AM PDT by Holicheese (Would you like a beer? No thanks, I will have a bud light.)
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To: OESY
...bidding up the stock market...

Here are the Dow, the Nasdaq, and the S&P for the last five years:

Source: Yahoo! Finance

11 posted on 08/19/2005 5:54:10 AM PDT by snowsislander
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To: OESY

The mainstream media will do anything to try and make the President look bad.


12 posted on 08/19/2005 5:59:26 AM PDT by SuziQ
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To: Holicheese

I'd like to give the has-been Dems an up arrow, you know where.


13 posted on 08/19/2005 6:10:10 AM PDT by LS (CNN is the Amtrak of news)
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To: OESY

As usual, the agenda of the MSM is about its business of deceiving the public to defeat the current administration. Furthermore, the activity in the stock market, which is been quite positive, portends economic prosperity at least for the next 6 months.


14 posted on 08/19/2005 6:13:22 AM PDT by Neoliberalnot (Conservatism: doing what is right instead of what is easy)
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To: OESY; Willie Green; Wolfie; ex-snook; Jhoffa_; FITZ; arete; FreedomPoster; Red Jones; Pyro7480; ...
A third of Americans are out to lunch.

One could say that in 1933 only one fourth of Americans were out to lunch. The difference is that people today are further apart one from another. So the situation is peachy if you are not directly affected. This is demonstrated by the several posts on FR by people who gaze into their navel for inspiration.

Some data from the 1920s (TIMELINES OF THE GREAT DEPRESSION:

Organized labor declines throughout the 1920s. The United Mine Workers Union have seen its membership fall from 500,000 in 1920 to 75,000 in 1928. The American Federation of Labor fell from 5.1 million in 1920 to 3.4 million in 1929.

By 1929, the richest 1 percent owned 40 percent of the nation's wealth. The bottom 93 percent had experienced a 4 percent drop in real disposable per-capita income between 1923 and 1929.

Over the decade of 1920s, about 1,200 mergers swalled up more than 6,000 previously independent companies; by 1929, only 200 corporations controled over half of all American industry.

Individual worker productivity rised an astonishing 43 percent from 1919 to 1929. But the rewards were being funneled to the top: the number of people reporting half-million dollar incomes grew from 156 to 1,489 between 1920 and 1929, a phenomenal rise compared to other decades. But that was still less than 1 percent of all income-earners.

In 1922 The conservative Supreme Court stroke down federal child labor legislation.

In 1923 President Warren Harding dies in office; his administration was easily one of the most corrupt in American history. Calvin Coolidge, who is squeaky clean by comparison, becomes president. Coolidge is no less committed to laissez-faire and a non-interventionist government. He announces to the American people: "The business of America is business." Supreme Court nullifies minimum wage for women in District of Columbia.

In 1924 the stock market begins its spectacular rise. Bears little relation to the rest of the economy.

In 1925 The top tax rate is lowered to 25 percent - the lowest top rate in the eight decades since World War I. Supreme Court rules that trade organizations do not violate anti-trust laws as long as some competition survives.

In 1928 Between May 1928 and September 1929, the average prices of stocks rises 40 percent. Trading mushroomed from 2-3 million shares per day to over 5 million.

In 1929 Herbert Hoover becomes President. Hoover is a staunch individualist but not as committed to laissez-faire ideology as Coolidge.

For 1933, unemployment rises to 23.6 percent.

Two crucial difference - US economy is now very dependent on foreign production and we have huge flood of illegal immigrants.

15 posted on 08/19/2005 6:42:18 AM PDT by A. Pole (" There is no other god but Free Market, and Adam Smith is his prophet ! ")
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To: A. Pole

One other crucial difference is that the U.S. today is far less likely to engage in the stupid measures that FDR implemented in the 1930s to "fix" the Great Depression -- which ended up making the Depression far worse than it would have otherwise been.


16 posted on 08/19/2005 6:48:25 AM PDT by Alberta's Child (I ain't got a dime, but what I got is mine. I ain't rich, but Lord I'm free.)
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To: OldFriend

Most of that third post to FR under the Buchanan flag.


17 posted on 08/19/2005 6:48:55 AM PDT by wideawake (God bless our brave troops and their Commander in Chief)
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To: wideawake

LOL...you're right!


18 posted on 08/19/2005 6:50:06 AM PDT by OldFriend (MERCY TO THE GUILTY IS CRUELTY TO THE INNOCENT ~ Adam Smith)
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To: OldFriend

The biggest taboo in the USA is for the press and even conservative columnists to tell it straight . . .

ignorance runs rampant in the USA.

It gets worse every year with the population boom of illegal aliens and a high population birth from public school grads.

For politically correct reasons, rare is it that any commentator tell the truth--America is a highly ignorant society.


19 posted on 08/19/2005 6:50:25 AM PDT by Dont_Tread_On_Me_888 (Bush's #1 priority Africa. #2 priority appease Fox and Mexico . . . USA priority #64.)
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To: A. Pole
Two crucial difference - US economy is now very dependent on foreign production and we have huge flood of illegal immigrants.

I'd be careful about calling it a "huge flood of illegal immigrants," as if those folks just sorta came here unbidden. They don't: Americans pay them to come here.

I think in a sense it's a slightly different form of outsourcing for things like agriculture, while still maintaining the production facilities (i.e., the fields) within the US.

The lessons here are pretty obvious, if unpleasant:

2) By choosing to outsource, American businessmen so focused on short-term results that they cannot see the long-term implications of lesson #1.

20 posted on 08/19/2005 6:50:39 AM PDT by r9etb
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