“I think Saxby’s the favorite. I think we’ve had three previous [state-wide) runoffs and in each one of those a Republican won,” Bullock said. “In the past, Republicans have done a better job of getting their voters to come back, and if you do that you typically win, and so the big challenge for the Democrats is to capitalize on what they did for the general election.”
http://www.sovo.com/2008/11-14/news/localnews/9438.cfm
FACT: RCP average had Chambliss head by just 5.3% just before the run off elections:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/senate/ga/georgia_senate_runoff-1041.html
FACT: Chambliss won by 14%, that is 9% higher than the average of all the polls said he'd win by.
FACT: Chanbliss himself admitted that it was Gov Palin that energized the base when she appeared at his campaigns, and helped get the base to come out to vote for him: http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-bloggers/2143169/posts Chambliss: 'Dynamite' Palin Turned Out the Vote (take note GOP leadership) http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2142802/posts