Posted on 09/03/2004 12:41:47 PM PDT by governsleastgovernsbest
Wow! Just mentioned by Judy Woodruff. Looking for original source.
I'll take the points, no problem. Just hoping to see a nice constant rate of disintegration from here forward. I figure if this continues, the MSM will start jumping ship around Oct. 10. I'm going to enjoy every moment.
How exactly did Gravel Gertie 'go postal'?
Inquiring minds want to know ;)
VIVA EL PRESIDENTE EZEQUIEL!!!
Yup, I don't have to agree with someone on everything, if I believe that person is decent, and has his priorities in the right place, I can vote for him even if I disagreed with him on some things.
Bush comes across like that to me, I don't agree with a lot of his "compassionate conservatism", but I do feel he is a good person, and someone I can trust.
There is not going to be a ballot switcherooo.
It's too late, even if she wanted in. Ballot deadlines have passed in some states, and will pass soon in some others.
In addition, changing candidates now would assure defeat for the Democrats as it would show them as supremely weak.
No. Hillary will sit and wait for 2008.
Last night, I predicted a 9 point bounce overall for the convention - those numbers haven't come out yet of course - but ALSO said that the media would spin them down to the error percentage of the poll. If he got 9 points, it would be spun down to 5 to reflect the margin of error, and the line would be that neither got "much of a bounce" due to the lack of real undecided voters.
We'll wait a couple of days and see how the spin goes.
And ABC News didn't even bother to say the lack of a bounce "may" or "could" be caused by few undecideds:
So what happened?
Check out her latest script.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1206670/posts
Hurrican Zell
Kerry is officially panicking now. He is reportedly furious at his staff for giving him bad advice about a lot of things and there is serious talk of him changing key campaign members. Considering that there are less than 60 days left until election day, this is huge. Kerry's campaign is utterly collapsing despite the media's skiffy attempts to bolster the clown.
Very well said. The failure to provide Bush a mandate in 2000 had caused a world of hurt since then. We have to win, and win big, this year.
I have been writing for some time now, perhaps even one of those times addressed to you, that the "polarized electorate" is a MYTH perpetrated by the media. Only political junkies pay attention to presidential campaign stuff unless they can't avoid it. They haven't been able to avoid the pro-sKerry stuff due to the hundred million dollar campaign of MoveON and other Soros-type folks. The SwiftVets are the only folks who have called into question that junk. There has been very little reason for Bush to counter their junk because of sKerry's terribly liberal record, and that is NOT going to play well in Peoria. When the previously "polarized electorate" discovered that sKerry was NOT a "war hero" that allowed them to rethink their positions on a whole load of stuff.
Now, they hear positive things from the RNC about the President's leadership, and they "suddenly" aren't polarized. The fact is, they haven't been paying attention. If the President had spent time and money worrying about the polls before this time, it would have been a colossal waste of money.
Election campaigns are AFTER LABOR DAY. We're just starting now, and the President will now utterly destroy sKerry on his Senate record.
/
Been there. Done that. But like the hymn goes, was blind but now I see.
I don't believe Zell's speech is even included very well in this poll. It started being done the day before his speech.
/
NO WAIT! I got it!
The Kerry/Edwards attack speeches (hardly anyone bothered with Kerry's "ME ME" act this morning) are to RAISE public expectation. The vitriol begun by Kerry this morning will continue, Zell's speech will be spun as "exaggeration" (B-1 bomber funding, which Kerry voted against before he voted against it) and the overall poll bounce POST acceptance speech will be lower.
So the media is setting us - the voter - up for a demoralizing fall.
I suggest anyone who didn't watch Kerry's childish, drunken/possibly stoned, semi-coherant rant last night go and find the transcript and/or video.
Gore got an eight point convention bounce in 2000.
Bush got a four point convention bounce in 2000.
After the Gore convention in 2000, the two candidates were statistically tied. Historically, the second convention's bounce is maintained much better than the first convention's bounce. In the 2000 case, the Gore convention bounce was maintained all the way to Election Day. The final tally was pretty much identical to the poll results three days after the DNC.
Not good news for Kerry.
And this is being reported by Time. Kerry has got to be freaking over this.
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