Oh, and I’ll be wearing this sign. I don’t want any of the weirdos there to bother me.
Posted on 06/11/2026 6:12:06 PM PDT by Diana in Wisconsin
El Niño has officially begun, and it is forecast to intensify into a very strong or “Super” El Niño with major shifts in global weather patterns and an even hotter climate, according to a new report released Thursday morning from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.
El Niño is a periodic weather pattern in the tropical Pacific Ocean that alters winds and features unusually hot waters in the central and eastern Pacific. These changes in winds and ocean temperatures have knock-on effects on weather patterns worldwide.
NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center is giving this El Niño a 63% chance of becoming a “very strong” event (colloquially known as a Super El Niño) and one of the “largest El Niño events in the historical record going back to 1950.” In a sign of the center’s certainty in the forecast, it’s giving 100% odds of El Niño continuing through the fall and extremely high odds continuing into the winter.
For it to be considered a Super El Niño, tropical Pacific water temperatures must be more than 2 degrees above average. Some reliable computer models suggest that bar will be greatly exceeded.
For the past few months, large volumes of unusually hot water have been sloshing from the western Pacific to the eastern tropical Pacific, forced by shifting winds. This unusually hot water has traveled about 600 to 1,000 feet beneath the ocean surface and is beginning to rise to the sea surface thousands of miles to the east, closer to South America. Similar dynamics have played out during past intense El Niños.
Super El Niño events are relatively rare, with the most recent ones occurring in 2015-16, 1997-98 and 1982-83.
(Excerpt) Read more at cnn.com ...
Pineapple Express and Atmospheric rivers. Good for the water wells.
Strong El Niño typically portends fewer and less intense storms in the Atlantic and Gulf of America.
We got 5-6” here over the past two days. I’m over it! I want HOT & DRY for the rest of my growing season.
But will I get it? We shall see! :)
Arriba!
I have already died six times this year.
It is getting kind of boring.
I have already hummed all the songs I know.
Phoenix needs some rain.
fewer and less intense storms in the Atlantic and Gulf of America....
What will the Weather Channel and the rest of the media do?
No weather drama.
Jim Cantore will be bored.
Women and minorities hardest hit.
To help those who don’t understand El Niño, El Niño means The Niño.
Cool. Hopefully the monsoon in the Albuquerque area will be wetter than normal. Drove across the Rio Grande going back and forth to work today. There ain’t no Rio there. Let alone any Grande. It’s hard to get a good look driving, but as far as I can tell, it’s dry. I’ve been here 21 years. It’s been damn low, but it’s never been dry.
And I did a little exploring...Some of these Cat 5s....are 10 minutes long...One was less than 5 minutes.
We here in Florida Panhandle are in drought conditions. We are 8-10 INCHES behind our ‘normal’ amount of rain for the year..............
Oh, and I’ll be wearing this sign. I don’t want any of the weirdos there to bother me.
41 Cat 5s in 100 years.
That’s a sound plan. ;)
Well in the Seattle area it will be ninety on Sunday.
Of the 41 Cat 5s in the last 100 years....only 4 of them made landfall.
Amen! We sure do.
What we really need to research is how many times has El Nino voted in Kalifornia elections.
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