Posted on 09/12/2022 4:26:09 AM PDT by jacknhoo
Russia Is Running Out of Missiles. That’s Bad News for Ukraine
Although the depletion of top-of-the-line Russian missiles could give Ukraine the upper hand strategically, it could spell disaster for Ukrainian civilians.
Ukrainian intelligence claimed on August 27 that Russia has used approximately 55 percent of its missile stockpile since its February 24 invasion of the country. If accurate, this could signal that sanctions are biting. However, it may not all be good news.
Since the collapse of the Soviet Union, Russia has made several attempts to produce tactical and strategic missiles to fight conventional wars. These missiles, like the Kalibr cruise missile and Iskander short-range ballistic missile, can deliver 1,000-pound warheads within several feet of their target from hundreds of miles away.
Furthermore, the Kh-101 is an air-launched cruise missile with a range of around 1,500 miles. Like the Kalibr and Iskander, it can carry a warhead of nearly 1,000 pounds.
The Kinzhal is a hypersonic missile, almost impossible to shoot down, that can deliver a 1,000-pound warhead 1,200 miles. The missile can be guided by satellite or controlled internally by inertial guidance systems.
All of these systems are accurate and leave little excuse for civilian casualties – which already stand at nearly 14,000.
However, Russia is running out of these weapons. If Ukrainian intelligence is correct, Russia has depleted over half its stockpile in six months.
Less Accurate Missiles, More Artillery Several days ago, Vladimir Putin signed a decree to increase Russia’s military personnel to 2.04 million, including an additional 137,000 combat troops. This indicates that Putin thinks the war in Ukraine is long-term, even lasting years.
If Russia has nearly run out of precision missiles after seven months, what will be used in the coming years?
The answer to this question is, unfortunately, less accurate missiles and more cannon artillery. This means an increase in accidental civilian casualties due to prolonged indiscriminate bombardment.
While Ukrainian troops may see a decrease in casualties to indirect fire, this will likely be due to the dispersal of their forces and counter battery fire provided by systems like the HIMARS.
The US is sending Himars advanced multiple rocket systems to Ukraine The US has sent HIMARS advanced multiple rocket systems to Ukraine. Photo: Giuseppe Cacace/AFP/Getty Images Civilians, especially near the front lines, will be inadvertently fired upon by Russian artillery and Cold War-era missiles like the BM-27 Uragan from the 1970s.
Sustained artillery and missile strikes with technology half a century old will not be nearly as accurate as the Kinzhal, a weapon that entered service in 2017. While the Kinzhal can hit whatever target it is fired at, firing a single artillery round will not achieve the same result. Dozens of artillery shells will have to be fired to destroy what one Kinzhal is capable of striking.
Rising Civilian Casualties This means that if Russia cannot produce new modern missiles, then Cold War-era missiles and tube artillery, which are far less accurate but becoming far more numerous, will provide the bulk of Russian indirect fire.
After all, Russia plans to continue attacking Ukrainian positions this fall and will need artillery support to do so.
If this war drags on for months or even years, as Putin predicts, then civilian casualties could rise. Although the depletion of top-of-the-line Russian missiles could give Ukraine the upper hand strategically, it could spell disaster for Ukrainian civilians.
The same civilians that have been targeted as part of Russia’s campaign of terror may now find themselves on the receiving end of inaccurate mass fire in the same way civilians in Grozny and Syria have before them.
Let's go back to the April agreement, before the UK and Biden Admin bought of the Ukrainian leadership to sacrifice the Ukrainian population for their war.
It’s far past time for “warmongering” Russian bandits to go home. There’s nothing to negotiate until that happens.
They don’t and they never have.
Since when have the Russians cared about Ukrainian civilians?
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And you don’t either, or you would be pushing peace not war.
You know massive more amounts of civilians will be killed with the archaic weapons Russia will be using, but you don’t care any more than Biden cares.
“The Russian has no regard for human life and is an all-out son of bitch, barbarian, and chronic drunk.”
- Gen. George Patton
Does it escape you that wanting the Russians back behind their border IS a push for peace??
Peace can be achieved quickly by the Russians simply leaving Ukraine and not coming back. That’s Putin’s choice to make, Comrade.
This is such typical Bolshevism. Steal what they can. When they start losing ask for “negotiations” to solidify their position militarily and politically. Russia has proven over the past 8 years that they no intention of ever willingly retreating from an inch of what it has stolen in Ukraine. They lied in 2014 and they are lying now. They just need to go home.
Never. This is pure Russian agitprop
Apparently, you are a “warmonger” if you don’t agree to Russia stealing a certain percentage of Ukraine. Total nonsense of course but when has that ever stopped a true believing Bolshevik?
“Peace can be achieved quickly by the Russians simply leaving Ukraine and not coming back.”
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I witness ZERO concern for Ukrainian civilians, from the warmonger.
Just happy to have a war to fund their complex.
The only time human life is important to these entities is when their deaths can be used as propaganda.
Sickness.
I could not agree more. The Russians may have shed their Soviet Union identity, but their inborn trait of expansionism continues. That part never changes.
Stopped right there. Ukrainian intelligence counting Russian missile stockpiles?
That's called U.S. and British Intelligence.
It's not called the King of the battlefield for nothing.
*are poor at artillery.
Ukrainians know that the only way they will have peace is to drive the Russians out of Ukraine. All of the civilian deaths due to indiscriminate shelling and missile strikes against civilian targets are solely Russia's fault.
There is no point in negotiating with terrorists, the Ukrainians just have to defeat the Russians and drive them out of Ukraine.
“There is no point in negotiating with terrorists, the Ukrainians just have to defeat the Russians and drive them out of Ukraine.”
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They’ll not defeat the Russians, this will start WWIII though, if it’s not remedied. The United States and globalist elites escalated this war, for just that reason, and you’re blindly supporting it...or maybe you want that too.
“Everyone should know that, by and large, we haven’t started anything yet in earnest,” he added. “At the same time, we don’t reject peace talks. But those who reject them should know that the further it goes, the harder it will be for them to negotiate with us.” Vladimir Putin/July 2022
“We have heard many times that the West wants to fight us to the last Ukrainian. This is a tragedy for the Ukrainian people, but it seems that everything is heading towards this.” ~Vladimir Putin/July 2022
I’ll bet you vote Biden, because if President Trump gets in before WWIII breaks out, peace talks will be forced.
The globalists in power in the United States have the power to force peace talks now, but instead forces the annihilation of the Ukrainian people in its quest for WWIII.
“Russia Is Running Out of Missiles”
We’re running low too.
In April 2022 nothing was agreed to by Ukraine, or Russia or anybody else.
Any opportunity for agreement ended with the discovery of Russian war crimes against Ukrainians.
No justice, no peace.
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