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Can Trump [no] or Cruz [yes] Beat Clinton? The Data Explained
Newsweek ^ | 3/8/16 | Mark Payton and Ole J. Forsberg

Posted on 03/08/2016 10:49:26 AM PST by ConservingFreedom

[...]

Matchup
Republican wins
Democratic wins
Margin of error
Cruz vs. Clinton 50.6 49.4 1.4
[...]
Trump vs. Clinton 46.9 53.1 1.1

[...]

According to our multilevel model, the expected number of electoral votes won by Cruz against Clinton is only 256. [...] According to the model, the expected number of electoral votes won by Trump against Clinton is 236, which is 34 fewer than the 270 needed to win the election. [...]

(Excerpt) Read more at newsweek.com ...


TOPICS: Cheese, Moose, Sister
KEYWORDS: fingersinears; leftist; moosebitnoob; newsweak; propaganda; shootthemessenger; trash
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1 posted on 03/08/2016 10:49:26 AM PST by ConservingFreedom
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To: ConservingFreedom

There’s some real world stuff that will happen between now and November. The Wicked Witch will melt in that time.


2 posted on 03/08/2016 10:50:53 AM PST by grania
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To: ConservingFreedom

If polls 8 months into the future are so reliable, show me the ones from last July that have Trump and Cruz winning the states they have won so far.


3 posted on 03/08/2016 10:52:28 AM PST by jospehm20
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To: ConservingFreedom

Newsweak is still in business?


4 posted on 03/08/2016 10:52:41 AM PST by Donglalinger
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To: ConservingFreedom

Newsweak is still around?


5 posted on 03/08/2016 10:52:45 AM PST by Rodm
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To: ConservingFreedom

Isn’t newsweek linked to the daily beast - the website owned by the Clinton crime family?


6 posted on 03/08/2016 10:53:13 AM PST by Prolixus (Proud to be on Hillary's "Enemies List")
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To: ConservingFreedom

Newsweak is still around?


7 posted on 03/08/2016 10:53:17 AM PST by Rodm
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To: ConservingFreedom

Whatever Newsweak says, the opposite is the truth.


8 posted on 03/08/2016 10:53:23 AM PST by E. Pluribus Unum ("If voting made any difference they wouldn't let us do it." --Samuel Clemens)
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To: ConservingFreedom

Your enemies hate him.

Your enemies are silent on his main competitor.

1 + 1 = 2

...reasons to vote for Donald Trump.


9 posted on 03/08/2016 10:53:26 AM PST by DoughtyOne (Facing Trump nomination inevitability, folks are now openly trying to help Hillary destroy him.)
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To: ConservingFreedom

Newsweak is still in business?


10 posted on 03/08/2016 10:53:32 AM PST by stocksthatgoup (GOPe/MSM - "When we want your opinion, we will give it to you.")
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To: grania
Its a an electoral College winner

Florida Clinton v Cruz = Clinton

North Carolina Clinton v Cruz = Clinton

What Purple States does Cruz Win?

11 posted on 03/08/2016 10:53:44 AM PST by scooby321
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To: Hojczyk; kristinn

Trump Crushing GOP Field – Beating Hillary Clinton in New Florida Poll
Gateway Pundit ^ | March 8,2016 | Kristinn Taylor
Posted on 3/8/2016, 8:51:26 AM by Hojczyk

Leading Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump has a commanding lead over his GOP rivals in a new Florida Decides poll by Central Florida cable outlets News 13 and News 9. Both channels are owned by Brighthouse.

Trump has 42% support of who those are likely to or have already voted early in person or by absentee ballot for the Sunshine state’s March 15 presidential primary.

Florida native Marco Rubio trails with 22% followed by Ted Cruz with 17%, John Kascih with 10%, and ‘other’ at 3%.

A further indicator of trouble for Rubio in the poll is the ‘undecided’ vote is only 5%.

Trump is also the only candidate of the top three Republicans to beat leading Democratic Party presidential candidate Hillary Clinton, 45% to 44%. However, all three head-to-head results were within the poll’s 2.3% margin of error.

The survey of Florida likely and actual Republican presidential primary voters had 937 participants with a margin of error of 3.3% and was conducted by SurveyUSA from March 4 though March 6.

Clinton is routing Bernie Sanders in the Democratic presidential primary in Florida according to the poll, 61% to 30%.

Trump’s lead among GOP voters is commanding across all demographic groups in the poll. He has between 40% and 44% support among men and women and all age groups.

Trump also dominates across the board in education and income groups: High school 52%, some college 41%, 4 year college 41%; less than $40K 48%, $40K to $80K 44% and over $80K 39%.

A Monmouth University poll released Monday showed Trump with only an eight point lead over Rubio, however that poll was taken of 403 likely voters and had a margin of error of 4.9%

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3406633/posts


12 posted on 03/08/2016 10:54:12 AM PST by Grampa Dave (Become a monthly donor to Free Republic and eliminate Freepathons!)
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To: ConservingFreedom

More BS from the Establishment. Rather like the Hockey Stick argument for Global Warming....that now has become Climate Change! BSBSBSBSBSBSBSBSBSBSBSBSBSBSBSBSBS.....................


13 posted on 03/08/2016 10:54:30 AM PST by Mollypitcher1 (I have not yet begun to fight....John Paul Jones)
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To: grania
There’s some real world stuff that will happen between now and November.

Will it change Cruz' current general-election advantage relative to Trump?

14 posted on 03/08/2016 10:54:45 AM PST by ConservingFreedom (Trump fans:'he's no more conservative than Mitt'-www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-bloggers/3389209/posts)
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To: Rodm

Internet site only.
#4500 worldwide


15 posted on 03/08/2016 10:55:00 AM PST by nascarnation (RIP Scalia. Godspeed)
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To: jospehm20

Your request is too logical and sane.


16 posted on 03/08/2016 10:55:09 AM PST by rineaux
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To: ConservingFreedom

What Trump is going to do to Hitlery will go down as the greatest expose of corruption in politics in US history, and not just her, but both parties as well. He’s doing it already! Without even trying he exposed the GOP-E for exactly what they are when they wheeled Mutt RINOmney out.


17 posted on 03/08/2016 10:55:27 AM PST by GrandJediMasterYoda (Can we please kill the guy already who invented the saying "My bad"?)
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To: ConservingFreedom

I don’t believe it a bit. You don’t win the south in the primaries means you are cooked.


18 posted on 03/08/2016 10:55:58 AM PST by napscoordinator (Trump/Hunter, jr for President/Vice President 2016)
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To: ConservingFreedom

A model at a time when the concentration of both Trump & Cruz is on an internal Republican fight, with little actual concentration on the fall campaign, is not of very likely significance. It is meaningless as a tool for analysis, until the more important variables come into play—that is those which relate to time & context in seven+ months. (And who even knows whom the Democratic candidate will actually be. Hillary, believe it or not, has a growing, festering problem.)


19 posted on 03/08/2016 10:56:15 AM PST by Ohioan
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To: Marcus

Hillary Clinton promises to regulate fracking out of existence
Blasting News ^ | March 8, 2016 | Mark R. Whittington
Posted on 3/8/2016, 10:44:51 AM by Marcus

Hillary Clinton’s promise to regulating hydraulic fracking out of existence during the recent presidential debate in Flint, Michigan would be alarming if anyone took it seriously. However, according to Fortune Magazine, neither the energy companies and energy independence advocates nor environmentalists believe her.

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-bloggers/3406681/posts


20 posted on 03/08/2016 10:56:48 AM PST by Grampa Dave (Become a monthly donor to Free Republic and eliminate Freepathons!)
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