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A Supervolcano in New Zealand Is Rumbling So Much It's Shifting The Ground Above It
https://www.sciencealert.com ^ | JESS COCKERILL - 12 JULY 2022

Posted on 07/19/2022 8:16:41 AM PDT by Red Badger

The vast expanse of Lake Taupō's sky blue waters, crowned by hazy, mountainous horizons, invokes an extreme sense of tranquility.

And yet, deep in the ground below, geological unrest is brewing, according to a new paper in the New Zealand Journal of Geology and Geophysics.

Lake Taupō is the largest freshwater lake in Australasia, located at the center of New Zealand's north island. And while it appears peaceful today, the lake has a violent origin story.

The lake's waters sit within a prehistoric caldera – a word based on the Spanish for 'cauldron' or 'boiling pot' – formed during Earth's most recent supereruption, the Oruanui eruption, 25,400 years ago.

When magma is released from a supervolcano (defined as having released at least 1,000 cubic kilometers of material in any one eruption) in an event like the Oruanui eruption, the depleted magma vents cave in, Earth's surface sinks, and the landscape is permanently changed into a caldera.

In the last 12,000 years, the Taupō volcano has been active 25 times. Its most recent eruption in 232 AD is described by authors of the new paper as "one of the Earth's most explosive eruptions in historic times". Since then, the volcano has had at least four documented "episodes of unrest", causing destructive earthquakes and, in 1922, a massive ground subsidence.

It's the supervolcano's more modern periods of unrest that the researchers have studied, analyzing up to 42 years of data collected at 22 sites dotted around and across the lake. And there's evidence that the supervolcano is still rumbling.

"In 1979 [researchers] began a novel surveying technique which uses the lake surface to detect small changes, with four surveys made every year since," lead author and Victoria University of Wellington seismologist Finn Illsley-Kemp explained. This technique involves the use of a gauge that measures vertical displacement of the lake bed.

To ensure the data are reliable, these gauges are weighted to reduce the impact of waves, and several measurements are taken for each datapoint, to detect degrees of variation and outliers. A backup gauge is also installed at each site as an insurance against disturbance by other forces.

In the project's beginning, the measurements were recorded from manual gauges set up at just six stations. Eight more stations were added between August 1982 and July 1983, and during this time, the value of these measurements began to show.

In early 1983, the system detected rising or falling across different sites. Not long after, a swarm of earthquakes gently shook the region, resulting in the rupturing of several faults that pushed the central Kaiapo fault belt down and caused other areas at the lake's south end to rise.

The 1983 earthquake swarms were only the first of seven discreet episodes of unrest recorded over the past 35 years.

By 1986 routine surveys were being carried out each year with additional sensors, with extra observations in the wake of earthquakes, creating a robust dataset that has only become more detailed over time.

The authors noticed that during periods of geological unrest, the north-eastern end of the lake (which is closest to the volcano's center and the adjoining fault lines) tended to rise; the lake bed near the fault belt's center sank; and at the lake's southern end, there was some minor subsidence.

"Within the lake, near Horomatangi Reefs, the volcano has caused 160 mm [16 cm or 6.3 inches] of uplift, whereas north of the lake the tectonic faults have caused 140 mm [5.5 inches] of subsidence," Illsley-Kemp said.

He thinks this region, which has very few earthquakes compared to the surrounding areas, is the location of Taupō 's magma reservoir, with deep rock that is too hot and molten for earthquakes to occur.

The researchers say the 16 cm of uplift – which, while not catastrophic, is definitely enough to cause some damage to buildings or pipes – is possibly due to magma moving closer to the surface during periods of unrest.

Illsley-Kemp said the research shows Taupō is an active and dynamic volcano, intimately connected with the surrounding tectonics.

The researchers think the northeastern end of the volcano – which has the youngest vents – is more likely to be affected by the expansion of hot magma, pushing the ground upwards. They think the 'sinking' center of the Taupō fault, and the subsidence at the lake's southern end is likely due to deep magma cooling (and therefore shrinking), a tectonic extension of a rift, or both.

Illsley-Kemp has regularly assured people that while it's in a state of unrest, there is no evidence the volcano will erupt anytime soon.

"However, Taupō will most likely erupt at some stage over the next few thousand years – and so it's important that we monitor and understand these unrest periods so that we can quickly identify any signs which might indicate a forthcoming eruption," he told the New Zealand Herald in a 2021 article.

Ultimately, this research is more about understanding the normal 'behavior' of the caldera, and what to look for when things are getting more heated.

This study is published in the New Zealand Journal of Geology and Geophysics and Geophysics.


TOPICS: History; Outdoors; Science; Travel
KEYWORDS: laketaupo; newzealand; science; supervolcano; volcano; volcanoes
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1 posted on 07/19/2022 8:16:41 AM PDT by Red Badger
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To: SunkenCiv

PING!..................


2 posted on 07/19/2022 8:17:31 AM PDT by Red Badger (Homeless veterans camp in the streets while illegal aliens are put up in hotels.....................)
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To: Red Badger
All those rich people who bought a place in NZ to sit out the apocalypse might be in for a rude surprise.
3 posted on 07/19/2022 8:19:43 AM PDT by Harmless Teddy Bear (It is better to light a single flame thrower then curse the darkness. A bunch of them is better yet)
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To: Red Badger

IF that volcano really starts to act up you can expect the commies running that country to be the first ones to leave.


4 posted on 07/19/2022 8:20:25 AM PDT by ChuckHam
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To: Red Badger

Lived in NZ for two years from 1982 to 1984. Lake Taupo is a great place for trout and other types of fishing.


5 posted on 07/19/2022 8:21:17 AM PDT by OttawaFreeper ("The Gardens was founded by men-sportsmen-who fought for their country" Conn Smythe, 1966 )
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To: Red Badger; DieHard the Hunter

Yellowstone: Let’s get reeeeady to ruummmmmbllllleee!

Taupo: Hold muh beer . . .


6 posted on 07/19/2022 8:21:27 AM PDT by Tolerance Sucks Rocks (Bus No. 2525)
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To: OttawaFreeper

Besides driving on the wrong side of the highway and funky electricity, what’s different about NZ ?


7 posted on 07/19/2022 8:25:26 AM PDT by Eric in the Ozarks (Baseball players, gangsters and musicians are remembered. But journalists are forgotten.q at)
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To: Red Badger

Call grrrrrreta thundergums so she can scold the bad volcano. “How dare you!” 🌋🌏


8 posted on 07/19/2022 8:25:35 AM PDT by rktman (Destroy America from within? Check! WTH? Enlisted USN 1967 to end up with this? 😕)
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To: Red Badger
Eruption - Focus | Dona | Moving Waves
Eruption - Focus | Dona | Moving Waves

9 posted on 07/19/2022 8:26:30 AM PDT by SunkenCiv (Imagine an imaginary menagerie manager imagining managing an imaginary menagerie.)
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To: Red Badger

Throw the pretty communist into it.


10 posted on 07/19/2022 8:27:18 AM PDT by BenLurkin (The above is not a statement of fact. It is either opinion, or satire, or both.)
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To: Red Badger

The eruption will happen after the d-ruption, and be followed by the f-ruption.


11 posted on 07/19/2022 8:27:47 AM PDT by SunkenCiv (Imagine an imaginary menagerie manager imagining managing an imaginary menagerie.)
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To: Red Badger

For anyone curious, some quivk info on Taupo...

https://volcano.si.edu/volcano.cfm?vn=241070


12 posted on 07/19/2022 8:28:45 AM PDT by mewzilla (We need to repeal RCV wherever it's in use and go back to dumb voting machines.)
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To: Red Badger
For the earnest expectation of the creation eagerly waits for the revealing of the sons of God. For the creation was subjected to futility, not willingly, but because of Him who subjected it in hope; because the creation itself also will be delivered from the bondage of corruption into the glorious liberty of the children of God. For we know that the whole creation groans and labors with birth pangs together until now.
Romans 8:19-23.

Even the earth itself rumbles and groans for the redemption of Christ which will soon appear.

13 posted on 07/19/2022 8:32:29 AM PDT by Jim W N (MAGA by restoring the Gospel of the Grace of Christ (Jude 3) and our Free Constitutional Republic!)
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To: Red Badger

Maybe they should drop Jacinda Ardern into it to calm it down


14 posted on 07/19/2022 8:40:08 AM PDT by butlerweave
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To: Red Badger

Be a shame if it Mount Vesuviused all the globalist depopulation psychopaths who think they are going to ride out their mass-murdering Great Reset in safety and comfort.


15 posted on 07/19/2022 8:42:34 AM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum (Contempt for pre-born human life breeds contempt for post-born human life.)
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To: Red Badger

Let’s get it on!


16 posted on 07/19/2022 8:43:52 AM PDT by HighSierra5 (The only way you know a commie is lying is when they open their pieholes.)
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To: OttawaFreeper

So, you come from the land Down Under?.....................


17 posted on 07/19/2022 8:45:08 AM PDT by Red Badger (Homeless veterans camp in the streets while illegal aliens are put up in hotels.....................)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

Hopefully some of the ash will fall on Jacinda’s house.


18 posted on 07/19/2022 8:45:16 AM PDT by dfwgator (Endut! Hoch Hech!)
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To: Harmless Teddy Bear

They better run, they better take cover.......................


19 posted on 07/19/2022 8:47:25 AM PDT by Red Badger (Homeless veterans camp in the streets while illegal aliens are put up in hotels.....................)
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To: Red Badger

SELL! SELL! SELL! TURN THE MACHINES BACK OOOON!


20 posted on 07/19/2022 8:47:42 AM PDT by SgtHooper (If you remember the 60's, YOU WEREN'T THERE!)
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