Posted on 03/02/2020 2:22:09 PM PST by topher
Hubei Province, China (where the city of Wuhan is) has 2803 deaths with 67,103 confirmed cases.
That is about 42 deaths per 1000 cases of COV-19 virus. So Iran has the highest death rate...
However, Iran has 66 deaths with only 1501 cases. This is about 44 deaths per 1000 REPORTED cases.
Italy only has 52 deaths with 2036 reported cases. This is about 26 deaths per 1000 cases.
There may be more cases in the Seattle area than have been reported. There are 6 deaths there, but only 18 reported cases. 5 deaths in King County and 1 death in Snohomish County. 14 reported cases in King County and 4 cases in Snohomish County.
There may be more cases in the Seattle area than reported. Too few cases for 'statistical analysis' - my opinion. People getting the disease with severe underlying health problems may explain this...
I wonder if every country...tracked deaths by the flu..would it be any different?
Smokers can cause problems for health professionals to try to save their lives. Smokers can get very sick from COV-19.
China has some very heavy smokers - 1.5 trillion cigarettes consumed per year.
Come on Iran don’t let Italy show you up.
I know that every government on earth doesn't institute mass quarantines and extreme case tracking for the flu like every country in the world is doing right now for this virus.
VERY VERY IMPORTANT!
THIS week’s deaths, correlate to LAST weeks case number.
This is because there is an average of a week between diagnosis and death.
So don’t do a figure of 1,000 / 10 = 1%
It’s actually LAST WEEK’s 100 cases / THIS WEEK’S 10 deaths.
Absolutely Iran, get off your asses and get busy. Seek direct guidance from your leaders. Breathe on them. Oh, and thanks.
Still putting together meaningless numbers.
What you are showing is not low lethality, but rather fast spread.
66 dead, 291 recovered, 1144 still sick and unresolved.
Your argument that there are undoubtedly a large number of unknown sick is valid. The rest is trash.
Dividing dead by infected during the rapid spread of the disease isn’t meaningful.
As example, using that method:
If you were to replace “Coronavirus” with “Ricin”, and inject 100 people with a dose which would kill 100% in a week, then every day double the number of people you give the injection, using your method, after one week you would have a fatality/injection ratio of 0.78% (100/12,700), for a 100% fatal toxin. Obviously, that is a ridiculous methodology.
I wouldn’t think that nanny state Seattle would have that many smokers.
Apple co founder thinks he may have been patient 0. I doubt it. Here before him
the Herb, Man, the Herb!
I think that Iran is concerning.
Washington State has 330 deaths per 1,000 cases.
China looking at vitamin c to help deal with this
People who voted for Bush are concerning to me. I warned them about globalization.
On the other hand, this week’s case number includes a lot of people that had it last week, but were not yet tested; so far, cases are largely people who start showing symptoms AND think they were in the risk group, so they get tested.
Until we start doing random testing, or much more extensive testing, you won’t know. You just know that they tested a non-random group of people, which could be biased strongly toward the people more likely to get sick and die.
on the other hand, the corona virus is a lot more risky than going to the January 20th gun rally in Richmond. So there’s that.
Some good can come of this if people realize that we have borders for a reason.
Also putting all of your economic eggs into the China Basket is a bad idea.
And the deaths in the USA were mostly residents in nursing homes, people on life support with conditions before hand and weak. Shouid be glad that they can finally go over the hill, down innto the valley with a good cough.
Iran’s ignorance of COVID-19 is going to get a lot of people seriously ill there.
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