Free Republic
Browse · Search
General/Chat
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Rasmussen: GOP Lead Shrinks on Congressional Ballot
Rasmussen Reports ^ | May 27, 2022 | Rasmussen Reports

Posted on 05/27/2022 10:56:04 AM PDT by Yo-Yo

The 2022 midterm elections are now 165 days away, and Republicans have a six-point lead in their bid to recapture control of Congress.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that, if the elections for Congress were held today, 47% of Likely U.S. Voters would vote for the Republican candidate, while 41% would vote for the Democrat. Just four percent (4%) would vote for some other candidate, but another seven percent (7%) are not sure. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Republicans have lost three points of their advantage since last week, when they led 48%-39%. The Generic Congressional Ballot is now the closest it’s been all year.

Rasmussen Reports is updating the Generic Congressional Ballot findings weekly on Fridays at 10:30 a.m. Eastern until the midterm elections in November.

In May 2018, before voters handed Democrats their first House majority in eight years, Democrats held a one-point advantage (43% to 42%) in the generic ballot question. As the November 2018 midterms neared, the margin was a statistical dead heat – Republicans 46%, Democrats 45% – in the final poll before Democrats won a slim House majority while Republicans gained Senate seats to maintain control of that chamber.

The survey of 2,500 U.S. Likely Voters was conducted on May 22-26, 2022 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/-2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

The Republican lead on the congressional ballot is due both to greater GOP partisan intensity and an 11-point advantage among independents. While 87% of Republican voters say they would vote for their own party’s congressional candidate, only 81% of Democrats would vote for the Democratic candidate. Among voters not affiliated with either major party, 42% would vote Republican and 31% would vote Democrat, while 12% would vote for some other candidate and 15% are undecided.

Fifty-four percent (54%) of whites, 22% of Black voters and 43% of other minorities would vote Republican if the election were held today. Sixty-one percent (61%) of Black voters, 37% of whites and 43% of other minorities would vote Democrat.

The so-called “gender gap” has widened in the latest findings, with men (52%) now nine points more likely than women voters (43%) to prefer Republican congressional candidates. The gap was seven points last week.

Voters under 40 favor Democrats by a margin of 53% to 37%, but 53% of voters ages 40-64 and 54% of those 65 and older would vote Republican if the election were held today.

Breaking down the electorate by income brackets, Republicans enjoy their largest advantage – 52% to 38% – among voters earning between $50,000 and $100,000 a year. Democrats lead among those with annual incomes over $100,000.

The Republican advantage is strongest among entrepreneurs and retirees, who favor the GOP by a 15-point margin.

Less than six months away from the congressional midterms, Republicans are more fired up than Democrats about voting this November.

Protecting the integrity of elections remains a high priority for American voters, most of whom still suspect there was cheating in the 2020 presidential election.

Additional information from this survey and a full demographic breakdown are available to Platinum Members only.


TOPICS: Miscellaneous
KEYWORDS: 2022; fakenews; fakepolls; rasmussen
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041-45 next last
Half of this survey was done after the Robb elementary shooting in Uvalde, TX.

I think the gap will open up again by mid-Summer.

1 posted on 05/27/2022 10:56:04 AM PDT by Yo-Yo
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: Yo-Yo
Translation:

"We're getting the Democrat election-rigging machinery back online."

2 posted on 05/27/2022 10:59:00 AM PDT by kiryandil (China Joe and Paycheck Hunter - the Chink in America's defenses)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Yo-Yo

15% advantage GOP among retirees. The Dems are toast.


3 posted on 05/27/2022 10:59:27 AM PDT by Codeflier (I am just going to assume you are a Democrat if you call me a Putin supporter and ignore you.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Yo-Yo

Well, you know, Joe is really on an upswing, making things happen, getting things done, making everything in the world hum like a well-oiled machine, so, naturally, no one wants to change anything.


4 posted on 05/27/2022 11:01:24 AM PDT by ClearCase_guy (It's hard to "Believe all women" when judges say "I don't know what a woman is".)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Yo-Yo

Never let a crisis go to waste………


5 posted on 05/27/2022 11:04:35 AM PDT by Toespi
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Yo-Yo

Republicans better get a message and start broadcasting that message.

“Hey, at least we’re not democrats,” only goes so far.

Promise the American people election integrity, a return to fiscal responsibility, inflation-controlling monetary policy, and physical security of school buildings.

Then, deliver it.


6 posted on 05/27/2022 11:04:50 AM PDT by Nathan _in_Arkansas (Hoist the black flag and begin slitting throats. )
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Yo-Yo
Republicans have lost three points of their advantage since last week

That's because repubs are talking about 'common sense gun laws'.

7 posted on 05/27/2022 11:05:17 AM PDT by Pollard (If there's a question mark in the headline, the answer should always be No.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: All

People love Biden, high prices, high crime, and dystopia. Aborting kids and crapping all over civil liberties is very popular. Eating beetles and rats for climate change. Hell yeah, let’s have some more.

I remember my late father when Bill Clinton got elected, saying, “I hope he stuffs it so far up their ass8es, they can’t walk for a year.


8 posted on 05/27/2022 11:09:08 AM PDT by Luke21
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: Nathan _in_Arkansas

Instead they’re talking about amnesty and gun control..


9 posted on 05/27/2022 11:09:13 AM PDT by Lurkinanloomin ( (Natural born citizens are born here of citizen parents)(Know Islam, No Peace-No Islam, Know Peace)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: Codeflier

And only 53 wit the yoots.


10 posted on 05/27/2022 11:11:11 AM PDT by cowboyusa (America Cowboy up! S Matter)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: Yo-Yo

Wait till they cooperate on gun-control and BBB. Not going to be pretty for the repukes.


11 posted on 05/27/2022 11:12:40 AM PDT by ChuckHam
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Luke21

Wait till the voters have a summer of $6.50 a gallon gas and rolling blackouts. The gap will widen.


12 posted on 05/27/2022 11:12:51 AM PDT by CaptainK ("If life's really hard, at least its short")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: Yo-Yo

Another bullshit survey. BFD.


13 posted on 05/27/2022 11:14:21 AM PDT by Herodes
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Yo-Yo
...22% of Black voters and 43% of other minorities...

We need a sticker that says: "Trump did this!" Blacks and other minorities are beginning to realize the great bamboozle that has been the Democrat party and their interests. The fact that over 20% of black voters and almost half of the rest of the minorities are turning away is why you're seeing the meltdown on the left. Their insanity will only grow as those numbers go up...

14 posted on 05/27/2022 11:14:32 AM PDT by Magnatron
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

What’s the point of voting with Mitch McConnell in charge? They don’t talk about 2020 being stolen, and they’ve helped Biden. I think Kemp and Raffensperger cheated. I’ve donated to four candidates, but I don’t know if I’m voting.


15 posted on 05/27/2022 11:14:54 AM PDT by TakebackGOP
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: Magnatron

That equals 37 percent of black men!


16 posted on 05/27/2022 11:17:57 AM PDT by cowboyusa (America Cowboy up! S Matter)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 14 | View Replies]

To: Nathan _in_Arkansas

They might want to add, and staying out of wars where we have no clear national interest.


17 posted on 05/27/2022 11:19:59 AM PDT by curious7
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: Nathan _in_Arkansas

Yes. But Newt Gingrich isn’t there. We have McConnell and The other deep state twerp..... assistant DemocRATs. There will be no coordinated message. The Chairman of the GOP is invisible, so no help there.


18 posted on 05/27/2022 11:23:09 AM PDT by Seruzawa ("The Political left is the Garden of Eden of incompetence" - Marx the Smarter (Groucho))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: Codeflier
15% advantage GOP among retirees. The Dems are toast.

And a 100% advantage by the Dems among post-retirees*

*Dead people

19 posted on 05/27/2022 11:24:52 AM PDT by NewHampshireDuo
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: Yo-Yo

The Dems are hoping that with more shootings(On the orders of course) that people will blame the GOP and let the Dems keep the House/Senate even though the whole country is burning to the ground with non stop crime


20 posted on 05/27/2022 11:29:51 AM PDT by Sarah Barracuda
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041-45 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
General/Chat
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson