Posted on 03/14/2020 10:07:20 AM PDT by WebHankerchief22
According to the provided article, asteroid 99942 Apophis has a 1 in 40 chance of hitting earth in 2029. If it misses in 2029, it would have an even higher chance of hitting in 2036.
According to NASA and other reputable sources the asteroid is of 370 meters in diameter which is about the size of the Eiffel Tower. When you plug this into a simulation like the asteroid collision map, you can see that its large magnitude can cause some pretty serious damages depending on the location it impacts. According to the simulation, some of these effects are earthquakes, heatwaves, shockwaves, destroyed infrastructure, wind blasts, etc.
Sources: 1) Linked Simulation 2) Linked Article 3) Linked Effects Article
The blogger wrote it as 1 in 40 to make it seem scary on-purpose, but that as a % is 2%.
Its orbit was calculated long ago, and the blogger is just recycling a story already ran over a year ago.
So a 2.5% chance of hitting us. Well look at the bright side, not more coronavirus. 8>)
:)
The Asteroid Collision Blog
Maybe it will just hit bloggers.
Which means you have a 97.5% chance of surviving the asteroid, at least in 2029. 8>)
And they’ll call it Wormwood?
Doesnt matter. 10+ years and we’re all goners.
Gosh, with all the unused hand sanitizer and rubbing alcohol and toilet papers in our homes...POOF!!!
“What possible external influences on this rock would prevent us from knowing right now?”
Ricochet off another random asteroid? Implanted jet pack? Worm hole?
And some, I suspect, have stockpiled copious amounts of other forms of alcohol!
Errors in measurement! Exact only exists in textbooks.
Yep, and that’s me, but I forgot to include that ;) Cheers!
If a meteor was known to on a collision course, what be the numbing spirit of choice? For me, a very expensive Scotch.
Plymouth Gin.
Guess I’ll be buying some more shotgun shells.
Tie some helium balloons to my lawn chair and act as the first line of defense.
Space Force!
Check the 40th drop dated on May 8 (8 x 5 = 40) where Q says "rock and roll" so it's obviously all part of The Plan.
It doesn’t matter. We are all going to die of Coronavirus before that.
I think I’ll go buy a new baseball glove and see if I can catch it.
Amazing example of how the government lies...
First sighting (2004) predicted a 1-in-40 (2.7%) chance of collision...
Then they panicked and recalculated it (using the precursor to Million Man Math) and reduced the odds by a couple of orders of magnitude...
Now, apparently, they are back to 1-in-40 (2.6%)
If one reads the FR comments about this in December 2004 and throughout 2005, FR consensus-predictions were, as usual, correct...
Who said that I wanted her to?
Odds are that no sizable asteroid will hit the earth this century. Even if one did, odds are that it would splash into the ocean.
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