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2012 Contracts Now Available on Intrade -- Palin is Underpriced
Intrade ^ | December 5, 2008 | Intrade

Posted on 12/06/2008 12:26:03 AM PST by Kevmo

Intrade opened up contracts for 2012 recently. Palin is priced at $12, Jindal at $22, which suggests Palin is underpriced compared to her popularity. There is an anti-Palin/Anti-Social Conservative bias at Intrade, so that is probably dampening Palin's price.


TOPICS:
KEYWORDS: 2012election; elections; intrade; palin; palin2012
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To: jla

Sarah tops the CNN poll among those somewhat likely or very likely to vote for her (67%) to 65% for Huckabee. And she is not near the top of Intrade. As the saying goes: “This does not compute.”


61 posted on 12/06/2008 11:22:25 AM PST by techno
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To: Gondring
Yeah, the FReepers never said a thing negative about 0bama for his poor answers.....I reaffirm my point...a liberal giving a poor performance is flamed here. “

Of course. And rightfully so. The point being, Governor Palin has a heck of a lot more executive experience than Obama has ever had and it showed. Comrade Obama hasn't even run a village in his entire life, let alone the largest state in the entire country like Gov Palin has. There is a reason, US Senators are hardly ever elected to be president and governors regularly are.

The lack of flaming of Gov. Palin is not becomes of her performance, but because of who gave it”

Gov Palin wasn't flamed after her great speeches and great interviews starting just a week after her nomination, because her performances were simply great. By herself alone, she managed to garner higher ratings than Obama’s DNC speech, which then carried on to McCain's speech getting higher ratings than Obama’s speech. If you thunk McCain's speech woulda gotten higher ratings than Obama’s without gov Palin being on the ticket, I got an ice skiing slope in Florida i wanna sell ya.

The general public, though, doesn't give her a pass”

Yeah?
Is that why McCain/Palin shot ahead of Obama in both the RCP averages, and on Intertrade and everywhere else, after Gov Palin’s speeches and her interviews, and never fell behind till the financial crisis hit and McCain started acting like a headless chicken?
The “general pub;ic” as you call them, caught on to just how smart Gov Palin was from her interview, straight away and bid her poll numbers up accordingly. The only people who stated spewing out hate and foaming at the mouth after Gov Palin’s speeches and interviews were the brain dead twats at Daily Kos, panicked obamabots and his liberal media robots.

62 posted on 12/06/2008 11:35:30 AM PST by SmokingJoe
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To: org.whodat
RCP average had Chambliss up by just over 5% just before the Georgia Senate runoff elections. The real results had Chambliss winning by 14%, that is close to 10% more than the final RCP average polls. That's a heck of a big jump.
Chambliss himself said it was Gov Palin that energized the base, and gave him the extra push. All you have to do do a search on the Georgia run off elections right on this site to find that.
63 posted on 12/06/2008 11:42:00 AM PST by SmokingJoe
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To: org.whodat
To another anonymous Internet poster”

The anonymous one who is making mindless attacks on Gov Palin, is the one that should be defending those attacks, not the one calling him outon it.

64 posted on 12/06/2008 11:44:37 AM PST by SmokingJoe
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To: SmokingJoe
And how does this differ from past run offs??? It track prior one’s almost to the same percentage. The demorat’s do not get the voters out twice. Look it up if you want.
65 posted on 12/06/2008 12:08:41 PM PST by org.whodat (Conservatives don't vote for Bailouts for Super-Rich Bankers! Republicans do!)
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To: SmokingJoe
Most people think mindless is making up things and having no proof.

If you want to say so and so was the result of X and Y then be prepared to prove it.

66 posted on 12/06/2008 12:12:38 PM PST by org.whodat (Conservatives don't vote for Bailouts for Super-Rich Bankers! Republicans do!)
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To: org.whodat
And how does this differ from past run offs??? It track prior one’s almost to the same percentage. The demorat’s do not get the voters out twice. Look it up if you want. “

Democrats never get voters out twice?
Now why don't you prove that one?
This should be fun.
In the same vein, if you would check the RCP averages, you will find out that McCain never went ahead of Obama after Onama won his nomination, untill Gov Palin was nominated and gave that rousing speech at the RNC convention. Of course McCain proceeded to throw all that away with his stupid, panicky response to the financial crises. No one finished McCain off than McCain himself did.

67 posted on 12/06/2008 12:44:21 PM PST by SmokingJoe
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To: org.whodat
Most people think mindless is making up things and having no proof”

That's exactly what you just did, making things up with no proof.
I happen to know for a fact that Gov Palin reads the top newspapers and publications. as a matter of fact, she stated in one interview that she only found out about McCain withdrawing from Michigan when she read about it in the new York times. in the same interview, she said she reads the same leading publications most politicians read. So you will give us the proof( not from Daily Kos), that gov Palin "doesn't read any publicans" like you stated.

68 posted on 12/06/2008 12:52:03 PM PST by SmokingJoe
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To: SmokingJoe
University of Georgia political science professor Dr. Charles Bullock called Chambliss the favorite to win on Dec. 2 because he was the leading vote-getter on Nov. 4, he is the incumbent, and recent history in Georgia runoffs favors Republicans.

“I think Saxby’s the favorite. I think we’ve had three previous [state-wide) runoffs and in each one of those a Republican won,” Bullock said. “In the past, Republicans have done a better job of getting their voters to come back, and if you do that you typically win, and so the big challenge for the Democrats is to capitalize on what they did for the general election.”

http://www.sovo.com/2008/11-14/news/localnews/9438.cfm

69 posted on 12/06/2008 12:52:40 PM PST by org.whodat (Conservatives don't vote for Bailouts for Super-Rich Bankers! Republicans do!)
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To: SmokingJoe
You call this "great performance"...?

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KyoafptEm5c">http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KyoafptEm5c

"All of them"???

I call it embarrassing...

Give me a break...couldn't even name a few examples? She's good on generalities, but not specifics. Sen. Obama is, too, but at least knows a few specifics to cover it.

And then there's this...http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0rXmuhWrlj4 ...unable to name a Supreme Court ruling she doesn't agree with, other than Roe v Wade?

Yes, it's tough to think on one's feet, but these seem pretty simple for anyone with the knowledge and experience base of a president...and certainly not very good performance.

70 posted on 12/06/2008 1:07:12 PM PST by Gondring (Paul Revere would have been flamed as a naysayer troll and told to go back to Boston.)
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To: SmokingJoe

http://blogs.wsj.com/washwire/2008/10/01/palin-stumbles-on-question-about-what-she-reads/


71 posted on 12/06/2008 1:18:20 PM PST by org.whodat (Conservatives don't vote for Bailouts for Super-Rich Bankers! Republicans do!)
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To: Gondring
And then there's this...http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0rXmuhWrlj4 ...unable to name a Supreme Court ruling she doesn't agree with, other than Roe v Wade?”

Oh Puleeze.
Gov Palin didn't name a Supreme Court ruling she couldn't agree with apart from Roe, and so therefore she can't run for president?
On what planet is that?
I suggest you read up on the histories of past US presidents. Your are doing a rear guard action, and it's not working.

72 posted on 12/06/2008 1:24:04 PM PST by SmokingJoe
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To: org.whodat
That is your prrof?
The statment of one guy?
You are kidding right?
Where are your figures at?

FACT: RCP average had Chambliss head by just 5.3% just before the run off elections:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/senate/ga/georgia_senate_runoff-1041.html

FACT: Chambliss won by 14%, that is 9% higher than the average of all the polls said he'd win by.

FACT: Chanbliss himself admitted that it was Gov Palin that energized the base when she appeared at his campaigns, and helped get the base to come out to vote for him: http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-bloggers/2143169/posts Chambliss: 'Dynamite' Palin Turned Out the Vote (take note GOP leadership) http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2142802/posts

73 posted on 12/06/2008 1:34:46 PM PST by SmokingJoe
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To: SmokingJoe
Poor little newbie!!!
74 posted on 12/06/2008 1:39:11 PM PST by org.whodat (Conservatives don't vote for Bailouts for Super-Rich Bankers! Republicans do!)
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To: org.whodat

I am happy to accept your unconditional surrender.


75 posted on 12/06/2008 1:40:34 PM PST by SmokingJoe
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To: nathanbedford
Additionally, she should have an inventory of handy phrases for each subject [...]

While I agree with much of what you said, I think it was precisely the stock phrases that did her in, in part.

The fact that she couldn't give straightforward answers to non-stock questions also hurt.

76 posted on 12/06/2008 2:50:40 PM PST by Gondring (Paul Revere would have been flamed as a naysayer troll and told to go back to Boston.)
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To: Wonder Warthog
Jindal is simply a MUCH better qualified

They appear to be about equally experienced and attitudinally equivalent. Louisiana and Alaska have much more in common than most would recognize.

77 posted on 12/06/2008 2:54:16 PM PST by RightWhale (We were so young two years ago and the DJIA was 12,000)
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To: SmokingJoe
Don't make things up and pass them off as the truth.
78 posted on 12/06/2008 3:11:51 PM PST by org.whodat (Conservatives don't vote for Bailouts for Super-Rich Bankers! Republicans do!)
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To: RightWhale
"They appear to be about equally experienced and attitudinally equivalent."

Let's see. Jindal has been head of a major state department (Louisiana), head of a state university system, Assistant Secretary of Health and Human services (and many more highly responsible positions). Palin has NO experience equivalent. So I can't agree that they are "....about equally experienced...". The ONLY part of that statement that is correct is that they have served about the same time as state governors.

79 posted on 12/06/2008 3:23:47 PM PST by Wonder Warthog ( The Hog of Steel)
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To: SmokingJoe

You didn’t read very closely. Jindal has been 1) head of a major state department, 2) head of a state university system, 3) Assistant Secretary of Health and Human Services-—all of which are “political executive experience”. Palin has no equivalent experience. And Jindal has many other areas of service of more responsibility than Palin.


80 posted on 12/06/2008 3:27:17 PM PST by Wonder Warthog ( The Hog of Steel)
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