FACT: RCP average had Chambliss head by just 5.3% just before the run off elections:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/senate/ga/georgia_senate_runoff-1041.html
FACT: Chambliss won by 14%, that is 9% higher than the average of all the polls said he'd win by.
FACT: Chanbliss himself admitted that it was Gov Palin that energized the base when she appeared at his campaigns, and helped get the base to come out to vote for him: http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-bloggers/2143169/posts Chambliss: 'Dynamite' Palin Turned Out the Vote (take note GOP leadership) http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2142802/posts