[Covid-19] Case Fatality Rates per age classes

https://peacebyjesus.net ^ | Sun, 01/16/22 | daniel1212

[daniel1212]

As of Jan. 14, 2021, the Case Fatality Rate (CFR) — which is the percentage of Covid-19 deaths in the U.S. out of the total number of cases — is 1.33%, and which includes all people of all ages and conditions. Based on CDC statistics from between the beginning of January 2020 until Jan. 14, 2021,the CFR for those aged 0-17 calculates (Y is what % of X) to 0.01%; and for those aged 18-29 the CFR is 0.05%; for ages 30-39 it is 0.15%; for ages 40-49 it is 0.4%; for ages 50-64 it is 1.37%; but for the ages of 65-74 it rises to 4.74%; and for the combined ages of 75 to 84 then it leaps to 11.27%; and all those who are 85 and older then it jumps to 23.25%. CDC on 12/15/21.

Therefore the most dramatic increase is 75 and above which must be taken into account when determining the lethality of Covid-19 to the general population and restrictions placed upon it, and how to best protect the most vulnerable while not fostering the comorbidities that are behind most Covid-19 deaths but combating them. And Christian spiritual decline (beginning with the church).

COVID-19 CFR rates as of 12-14-21
Age group	Covid-assigned deaths	COVID-diagnosed cases	CFR	% of Covid deaths
0-17	1,099	8,075,771 (accumulative 0-17)	0.0.1%	Under 0.1%
18-29	5,455	10,792,769	0.05%	0.8%
30-39	12,650	8,370,970	0.15%	1.8%
40-49	28,642	7,137,465	0.4%	4%
50-64	12,6322	9,228,494	1.37%	17.5%
0-49	47,846	34,376,975	0.14%
0-64	174,168	43,605,469	0.18%
65-74	159,070	3,353,831	4.74%	22.1%
75-84	187,390	1,662,223	11.27%	26%
85	199,806	859,270	23.25%	27.7%
65 up	546,266	5,875,324	9.3%
1-16-21: Confirmed cases as % of total US population (rounded):
All	67,000,000 cases out of 334,000,000 Pop. = 20.06%
1-16-21: Confirmed deaths as % of total US population:
All	873,000 out of 334,000,000 Pop. = 0.26%
Estimated Infection Fatality Rate (IFR: est. total infections and deaths) from February 2020 to September 2021:
All (9-21)	921,000 est. deaths	146.6 Million est. cases	0.63%
Est. deaths as % of total US population:
All (9-21)	921,000 est. deaths	334,000,000 Pop	0.28%

Therefore based upon statistics on those aged 0-49 who were tested as being infected with Covid-19 and judged as having died due to it, then the CFR is 0.14% while for 0-64 .it is 0.18%. In contrast, for those ages 75 and up the CFR rises to over 26%. For a comparison, the odds of dying in a motor vehicle accident are calculated to be 1 in 107 (0.93%) and your chances of getting into a motor vehicle accident are one in 366 (0.27%) for every 1,000 miles driven. And thus despite headlines of exceptions, for the young (and fit and healthy) the odds of dying from Covid-19 are very minimal.

That is, unless you are “quarantined” in the womb. since as the CDC reports, "in 2019, the abortion ratio was 195 abortions per 1,000 live births,” which means that the “pregnancy fatality rate” (PFR) is19.5% (excluding spontaneous miscarriages among known pregnancies which are estimated to average approx. 15%). Thus to impose long-term severe restrictions and requirements in the interest of saving lives (yet which restrictions have their own deleterious effects) due to an infectious somewhat preventable disease, while actually fostering the death of the most vulnerable who are safely “quarantined” in the womb of their mother — as well as doing comparatively little to combat the leading Covid-19 comorbidities — is irrationally inconsistent.

TOC^

[daniel1212]

Check my math !

[logi_cal869]

Anyone still citing CFR is mired deep in bed with the establishment...

...or irretrievably drunk of Kook-Aid.

[Freee-dame]

as well as doing comparatively little to combat the leading Covid-19 comorbidities

Once the scientists realized that Corona virus seeks out fat cells making obesity one of the strongest comorbidities correlating with a bad outcome of getting Covid-19, just think how much suffering could have been alleviated and even lives might have been saved if that had been clearly explained. People might have been really motivated to lose some of their excess pounds. Instead more and more advertisements feature obese people as if it is something to celebrate.

[BobL]

It would be VERY NICE if someone could comb through the 1000 deaths of school aged kids and figure out how many were really due to Covid alone, how many were due to Covid plus other factors, and how many had nothing to due with Covid, other than being sick at the same time.

...but then again, I think that’s asking too much of our media.

[daniel1212]

" Anyone still citing CFR is mired deep in bed with the establishment... ...or irretrievably drunk of Kook-Aid. "

You are in a war, and you are not going to defend your position and convince others by relying on fringe sources, much less clickbait misleading reports from the likes of https://citizenfreepress.com, whereas using the very sources selectively used to justify long-term all ages and restrictions on freedom of movement, association, speech and even breathing are viable for presenting substantiated evidence against the excess.

[daniel1212]

" It would be VERY NICE if someone could comb through the 1000 deaths of school aged kids and figure out how many were really due to Covid alone, how many were due to Covid plus other factors, and how many had nothing to due with Covid, other than being sick at the same time. ...but then again, I think that’s asking too much of our media. "

Consider the broad criteria for assigning a probably Covid death.

[DennisR]

Problem is that we do not know if these were deaths with Covid or deaths by Covid.

[Owen]

There is always talk about “protect the vulnerable”. Which means old.

What is generally envisioned is locking down the old and erasing their retirement bucket lists so that the young can carry on with whatever made them happy, and because they announce they are “protecting the vulnerable”, provide them conscience balm for how their behavior increases cases, thereby increasing the odds of it reaching the vulnerable.

Lockdown everything to save some elderly lives? Seems extreme, doesn’t it. Find a politician who tells you he’s going to sacrifice those elderly lives (after all, they aren’t losing that many years) so that the economy isn’t harmed.

Maybe he’ll explain how “the economy” is defined by a substance created by the Federal Reserve in an entirely whimsical way out of sheer nothingness — aka money. That’s the substance that he will have to defend protecting at the risk of low year total lives.

I don’t give this hypothetical someone high election odds.

[Robert DeLong]

You’re comparing apples to oranges, and besides that, what was reported in that link is true.

[NetAddicted]

I don’t know, but wouldn’t the listed death rates be similar for any disease for people older than 60?

[wgmalabama]

Kill the fatties. I had this conversation with my dads friend during the sue big cigarette co. He was so screw smokers while being obese himself. He wanted smokers to pay his health costs and everyone else’s because they were evil. I told him 25 years ago that eventually they would go after the FAT. He was incredulous over the conversation and my dad was probably wishing I would shut up. Long story short is he is still alive (barely). Not sure if his diabetes or dementia will kill him first. I hope he goes peacefully. The fact is we never get to punish the imaginary enemy. I was wrong and so was he. They put us all on the same train. It took me 15 years to figure that out.

[daniel1212]

"You’re comparing apples to oranges, and besides that, what was reported in that link is true."

No I am not (accepted credibility on the part of the target audience being the issue), and no what was reported in that link is not true. There is no law that requires vaccination papers simply to go outside in DC… Rather (while extensive/extreme for sure), what the linked https://coronavirus.dc.gov/vaxdc says is, "On January 15, 2022, per Mayor’s Order 2021-148, the District of Columbia will adopt a city wide vaccination entry requirement that requires COVID-19 vaccination to enter indoor facilities within the city." And in the PDF:

What Businesses or Organizations Do Not Have to Verify Vaccination Status for Entry? • Retail establishments • Grocery stores, farmer’s markets, an d food establishments that provide charitable food services • Houses of worship • Hotels, except meeting rooms, ballrooms and h otel restaurants and bars • Homeless s helters and other human services facilities • Health care facilities and pharmacies • Private meeting spaces in office buildings or residential buildings • Gyms and Fitness Facilities operating for the sole use of individuals residing or working in that specific building • Law enforcement buildings and g overnment offices such as the Department of Motor Vehicles If an exempt facility conducts a non - exempt activity, the vaccine requirement shall apply.

As a practice, it is best to examine what the source link says. If you can find it.

[daniel1212]

"I don’t know, but wouldn’t the listed death rates be similar for any disease for people older than 60?"

Heart disease maybe.

[daniel1212]

Yes, I include that in the research:

COVID-19 is real and a serious threat overall to those in poor health, and especially the aged, as the CDC reported that more than 81% of COVID-19 deaths occur in people over age 65, and with the number of deaths among people over age 65 being 80 times higher than the number of deaths among people aged 18-29.[1] However, obesity — which over 42% of Americans are — along with high blood pressure and diabetes (which tend to be related to obesity) are leading comorbidities in Covid-assigned deaths (and obesity itself is estimated to be attributable to 2,800,000 deaths in America over a 10 year period — at 280,000 per year).

Research finds that obesity along with high blood pressure and diabetes (which typically are related to obesity [3][4] [5]) are the leading comorbidities in Covid-assigned deaths.[6] And over 70% of Americans are overweight or obese. [7] And while Covid-assigned deaths are now over 800,000 in America, yet according to the National Library of Medicine the estimated number of deaths per year in America that are attributable to obesity among US adults is approximately 280,000. Which means 2,800,000 over a 10 year period. [8]

The CDC reported that obesity is linked to impaired immune function, and may triple the risk of hospitalization due to a COVID-19 infection, and decreases lung capacity and reserve and can make ventilation more difficult. And the increased risk for hospitalization or death was particularly pronounced in those under age 65,[9] and that about 78% of people that were hospitalized, needed a ventilator or died from Covid-19 were overweight or obese. [10]

This includes some otherwise healthy, hard-working people and even the young. Since the pandemic began dozens of studies have reported that many of the sickest COVID-19 patients have been people with obesity A study published in August 2020 reported that an international team of researchers who pooled data from scores of peer-reviewed papers capturing 399,000 patients, found that “people with obesity who contracted SARS-CoV-2 were 113% more likely than people of healthy weight to land in the hospital, 74% more likely to be admitted to an ICU, and 48% more likely to die.” Another study found that 77% of nearly 17,000 patients hospitalized with COVID-19 were overweight (29%) or obese (48%) - and which over 40% of Americans are. [11]

Consistent with this, the majority of global COVID-19 deaths have been in countries where many people are obese, with coronavirus fatality rates 10 times higher in nations where at least 50% of adults are overweight,” and “that 90% or 2.2 million of the 2.5 million deaths from the pandemic disease so far were in countries with high levels of obesity.[12] “The report found that every country where less than 40% of the population was overweight had a low Covid-19 death rate of no more than 10 people per 100,000.” “Age is the predominant factor affecting risk of hospitalisation and death from Covid-19, but the report finds that being overweight comes a close second.” [13] cf. [14] [15]

In addition, more recent research has reported that fat cells can act as a reservoir for RNA viruses like influenza A and HIV, providing an additional site for the virus to replicate. TOC^

[Robert DeLong]

So, they can go outside in the cold weather, but for no purpose other than to get cold. Got it. Normally when people go out in cold weather, it is to get something they need. Especially in the city.

You're splitting hairs, just like liberals who claim cases with very shaky proof, and they died with Covid, but not from Covid, again based on shaky proof.

I'm sorry, but you are a confused little person who reads things that aren't said, while not understanding what is meant by the phrase heading out.

Well, as far as I am concerned, you posted fake nonsense yourself, and you have absolutely no way of confirming what you posted. Instead you just take what they print and take it as gospel. That's of course your right to do so, but when you misunderstand what is stated, you do not have the right to call it a lie and not get challenged.

[daniel1212]

"So, they can go outside in the cold weather, but for no purpose other than to get cold. Got it. Normally when people go out in cold weather, it is to get something they need. Especially in the city. "

No, that is another misrepresentation, for one can do plenty of things outside, from bike riding to playing sports to just having a time in the park or walking. .

"You're splitting hairs, just like liberals who claim cases with very shaky proof, and they died with Covid, but not from Covid, again based on shaky proof. "

No, reproving clearly misleading clickbait headlines by news merchandisers as citizenfreepress.com which are uncritically parroted by others - some of whom even resent correction - and thus give impugn conservatism is not splitting hairs. Rather, I seek to substantiate such things as liberals claiming cases upon dubious evidence, revealing from the CDC itself that even having just an unexplained cough or headache and living in a city of high infection rate was enough to warrant classifying the person as having Covid. And that the CDC later tightened the criteria up somewhat yet it still favor over counting Covid deaths.

That in principle is how it should be done.

" I'm sorry, but you are a confused little person who reads things that aren't said, while not understanding what is meant by the phrase heading out. "

Rather, it is manifest that if anyone, it is you are a confused little person who reads things that aren't said or meant, as in "they can go outside in the cold weather, but for no purpose other than to get cold," and not understanding what is meant by the assertion "You’ll need Vaccination papers to go outside in DC…" And then you attack one who exhorts accuracy!

"Well, as far as I am concerned, you posted fake nonsense yourself, and you have absolutely no way of confirming what you posted. Instead you just take what they print and take it as gospel. "

Rather, you manifest that you do not understand debate, in which preferably you use the opponents own sanctioned sources - since he must accept them - to substantiate what you say in order to refute them. Thus while debating Mormons, I can cite their own scriptures in showing their errors, yet that does not mean I accept what they all saw as gospel.

Thus in countering the premise behind the long-term all ages and restrictions on freedom of movement, association, speech and even breathing and for mandated vaccination, I use the CDCs own stats as well as from medical researchers to show that the CFR for the young and the majority of the population is very low, while preventable comorbidities are the underlying cause in most deaths, even apart from Covid, yet see little effort to combat, and which the restrictions actually overall foster.

And here are 300 footnotes of such research, by the grace of God.

[daniel1212]

" Problem is that we do not know if these were deaths with Covid or deaths by Covid. "

Indeed, See CDC Covid-19 case and death criteria

[Robert DeLong]

No, it is a little man who takes everything as literal who is misleading. No where did they imply that simply going out required a vaccine passport. However, what is true, is that to engage in any kind of commerce a vaccine passport is required, and that is the true reality in D.C.

The "vaccines", which I detest calling them that because they are not vaccines at all, are ineffective, yet they use them to discriminate against people who choose not to take an experimental substance that they refuse to divulge what they contain, and demand 75 years to fully divulge this information.

Believing the CDC is no better than believing Citizen Free Press, and most likely even less credible at disseminating the truth. So, you may think you are doing valid research, but as the old adage goes when you input garbage, expecting anything other than garbage is a fool's errand.

[daniel1212]

"No, it is a little man who takes everything as literal who is misleading. No where did they imply that simply going out required a vaccine passport."

What?! A headline is not poetry, nor is it to be hyperbole, and "You’ll need Vaccination papers to go outside in DC…" is indeed saying just that, and nowhere does its very brief (aside from ads) page state otherwise, but taking the mayor out of context, it simply quotes him stating on his Twitter feed,

"Remember that starting Saturday you will need these three things before heading out:

1. Proof of Vaccination (12 years +)

2. Proof of Vaccination and Photo ID (18 years +)

3. Mask

Yet it does not link to that Twitter post itself, which states "If you're heading out to a restaurant, bar, or nightclub starting Saturday, you will need:"

Therefore citizenfreepress.com did indeed post a misleading clickbait headline, and did not explain it, which no one would know was not accurate unless they went to an external link. Which, judging from experience here, very few do. And which misleading clickbaiting is seen far too often, and impugns the integrity if conservative media, as well as that of us if we defend them. We do

" However, what is true, is that to engage in any kind of commerce a vaccine passport is required, and that is the true reality in D.C. "

That is the overall case as the list of forbidden zone unless zapped venues is extensive, and the list of exemptions is very small.

"The "vaccines", which I detest calling them that because they are not vaccines at all, are ineffective, yet they use them to discriminate against people who choose not to take an experimental substance that they refuse to divulge what they contain, and demand 75 years to fully divulge this information. "

I am not zapped at age 69, with a lifestyle that is not in crowded indoor places, and do not intend to be so, and being fit and healthy leaves one to be very little danger due to Covid infection, more so with acquired immunity, and at best their own data increasingly attests vaccination being of limited effectiveness and decreasingly so (otherwise the vaxxed would have no fear of the unvaxxed), while they are experimental with likely under-reported adverse events.

"Believing the CDC is no better than believing Citizen Free Press, and most likely even less credible at disseminating the truth. So, you may think you are doing valid research, but as the old adage goes when you input garbage, expecting anything other than garbage is a fool's errand."

Absurd. Citizen Free Press is simply one of the least credible careless commercial clickbaiting headline grabbers so as to get money from ads (with over 150 network requests in the first minute) with secret ownership, while as explained and ignored, I do not quote the CDC due to great faith in their credibility, but because they are what the Covidphobia prison promoters invoke, while using their own data I show the picture that does not get headlined by such, and massive amount that is hardly even reported, at least not as a compilation.

That is how the war must be fought, not misleading clickbait headline that enables the biases fact checkers to label such as fake news. But that presumes you want to fight the war on their own turf.

[Robert DeLong]

Again, you take the phrase before you head-out as meaning more than was intended. Get over yourself. Your research ability falls flat, and your comprehension skills suffer even more.