Just from watching the ads on TV, Oz is in better shape than Mastriano because he was less blunt previously in interviews on social issues, i.e., abortion and gay marriage, and Fetterman’s support for ending felony murder is going to hurt him badly. So, Oz should do better with the women’s vote than Mastriano. That could be the difference. Still, polls don’t vote. People vote, or in PA what are claimed to be people voting... The polls were wrong in 2020 and could be wrong again. People in urban areas don’t want to admit to voting Republican.
I think Oz narrowly wins. Shapiro will win. Some split tickets.