Posted on 05/18/2020 5:59:10 PM PDT by daniel1212
Does COVID-19 truly warrant a nationwide shutdown?
No, and that has been made increasingly clear. The predicted dire need for hospital beds did not materialize, while most infected are among those who are quarantined, especially elder care facilities which account for over 40% of deaths.
Up to about 80 percent of those infected with COVID-19 are estimated to be silent carriers, [1] meaning they show no symptoms (the New York City labor and delivery unit found 88 percent of infected patients had no symptoms, [2] while over 600 sailors on the coronavirus-stricken aircraft carrier Theodore Roosevelt tested positive, yet 60% of them had no symptoms such as fever, fatigue, or cough,[3]and in four U.S. state prisons nearly 3,300 inmates test positive for coronavirus yet 96% were without symptoms[4] and or recover without medical care[5]) Which means that the infected fatality rate is much lower than the misleading case fatality rate that is usually quoted.
Meanwhile the vast majority of those who die because it are 65 years-old or more[6] and with almost 25% of all documented Covid-assigned (which does not mean the subject was tested for Covid) fatalities in the US (91,976 as of May 18 at 8:49PM EDT) are from New York (28,480)[7] and according to one report 54% of all U.S. deaths were in the 100 counties in or within 100 miles of NYC.
And the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) reported that almost 90 percent of U.S. coronavirus patients who have been hospitalized had underlying health problems, or comorbidities.[8]
Also, another study finds that the risk of coronavirus spreading in schools is 'extremely low'.[9]
And while states continue to parrot the “stay sheltered” mantra, research shows that sunlight destroys virus quickly[10], and even a Department of Homeland Security official affirmed that increasing temperatures, humidity and sunlight are detrimental to coronavirus saliva droplets on surfaces and in the air.[11]
Yet miles upon miles of beach are shutdown, and for too long NY put infected persons in nursing homes[12] (and as of April 26, about 40 percent of COVID-19 deaths were in the state of New York alone. New Jersey was in second place, with nearly 5,900[13]yet the death rate is uncritically employed to justify nationwide lockdowns) while in states such as Illinois law-breaking prisoners were released from their “quarantine” - including some “high risk” sexual offenders[14] and some convicted of murder - [15] and almost a third of county jail inmates have been released from facilities during the coronavirus pandemic.[16] Meanwhile over 2,000[17] of the most vulnerable souls a day in “quarantine” - their mother’s womb - are murdered, many by the same persons claim to be for protecting the vulnerable.
Finally, the extremely restrictive all-ages long-term response to COVID-19 simply has precedent in American history except to the a degree that of the 1918 fu (in which baseball was still played).
The Asian flu pandemic of 1957-1958 resulted in a estimated 116,000 deaths in America[18] (followed by the Hong Kong flu with about est. 100,000 American deaths in 1968–69), when at about 173,000,000, the population size in 57-58 was close to half of what it is now (330,541,000, rounded figures).
Meaning that not only was the infection death rate much higher than for COVID-19, but there would have to be about 200,000 COVID-19 est. deaths to be comparable to the Asian flu as regards percentaged of population. Yet that would simply make it basically equal as concerns the numbers of deaths in proportion to population size, but to justify the "CovidCaptivity," one would have to argue that the Asian flu should have necessitated a response like that to COVID-19. The Soviets would have favored that for sure.
The question then is, where was the COVID-19 comparative response in 57-58 in proportion to its threat? Yes, the 116,000 deaths in America to the Asian flu was for the whole year, yet even if we reach about 200,000 deaths (we pray not) for COVID-19 then that type of equality would still mean that the extremely restrictive all-ages long-term response to COVID-19 simply has no precedent in American history, except to a degree with the far more deadly (550,000 to 675,000 Americans, or 0.66% of the population) 1918 flu.
And during which medics found that severely ill flu patients nursed outdoors recovered better than those treated indoors. A combination of fresh air and sunlight seems to have prevented deaths among patients; and infections among medical staff. [19]
Finally, last but not least, the cost for the “cure” as meaning preventing deaths via the stay-sheltered COVID captivity will be more costly in lives and money than a more moderate response that would allow for a faster rise in cases but a better decrease and overall more healthy populace in the long run. [20][21][22]
Footnotes
In case any one is asking:
Nope
Only by political standards.
I can’t imagine ANYTHING which justifies a national shutdown.
Were we shut down over the last five flu epidemics, going clear back to 1918? This COVID is no where near what went on in the past. It was the MSM that caused all the hysteria and blaming Trump for all the deaths.
Looks like the curve is flattened in my state, CA. I’m more than ready to open up!
Kind of late to be asking that question. End! The! Lockdown!
No.
Trump do your duty and open up this country to the way it was before. Stop letting the Democrats destroy this economy and everyone’s well being.
The governors have the upper hand. The people are rising up little by little and they are going after the dumb a** governors.
Yes!
.
.
.
.
.
.
Shutdown China!
No
“warrant a nationwide shutdown?”
Only until the bad orange man is executed and the diseased old skank hillary takes his place.
It probably is going to be too late. It needs to open up now. Actually should have never closed.
1918 is the only pandemic that would set a precedent in terms of a wide scope and degree of shutdown, yet 500,000 to 675,000 deaths are assigned to that pandemic when the tot. US pop. was 103,208,000, meaning less than 1/3 of today's 331 million. Thus for Covid to be equivalent in its infection fatality count of the population then the total Covid death toll would have to be at least 3 times that of the 1918 flu.
Yet, "While the MLB season was cut a few weeks short in 1918, that was due less to the outbreak and more to World War I, and it started back on schedule in 1919. But MLB went without any formal protocol about how to handle the outbreak, with no serious talk of canceled games or empty stadiums, and baseball went on, even as the illness came for some of its key figures." (https://www.si.com/mlb/2020/03/09/coronavirus-baseball-history)
Short answer to the question - hell no!!
But the thing is - the country was not shut down the way it is now.
Correct it seems
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