Posted on 03/30/2016 4:47:20 PM PDT by sargon
In my humble opinion, the Republican party has effectively and totally destroyed itself with its relentless character assassination vendetta against its own frontrunner, Donald Trump.
There will be no recovering from this. Here are the only possible scenarios I can see, as we finish the primary season and move into the GOP convention:
Scenario #1: The only scenario that has the potential to expand the GOP demographic base permanently and beat Hillary is for Donald Trump to win the nomination and face Hillary in the general election, either with a clear majority or a near majority of delegates.
Scenario #2: Ted Cruz wins the GOP nomination fair and square, without jumping into bed with the GOPe. In that case, his narrow demographic base probably dooms him, but at least voter enthusiasm is preserved. Unfortunately, this scenario has already been obviated by the fact that the GOPe is demonizing Trump nonstop, infuriating his voters, and Ted Cruz has adopted the Establishment tactics wholeheartedly, which alienates Donald Trump voters who otherwise might be willing to support Ted Cruz.
Scenario #3: Ted Cruz wins the nomination with the help of the GOPe, either by getting a majority of delegates or by leapfrogging the frontrunner at the convention. This scenario still results in a candidate with a vary narrow base who likely can't overcome the demographic realities which accrue to the benefit of the Democrat party. Furthermore, this scenario also results in furious Trump voters who believe in their hearts that the nomination was stolen as a result of the constant character assassination directed at Donald trump.
Scenario #4: The convention is contested and someone other than Trump or Cruz is nominated. In this case, voters from both of the leading candidates are furious with the party, and enough of them stay home for Hillary to win easily.
So that is my analysis.
It looks very much to me like the "Anybody But Trump" movement is beginning to succeed. Unfortunately, that "anybody" is going to be Hillary Clinton, unless she's indicted, in which case any of the above scenarios could still, theoretically at least, result in a GOP victory.
Barring that, however, the only scenarios that could succeed are scenarios number 1 & 2.
And, as I have already noted, scenario #2 has already been destroyed by the GOPe, with Ted Cruz acting in full complicity.
Thus, conservatives' best hope is scenario #1, just like it has been for the last few months. It is the only scenario still possible that preserves voter enthusiasm, expands the GOP tent, and wipes out Hillary in the general election.
Since scenario #1 is itself becoming less likely now, IMHO, and due to the causes I've outlined, this leaves me with the inescapable conclusion that the GOPe has already screwed the pooch. The GOP will not win the White House in 2016 absent Trump at the top of the ticket. It could have won with Cruz possibly, but only in the case where Cruz remained an anti-Establishment candidate, and didn't adopt the Establishment tactics being used against Donald Trump. It's already too late for that, of course.
I'm convinced that the GOP will be content to remain in marginal power by controlling the House and perhaps still the Senate. That will allow them (with Hillary in the White House) to preserve the system as it is, where both parties scratch each other's backs, put up token opposition on various issues, and everybody just keeps enriching themselves at the expense of the People.
For doing what they have done, the GOP deserves to die a painful and lingering death. I, for one, am done with the Party, and will never register as a Republican again: not even to vote in their closed primaries. I'll stick with being a registered independent.
It saddens me very much to write these words, because, only a few short months ago, we had 2 candidates with the potential to lead a desperately-needed Revolution in American politics and culture.
But, alas, I believe it is not to be. The GOPe has overplayed their hand to the point where they have destroyed the party's chances for every possible scenario, except for the one case that appeared like it would happen: Donald Trump winning the nomination.
Now, Donald Trump bears some responsibility for this, as does Ted Cruz, for different reasons.
But the real villain in this tragic sequence of events is the GOPe: Mitt Romney, Jeb Bush, Lindsay Graham, John McCain, Bob Dole, the National Review, and all of their elitist ilk.
Yes, folks, I'm still hopeful that somehow something positive will come from the criminal and treasonous Establishment proceedings that we all have been watching before our very eyes. But I doubt it.
It looks like the Revolution will have to wait for at least another four years. That's good enough for the Establishment. As long as they can always delay the inevitable, the inevitable becomes impossible.
The hatred that I feel for the GOPe burns within me with a passion that will never die. Indeed, it only waxes stronger with each Machiavellian shenanigan they pull. It will be on full display at the GOP convention as well, of course.
I can't help but feel a profound sense of loss in looking at the state of affairs that we have arrived at.
No matter what happens at the convention, there will be large masses of GOP voters who will feel totally betrayed by the party leadership, and this will carry all the way through to the general election cycle.
All is lost, IMHO, and I say that as a realist, not a pessimist.
Alright then, perhaps others on the thread will benefit.
Btw Newsmax TV has been very good lately for those of us who are burned out on Fox news.
After the first ballot, if Trump does not get the 1237, the GOPe bosses will open it up to more candidates, until they get what they consider an acceptable outcome.
TrusTed > JilTed, but that's to be expected, baked in, so to speak.
Hasn't Trump said he will not support Cruz? I mean, how can he, since he calls him "Lyin' Ted" every chance he gets.
Can't have it both ways, FRiend.
I know what you mean, "Anchor baby", "Stole Iowa", "Lyin' Ted", I can't stand that crap.
The hundreds of millions in attack ad appears to be working. Trumps negatives are going up. It is begining to look like a contested convention, where the GOPe can put a Jeb,Romney,Ryan,Kasick at the top with a Ted or Rubio in the VP slot (a bone thrown to tea party types).
Before you cruzers celebrate ted ad vp have a look at this
Add Ted Cruz to that list of traitors.
GOPe aka Uniparty has a top priority, and it is not wining elections.
Their top priority is keeping social, economic and political globalism progressing. They don’t care if they win or lose an election for the GOP as long as a trusted globalist wins...Hitlery.
I don't see how the GOP nominating yet another sure general election loser, with a smile, preserves voter enthusiasm.
Once Trump is out of the picture (later this primary season, after November, in four years or in eight years), I'm out of the GOP. I might still vote for their candidates for office, but he or she would have to be an exceptional candidate and frankly, the GOP doesn't make exceptional candidates. If the democrats win, the liberal agenda advances. If the GOP wins, the liberal agenda advances. Like the smart lady said, "what difference, at this point, does it make?"
We are no longer a constitutional republic. We now live in an oligarchy, just like Mexico.
Thank you for your comments, I appreciate it.
As a matter of practice, “Yes”.
The others have had it very light compared to the nonstop, 24/7/365 demonization of Donald Trump.
Get real.
I would definitely not categorize Trump and Trump supporters’ savage and nonsensical attacks on Cruz as “very light”. We’re gonna have to agree to disagree.
Not "very light" in terms of intensity, "very light" in terms of quantity. There's just no comparison to the concerted demonization that is occurring with respect to Donald Trump, from the Left,GOPe,Establishment, and Cruz himself.
With or without Cruz's help, it's an all-out, desperate, slanted bid by the entrenched Establishment interests to subvert the will of conservative voters. It's incredible, it's diabolical, it's shameful and, given modern day networking/media capabilities, unprecedented.
If Ted Cruz ever ends achieves frontrunner status, or becomes the nominee (unlikely, due to shenanigans), he will become the focus of demonization by the Left, Mass Media, and probably even the GOPe, and will face much of the same.
Ted Cruz ain't seen nothin' yet...
Now, if that don’t scare the hell out of you then nothing will.
They’d rather see America commit suicide than go Conservative now. I hope the bastids rot in hell.
Well, I’ve been supporting (and continue to support) Trump since July. I was happy to vote for him in February, and I hope to vote for him in November.
But.
I agree that the anti-Trump forces are making progress. And I believe they have found a weakness (ego/pride/combativeness) and that they will continue to exploit it.
If Trump does not arrive with 1237 delegates, he will not be the nominee. Period.
Cruz will, of course not be the nominee under any circumstances. Romney/Bush/Ryan are using him to set the stage for a GOPe nominee.
I also think the only hope for the GOP is Trump. We need to welcome in the blue-collar whites who are being taken for granted by the Democrats. If we get them on board, leaving the Dems as the party of racial and sexual minorities, then we win, and the Dems implode.
Amen to that. There are millions of them.
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