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The Donald Trump Effect: Not a politician and dominating on immigration.(CO Trump wins44%)
Magellan Strategies Survey Political Research Blog ^ | April 22, 2016

Posted on 04/22/2016 4:14:41 AM PDT by Beautiful_Gracious_Skies

In light of all the controversy surrounding the Cruz Colorado voterless win. We find that Trump would have won Colorado quite easily.

If a Republican Presidential Primary Election were to take place in Colorado, 44% of likely voters would vote for Donald Trump, 34% support Ted Cruz, 17% support John Kasich and 5% are undecided.

When asked to choose between only Ted Cruz or Donald Trump, 48% support Trump and 42% support Cruz, and 10% are undecided.

These results are interesting in light of the results at the Republican State Convention where Ted Cruz won all 34 delegates awarded.

What the results show is a potential disconnect between the more dedicated group of delegates who participated in the state convention and the far broader group of 350,000 to 400,000 Republicans who would typically vote in a primary election.

Full results here: http://magellanstrategies.com/donald-trump-effect-not-politician-dominating-on-immigration/


TOPICS:
KEYWORDS: 1fidelitocruzcastro; 1incompetenttrump; 1trumpwon; 2016denyvoters; 2016election; 2016electionfraud; 2016voterfraud; 666badcruz; caucuscrap; colorado; cruz; delegates; election2016; electionfraud; fidelcastro; fidelito; filito; immigration; johnkasich; magellan; newyork; ohio; presidentdonaldtrump; repositorycruz; tedcruz; texas; trump; trumpleadershipfail; trumpwin; whinytrumpets
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Thats why we need to allow people to vote. Shame on Colorado for orchestrating this debacle of a caucus. In 2020, CO will vote in a primary election.

Having a difficult time accessing the complete article from here, if anyone can post the rest of the article, it would be appreciated.

1 posted on 04/22/2016 4:14:41 AM PDT by Beautiful_Gracious_Skies
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To: Beautiful_Gracious_Skies
What the results show is a potential disconnect between the more dedicated group of delegates who participated in the state convention and the far broader group of 350,000 to 400,000 Republicans who would typically vote in a primary election.

Kind of like the differences between the Politburo and the Peasants.

2 posted on 04/22/2016 4:21:55 AM PDT by Gaffer
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To: Gaffer

Were you able to access the complete article? I’d love to read it.


3 posted on 04/22/2016 4:26:16 AM PDT by Beautiful_Gracious_Skies
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To: Beautiful_Gracious_Skies

I didn’t seem to have any trouble getting it loaded.


4 posted on 04/22/2016 4:27:44 AM PDT by Gaffer
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To: Beautiful_Gracious_Skies

Well, this supports what I’ve been saying all along.

The delegate pool consists of what is essentially a random sampling of all potential voters. If the population of potential voters supports 44% Trump, 34% Cruz, 17% Kasich, 5% other, and then a random sampling from that population should contain supporters roughly equal to those percentages (within statistical error). There is no way a random sampling from such a population would contain nothing but Cruz or undecided voters.

If an outcome is so far different than the statistical prediction, then something untoward happened. There is no other possibility.

The good thing is that Trump knows when to take advantage of opportunities, and he used this to good effect: witness New York!


5 posted on 04/22/2016 4:28:49 AM PDT by exDemMom (Current visual of the hole the US continues to dig itself into: http://www.usdebtclock.org/)
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To: Beautiful_Gracious_Skies

bttt


6 posted on 04/22/2016 4:28:49 AM PDT by dennisw (The strong take from the weak, but the smart take from the strong)
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To: LucyT; onyx; Jane Long; Amntn; nikos1121; NIKK

Anyone surprised ?


7 posted on 04/22/2016 4:34:36 AM PDT by hoosiermama (W1240 (a couple extra to boot) Under budget. Ahead of schedule! Go TRUMP)
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To: Beautiful_Gracious_Skies

Didn’t Trump take all of the delegates in Hawaii in the same manner? Where was the outrage?


8 posted on 04/22/2016 4:34:50 AM PDT by freeangel ( (free speech is only good until someone else doesn't like it)
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To: Beautiful_Gracious_Skies

Cruz’s campaign is about subverting democracy and disrespecting voters. Shameful - it appears there’s a lot of Latin dictator in the Ted Cruz persona.


9 posted on 04/22/2016 4:44:54 AM PDT by indcons (Lurker mode mostly)
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To: Beautiful_Gracious_Skies

I find it interesting that they never even took a poll in the state of Colorado. I think it was to set up the steal.


10 posted on 04/22/2016 4:50:26 AM PDT by castlegreyskull
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To: indcons

Ted Nixon Cruz


11 posted on 04/22/2016 4:50:48 AM PDT by scooby321
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To: exDemMom; Gaffer; hoosiermama; LucyT; onyx; Jane Long; Amntn; nikos1121; NIKK

Everyone in politics and all the voting analysts recognize a sham election.

The owners of the GreenPapers, a nonpartisan website, see the sham. On the Colorado page they show Cruz running unopposed with NO VOTE COUNT.

There are no other democrat or republican page that has ever looked like this on GP.

See the sham——>

http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P16/CO-R

Cruz, Rafael Edward “Ted 34Delegates 100.00% 34 91.89% 381.08%

NO OTHER CANDIDATES LISTED!

The entire Colorado republican voting population chose Ted.

Can someone reproduce the GP CO here for the thread, please.

This is like a Cuban election (pun intended.) Our Cubano-Candian-Texan, Fidelito, had himself a Cuban election:

Nacional Cubano el Presidente Election results:

Castro, Fidel -——100% votes
Others————— 00000000

Stat0 Colorado el Presidente Election results:

Cruz, Fidelito———100% votes
Others-—————0000000000


12 posted on 04/22/2016 4:53:26 AM PDT by Beautiful_Gracious_Skies
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To: Beautiful_Gracious_Skies

http://coloradopols.com/diary/82917/its-official-the-colorado-gop-lied-about-nevertrump-tweet#sthash.QMW9rmmE.dpbs


13 posted on 04/22/2016 4:55:08 AM PDT by orchestra ((And there were also two other, malefactors, led with him to be put to death.))
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To: exDemMom
There is no way a random sampling from such a population would contain nothing but Cruz or undecided voters.

Like Hillary and her 6 coin toss wins in a row.

14 posted on 04/22/2016 4:55:37 AM PDT by Gaffer
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To: castlegreyskull

Exactly, just like Maine. And lack of exit polling is the clue with other states where they use the ballot-box form of cheating.-—> MAINE!

That state preferred Kasich, Trump, & Christie, anyone but Cruz.


15 posted on 04/22/2016 4:56:00 AM PDT by Beautiful_Gracious_Skies
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To: hoosiermama

“There is no formal system applied in the Precinct Caucus to relate the presidential preference of the participants to the choice of the precinct’s delegates to the Colorado County Assemblies and District Conventions; (NOTE: It is the District Conventions and the State Convention that will actually elect Republican National Convention delegates to presidential contenders).”

Note: No system applied in Precinct Caucus to relate to presidential preference.

That’s why GP was unable to list vote totals, it truly was voterless voting.


16 posted on 04/22/2016 5:03:01 AM PDT by Beautiful_Gracious_Skies
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To: Beautiful_Gracious_Skies

Shame on you for trying to influence FR with this unknown “contract” poller (sort of like a contract poster)who gives no information on how the “survey” was conducted or who was the funding sponsor (who benefitted the most?).

Would you have posted results not quite so favorable to your boss?


17 posted on 04/22/2016 5:07:50 AM PDT by X-spurt (William of Ockham endorses Ted Cruz. 'the one with the fewest assumptions should be selected')
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To: Beautiful_Gracious_Skies

Primaries vs Caucuses
Elected vs Selected.

In my opinion, the GOP will have fewer primaries in the future. Those damn voters are starting to get a little uppity.

That said, am I the only one that is worried that Trump is starting to sound like a politician now? Especially with his interview on the Today Show.


18 posted on 04/22/2016 5:12:27 AM PDT by Tupelo (we vote - THEY decide.)
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To: freeangel

Freeangel, angel or devil? -You have a habit of twisting the truth and dropping lies-BS on FR. I will continue to expose you with documentation of the truth. Quit the misrepresentations.

Over 13,380 republicans voted in Hawaii. CO has at least 10 times as many registered republicans as HI, yet they couldn’t manage to get more than 6/10 of 1% to pick their delegates.

Hawaii held a real Closed Caucus.

Trump, Donald John, Sr.....5,673......42.40%......11...57.89%

Cruz, Fidelito “Ted”...........4,380.......32.74%.......7....36.84%

Rubio, Marco A..................1,761......13.16%........1.....5.26%

Kasich, John Richard..........1,414.......10.57%

Carson, Benjamin Solomon “Ben”, Sr.....128.....0.96%

Bush, John Ellis “Jeb”...............................24.....0.18%

Total Votes................... 13,380..................100.00%


19 posted on 04/22/2016 5:26:40 AM PDT by Beautiful_Gracious_Skies
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To: Beautiful_Gracious_Skies

Maybe all male voters for LGBTrump were in the ladies room smoking weed with little girls.


20 posted on 04/22/2016 5:29:55 AM PDT by strings6459
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