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Barley Is In Trouble. Can Rice Save The Beer Industry?
Study Finds ^ | April 25, 2025 | Bernardo Guimaraes, Lawton Nalley and Scott Lafontaine (University of Arkansas)

Posted on 04/27/2025 7:26:49 PM PDT by Red Badger

In a nutshell

* Rice malt could help the brewing industry adapt to climate change, yielding twice as much extract per hectare as barley while requiring 50-67% less land

* While rice malt costs 20% more to produce than barley malt, it offers significant advantages for gluten-free brewing and can reduce costs when used as an adjunct

* As climate change threatens barley production, rice provides a more resilient alternative that’s already grown abundantly in warmer regions worldwide

******************************************************************

FAYETTEVILLE, Ark. — Beer prices might soon rise as climate change threatens barley crops, but an unexpected savior is emerging from rice paddies. New research reveals rice could revolutionize brewing by offering better climate resilience while requiring far less land.

Research published in npj Sustainable Agriculture shows rice malt produces twice as much extract per hectare as traditional barley, potentially cutting land requirements by 50-67% for the same amount of beer. This efficiency comes at a critical time when barley yields are projected to drop by 17% by 2050 due to rising temperatures.

“Climate change, import restrictions, and global conflicts are significantly impacting brewing raw material supply and costs,” the University of Arkansas researchers write. As traditional barley-growing regions become less suitable for cultivation, brewers face growing uncertainty about their most essential ingredient.

Why Rice Could Save Your Beer The brewing industry has relied on barley for centuries, but many countries already struggle with supply issues. Brazil, Mexico, and the U.S. rank among the world’s top beer producers yet must import significant quantities of barley malt. The U.S. imports about 18% of its barley malt despite being a major agricultural producer.

Rice presents a compelling solution. It thrives in warmer regions unsuitable for barley and grows abundantly worldwide, making it less vulnerable to regional climate disruptions. Arkansas alone produces 3.8 million tons of rice annually, comparable to the nation’s entire barley production.

Beers made with malted rice are seen with a vial of malted rice at the Center for Beverage Innovation, a University of Arkansas System facility, during a 2024 study that identified several long grain rice varieties with unique brewing qualities. An agricultural economics study exploring the cost feasibility of malted rice showed brewing with malted rice instead of milled rice can lower brewery production costs by up to 12 percent. (Credit: U of A System Division of Agriculture)

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The Economics of Rice Malt

The research team conducted extensive computer simulations to estimate the economic impacts of using rice for malting. Their analysis examined everything from raw material costs to land requirements.

Converting rice into malt isn’t new, but this study is the first to thoroughly analyze its economic viability compared to barley. While the process costs about 20% more primarily due to longer malting times, these disadvantages are offset by rice’s superior land efficiency and climate resilience.

For brewers, using rice malt as a supplemental starch source alongside traditional barley could reduce production costs by 2-12%. This differs from current methods of using milled rice, which require additional processing steps and external enzymes to prepare the starch for brewing.

Rice malt contains enough natural enzymes to convert its starches to sugars and provides adequate free amino nitrogen for fermentation. It also comes with its own hull, which protects against oxidation and helps filtration during brewing.

When comparing costs, barley remains cheaper, producing beer for about $162 per 10 hectoliters compared to rice malt’s $215-250. However, this 33% premium might be worthwhile for gluten-free beer consumers, who typically pay much more for alternative products.

Sustainability Benefits and Future Potential In a world where farmland is increasingly scarce, rice’s ability to produce twice as much extract per hectare represents a major sustainability advantage. Supplying the entire U.S. brewing industry with rice malt would require just 66% of the current long grain rice acreage, compared to the much larger area needed for barley.

Looking ahead, rice varieties could be specifically bred for malting, potentially improving extract yields and enhancing economic viability. Just as barley has been selectively bred for brewing traits, rice could undergo comparable optimization.

For countries already importing large quantities of barley malt, developing domestic rice malting capabilities could provide economic protection against trade disruptions, currency fluctuations, and climate-related supply issues. This local production could also cut transportation emissions, supporting breweries’ sustainability goals.

As barley becomes less dependable and land resources more limited, rice’s efficiency and resilience position it as not just an alternative, but potentially a superior option for future brewing.

Paper Summary

Methodology

The researchers conducted Monte Carlo simulations to assess the economic viability and agricultural efficiency of using rice as a malting grain compared to barley. They collected publicly available data on yield, harvested area, production, and prices for barley and rice varieties between 2013 and 2023 from the USDA. The study evaluated malting costs for a facility in Jonesboro, Arkansas, assuming a 4-ton batch capacity malt house. The team calculated malt production costs, extract yields, brewing costs for both 100% malt beers and beers using 40% adjuncts, and compared land usage requirements between rice and barley. They examined different rice varieties including long grain, medium grain, pureline, and hybrid types, analyzing their performance against traditional malting barley.

Results

The study found that rice malt production costs were approximately 20% higher than barley malt ($626 vs. $515 per ton), primarily due to longer malting times reducing annual throughput. While rice malt beer costs about 33% more to produce than barley beer ($215 vs. $162 per 10 hectoliters), rice offers significant land efficiency advantages. Rice yielded 1.9-2.8 times more extract per hectare than barley, potentially reducing land requirements by 50-67% for the same amount of beer. When used as an adjunct (40% of the grain bill), rice malt could lower production costs by 2-12% compared to using milled rice, mainly by eliminating the need for additional enzymes and processing steps. The researchers also identified specific rice varieties with superior malting qualities that could be targeted for breeding programs.

Limitations

The study acknowledged several limitations. The simulations were based on a craft-level malt house in the United States using local prices, so results may vary by location, facility size, and malting system. The malting procedures for rice are still being optimized, and improvements could potentially reduce costs and increase efficiency. The research didn’t include a full life cycle analysis of the environmental impacts, noting that rice cultivation typically has a higher global warming potential than barley due to methane emissions from flooded fields, though alternative farming practices could mitigate this concern.

Funding and Disclosures

This research was supported by the Foundational Knowledge of Plant Products program, project award no. 13960138, from the U.S. Department of Agriculture’s National Institute of Food and Agriculture. The authors declared no competing interests.

Publication Information

The paper, “Evaluating the costs of alternative malting grains for market adaptation: a case study on rice malt production in the U.S,” was authored by Bernardo P. Guimaraes, Lawton L. Nalley, and Scott R. Lafontaine from the University of Arkansas, and published in npj Sustainable Agriculture (2025) 3:19. DOI:

https://doi.org/10.1038/s44264-025-00060-6


TOPICS: Agriculture; Business/Economy; Food; Health/Medicine
KEYWORDS: agriculture; beer; carbonpropaganda; ccp; china; climatehoax; ecoterrorism; ecoterrorists; fakescience; globalwarminghoax; greennewdeal; rice; ricebeer; zymurgy
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To: rellic

try yuengling

they have a dark


41 posted on 04/27/2025 10:13:24 PM PDT by joshua c
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To: FamiliarFace

Meat makes a complete protein.


42 posted on 04/27/2025 10:30:01 PM PDT by webheart (Why not write out because instead of saying b/c and with instead of w/ ?)
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To: FamiliarFace

Try Sake?....................


43 posted on 04/27/2025 11:26:33 PM PDT by Red Badger (Homeless veterans camp in the streets while illegals are put up in 5 Star hotels....................)
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To: Red Badger

I love beef barley soup, but can’t find barley in any of the local grocery stores.

As for rice, nothing beats the flavor of short grain brown rice. Nice nutty flavor.


44 posted on 04/27/2025 11:33:21 PM PDT by WASCWatch ( WASC)
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To: Red Badger

I only made it to 12 words before I stopped reading (climate change).


45 posted on 04/27/2025 11:41:16 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican
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To: 31R1O

Of course it was the Israelis who perfected drip irrigation and with rice too. This is one of several companies marketing Israeli tech. 70% less water use on par with or less than corn per unit of starch. Rice is a C3 plant so it is already less efficient than C4 corn in photosynthesis.

https://www.netafim.com/en/crop-knowledge/rice/


46 posted on 04/27/2025 11:43:55 PM PDT by GenXPolymath
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To: rellic

Fair.

The local golf course has the regular on tap in the clubhouse, only $4 a pint! Love being able to hand them a five-spot and that’s done with tip. I’ll stop by after checking my mail on the Vespa (central mailboxes here).


47 posted on 04/28/2025 2:23:25 AM PDT by FreedomPoster (Islam delenda est)
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To: webheart

Yes, but I have a few members of the family and several friends who are vegetarian for whatever reason (not vegan). I have learned to make an all veggie chili, so the beans and rice combo gives the complete protein that it lacks otherwise. It’s actually very good, and the meat eaters don’t realize there isn’t meat in it.


48 posted on 04/28/2025 3:56:03 AM PDT by FamiliarFace (I got my own way of livin' But everything gets done With a southern accent Where I come from. TPetty)
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To: Red Badger

She probably has sake sometimes.

Me? I drink rum or bourbon. Very rarely beer, but hubby loves it.


49 posted on 04/28/2025 3:59:23 AM PDT by FamiliarFace (I got my own way of livin' But everything gets done With a southern accent Where I come from. TPetty)
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To: Red Badger
The name of the actual article, not the linked story, is:

Evaluating the costs of alternative malting grains for market adaptation: a case study on rice malt production in the U.S

To which I would propose this subtitle:

Climate change as an alibi for brewer's economic decision to produce rice and corn based swill.

50 posted on 04/28/2025 4:03:16 AM PDT by Pilsner
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To: Red Badger

Growing Barley: a guide for beginners (GrowerExperts.com)

“Barley can be grown in spring and winter, depending on the variety and the region. Spring barley is typically sown in the early spring, while winter barley is sown in the fall and harvested in the following summer”.

I’m sure the beer experts in our soon to be 51st state, Canada, will be more than happy to take over the shortage and produce significantly more barley than the Carolinas and Arkansas ever dreamed of producing. They can stick to cotton.


51 posted on 04/28/2025 4:24:59 AM PDT by norwaypinesavage (Freud: projection is a defense mechanism of those struggling with inferiority complexes)
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To: packagingguy

Yep and that’s why it taste like shxt.


52 posted on 04/28/2025 4:59:40 AM PDT by maddog55 (The only thing systemic in America is the left's hatred of it!)
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To: maddog55

“As climate change threatens barley production,”
If climate change leads to reduced barley production, and since “climate change” has been happening since Al Gore invented it in 1989, why is there still any barley at all?


53 posted on 04/28/2025 5:14:10 AM PDT by brookwood (51 Intelligence Agents Say Global Warming Is An Existential Crisis)
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To: Red Badger
Simply state 'climate change threatens' to justify cutting production of your product in order to force a rise in prices. It's scamarific!

Yeah. I'm a cynic.

54 posted on 04/28/2025 5:42:54 AM PDT by Bloody Sam Roberts (Perfection is impossible. But if you pursue perfection...you may achieve excellence.)
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To: rellic

My one and only is Dogfish Head 90 Minute IPA. Good bitter and strong. Once in a while...Voodoo Ranger IPA when Dogfish Head 90 is out of stock. I’ve never had a Budweiser. Ever.


55 posted on 04/28/2025 5:49:49 AM PDT by Bloody Sam Roberts (Perfection is impossible. But if you pursue perfection...you may achieve excellence.)
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To: FamiliarFace

Celiac? Can she have wheat prodects?


56 posted on 04/28/2025 5:50:43 AM PDT by Bloody Sam Roberts (Perfection is impossible. But if you pursue perfection...you may achieve excellence.)
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To: Bloody Sam Roberts

Remember to give thanks to Big Brother for having our best interests at heart!...............


57 posted on 04/28/2025 5:53:26 AM PDT by Red Badger (Homeless veterans camp in the streets while illegals are put up in 5 Star hotels....................)
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To: Bloody Sam Roberts

Not celiac, thank goodness. What she has is called eosinophilic esophagitis. She had reflux and heartburn in college, once she started having beer. My nephew has it, too. Both were diagnosed in their mid 20’s. My daughter is also very allergic to shellfish and has asthma. It’s all related somehow.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eosinophilic_esophagitis


58 posted on 04/28/2025 6:49:08 AM PDT by FamiliarFace (I got my own way of livin' But everything gets done With a southern accent Where I come from. TPetty)
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To: Netz

So true! Budweiser is an alcholic “Malt Beverage”.


59 posted on 04/28/2025 8:36:47 PM PDT by Pete from Shawnee Mission
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