I live in PA and am embarrassed how stupid people are——The world is literally on fire and they’re going to vote for more “fire”? Unbelievable!
Mastriano is done. Unfortunately. Not even the Trafalgar special sauce can save him. Same for Oz, perhaps more close.
Has Pennsylvania really become this insane?
How heavy did they oversample Dems? Other polls show it much closer or the other way around.
This is kinda of a win-win for someone like me. I want Oz to win, but if he loses to Quasimodo, the American political order & especially the Republican party will be finished.
The trend is the only scientific part of polling, so this is good.
Trafalgar will show us whose ships of state get sunk....................😎
It is clear that WE are no longer answering polls.
The Democrat/communists are getting crushed all over the country, the RNCC is now hunting rodents holding seats where Joey “won” by 12 points and the rural/suburban number ABC WAPO found show Republicans winning by 21 points!!!
Except for Philly and Pittsburgh all of Pennsylvania is either rural or suburban so as much as I respect Trafalgar this poll is - let’s say not accurate.
Just from watching the ads on TV, Oz is in better shape than Mastriano because he was less blunt previously in interviews on social issues, i.e., abortion and gay marriage, and Fetterman’s support for ending felony murder is going to hurt him badly. So, Oz should do better with the women’s vote than Mastriano. That could be the difference. Still, polls don’t vote. People vote, or in PA what are claimed to be people voting... The polls were wrong in 2020 and could be wrong again. People in urban areas don’t want to admit to voting Republican.
Trafalgar is one of the most accurate pollster, so this is alarming. How can a brain damaged person who never held a real job, lived with his parents until he was in his forties, and is a communist, be leading in the polls? I never thought the dems would even let the guy run. Thought they would replace him. But hey, they know the people are just as brain damaged as their candidate.
What the Polls don’t show is turnout numbers - I was at a political office in Wisconsin this week and the estimated number of actual voters is dismal.
Many more staying home than voting in November.
Continue to oversample R by around 10% and under sample I’s.
Doesn’t really matter though, this race is a joke, neither of these crap heads belongs anywhere near the Senate...
Most disgusting race of my life... A globalist gun grabbing fraud vs a left wing looney.
Neither are deserving of dog catcher.
Literally an election asking the voters do you want your crap sandwich with or without corn.
Regardless of who wins, America and PA loses...
If you ever wanted proof of just how corrupt and swamp the system is, this race is the perfect example...
More than $100 Million spent so far, and will probably wind up being closer to $200 MILLION by the time its all said and done, and nearly all the money coming from outside the state, to convince you that their crap sandwich of a candidate is better than the other crap sandwich of a candidate.
If anyone things either of these candidates is going to put PA or America first when they win, they are beyond naive...
If Uncle Fester wins God save the Republic.
Polling is recent years has become notoriously unreliable because conservatives are hard to reach and often deceptive.
I would not throw in the towel.
Most conservatives avoid pollsters like the plague.
I have personally punked a poll several weeks ago, by identifying as a 19 year old, non-binary, Democrat. I answered issue questions one way and candidates questions the opposite. It made absolutely no sense, for instance being pro-choice until birth and saying I would vote for Mastriano. Unfortunately I probably blew my chances to be included in the poll since I wouldn’t be considered a likely voter. If anyone polls me again, I’ll increase my age so I can at least have a track record of voting in previous elections.
Go and vote on Election Day. That’s the only poll that matters.
The real problem has never been the communist democrats that we keep electing. It is the 40% (+ 15% cheating) of the populace that votes for these America destroyers. It is a combination of godlessness, abortion, public schools and universities, and media brainwashing that has coalesced to destroy western culture.
I said earlier that Doug would loose by > 5% looks like it might be >10% can’t win if you don’t campaign in the urban and suburban area. Go to Urban Philly and the suburban pansies see that you care. can get suburban housewives votes. but you gotta go there. Oz did and i’m no fan. He’s got pics hugging addicts. great visuals.
I had ( repeat had) friends who moved to Pennsylvania. Rabid Democrats from Seattle. They vote for the handouts government could give them. I was constantly getting anti Trump texts from them. All I can say about these two is they consistently made bad decisions on every aspect of life. Any advice someone gave them would immediately make them do the opposite. As a result, they live off of Social Security and a very small pension in a one room cabin in the holler. The wife already broke her hip walking down the stairs in the snow. They are miles away from decent healthcare. I will be they will vote for Uncle Fester.
It’s 2 pts, and within the margin of error.