Big Buckeye Bounce! CNN Reports Bush Now up by 8% in Ohio, was Down 2% Pre-Convention

CNN - Inside Politics

[governsleastgovernsbest]

Paula Zahn just laid the bad [for them] news on Inside Politics host Judy Woodruff: in the just-released CNN/Time/Gallup poll, among likely voters W now leads by 8% in Ohio, 52% W, 44% Kerry. This compares with a 2% Kerry lead prior to the convention. In other words, W has had a 10% bounce.

An 11% bounce turns up among registered voters in Ohio: from Bush down 10% to Bush leading by 1%.

Zahn teased what she said were some "very interesting results" in the latest poll in Pennsylvania, Missouri and Washington, but said she was holding off on reporting them till her show this evening.

[bcoffey]

"A DU thread about why they were voting for Kerry had one of them post that he's been unemployed for 51 months."

Of course Kerry has never held a "real" job in his life, so one might wonder how he's gonna help this kid who's been unemployed for 51 months (he says). Kerry has been "unemployed" for 25 years!

[AmericanInTokyo]

This really is not rocket science.

The country is simply being introduced to John Kerry. They did not know him until late August. And they don't like what they see. They don't like the man's personality. And they don't like his policies.

Rush predicted this in March or so, saying the Democrats would implode, and around fall be licking their wounds, thinking (aloud, which they are now), "My goodness, we nominated the WRONG GUY!"

[BushisTheMan]

No wonder Kerry is desperate enough to revive the National Guard nonsense.

Of course the RATs think that missing a few guard meetings is equal to lying about your medals and purple hearts, and accusing your fellow veterans of committing war crimes.

That's why they will lose.

[expatpat]

The Michigan Buckeyes are the best!

[Bigh4u2]

"Zogby says Bush trails by 2,658 pints in Ohio! "

Was he talking about a drinking contest?



Musta missed that one.!

[MikefromOhio]

I would think that President Bush may be up by more than this right now. The Christians in Ohio will be coming out in droves on election day.


still worry, but its lookin good!!

[twigs]

I agree with you. This election is not won yet, not by a long shot!

[AFPhys]

but... but... weren't they telling us the electorate was so "polarized" that there would not be any significant bounces?

As I've been saying for months:

Bull HOCKEY!
/

[Rutles4Ever]

Thanks for the follow-up. I should have figured that out right away...

[TheGhosts]

Most definately it matters. Kerry team is going to have to make a decision soon whether to continue in Ohio and lose the election or change strategies and go for some other important swing state such as PA. I think that if Ohio at this time in the next two weeks remain strongly up for Bush the race, barring any debate gaffes is all but over.

The Kerry team is certainly going after OH. They feel this is one of 4 main States they can switch. The others being (WV,NH,and FL).

They will not write off OH. They simply cannot do that. It becomes incredibly hard for them to get to the magic number without OH or FL switching sides. (and they feel they have a much better chance with OH then FL to be honest).

As for them concentrating on PA. They are doing this but for defensive purposes. PA is a Kerry House State (meaning The Democrat Party won it in 2000 and it is already added into their magic 270 number) PA is a must have for Kerry.

[TheBigB]

Yeah, you're the first to catch that one. :)

[Yak]

This is a strange statistic: Bush leads reg. voters by 1% and LIKELY voters by 8% . . . Am I reading this wrong or does this imply there's a slew of unregistered voters planning on registering to vote for Bush?

I don't think so, remember these are percentages, not whole numbers. This just implies that most of the registered voters that are not likely voters are Kerry supporters. Or in otherwords, his support isn't as deep/comitted as Bush's.

[CommerceComet]

>>I think you can probably figure Wisconsin as a Gore state most likely to go Bush....

I have always thought that Bush will run about 5 points higher than 2000 pretty much across the board. I think that Bush is a more confident and competent campaigner than last time and Kerry is a poorer campaigner than Gore.

A 5-point increase from 2000, puts Wisconsin, Iowa, New Mexico, and Oregon in the Bush column and puts several other states into serious play.

[Oldeconomybuyer]

Pat Caddell, on O'Reilly's show last night, said that Kerry was "still bleeding," ...

Another Purple Heart for Lt. Kerry?

[GaretGarrett]

Caddell was Jimmy Carter's pollster in 1980 & the guy who had to call Carter on Sunday night after the last (Wed.?) debate & before the Tues. election to tell him, "The numbers are sliding off the table".

I hadn't heard from Caddell after that til I saw him as a frequent talking head on MSNBC's post-2000 election coverage. I decided then that he'd had some kind of conversion. Hope I'm right.

[alwaysconservative]

LOL! Good points!

[AARIS3]

I hope this poll is not the same as the newsweek/time poll.That was a joke.They interviewed 38percent republican,31percent democrat and 31percent independent.

[ambrose]

Pat Cadell is a committed liberal in the mold of Nat Hentoff... He is tired of all the lies and smearing by his party.

[California Patriot]

I know there is one -- I'm part of it. But the Dems
always have a pool of easily led non-voters to work
on, so my guess is that they'll get more bang for
their buck.

[AFPhys]

It just occurred to me: after Soros gets finished spending all this money on the Demodogs, there is going to be a bump up in the unemployment rate as all of those folks he's been hiring take his cash and spend it on booze ...
/