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SC primary poll 5800 respondent MOE 2% Trump 34, Cruz 18, Rubio 16, Bush 14
South Carolina House Republican Caucus ^ | 2/17/16 | South Carolina House

Posted on 02/19/2016 5:32:12 AM PST by Zenjitsuman

Poll with pie charts no text

(Excerpt) Read more at drive.google.com ...


TOPICS:
KEYWORDS: bush; cruz; elections; poll; polls; rubio; southcarolina; trump
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To: Blood of Tyrants

The 62+ group went 33% for Trump, lower than the poll average of 34% for Trump.


21 posted on 02/19/2016 5:52:48 AM PST by Cboldt
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To: stockpirate
Graham supports Bush, so no.

Bush wants everyone out of the race except him and Trump. That's the only way Jeb! has a ghost of a chance at stealing the nomination at the convention.

22 posted on 02/19/2016 5:55:56 AM PST by peyton randolph (Crossing the Concern Troll Union's picket line)
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To: Zenjitsuman

If Bush can edge out Rubio he will likely stick around till Nevada. Bush did quite well on CNN last night and Rubio will be lambasted for his chickening out of Mark Levin’s “conservative conference” last night. Bad timing for Marco’s cowardice


23 posted on 02/19/2016 5:57:40 AM PST by montag813 (NO MORE BUSHES (or Clintons) EVER...Put it in the Constitution.)
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To: napscoordinator
i think it's more than that. They are using the poll, with oversample to push the narrative in hopes that it draws voters to help them over perform.

Rove has already been talking the narrative of a high bar for Trump and a low bar for others.

I think it could be more of a hail Mary. Will be interesting to see.

24 posted on 02/19/2016 5:59:28 AM PST by IllumiNaughtyByNature (Trump/Cruz 2016 or the other way around.)
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To: HarleyLady27
How do you know this?

I clicked on the link. You might try that some time.

25 posted on 02/19/2016 6:00:45 AM PST by PAR35
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To: odawg

Ouch, there *is* a resemblance.


26 posted on 02/19/2016 6:01:56 AM PST by grey_whiskers (The opinions are solely those of the author and are subject to change without notice.)
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To: Cboldt
The 62+ group went 33% for Trump, lower than the poll average of 34% for Trump.

Well within the MOE. And certainly not a precipitous drop-off.

27 posted on 02/19/2016 6:02:48 AM PST by grey_whiskers (The opinions are solely those of the author and are subject to change without notice.)
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To: PAR35

Can you finish the questions I asked? I really would like to know and since you seem to know, I really would like you to answer them for me...


28 posted on 02/19/2016 6:03:10 AM PST by HarleyLady27 ("The Force Awakens"!!! TRUMP;TRUMP;TRUMP;TRUMP!!! 100%)
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To: DoughtyOne

It’s interesting that Trump’s support is pretty solid across the demographic spectrum.


29 posted on 02/19/2016 6:03:43 AM PST by Ouderkirk (To the left, everything must evidence that this or that strand of leftist theory is true)
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To: Blood of Tyrants
The polling sample was weighted heavily on voters age 62 and older. I wonder what that means.

I think I heard this same meme about sampling in 2012 when polls came out showing Obama beating Romney. Cruz is going to lose handily in SC, it's reality. Only firewall right now is Cruz getting over 50% in Texas. I doubt this is going to happen. Cruz is done, only in the FR echo chamber is Cruz still a viable candidate to win the nomination. Unless we have a total Trump meltdown or something very serious comes out about him besides some position flip flops stick a fork in this one, Cruz is done.

30 posted on 02/19/2016 6:05:13 AM PST by pburgh01
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To: odawg

I laughed at that, but it didn’t seem that off track.

He is a weasel like guy.


31 posted on 02/19/2016 6:08:12 AM PST by DoughtyOne (Facing Trump nomination inevitability, folks are now openly trying to help Hillary destroy him.)
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To: grey_whiskers
-- Well within the MOE. And certainly not a precipitous drop-off. --

The people that saw a large fraction of the sample being 62+ seemed to lead to a leap void of support, that this oversampling is the reason Trump polled so well overall. If the poll was cherry picking voters age 62+, it would have LOWERED the aggregate result, not improved it!

Trump leads in all age groups and in all geographical regions of the state, according to the poll. His worst showing, age group wise, is 18-25, where he leads the closest challenger (Rubio) 30-20; and his worst showing by region is 30-20 v. Cruz, in the Midlands.

32 posted on 02/19/2016 6:09:42 AM PST by Cboldt
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To: Zenjitsuman
Image and video hosting by TinyPic
33 posted on 02/19/2016 6:10:57 AM PST by TomGuy
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To: IllumiNaughtyByNature

Rove has already been talking the narrative of a high bar for Trump and a low bar for others.


Attempting to sound relevant so people will pay for his interpretations.

Only need to know one thing about him.... He failed to allow GWB to defend himself agains Dems on many topics and we got O ...... If anyone has hurt Jeb , its Karl “ The Architect”. He destroyed the Bush Brand forever

Go Donald....


34 posted on 02/19/2016 6:11:24 AM PST by patriotspride
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To: montag813

Rubio will be lambasted for his chickening out of Mark Levin’s “conservative conference” last night. Bad timing for Marco’s cowardice


He didn’t want to be asked straight up... Does anyone related to Mark Levin work on you campaign .....


35 posted on 02/19/2016 6:12:36 AM PST by patriotspride
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To: Ouderkirk

It’s for the very reason some Conservatives don’t like him.

He didn’t claim to be a Conservative over the years.

Folks see him as neutral.

So he hawks good policy and the public is is allowed to evaluate it versus the label.

As some of us predicted, Hispanics actually buy into a guy demanding our immigration policies be enforced.

This actually works out to our benefit.

Our policies are getting broadcast to the masses, and the masses are buying in.

Wow..., so now part of our camp is depressed and very angry.

You really can’t win.


36 posted on 02/19/2016 6:15:24 AM PST by DoughtyOne (Facing Trump nomination inevitability, folks are now openly trying to help Hillary destroy him.)
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To: Cboldt
"That age distribution may accurately reflect the selection criteria for being included in the poll, likely voter in a GOP primary."

It does...

So far [in 2012], according to exit polls posted on CNN.com, whites have cast at least 90 percent of the votes in every Republican primary except Florida (83 percent) and Arizona (89 percent). In every other state except Michigan (92 percent) and Nevada (90 percent) whites have comprised at least 94 percent of the GOP vote this year. That includes Georgia (94), Virginia (94), Ohio (96), Oklahoma (96), Tennessee (97), South Carolina (98), Massachusetts (98), Iowa (99), New Hampshire (99), and Vermont (99).

So far this year, though, voters fifty and older cast at least 70 percent of the Republican ballots in Florida (71) and Nevada (70); at least sixty percent in Massachusetts (64), Georgia (64) Vermont (63), Tennessee (62), Oklahoma (62), South Carolina (61), Virginia (60), Iowa (60) and Michigan (60); and at least 55 percent in Ohio (56), New Hampshire (56), Arizona (55). - National Journal (archived link)


37 posted on 02/19/2016 6:21:48 AM PST by StAnDeliver ("Sweet, sweet tears ..")
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To: napscoordinator
"This is more about making Rubio/Bush look better than the dead in the water candidates they really are. That is stupid strategy if true which I really doubt it is. The way to do it is to give them each 6 percent and if they beat that then they can say wow....good job. You don't up the polls and then not perform on Saturday."

One of them is going to underperform no matter what, and it's not a secret which one.

So with Bush's people I mean really railing and raining f-bombs against Rubio's people (the out-of-money story), you have to wonder where LowBattery's operatives are going to go after Jebbers pulls 4% in SC and bails out.

38 posted on 02/19/2016 6:27:55 AM PST by StAnDeliver ("Sweet, sweet tears ..")
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To: PAR35

“55% over 65, 2/3 over 56. They must have run the poll in senior citizens facilities.”

They started calling 10:30am on a Wednesday! Almost all respondents would be retire.

Poll is worthless


39 posted on 02/19/2016 6:35:03 AM PST by Bulwinkle (Alec, a.k.a. Daffy Duck)
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To: Zenjitsuman

Impossible. NBC/WSJ had Ted ahead in SC, therefore that’s the ONLY poll that is credible in the least.


40 posted on 02/19/2016 6:36:51 AM PST by Yashcheritsiy (You can't have a constitution without a country to go with it)
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