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About the Exercise (PDF available at link) On June 22-23, 2001, the Center for Strategic and International Studies, the Johns Hopkins Center for Civilian Biodefense Studies, the ANSER Institute for Homeland Security, and the Oklahoma City National Memorial Institute for the Prevention Terrorism, hosted a senior-level war game examining the national security, intergovernmental, and information challenges of a biological attack on the American homeland. (See also: Dark Winter Script • Article: Shining Light on Dark Winter)

With tensions rising in the Taiwan Straits, and a major crisis developing in Southwest Asia, a smallpox outbreak was confirmed by the CDC in Oklahoma City. During the thirteen days of the game, the disease spread to 25 states and 15 other countries. Fourteen participants and 60 observers witnessed terrorism/warfare in slow motion. Discussions, debates (some rather heated), and decisions focused on the public health response, lack of an adequate supply of smallpox vaccine, roles and missions of federal and state governments, civil liberties associated with quarantine and isolation, the role of DoD, and potential military responses to the anonymous attack. Additionally, a predictable 24/7 news cycle quickly developed that focused the nation and the world on the attack and response. Five representatives from the national press corps (including print and broadcast) participated in the game and conducted a lengthy press conference with the President. See briefing slides.

The players were introduced to this crisis during a National Security Council meeting scheduled to address several emerging crises, including the deployment of a carrier task force to the Middle East. At the start of the meeting, the Director of Health and Human Services informed the President of a confirmed case of smallpox in Oklahoma City. Additional smallpox cases were soon identified in Georgia and Pennsylvania. More cases were reported in Oklahoma. The source of the infection was unknown, and exposure was presumed to have taken place at least nine days earlier due to the lengthy incubation period of smallpox. Consequently, exposed individuals had likely traveled far from the loci of what was now presumed to be a biological attack. The scenario spanned 13 days.

Findings An attack on the United States with biological weapons could threaten vital national security interests. Massive civilian casualties, breakdown in essential institutions, violation of democratic processes, civil disorder, loss of confidence in government and reduced U.S. strategic flexibility abroad are among the ways a biological attack might compromise U.S. security.

Current organizational structures and capabilities are not well suited for the management of a BW attack. Major "fault lines" exist between different levels of government (federal, state, and local), between government and the private sector, among different institutions and agencies, and within the public and private sector. These "disconnects" could impede situational awareness and compromise the ability to limit loss of life, suffering, and economic damage.

There is no surge capability in the U.S. healthcare and public health systems, or in the pharmaceutical and vaccine industries. This institutionally limited surge capacity could result in hospitals being overwhelmed and becoming inoperable, and it could impede public health agencies' analysis of the scope, source and progress of the epidemic, their ability to educate and reassure the public, and their capacity to limit causalities and the spread of disease.

Dealing with the media will be a major immediate challenge for all levels of government. Information management and communication (e.g., dealing with the press effectively, communication with citizens, maintaining the information flows necessary for command and control at all institutional levels) will be a critical element in crisis/consequence management.

Should a contagious bioweapon pathogen be used, containing the spread of disease will present significant ethical, political, cultural, operational, and legal challenges.

Smallpox, because of its high case-fatality rates and transmissibility, represents one of the most serious biological warfare threats to the civilian population. In 1980, the World Health Assembly announced that smallpox had been eradicated and recommended that all countries cease vaccination. Although labs in two countries still officially store smallpox samples (U.S. and Russia), its re-appearance would almost certainly indicate an intentional outbreak.

Aerosol release of smallpox virus disseminated among a relatively small population could result in a significant epidemic. Evidence suggests the infectious dose is very small. Several factors are cause for concern: the disease has historically been feared as one of the most serious of all pestilential diseases; it is physically disfiguring; it bears a 30 percent case-fatality rate; there is no treatment; it is communicable from person to person. Vaccination ceased in this country in 1972, and vaccination immunity acquired before that time has undoubtedly waned. Prior to eradication, data on smallpox outbreaks in Europe indicated that victims had the potential to infect 10 to 20 others. However, there has never been a smallpox outbreak in such a densely populated, highly mobile, unvaccinated population such as exists today.

In 1947, in response to a single case of smallpox in New York City, 6,350,000 people were immunized (500,000 in one day), including President Harry Truman. In 1972, after disappearing from Yugoslavia for four decades, a single case of smallpox emerged. There are two ways to control a smallpox epidemic - vaccine and isolation. Yugoslavia's Communist leader, Josip Tito, used both. He instituted a nation-wide quarantine, and immunized the entire country of 20 million people using vaccine supplied by the World Health Organization.

Estimates of the current U.S. supply of smallpox vaccine range from 7 to 12 million doses. This stock cannot be immediately replenished, since all vaccine production facilities were dismantled after 1980, and renewed vaccine production is estimated to require at least 24-36 months. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention recently contracted with Acambis Inc. of Cambridge MA to produce 40 million doses of new vaccine.

1 posted on 10/23/2020 10:03:24 AM PDT by EBH
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To: EBH

The guy doesn’t even know what he means why would I try to figure it out


2 posted on 10/23/2020 10:06:30 AM PDT by vigilante2 (Make liberals cry again)
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To: EBH

Is Biden signaling China to unleash more Virus’s to the American population?
I believe the USA and the world have been subjected to Bio-Terrroism.


3 posted on 10/23/2020 10:07:26 AM PDT by ncfool (Trump - Keep America Great 2020)
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To: EBH

5 posted on 10/23/2020 10:08:22 AM PDT by Magnum44 (My comprehensive terrorism plan: Hunt them down and kill them.)
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To: EBH

The Biden’s and Democrat leadership is owned by China.
Trump has stepped in and disrupted China’s world domination.
Trump has been Buy America and stay strong America.
The Chines CCP is trying to destroy America.
Biden is bought and paid for by the Chinese.


6 posted on 10/23/2020 10:09:34 AM PDT by ncfool (Trump - Keep America Great 2020)
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To: EBH

In the Fall of 2019, Bill Gates staged an exercise for a Pandemic that could hit the US and disrupt society.

https://www.centerforhealthsecurity.org/event201/

I would take Joe Biden seriously about a planned attack, of which he is aware, by China, with a bioweapon, this winter.


9 posted on 10/23/2020 10:12:00 AM PDT by ClearCase_guy (If White Privilege is real, why did Elizabeth Warren lie about being an Indian?)
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To: EBH

Nah....it is a book from Tom Clancy.

Which dovetails with his fake email address.

Peter Henderson another Tom Clancy fantasy.

https://freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3897144/posts


10 posted on 10/23/2020 10:12:28 AM PDT by winoneforthegipper ("If you can't ride two horses at once, you probably shouldn't be in the circus" - SP)
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To: EBH

John Hopkins was a key component of Gates Foundation’s Event 201 roleplay pandemic scenario last October 2019. The one that drove us to shut down the world (as had NEVER been done in any previous pandemic).


12 posted on 10/23/2020 10:13:05 AM PDT by a fool in paradise (Joe Biden- "First thing I'd do is repeal those Trump tax cuts." (May 4th, 2019))
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To: EBH



16 posted on 10/23/2020 10:16:50 AM PDT by Songcraft
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To: EBH

19 posted on 10/23/2020 10:20:53 AM PDT by Red Badger (Sine Q-Anon.....................very............)
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To: EBH

I didn’t watch much of last night’s debate, but for the small part I did watch I couldn’t shake the notion that Biden was working from a script.


24 posted on 10/23/2020 10:32:59 AM PDT by ZirconEncrustedTweezers (Posting from deep within enemy territory - San Jose, CA)
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To: EBH; All
Tom Inglesby of the Johns Hopkins Center for Civilian Biodefense Studies and Randy Larsen and Mark DeMier of Analytic Services, Inc., (ANSER) were the principal designers, authors, and controllers of Dark Winter.

That guy gets around.

He was also in the Buffett/Gates Event: 201 a 'mock' pandemic exercise released late last year...that, coincidentally, details perfectly with how the Wuhan Flu has played out....with economic crashes/lock downs/govt trying to take over healthcare/directives, etc.

29 posted on 10/23/2020 10:43:39 AM PDT by Jane Long (Praise God, from whom ALL blessings flow.)
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To: EBH
Nah. He spent the last five days in the basement binge-watching Game of Thrones and couldn't quite remember the show's catchphrase ...
31 posted on 10/23/2020 10:45:02 AM PDT by x
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To: EBH

Simple logic...
The chicom-sponsored sneak-attack pandemic worked like a charm...
So we can expect more of the same once the communists have full & permanent control if they win the election...


46 posted on 10/23/2020 11:19:01 AM PDT by SuperLuminal (Where is Sam Adams now that we desperately need him)
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To: EBH

1/2 the country Will absolutely be having a Dark Winter.

Hoping it’s the Democrats


48 posted on 10/23/2020 11:28:16 AM PDT by jcon40 (The other post before yours really nails it for me. IOr keep people from / PC ing in ver and alway)
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To: EBH; 2ndreconmarine; Fitzcarraldo; Covenantor; Mother Abigail; Dog Gone; ...
Dark Winter : " ..a senior-level war game
examining the national security, intergovernmental, and information challenges
of a biological attack on the American homeland."

" Should a contagious bioweapon pathogen be used, containing the spread of disease will present significant ethical, political, cultural, operational, and legal challenges. "

"Smallpox, because of its high case-fatality rates and transmissibility,
represents one of the most serious biological warfare threats to the civilian population."

51 posted on 10/23/2020 11:43:25 AM PDT by Tilted Irish Kilt
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To: EBH

I thought the phrase originated from Dr Zhivago in reference to the Soviet Revolution and following purge.


54 posted on 10/23/2020 12:03:10 PM PDT by Cvengr ( Adversity in life & death is inevitable; Stress is optional through faith in Christ.)
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To: EBH

Dark winter is when Harris loses and Antifa and BLM come for the power grid


60 posted on 10/23/2020 12:33:42 PM PDT by PIF (They came for me and mine ... now its your turn)
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To: EBH

In the last election, “Dark” was one of their talking points / buzz words. He’s trying to reuse it by adding “winter” to create a scary image of a cold, dark, terrifying, oppressive world if Trump is re-elected.


74 posted on 10/23/2020 1:39:27 PM PDT by tbw2
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To: EBH

Just bookmarked it. Fascinating.

And strange that Biden used the term.


76 posted on 10/23/2020 6:59:19 PM PDT by proud American in Canada (In these trying times, "Give me Liberty or Give me Death!")
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To: EBH
Estimates of the current U.S. supply of smallpox vaccine range from 7 to 12 million doses. This stock cannot be immediately replenished, since all vaccine production facilities were dismantled after 1980, and renewed vaccine production is estimated to require at least 24-36 months. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention recently contracted with Acambis Inc. of Cambridge MA to produce 40 million doses of new vaccine.

Hopefully Acambis is making the vaccine here and NOT in China or India...

78 posted on 10/23/2020 8:56:10 PM PDT by GOPJ (Did John Kerry work Iran on disinformation to hurt Trump? Iran DOES owe Kerry...)
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