Posted on 01/01/2023 6:02:12 AM PST by Godzilla
Threats surround us on a daily basis. Being able to recognize them and react are essential. This is ongoing commentary of those threats
Globalism / Great Reset –
More COP28 snippets -
Though massive contributors of carbon dioxide, China and India demand to be exempted from any cuts in their coal plants and in stead actually want to be recipients of funding from the multi trillion dollar “loss and damage fund”
Instead of being forced to contribute to the fund, China and India, argue their high levels of emissions are a recent development when compared to the historic emissions of developed countries like the US and the UK.
OBSERVATION - This stance not to reduce has been the cornerstone of China and India for a considerable time now, and doesn’t look to change any time soon. Both China and India are facing serious economic issues and to suddenly shift their economy from reliable coal power to unreliable solar/wind would be devastating - as the US and the rest of the world is just starting to find out. This makes the COP another joke.
***
New Prime Minister of Slovakia Rejects Signing the WHO Pandemic Treaty.
Prime Minister Robert Fico calls the WHO Pandemic Treaty “nonsense invented by greedy pharma companies.”
He also said, “One study after another confirms the scandalous consequences of mass vaccination with untested experimental vaccines.”
OBSERVATION - This is another of the countries that has woken up to the threat posed by the WHO treaty. As the number grows, implementation of the ‘treaty’s’ enforcement clauses become more difficult. However, with the big countries and the EU supporting it, Slovakia may be forced to capitulate to a degree as the treaty modification will not be made to allow any dissent.
Economy –
Continued mixed signals from economic forecasters of major investment firms. Most note that the economy is in uncharted waters, still suffering aftershocks from the wuhan shut down, inflation and the record rate hikes by the fed. The tea leaves in some instances bring hope, but only if govt doesn’t screw things up further.
CW2 / Domestic violence - Heightened THREAT
Antisemitic mobs of pro-Palestinian protesters are increasingly seeking out and targeting Jewish owned/operated businesses in the US (concentrated in major cities) for protests and vandalism. They are often very threatening for follow on violence against the business owners as well as customers. So far law enforcement has taken very little action against these threats.
IN RELATED -
“The resurgence of public protests in support of Hamas has revealed a disturbing truth: the left-wing rioting following George Floyd’s death in 2020 was not an anomaly, but a tactic that activists can repurpose for any cause. Whether by coincidence or design, these recent outbursts could be a dress rehearsal for possible violence during next year’s election campaign.”
“Progressives are restless and ready. Left-wing activists have established a constellation of institutions to support public demonstrations. Protest NGOs, media entities, research centers, black-bloc (Antifa) networks, and bail funds are all finely tuned to mobilize mass movements. The Left carefully manages its licit and illicit factions: progressive political leaders tacitly delegate the dirty work to anarchist and racialist factions, which can change costumes—for example, from a BLM mask to a Palestinian keffiyeh—at any moment.”
https://www.city-journal.org/article/will-it-be-riot-season-again-in-2024
OBSERVATION - I’ve noted that the violent left has finally found its cause in the pro-hamas protest efforts. As the article accurately notes and has been reported during the 2020 riots, Antifa et al has developed a detailed operation to support its protests, and that has already been seen with the recent pro-hamas events.
One aspect that is different this year are the threats of violence directed towards the Democrat Nat’l convention in Chicago next year. I remember the last time riots were directed against the dem’s there - very ugly.
Overall, the level of violence could easily exceed that of the 2020 riots. The conditions are ripe for a perfect storm scenario.
***
Doomsday “prepping” is seeping into the mainstream as Americans of all ages and political persuasions are becoming increasingly worried ahead of the 2024 presidential election about the prospect of a civil war.
Hoarding food, water and weapons was once associated with libertarian extremists, but as a rematch between President Biden and his predecessor, former President Donald Trump, seems all but inevitable in 2024, prepping has become a bipartisan activity, according to a Monday USA Today report.
OBSERVATION - This trend really hit when the wuhan plandemic hit. Watching the events unroll in the people’s republic of kalifornia - seeing with well to do ‘bug out’ as well as watching the grocery rush (yes, I just went to the stores in part just to see how people were reacting) was educational. On its heels, the massive BLM/Antifa rioting leading up to the election drove many, both on the right and left, to arm up as well.
This year with the potential pro-hamas rooted riot potential combined with a ‘white lung syndrome’ epidemic with some calling for wuhan like lockdown/shut down, 2024 may be the worst year our generation has experienced ever.
However, the prepping is just another gauge of public sentiment in regards to a potential civil war and massive political and ethnic uprisings.
Wuhan and other “new” Plandemics – HEIGHTENED ALERT STATUS
The recent findings of DNA fragments in the Pfizer and Moderna Covid-19 vaccines has led many to question why the FDA, which is responsible for monitoring the quality and safety of the vaccines, has failed to sound the alarm.
For years, the FDA has known about the risk posed by residual DNA in vaccines. Its own guidance to industry states:
“Residual DNA might be a risk to your final product because of oncogenic and/or infectivity potential. There are several potential mechanisms by which residual DNA could be oncogenic, including the integration and expression of encoded oncogenes or insertional mutagenesis following DNA integration.”
Put simply, the FDA acknowledges the possibility that fragments of DNA left over by the manufacturing process can be incorporated into a patient’s own DNA, to potentially cause cancer.
With all the new info coming out on the DNA contamination in the mRNA jabs, the FDA has essentially shut down further outside inquires.
https://brownstone.org/articles/fda-shuts-down-enquiries-about-dna-contamination-in-covid-vaccines/
OBSERVATION - This silence is not to last long as FOIA demands and lawsuits will breach the FDA’s defenses. At the very least, the FDA’s allowance of Pfizer to go forward is a serious lapse of regulatory practice. At the very worst, it is conspiracy to place a deadly concoction on the market where the jabs were mandated on sections of the population.
POLITICAL FRONT –
A big driver of division has been seen in the democrat party is between pro and anti Israel factions (a driver for the potential of a ‘hot’ violence scenario this next year). There has been a similar split developing on the republican side as well, now being seen by a rise in the ‘both sides are wrong’ argument. Some of this split is derived from the ‘America First’ elements that want to withdraw from nearly all of the US’s foreign commitments and policies. Republican stance (and according to polls, independents) continues to be strongly supportive of Israel - far more than democrats. This broader support maybe what is preventing a more vitriol split in the republicans as currently demonstrated by democrats.
Going into 2024, this pro/anti split is so far hurting the democrats in that there are large elements of the anti-Israel/pro-Hamas faction threatening to sit out the election and not vote democrat unless support for Israel is stopped.
Biden / Harris Watch –
President Biden received a recurring payment of $1,380 from his son Hunter’s law firm beginning in late 2018 shortly after a bank money laundering officer warned that the same account was receiving millions of dollars in Chinese government-linked funds without “any services rendered.”
OBSERVATION - The evidence continues to pile up and the lack of cover up by the MSM seems to be more evidence of a movement to get biden to fade away from the 2024 election and permit a fresher face without the criminal luggage.
Regardless, biden will not face indictment or impeachment - the deep state wagons are being drawn tightly around him and hunter. Too much damage will hit the democrats in the 2024 election cycle if any serous prosecution - beside house hearings -occurs
Cyber attacks/warfare – HEIGHTENED ALERT
According to a Government Accountability Office (GAO) report released yesterday, 20 out of 23 federal agencies failed to meet cyber incident tracking requirements required by law, and 17 of those agencies were not tracking cyber incidents at all.
OBSERVATION - incompetent or deliberate, our national computer networks are increasingly become more vulnerable.
Illegal Immigration –
The numbers of illegals coming from China has spiked by a couple orders of magnitude this year. Most are military aged males, well equipped when captured and highly disciplined.
OBSERVATION - Continued big red flags on this one.
China –
The Chinese military said that an American naval ship had ‘illegally intruded’ on Monday into waters near the Second Thomas Shoal, the site of a hot territorial dispute between China and the Philippines in the South China Sea.
A Chinese naval force was mobilized to track the USS Gabrielle Giffords during the operation, according to a statement from the People’s Liberation Army Southern Theater.
The U.S. Navy’s 7th Fleet said the ship ‘was conducting routine operations in international waters ... consistent with international law.’
North/South Korea –
NK’s more belligerent posture and actions are increasing concerns of a renewal of combat in the peninsula - not just if but when.
Kim’s sister slammed the US by saying NK is not afraid of a nation that cannot tell a woman from a man.
Japan –
Japan is in the process of building 24 new FFM (missile frigates – to be called the Mogami class). These are being procured in two batches of twelve each. Japan presently has only ten frigates.
OBSERVATION - Details about these new frigates show the japanese giving a lot of thought into the design and mult-roles for these vessels. They are to be very flexible and lethal.
Russia -
WAR WATCH - into the second year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022
CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Updated Nov 12, 2023
Russia is struggling to gain the initiative on several fronts in easter Ukraine. Attacks to take Adviivka, located near occupied Donetsk has been their priority as well as further north. However, it is on a defensive footing across most of Ukraine.
The Russian army has lost a considerable amount of armor/tanks and personnel in the fight to take Adviivka, causing that offensive to stall considerably and resort to “meat” attacks.
With the arrival of the muddy season, significant offensive actions by Russia are unlikely.
Ukrainian action has forced Russia to move forces laterally to meet the Ukraine advance - thinning critical portions of the line and making them vulnerable to assault.
Russia’s strategic ballistic and cruise missiles continue to show evidence of massively reduced inventories. With the onset of winter, it is believed that Russian is shepherding its stockpile of missiles/drones for an effort to take down the Ukraine power grid as it did last year. This task has become increasingly difficult as Ukraine adds air defense systems and gets better coverage.
The Russian Black Sea fleet is is essentially impotent and hesitant to deploy into now contested waters. Ukraine’s recent attacks on ships in Crimean harbors has forced the majority of the fleet to redeploying out of Crimea and to Russian bases, about 600 Km further away from the front lines.
Russian leadership reportedly planning for a long duration conflict, hoping to wear the Ukraine army down and cause European allies to tire of their support - forcing some sort of cease fire and negotiated peace.
*****
Armenian officials have declined to attend this month’s Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO) meeting in Moscow. The CSTO is Russia’s central Asian equivalent of NATO. Armenian was stung this year because Russia and the CSTO did not intervene in their border war with Azerbaijan. Armenian officials have also floated the idea of leaving the CSTO. Armenia is not the only member of CSTO to run contra to Moscow - Kazakhstan too has had a falling out with them as well.
Kerch Bridge update –
Unconfirmed reports of Ukrainian drone attacks against the Kerch Bridge. Locals report considerable ADA activity. Unknown if there is any damage.
Economic Impact –
Loss of manpower in the war continues to affect Russian industry efforts to sustain the war effort as workers are being drained while at the same time production demands are rising.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temps in the 20-30 degree range with mostly cloudy conditions and more snow towards the end of the forecast period.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Unconfirmed reports that drones are attacking the Kersch Bridge. Reports of a lot of russian ADA activity.
Ukrainian air defense shot down 10 of 17 Shahed drones overnight.
Russian forces gained ground on the northern flank of the Adviivka salient.
Russian Ministry of Defense says 22 drones were shot down and 13 intercepted over Azov Sea and occupied Crimea. However, drones reportedly attacked oil base in Feodosiya and the Dzhankoy district, both in occupied Crimea overnight
An oil depot in occupied Luhansk was hit by Ukrainian drones last night.
Outlook —-
Weather and mud conditions are dictating operations. Most significant action continues to be the Adviivka area.
ISRAEL –
Key overnight developments -
- Ground operations is S Gaza continue to expand.
- IDF increasing pressures on remaining Hamas strongholds in the north.
GENERAL ——————————-
Unicef says there are “no safe zones” anywhere in Gaza, while the World Health Organization warns the situation gets “worse by the hour”
NOTE - These UN based and supported organization have received a lot of negative attention with the continued discovery of Hamas equipment of war being associated with their facilities or being aided by these personnel.
***
Dr. Renana Eitan , one of the physicians treating the freed hostages, states that survivors are suffering from an unprecedented level of “extremely severe psychological abuse” endured during captivity.
“I can tell you that on behalf of all the medical and psychological teams treating those who return, the mental states we encountered have no precedent in medical literature. We feel that we have to rewrite the textbooks of post-trauma,” Dr. Renana Eitan told “Sunday Night in America.”
“Those held captive were subject to starvation, to beating, to sexual abuse. They were being held in inhumane sanitary conditions. Extremely severe psychological abuse was inflicted on them, including separation from family members, separation of siblings, separation of children from their mothers. They were held in solitary confinement and spent long days in total darkness until they developed severe hallucinations,” Eitan claimed. “Children were forced to watch brutal videos. They were under constant threats by weapons and threats to harm them even after they were released. They refer to the forced use of psychiatric drugs and other substances.”
https://harbingersdaily.com/israel-at-war-week-9/
RELATED - Sources in Israel and D.C. are saying that Hamas refused to release the remaining women and girls to Israel in the last tranche because Hamas did not want the world to find out what had happened to these women while in Palestinian captivity. Had the world heard and/or seen the truth it would have been as shocking as October 7th itself.
OBSERVATION - This treatment is consistent with similar treatment of hostages in the past.
GAZA FRONT ———————————-
In N Gaza, the Israelis move to complete their encirclement of Jabaliya and also begin to encircle Shajaiya.
In S Gaza, reports of intense fighting between Hamas and IDF as Israeli forces push towards Khan Yunis. The Israeli push has cut off the central N-S refugee evacuation route, Israel has been broadcasting to Gazans to use the costal escape route . Reports suggest that the IAF airstrikes in S Gaza and in particularly around Khan Yunis were as intense as any seen in N Gaza overnight.
Hamas and affiliated managed to get several rocket launches off overnight, but as before, with fewer rockets and longer interval between barrages.
***
Israel is reportedly setting up large pumps on the coast that could be used to flood tunnels used by Hamas and other armed groups in Gaza and drive out fighters, according to a Wall Street Journal article.
In 2015, Egypt used seawater from the nearby Mediterranean to flood a network of hundreds of tunnels along its border with Gaza and end a flourishing smuggling trade.
The salt water would destroy electrical and other infrastructure as well as weaken the support walls, causing tunnel collapses.
Prior to the war, Hamas claimed that its tunnel network stretched 500km (310 miles).
***
Palestinian sources have leaked a video of high- ranking Hamas figures fleeing their stronghold in Khan Younis arriving at a Gazan Hospital while their security is seen shouting to the crowd not to film the event. One person identified was Senior Hamas leader, Nizar Awadallah, was caught on video arriving at a hospital severely wounded.
It has been rumored he later died from his wounds but that is still pending confirmation.
***
Situation map at the link below was made by Warmapper.org . It depicts the initial stages of the IDF ground attack into S Gaza as well as operations in the north.
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GAiNnU9WAAAJBhF?format=jpg&name=4096x4096
LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
Continued harassing fire from Hezbollah positions in Lebanon with Israeli counter fire from artillery and air strikes.
The Israeli army says a “hostile” drone that entered Israeli airspace from Lebanon crashed near the northern community of Margaliot earlier today. It says sappers are examining the device
WEST BANK——————————-
Israeli security forces continue to operate to capture Hamas and affiliated terrorists.
“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————
CENTCOM: At approximately 2:15 p.m. on Dec. 3, 15 122mm rockets originating in Iraq were fired at the U.S. base Rumalyn Landing Zone in Syria. There were no injuries to personnel or damage to equipment.Combined Joint Task Force – Operation Inherent Resolve located the point of origin with uncrewed ISR assets and passed the location to Iraqi Security Forces who moved to and investigated the site. A fuel truck modified to launch up to 20 rockets was located at the site
***
U.S. National Security Advisor, Jake Sullivan stated today that the United States is currently attempting to Build a Maritime Task Force of Partner Nations to provide Protection to Commercial Shipping in the Red Sea and the Bab al-Mandab Strait, as a result of recent Attacks by the Houthi Terrorist Organization in Yemen.
***
Calm now in the Yemeni Capital of Sanaa following what was claiming to have been the sound of at least 4 explosions in the city; the dause of the explosions and/or where they occurred is still not known.
INTERNATIONAL ——————————-
Emir of the State of Qatar: We are constantly working to extend the truce, but it is not a substitute for a permanent ceasefire
The Turkish President: We must work to establish an independent Palestinian state
France imposes sanctions on Hamas Gaza chief Yahya Sinwar
FORECAST ————————-
Bottom Line Up Front (BLUF) - Israel resumes the methodical elimination of Hamas forces throughout Gaza.
IDF ramps up the fight in S Gaza, they are having to tread a thin line because there are few areas for the civilians to go and Hamas will maximize them as shields.
Hamas PR continues to suffer from revelations on how they treated the hostages that were released and the cloud hangs over those remaining. Global pro-hamas protests have decreased in some intensity, particularly in Europe, in a push back from growing nationalist trends the protests have triggered.
Pressure is increasing IMHO on Egypt and Jordan to be pressure valves for refugees. Something like 22 arab nations and not a single one has openly announced that they’d take any refugees. They recognize the scorpion.
Venezuela - Increasing potential for war
“This referendum is binding and I abide by the decision of the people,” emphasized the head of state Maduro before the opinion matrix of international media that ignore the Venezuelan Constitution.
Maduro reiterates the ‘binding’ nature of the referendum on the Essequibo: “It is an overwhelming victory beyond any forecast”
OBSERVATION - Watching for any military build up by Venezuela as well as responses by other nations like Brazil. At this point Guyana does’t have the military forces necessary to fend off Venezuela by itself.
If Brazil enters in on the side of Guyana, Venezuela may have to be satisfied in the northern half of the disputed territory - where at least they could claim dominion over the new oilfields and place distance between it and any army supporting Guyana. But I’ve not seen any statement from Brazil in support of Guyana, only in its own territorial defense.
Armenia/Azerbaijan –
See Russia above on CSTO rejection.
Globalism / Great Reset –
More COP28 snippets -
Though massive contributors of carbon dioxide, China and India demand to be exempted from any cuts in their coal plants and in stead actually want to be recipients of funding from the multi trillion dollar “loss and damage fund”
Instead of being forced to contribute to the fund, China and India, argue their high levels of emissions are a recent development when compared to the historic emissions of developed countries like the US and the UK.
OBSERVATION - This stance not to reduce has been the cornerstone of China and India for a considerable time now, and doesn’t look to change any time soon. Both China and India are facing serious economic issues and to suddenly shift their economy from reliable coal power to unreliable solar/wind would be devastating - as the US and the rest of the world is just starting to find out. This makes the COP another joke.
***
New Prime Minister of Slovakia Rejects Signing the WHO Pandemic Treaty.
Prime Minister Robert Fico calls the WHO Pandemic Treaty “nonsense invented by greedy pharma companies.”
He also said, “One study after another confirms the scandalous consequences of mass vaccination with untested experimental vaccines.”
OBSERVATION - This is another of the countries that has woken up to the threat posed by the WHO treaty. As the number grows, implementation of the ‘treaty’s’ enforcement clauses become more difficult. However, with the big countries and the EU supporting it, Slovakia may be forced to capitulate to a degree as the treaty modification will not be made to allow any dissent.
Economy –
Continued mixed signals from economic forecasters of major investment firms. Most note that the economy is in uncharted waters, still suffering aftershocks from the wuhan shut down, inflation and the record rate hikes by the fed. The tea leaves in some instances bring hope, but only if govt doesn’t screw things up further.
CW2 / Domestic violence - Heightened THREAT
Antisemitic mobs of pro-Palestinian protesters are increasingly seeking out and targeting Jewish owned/operated businesses in the US (concentrated in major cities) for protests and vandalism. They are often very threatening for follow on violence against the business owners as well as customers. So far law enforcement has taken very little action against these threats.
IN RELATED -
“The resurgence of public protests in support of Hamas has revealed a disturbing truth: the left-wing rioting following George Floyd’s death in 2020 was not an anomaly, but a tactic that activists can repurpose for any cause. Whether by coincidence or design, these recent outbursts could be a dress rehearsal for possible violence during next year’s election campaign.”
“Progressives are restless and ready. Left-wing activists have established a constellation of institutions to support public demonstrations. Protest NGOs, media entities, research centers, black-bloc (Antifa) networks, and bail funds are all finely tuned to mobilize mass movements. The Left carefully manages its licit and illicit factions: progressive political leaders tacitly delegate the dirty work to anarchist and racialist factions, which can change costumes—for example, from a BLM mask to a Palestinian keffiyeh—at any moment.”
https://www.city-journal.org/article/will-it-be-riot-season-again-in-2024
OBSERVATION - I’ve noted that the violent left has finally found its cause in the pro-hamas protest efforts. As the article accurately notes and has been reported during the 2020 riots, Antifa et al has developed a detailed operation to support its protests, and that has already been seen with the recent pro-hamas events.
One aspect that is different this year are the threats of violence directed towards the Democrat Nat’l convention in Chicago next year. I remember the last time riots were directed against the dem’s there - very ugly.
Overall, the level of violence could easily exceed that of the 2020 riots. The conditions are ripe for a perfect storm scenario.
***
Doomsday “prepping” is seeping into the mainstream as Americans of all ages and political persuasions are becoming increasingly worried ahead of the 2024 presidential election about the prospect of a civil war.
Hoarding food, water and weapons was once associated with libertarian extremists, but as a rematch between President Biden and his predecessor, former President Donald Trump, seems all but inevitable in 2024, prepping has become a bipartisan activity, according to a Monday USA Today report.
OBSERVATION - This trend really hit when the wuhan plandemic hit. Watching the events unroll in the people’s republic of kalifornia - seeing with well to do ‘bug out’ as well as watching the grocery rush (yes, I just went to the stores in part just to see how people were reacting) was educational. On its heels, the massive BLM/Antifa rioting leading up to the election drove many, both on the right and left, to arm up as well.
This year with the potential pro-hamas rooted riot potential combined with a ‘white lung syndrome’ epidemic with some calling for wuhan like lockdown/shut down, 2024 may be the worst year our generation has experienced ever.
However, the prepping is just another gauge of public sentiment in regards to a potential civil war and massive political and ethnic uprisings.
Wuhan and other “new” Plandemics – HEIGHTENED ALERT STATUS
The recent findings of DNA fragments in the Pfizer and Moderna Covid-19 vaccines has led many to question why the FDA, which is responsible for monitoring the quality and safety of the vaccines, has failed to sound the alarm.
For years, the FDA has known about the risk posed by residual DNA in vaccines. Its own guidance to industry states:
“Residual DNA might be a risk to your final product because of oncogenic and/or infectivity potential. There are several potential mechanisms by which residual DNA could be oncogenic, including the integration and expression of encoded oncogenes or insertional mutagenesis following DNA integration.”
Put simply, the FDA acknowledges the possibility that fragments of DNA left over by the manufacturing process can be incorporated into a patient’s own DNA, to potentially cause cancer.
With all the new info coming out on the DNA contamination in the mRNA jabs, the FDA has essentially shut down further outside inquires.
https://brownstone.org/articles/fda-shuts-down-enquiries-about-dna-contamination-in-covid-vaccines/
OBSERVATION - This silence is not to last long as FOIA demands and lawsuits will breach the FDA’s defenses. At the very least, the FDA’s allowance of Pfizer to go forward is a serious lapse of regulatory practice. At the very worst, it is conspiracy to place a deadly concoction on the market where the jabs were mandated on sections of the population.
POLITICAL FRONT –
A big driver of division has been seen in the democrat party is between pro and anti Israel factions (a driver for the potential of a ‘hot’ violence scenario this next year). There has been a similar split developing on the republican side as well, now being seen by a rise in the ‘both sides are wrong’ argument. Some of this split is derived from the ‘America First’ elements that want to withdraw from nearly all of the US’s foreign commitments and policies. Republican stance (and according to polls, independents) continues to be strongly supportive of Israel - far more than democrats. This broader support maybe what is preventing a more vitriol split in the republicans as currently demonstrated by democrats.
Going into 2024, this pro/anti split is so far hurting the democrats in that there are large elements of the anti-Israel/pro-Hamas faction threatening to sit out the election and not vote democrat unless support for Israel is stopped.
Biden / Harris Watch –
President Biden received a recurring payment of $1,380 from his son Hunter’s law firm beginning in late 2018 shortly after a bank money laundering officer warned that the same account was receiving millions of dollars in Chinese government-linked funds without “any services rendered.”
OBSERVATION - The evidence continues to pile up and the lack of cover up by the MSM seems to be more evidence of a movement to get biden to fade away from the 2024 election and permit a fresher face without the criminal luggage.
Regardless, biden will not face indictment or impeachment - the deep state wagons are being drawn tightly around him and hunter. Too much damage will hit the democrats in the 2024 election cycle if any serous prosecution - beside house hearings -occurs
Cyber attacks/warfare – HEIGHTENED ALERT
According to a Government Accountability Office (GAO) report released yesterday, 20 out of 23 federal agencies failed to meet cyber incident tracking requirements required by law, and 17 of those agencies were not tracking cyber incidents at all.
OBSERVATION - incompetent or deliberate, our national computer networks are increasingly become more vulnerable.
Illegal Immigration –
The numbers of illegals coming from China has spiked by a couple orders of magnitude this year. Most are military aged males, well equipped when captured and highly disciplined.
OBSERVATION - Continued big red flags on this one.
China –
The Chinese military said that an American naval ship had ‘illegally intruded’ on Monday into waters near the Second Thomas Shoal, the site of a hot territorial dispute between China and the Philippines in the South China Sea.
A Chinese naval force was mobilized to track the USS Gabrielle Giffords during the operation, according to a statement from the People’s Liberation Army Southern Theater.
The U.S. Navy’s 7th Fleet said the ship ‘was conducting routine operations in international waters ... consistent with international law.’
North/South Korea –
NK’s more belligerent posture and actions are increasing concerns of a renewal of combat in the peninsula - not just if but when.
Kim’s sister slammed the US by saying NK is not afraid of a nation that cannot tell a woman from a man.
Japan –
Japan is in the process of building 24 new FFM (missile frigates – to be called the Mogami class). These are being procured in two batches of twelve each. Japan presently has only ten frigates.
OBSERVATION - Details about these new frigates show the japanese giving a lot of thought into the design and mult-roles for these vessels. They are to be very flexible and lethal.
Russia -
WAR WATCH - into the second year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022
CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Updated Nov 12, 2023
Russia is struggling to gain the initiative on several fronts in easter Ukraine. Attacks to take Adviivka, located near occupied Donetsk has been their priority as well as further north. However, it is on a defensive footing across most of Ukraine.
The Russian army has lost a considerable amount of armor/tanks and personnel in the fight to take Adviivka, causing that offensive to stall considerably and resort to “meat” attacks.
With the arrival of the muddy season, significant offensive actions by Russia are unlikely.
Ukrainian action has forced Russia to move forces laterally to meet the Ukraine advance - thinning critical portions of the line and making them vulnerable to assault.
Russia’s strategic ballistic and cruise missiles continue to show evidence of massively reduced inventories. With the onset of winter, it is believed that Russian is shepherding its stockpile of missiles/drones for an effort to take down the Ukraine power grid as it did last year. This task has become increasingly difficult as Ukraine adds air defense systems and gets better coverage.
The Russian Black Sea fleet is is essentially impotent and hesitant to deploy into now contested waters. Ukraine’s recent attacks on ships in Crimean harbors has forced the majority of the fleet to redeploying out of Crimea and to Russian bases, about 600 Km further away from the front lines.
Russian leadership reportedly planning for a long duration conflict, hoping to wear the Ukraine army down and cause European allies to tire of their support - forcing some sort of cease fire and negotiated peace.
*****
Armenian officials have declined to attend this month’s Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO) meeting in Moscow. The CSTO is Russia’s central Asian equivalent of NATO. Armenian was stung this year because Russia and the CSTO did not intervene in their border war with Azerbaijan. Armenian officials have also floated the idea of leaving the CSTO. Armenia is not the only member of CSTO to run contra to Moscow - Kazakhstan too has had a falling out with them as well.
Kerch Bridge update –
Unconfirmed reports of Ukrainian drone attacks against the Kerch Bridge. Locals report considerable ADA activity. Unknown if there is any damage.
Economic Impact –
Loss of manpower in the war continues to affect Russian industry efforts to sustain the war effort as workers are being drained while at the same time production demands are rising.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temps in the 20-30 degree range with mostly cloudy conditions and more snow towards the end of the forecast period.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Unconfirmed reports that drones are attacking the Kersch Bridge. Reports of a lot of russian ADA activity.
Ukrainian air defense shot down 10 of 17 Shahed drones overnight.
Russian forces gained ground on the northern flank of the Adviivka salient.
Russian Ministry of Defense says 22 drones were shot down and 13 intercepted over Azov Sea and occupied Crimea. However, drones reportedly attacked oil base in Feodosiya and the Dzhankoy district, both in occupied Crimea overnight
An oil depot in occupied Luhansk was hit by Ukrainian drones last night.
Outlook —-
Weather and mud conditions are dictating operations. Most significant action continues to be the Adviivka area.
ISRAEL –
Key overnight developments -
- Ground operations is S Gaza continue to expand.
- IDF increasing pressures on remaining Hamas strongholds in the north.
GENERAL ——————————-
Unicef says there are “no safe zones” anywhere in Gaza, while the World Health Organization warns the situation gets “worse by the hour”
NOTE - These UN based and supported organization have received a lot of negative attention with the continued discovery of Hamas equipment of war being associated with their facilities or being aided by these personnel.
***
Dr. Renana Eitan , one of the physicians treating the freed hostages, states that survivors are suffering from an unprecedented level of “extremely severe psychological abuse” endured during captivity.
“I can tell you that on behalf of all the medical and psychological teams treating those who return, the mental states we encountered have no precedent in medical literature. We feel that we have to rewrite the textbooks of post-trauma,” Dr. Renana Eitan told “Sunday Night in America.”
“Those held captive were subject to starvation, to beating, to sexual abuse. They were being held in inhumane sanitary conditions. Extremely severe psychological abuse was inflicted on them, including separation from family members, separation of siblings, separation of children from their mothers. They were held in solitary confinement and spent long days in total darkness until they developed severe hallucinations,” Eitan claimed. “Children were forced to watch brutal videos. They were under constant threats by weapons and threats to harm them even after they were released. They refer to the forced use of psychiatric drugs and other substances.”
https://harbingersdaily.com/israel-at-war-week-9/
RELATED - Sources in Israel and D.C. are saying that Hamas refused to release the remaining women and girls to Israel in the last tranche because Hamas did not want the world to find out what had happened to these women while in Palestinian captivity. Had the world heard and/or seen the truth it would have been as shocking as October 7th itself.
OBSERVATION - This treatment is consistent with similar treatment of hostages in the past.
GAZA FRONT ———————————-
In N Gaza, the Israelis move to complete their encirclement of Jabaliya and also begin to encircle Shajaiya.
In S Gaza, reports of intense fighting between Hamas and IDF as Israeli forces push towards Khan Yunis. The Israeli push has cut off the central N-S refugee evacuation route, Israel has been broadcasting to Gazans to use the costal escape route . Reports suggest that the IAF airstrikes in S Gaza and in particularly around Khan Yunis were as intense as any seen in N Gaza overnight.
Hamas and affiliated managed to get several rocket launches off overnight, but as before, with fewer rockets and longer interval between barrages.
***
Israel is reportedly setting up large pumps on the coast that could be used to flood tunnels used by Hamas and other armed groups in Gaza and drive out fighters, according to a Wall Street Journal article.
In 2015, Egypt used seawater from the nearby Mediterranean to flood a network of hundreds of tunnels along its border with Gaza and end a flourishing smuggling trade.
The salt water would destroy electrical and other infrastructure as well as weaken the support walls, causing tunnel collapses.
Prior to the war, Hamas claimed that its tunnel network stretched 500km (310 miles).
***
Palestinian sources have leaked a video of high- ranking Hamas figures fleeing their stronghold in Khan Younis arriving at a Gazan Hospital while their security is seen shouting to the crowd not to film the event. One person identified was Senior Hamas leader, Nizar Awadallah, was caught on video arriving at a hospital severely wounded.
It has been rumored he later died from his wounds but that is still pending confirmation.
***
Situation map at the link below was made by Warmapper.org . It depicts the initial stages of the IDF ground attack into S Gaza as well as operations in the north.
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GAiNnU9WAAAJBhF?format=jpg&name=4096x4096
LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
Continued harassing fire from Hezbollah positions in Lebanon with Israeli counter fire from artillery and air strikes.
The Israeli army says a “hostile” drone that entered Israeli airspace from Lebanon crashed near the northern community of Margaliot earlier today. It says sappers are examining the device
WEST BANK——————————-
Israeli security forces continue to operate to capture Hamas and affiliated terrorists.
“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————
CENTCOM: At approximately 2:15 p.m. on Dec. 3, 15 122mm rockets originating in Iraq were fired at the U.S. base Rumalyn Landing Zone in Syria. There were no injuries to personnel or damage to equipment.Combined Joint Task Force – Operation Inherent Resolve located the point of origin with uncrewed ISR assets and passed the location to Iraqi Security Forces who moved to and investigated the site. A fuel truck modified to launch up to 20 rockets was located at the site
***
U.S. National Security Advisor, Jake Sullivan stated today that the United States is currently attempting to Build a Maritime Task Force of Partner Nations to provide Protection to Commercial Shipping in the Red Sea and the Bab al-Mandab Strait, as a result of recent Attacks by the Houthi Terrorist Organization in Yemen.
***
Calm now in the Yemeni Capital of Sanaa following what was claiming to have been the sound of at least 4 explosions in the city; the dause of the explosions and/or where they occurred is still not known.
INTERNATIONAL ——————————-
Emir of the State of Qatar: We are constantly working to extend the truce, but it is not a substitute for a permanent ceasefire
The Turkish President: We must work to establish an independent Palestinian state
France imposes sanctions on Hamas Gaza chief Yahya Sinwar
FORECAST ————————-
Bottom Line Up Front (BLUF) - Israel resumes the methodical elimination of Hamas forces throughout Gaza.
IDF ramps up the fight in S Gaza, they are having to tread a thin line because there are few areas for the civilians to go and Hamas will maximize them as shields.
Hamas PR continues to suffer from revelations on how they treated the hostages that were released and the cloud hangs over those remaining. Global pro-hamas protests have decreased in some intensity, particularly in Europe, in a push back from growing nationalist trends the protests have triggered.
Pressure is increasing IMHO on Egypt and Jordan to be pressure valves for refugees. Something like 22 arab nations and not a single one has openly announced that they’d take any refugees. They recognize the scorpion.
Venezuela - Increasing potential for war
“This referendum is binding and I abide by the decision of the people,” emphasized the head of state Maduro before the opinion matrix of international media that ignore the Venezuelan Constitution.
Maduro reiterates the ‘binding’ nature of the referendum on the Essequibo: “It is an overwhelming victory beyond any forecast”
OBSERVATION - Watching for any military build up by Venezuela as well as responses by other nations like Brazil. At this point Guyana does’t have the military forces necessary to fend off Venezuela by itself.
If Brazil enters in on the side of Guyana, Venezuela may have to be satisfied in the northern half of the disputed territory - where at least they could claim dominion over the new oilfields and place distance between it and any army supporting Guyana. But I’ve not seen any statement from Brazil in support of Guyana, only in its own territorial defense.
Armenia/Azerbaijan –
See Russia above on CSTO rejection.
p
"For years, the FDA has known about the risk posed by residual DNA in vaccines."
_____________________________________________
(My opinion) :
When the FDA/CDC/Pharma cabal receives up to 605 of its funding from Pharma,
you cannot expect an independent analysis of their drug and medication protocol.
They have a financial interest in medication sales and 'kick backs'- as well as patent rights.
They are already complicit, and have been 'bought off', clinical trials rely mostly on the clinical trial data provided by Pharma, itself.
The fox is already in charge of the hen house.
Even the alleged independent media have been bought off (!), the supposedly guardians of community safety.
Watch and count the number of Pharma medications that are paid advertizing on daily, evening, and late night television.
“Those held captive were subject to starvation, to beating, to sexual abuse. They were being held in inhumane sanitary conditions. Extremely severe psychological abuse was inflicted on them, including separation from family members, separation of siblings, separation of children from their mothers. They were held in solitary confinement and spent long days in total darkness until they developed severe hallucinations,” Eitan claimed. “Children were forced to watch brutal videos. They were under constant threats by weapons and threats to harm them even after they were released. They refer to the forced use of psychiatric drugs and other substances.”
https://harbingersdaily.com/israel-at-war-week-9/
RELATED - Sources in Israel and D.C. are saying that Hamas refused to release the remaining women and girls to Israel in the last tranche because Hamas did not want the world to find out what had happened to these women while in Palestinian captivity. Had the world heard and/or seen the truth it would have been as shocking as October 7th itself.
If anyone feels ‘sympathy’ for the animals who did this to Israel ... and wants ‘peace’... All they have to understand is the people of Gaza could end the war tomorrow by turning in Hamas’ terrorists locations to Israeli intelligence, Then tell Israel where the hostages are being hidden and boom - the war ends. To assist them the people of GAZA could protest against Hamas. Carry baby coffins in the streets with protest signs saying Hamas animals tortured civilians, women, children and babies... and used sexual atrocities as weapons.
In the meantime the US needs to pass laws excluding anyone from GAZA from ever coming to the United States.
Reality time - the countdown clock to the 2024 elections is now at 11 months. At current trends 2024 is building to be potentially worse than 2020. Buckle up folks.
Globalism / Great Reset –
COP28, featured a Tuesday discussion on sustainable yachting.
The discussion centered on finding “a variety of technical solutions developed to make the yachting experience more responsible and sustainable,” according to its official COP28 website. The event, titled “Responsible Yachting. Today & Tomorrow,” was moderated by Nico Rosberg, a yacht-owning former race car driver, and organized by Sunreef Yacht, a company that builds custom yachts and luxury vessels.
The discussion also included “a conversation about electric, hybrid and hydrogen propulsion, battery technology, plant-based composites, bottom paints, modern photovoltaics, sustainable interior finishing, water management, energy management (and) air conditioning,” according to the event’s COP28 website
OBSERVATION - Something worthy of the Babylon Bee.
***
A new draft of the controversial United Nations Cybercrime Treaty has only heightened concerns that the Treaty will criminalise expression and dissent, create extensive surveillance powers and facilitate cross-border repression.
The Cybercrime Treaty that is currently being negotiated by the United Nations has the potential to substantively reshape international criminal law and bolster cross-border police surveillance powers to access and share users’ data, implicating the human rights of billions of people worldwide.
Without a clearly defined scope and sufficient safeguards, the Treaty could endanger human rights – both online and offline – and repressive governments could abuse its provisions to criminalise online free speech. It could also threaten digital rights by legitimising intrusive investigations and unhindered law enforcement access to personal information.
OBSERVATION - Anyone catching the pattern here - increased censorship and surveillance. At a global level, this would permit the powers that be to sculpt public opinion globally and maintain the narrative - while jailing those speaking out against it.
CW2 / Domestic violence - Heightened THREAT
Hundreds of pro-Palestine supporters marched to the Kalifornia Capitol on Tuesday, carrying flags and chanting messages of support for Gaza, but those demonstrators also had a different goal in mind.
They vocalized their anger and disappointment in Gov. Gavin Newsom’s decision to move a scheduled public event online.
“He has chosen to keep it behind closed doors with select people only and not enjoy it with the public,” said Makeez Sawez, of Youth for Palestine and an organizer of Tuesday’s march. “Our goal was originally to come and have conversations and have the governor see us.”
OBSERVATION - Their goal was to remove the ‘enjoyment’ of the lighting. This, like other Christmas related events this season, are ‘soft’ targets for these protests designed to silence and intimidate the population.
***
In a Washington Post article, the husband of State Dept official Victoria Nuland, a man named Robert Kagan, wrote an op-ed effectively calling for President Trump to essentially be assassinated.
“[…] Are we going to do anything about it? To shift metaphors, if we thought there was a 50 percent chance of an asteroid crashing into North America a year from now, would we be content to hope that it wouldn’t? Or would we be taking every conceivable measure to try to stop it, including many things that might not work but that, given the magnitude of the crisis, must be tried anyway?
Will those who balked at resisting Trump when the risk was merely political oblivion suddenly discover their courage when the cost might be the ruin of oneself and one’s family?”
OBSERVATION - More increasing rhetoric preparing the public for an assassination attempt on Trump, and trying to build support for such an act. Kagan is a deep, deep state insider who’s opinion carries a lot of what the powers that be are thinking and planning.
***
FBI Director Chris Wray admitted to Sen. Josh Hawley that he has not fired anyone at the FBI’s Richmond office over the memo urging the FBI to investigate “radical traditional Catholics.” “You haven’t fired anybody,” Hawley, a Missouri Republican, said to Wray in a Senate hearing Tuesday. “In fact, what the House found …, you admonished them,” Hawley said. Mockingly, he added, “Oh I feel much better. They’ve been sent to bed without food.” “Do you have a problem with systemic bigotry against Catholics at the FBI?” Hawley also asked. Wray flatly responded, “No.”
OBSERVATION - The face of the deep state continues to unapologetically wage war on the citizens of the US.
***
In Texas, there is a growing secessionist movement, being organized under the Texas Nationalist Movement, which since 2005 has advocated for the Lone Star State to break away from the United States — a “TEXIT,” as they call it.
OBSERVATION - The secessionist effort has been going for some time now, first gaining my attention back in the 0bama years. Current efforts are a state wide referendum declaring such - a toothless but loud declaration of grievances with the deep state lead fed govt. It is thought by some that should biden totally lose it and resort to totalitarian measures Texas cold lead an exodus of red states in the midwest and Redoubt area in a secessionist styled revolt.
Terrorism - Level is HIGH due to increased lone wolf threats.
FBI Director Christopher Wray testified Tuesday that the terror threat facing the United States has reached unprecedented levels since the Oct. 7 attack on Israel.
Sen. Lindsey Graham, R-S.C., asked Wray to describe the current “threat matrix” facing the United States at a Senate Judiciary Committee hearing.
“What I would say that is unique about the environment that we’re in right now in my career is that while there may have been times over the years where individual threats could have been higher here or there than where they may be right now, I’ve never seen a time where all the threats or so many of the threats are all elevated, all at exactly the same time,” the FBI director replied.
OBSERVATION - The FBI has been making this warning since the Gaza war began on Oct 7th.
On a very dark sided view, the regime could use ‘terrorism’ as a false flag to marshal in crackdown on the conservative, MAGA right - since so much effort has been made to demonize that portion of the population. I really hope I’m just getting too tinfoil here, but given the rhetoric of public officials, high profile progressives and the media, I can no longer rule out such an action in my preparations.
Economy-
Drug shortages in the U.S. have hit a record high and lawmakers warn they could mean life or death for millions of patients. A House committee is investigating what Congress can do to the supply chain to make sure doctors don’t have to keep rationing essential drugs like cancer treatments.
OBSERVATION - Disruptions from the wuhan plandemic and the aftermath of having to rely on China for many of these drugs in an increasing hostile situation.
***
Today’s preliminary jobs report – the JOLTS or Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey – came in well below expectations this morning. It was considered a big miss, with job openings “falling dramatically.”
Job openings tumbled in October to their lowest in 2½ years, a sign the historically tight labor market could be loosening.
Employment openings totaled a seasonally adjusted 8.73 million for the month, a decline of 617,000, or 6.6%, the Labor Department reported Tuesday. The number was well below the 9.4 million estimate from Dow Jones and the lowest since March 2021.
OBSERVATION - They are spreading hopium
POLITICAL FRONT –
House Speaker Mike Johnson told fellow Republicans on Tuesday that sweeping changes to U.S. border policy would be their “hill to die on” in negotiations over President Joe Biden’s nearly $106 billion package for the wars in Ukraine and Israel and other security needs.
OBSERVATION - Republicans are carving out a substantial position on illegals, one that could well pull a sizable number of urban blacks and other minorities to the party in November as dissension over illegals usurping the entitlement class for resources increases.
Biden / Harris Watch –
Biden wants to effectively ban Christians from adopting children in the foster care system. Biden wants to essentially ban Christians from adopting foster care children based on their religious beliefs and opposition to radical LGBTQ ideology. U.S. Department of Health and Human Services has proposed a new rule that would prohibit families who do not support LGBTQ ideology from caring for foster children.
OBSERVATION - On going culture war that will only help to increase the red-blue chasm.
China –
China’s military said Wednesday it sent fighter jets to monitor and warn a U.S. Navy patrol aircraft that flew over the sensitive Taiwan Strait, a mission that took place weeks before Taiwan holds elections.
The U.S. Navy’s 7th Fleet said the P-8A Poseidon maritime patrol and reconnaissance plane, which is also used for anti-submarine missions, flew over the strait in international airspace.
Taiwan is gearing up for presidential and parliamentary elections on Jan. 13, which China has cast as a choice between war and peace.
Russia -
WAR WATCH - into the second year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022
CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Updated Nov 12, 2023
Russia is struggling to gain the initiative on several fronts in easter Ukraine. Attacks to take Adviivka, located near occupied Donetsk has been their priority as well as further north. However, it is on a defensive footing across most of Ukraine.
The Russian army has lost a considerable amount of armor/tanks and personnel in the fight to take Adviivka, causing that offensive to stall considerably and resort to “meat” attacks.
With the arrival of the muddy season, significant offensive actions by Russia are unlikely.
Ukrainian action has forced Russia to move forces laterally to meet the Ukraine advance - thinning critical portions of the line and making them vulnerable to assault.
Russia’s strategic ballistic and cruise missiles continue to show evidence of massively reduced inventories. With the onset of winter, it is believed that Russian is shepherding its stockpile of missiles/drones for an effort to take down the Ukraine power grid as it did last year. This task has become increasingly difficult as Ukraine adds air defense systems and gets better coverage.
The Russian Black Sea fleet is is essentially impotent and hesitant to deploy into now contested waters. Ukraine’s recent attacks on ships in Crimean harbors has forced the majority of the fleet to redeploying out of Crimea and to Russian bases, about 600 Km further away from the front lines.
Russian leadership reportedly planning for a long duration conflict, hoping to wear the Ukraine army down and cause European allies to tire of their support - forcing some sort of cease fire and negotiated peace.
*****
Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov and Iranian Foreign Minister Hossein Amir Abdollahian signed an agreement to counter unilateral sanctions
Putin to Saudi Arabia to meet with officials there regarding oil production and prices.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temps in the 20-30 degree range with mostly cloudy conditions and more snow towards the end of the forecast period.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Ukrainian air defense shot down 41 of 48 Shahed drones overnight.
Ukraine launched strikes against Russian targets in Berdyansk, Mariupol and central Luhansk.
Finding out overnight that Ukraine targeted several key targets in the vicinity of the Kersch Bridge - a key one being a very important radar facility that provides early warning to a sizable area of southern Crimea.
Russia launched a series of ground assaults in the northeastern front opposite of Sumy. Most activity there in a while.
Outlook —-
Weather and mud conditions are dictating operations.
The last few days, Ukraine has conducted some critical attacks in Crimea. The most significant is taking out the Russian early warning radar system. Being rare in the Russian inventory, it will create a gap in the air defense early warning and tracking system. The goal may well be to open a window of attack towards the Kersch Bridge. Shutting the bridge down again as winter sets in and Russian capabilities already strained would significantly hurt forces. It could set up a renewed offensive in the south towards Crimea.
ISRAEL –
Key overnight developments -
- Israeli Air Force fighter jets struck 250 terror targets in the Gaza Strip over the past 24 hours, including two rocket launchers used in Tuesday’s barrage on the Tel Aviv area.
- IDF preparing to flood Hamas terror tunnels with sea water.
——— GENERAL ——————————-
The Israeli Ministry of Foreign Affairs has announced that the resident visa of the U.N. Humanitarian Coordinator for the Palestinian Territories, Lynn Hastings has been revoked due to her refusal to condemn Hamas and assist the Israeli Government; Hastings who lives in eastern Jerusalem has two weeks to leave Israel before she will be deported.
***
National Security Council spokesperson John Kirby says eight U.S. nationals still being held hostage by Hamas in Gaza Strip
***
Osama Hamdan warns that future violence against Israel will be bigger than October 7. Osama Hamdan, a Beirut-based senior official of Hamas, made the statement during an interview last week with Lebanese media outlet Bel Moubashar Online, When the interviewer asked if the “war of liberation” would occur in the foreseeable future, Hamdan said “I do not think it is far off.”
***
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu called out women’s groups and human rights groups on Tuesday over their silence about Hamas’ brutal, sadistic sexual violence against Israeli women.
——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-
On Tuesday, Israel said its troops had reached “the heart of Khan Younis” - the largest southern city - on the “most intense” day of fighting in its ground operation.
According to Arab reports, IDF armored bulldozers were operating in eastern Khan Yunis. The bulldozers are directed to tear up roads to uncover IEDs and level buildings to expose Hamas terror tunnel shafts so as to provide clearance for ground troops. IDF forces are widening the salient into S Gaza towards Khan Yunis.
In N Gaza, IDF continues to systematically isolate and eliminate Hamas and affiliated terror groups, locate tunnels and munitions stockpiles. Fighting is intense at the Jabalia refugee camp and Shejaiya in northern Gaza
Hamas fired more rockets at Israel, but the numbers and intensity have once again been severely degraded.
——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
Hezbollah/Hamas continued to fire ATGMs, mortars and rockets into N Israel and the IDF responded with artillery and airstrikes.
———WEST BANK——————————-
Israeli security forces continue to operate to capture Hamas and affiliated terrorists.
———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————
Israeli Arrow anti-ballistic missile successfully took out a Houthi missile aimed at the southern regions of Israel.
——— FORECAST ————————-
Bottom Line Up Front (BLUF) - Israel resumes the methodical elimination of Hamas forces throughout Gaza. Action in S Gaza at this stage appears to be focused on quickly isolating Hamas leadership in Khan Younis. Israel has taken out a plethora of Hamas’ leadership at multiple levels and this is very evident in the north where an organized resistance has failed to develop and the IDF is able to isolate and destroy groups.
Revelatons from the released hostages and the clearly exposed use of hospitals and the like for military bases has for now cooled supportive propaganda by global media. As noted in CW2 above, pro-Hamas protests are targeting soft targets like Christmas celebration events - but that is starting to cause loss of support.
Houthi’s will continue to be a problem child towards Red Sea shipping and will continue to be so as long as the war continues and the US fails to launch any punitive strikes.
Iran –
See new agreement with Russia under Russia above.
Venezuela - Increasing potential for war
Maduro has announce tonight that the Esequiba Region of Western Guyana is now “Official” a territory of Venezuela, with a state map being released with that change.
Maduro also said he will grant licenses for oil exploitation in the area disputed with Guyana.
Venezuelan military seen beginning construction of a new base camp near the Guyana border.
The president of Guyana, Irfaan Ali, said on national television that the measures announced by Maduro tonight are an “imminent threat.” Says UN Secretary General and other leaders have been informed
President of Guyana warned of “defense cooperation with the US” if Maduro takes action in Essequibo.
OBSERVATION - There have been rumors elsewhere of potential US involvement with ground troops. In his recent address, Maduro designated political appointees to run the Esequiba state, with offices in Venezuela until the territory is seized.
Central / South America General-
Brazil has moved additional troops to the border of Guyana in anticipation of military action by Venezuela.
Dec 7th, a day that will live in infamy.
Today, our country has been set up for possible equivalent attacks across several sectors, and the WEF driven agendas of the biden regime are only making matters worse. Many commentators suggest that 2024 could be the most dangerous period in our country’s history. This is not national paranoia, but rational examination of all the goings on in the country - economic, politically, militarily, socially, etc. It is scary to think that we may look at 2023 as good times, but realities going back to 0bama show otherwise.
Globalism / Great Reset –
COP28 continues.
CW2 / Domestic violence - Heightened THREAT
It seems that the pro-hamas elements / protests have plateaued off or even declined slightly over the past week. They still have some traction to pull supporters for action events, but recent revelations of Hamas additional atrocities and lies may have taken some steam out of them.
Universities remain a hot bed for anti-Israeli sentiment however, the disgusting testimony of three Ivy League college presidents - with their sudden backpedaling the next day - indicates that the campus leaders may be realizing that they are on increasingly thin ice. This may put a chill in some support to pro-hamas campus groups and their rallies and protests.
Terrorism - Level is HIGH due to increased lone wolf threats.
DHS is warning of increased terror threats. However, to me they are still inferring that the primary threat is still from white Christian conservatives.
Economy-
Crude oil prices drop below $70/barrel for the first time since July 2023. Since the September 28th high, oil prices are now down ~27%. Meanwhile, the national average gas price is down for 10-straight weeks to $3.25/gallon.
OBSERVATION - Early this year OPEC+ set production goals and prices expecting China’s economy to finally get rebooted. This hasn’t happened and its economy has continued to falter. Drops in oil consumption are a symptom of an incipient recession - no industrial demand. The drop in prices, even after another significant production reduction accentuates the economic realities of a likely recession.
POLITICAL FRONT –
Fourth presidential ‘debate’ was held last night. Lots of personal attacks, but little on issues passing today. None of the candidates on the stage even come close to Trump who didn’t attend..
OBSERVATION - Some pundits think these debates are essentially to see who will fill the VP portion of the ticket. However, they haven’t bothered to discuss this with Trump. I cannot see him having a #2 who is openly willing to stab him in the back again.
Biden / Harris Watch –
biden was confronted on his interactions with hunter’s business ‘partners’. He called it a lie and then walked out of the press conference. CNN later showed the receipts documenting biden was the one lying.
Illegal Immigration –
Per CBP sources, there were more than 12,000 migrant encounters at the southern border yesterday, the highest single day total ever recorded. This includes 10,200+ Border Patrol apprehensions of illegal immigrants, amongst the highest daily totals for BP ever recorded.
OBSERVATON - The border situation is completely coming unraveled even more - if that was ever possible to begin with. Even more illegals are getting into position south of the border to cross in another massive wave.
Russia -
WAR WATCH - into the second year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022
CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Updated Nov 12, 2023
Russia is struggling to gain the initiative on several fronts in easter Ukraine. Attacks to take Adviivka, located near occupied Donetsk has been their priority as well as further north. However, it is on a defensive footing across most of Ukraine.
The Russian army has lost a considerable amount of armor/tanks and personnel in the fight to take Adviivka, causing that offensive to stall considerably and resort to “meat” attacks.
With the arrival of the muddy season, significant offensive actions by Russia are unlikely.
Ukrainian action has forced Russia to move forces laterally to meet the Ukraine advance - thinning critical portions of the line and making them vulnerable to assault.
Russia’s strategic ballistic and cruise missiles continue to show evidence of massively reduced inventories. With the onset of winter, it is believed that Russian is shepherding its stockpile of missiles/drones for an effort to take down the Ukraine power grid as it did last year. This task has become increasingly difficult as Ukraine adds air defense systems and gets better coverage.
The Russian Black Sea fleet is is essentially impotent and hesitant to deploy into now contested waters. Ukraine’s recent attacks on ships in Crimean harbors has forced the majority of the fleet to redeploying out of Crimea and to Russian bases, about 600 Km further away from the front lines.
Russian leadership reportedly planning for a long duration conflict, hoping to wear the Ukraine army down and cause European allies to tire of their support - forcing some sort of cease fire and negotiated peace.
*****
putin continues his middle east meetings in an apparent effort to shore up support for his regime in the region.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temps in the 20-30 degree range with mostly cloudy conditions and more snow towards the end of the forecast period.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Moderately busy day with Ukrainian air defense shot down 15 of 18 Shahed drones overnight. Most of the artillery and infantry fighting continued sporadically along the eastern and southern fronts.
Significant statement from the biden regime are ominous. John Kirby is prepping the press corps for a NATO vs Russia war with America ground troops:
“If you think the cost of supporting Ukraine is high now, just imagine how much higher it’s gonna be, not just in national treasure but in American blood!”
biden and Sec Def Austin have threatened to put US boots on the ground in Ukraine if congress fails to pass additional aid for Ukraine. This is a serious raising of the stakes between the House Republicans and biden.
OBSERVATION - How willing is biden to commit US forces to directly engage Russians in Ukraine? One thing is for certain, such an act prior to the 2024 elections will certainly increase the level of chaos into the campaigns as well as further degrade our overall military readiness.
Outlook —-
Weather and mud conditions are dictating operations. No real significant battles today, just a continuation of minor skirmishes.
What is needed to be noticed is the continued absence of Russian high tech missiles. They continue to rely on Shahed drones. Neither the Black Sea missile cruisers, or Strategic bombers have sortied out in months. This suggests that Russia is building their stockpile of these weapons while trying to force Ukraine to waste air defense resources on the cheaper drones.
ISRAEL –
Key overnight developments -
- UN Sec Gen invokes Art 99 of the UN charter.
- Unconfirmed reports that Israeli forces have surrounded the house of Yahiya Sinwar, the Hamas leader responsible for the October 7th attack.
- Israel has started pumping seawater into Hamas tunnels.
——— GENERAL ——————————-
United Nations (UN) Secretary-General António Guterres on Wednesday invoked Article 99 of the UN charter for the first time, citing a “severe risk of collapse of the humanitarian system in Gaza,” as the war rages on between Israel and militant group Hamas. The invocation of Article 99 allows the UN secretary-general to bring the attention of the security council to “any matter which in his opinion may threaten the maintenance of international peace and security,” per the UN. Gutteres called on the Security Council to “press to avert a humanitarian catastrophe,” and reiterated his “urgent appeal for a humanitarian cease-fire to allow the means of survival” to be restored and the safe and timely delivery of aid to Gaza.
Israel’s foreign minister accused United Nations Secretary-General Antonio Guterres of supporting Palestinian terror group Hamas, called for his resignation, and said his tenure as head of the world body was “a danger to world peace,” in a furious reaction on Wednesday to Guterres’ letter urging an immediate ceasefire in the war between Israel and Hamas and his invocation of a rare clause in the UN charter to urge Security Council intervention.
——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-
Observers note that air strikes throughout Gaza are essentially ‘non-stop’.
Hamas launched rocket attacks towards Sderot and the Gaza Strip settlements.
Israel has made further gains in the south of Gaza city, and also advanced into the Jabalia camp.
Though Israel reported that it has Khan Yunis ‘surrounded’, battle tracking by OSINT folks do not see closure, although they admit their data may be relatively old.
The IDF has advanced into the centre of Khan Yunis. Their advance has followed 2 main routes, one from the northeast and one from the east.
The Israel Defense Forces’ 98th Division, which includes the Commando Brigade and other special forces, is spearheading the fight at Khan Yunis. IDF Spokesperson Rear Adm. Daniel Hagari announced on Wednesday evening, adding that Hamas was surprised by the raid. From the outset, the troops eliminated a number of terrorists and with aerial support, located approximately 30 tunnel shafts and destroyed them,”
The 98th is one of the most elite units of the IDF and historically the go to force when they want something done and done quickly.
The folks at War mapper provide the latest ground action map
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GAs4G3SXwAAoAo5?format=jpg&name=4096x4096
(War mapper)
——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
Hezbollah/Hamas continued to fire ATGMs, mortars and rockets into N Israel and the IDF responding with artillery and airstrikes.
***
Defense Minister Gallant to the heads of regional/local councils and mayors in northern Israel: “The evacuees will not return until the UNSC Resolution 1701 will not be implemented and Hezbollah will leave southern Lebanon beyond the Litani river, low chances that this will be achieved through diplomatic means and if not, military force will be used”
———WEST BANK——————————-
Israeli security forces continue to operate to capture Hamas and affiliated terrorists.
Israeli security forces storm the Jalazoun camp, north of Ramallah.
———INTERNATIONAL ——————————-
G7: Regional parties must stop destabilizing activities, and we call on Iran to refrain from providing support to Hamas, Hezbollah, and the Houthis.
Global leaders continue to call on Israel to ‘limit civilian casualities”, which is essentially a euphemism for a unilateral cease fire. Literally, no other military force has gone as far as Israel has to warn civilians out of harms way.
——— FORECAST ————————-
Bottom Line Up Front (BLUF) - Israel resumes the methodical elimination of Hamas forces throughout Gaza. The lightening strike on Khan Yunis is moving fast and Israel may have the terror center of S Gaza sealed off within days. It is probable that the most senior of Hamas battle leadership relocated here after Israel announced its broad invasion plans for the north. In Hamas mind, their forces in the north would provide sufficient delay that command and control could be reestablished in the south with minimal Israeli action. They misjudged Israel.
For those who pay attention, the quick, focused strike to encircle Khan Yunis is also one that preserves civilian lives. Israel avoids the bulk of the refugees from the north and has already warned the civilian population of Khan Yunis to flee. I think this tactic has successfully taken a lot of the air out of the hamas victim propaganda.
Israel may be telegraphing a more aggressive action against Hezbollah once Hamas has been dealt with. United Nations Security Council Resolution 1701 is a resolution that was intended to resolve the 2006 Lebanon War. Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah said that his militia would honor the call for a ceasefire. He also said that once the Israeli offensive stops, Hezbollah’s rocket attacks on Israel would stop.
Three key other components of the resolution that the UN has failed to enforce include -
- Disarmament of all armed groups in Lebanon (implying Hezbollah)
- No armed forces other than UNIFIL and Lebanese (implying Hezbollah and Israeli forces) will be south of the Litani River
- No foreign forces in Lebanon without the consent of its government
Since Hezbollah continued to maintain forces S of the Litani River and not disarm, Israel sees them in violation of the agreement and subject to Israeli action.
NOTE- Any significant ground action in S Lebanon is unlikely to occur for several months at least - until Israel is done mopping up the remnants of Hamas and affiliated terror groups. The only thing that could change is if Hezbollah launches a peremptory attack which from a global perspective would be bad PR.
An Israeli attack against Hezbollah will most certainly bring Iran into direct combat with Israel and involve the rest of the world thru likely oil blockades at the Straits of Hormuz, cyber attack and terror attacks. That they have been very reluctant to get deeper involved in the Gaza war suggests that they are’t ready for such confrontation yet and are likely working to replan any action and response to this new, aggressive Israeli resolve. Its evident that Israel has learned from its mistakes in the 2006 War, while Hezbollah/Iran haven’t
Venezuela - Increasing potential for war
The US has vowed its “unwavering support” for Guyana after Nicolás Maduro threatened to snatch more than half of the country and take its oil.
Guyana‘s tiny army is on full alert for an invasion from Venezuela, and Brazil also moved troops to the area amid fears a conflict could spill over the border.
A possible incursion by Venezuela into Guyana by land could see Venezuelan forces passing through Brazil, which shares a border with both countries, to reach the southern half of the disputed territory.
OBSERVATION - If Madero launches an attack, the most likely center of mass will be the northern half of Essequibo, where it could immediately place claims on the off shore oil deposits recently discovered, then pivot south to seize the remaining portions with the minerals therein. This would avoid direct combat with Brazilian forces.
If you're right on this - and it feela that way - the debates are even less relevant...
Globalism / Great Reset –
COP28 continues.
Economy-
Increasing talk that the Fed will start lowering the prime rate next year. Not firm, but they are at a point that increasing it further to reduce inflation is a cure worse than the disease.
Military / Strategic Activity / Deployments –
The Air Force today would struggle to execute another Desert Storm, much less take on a peer adversary like China. Despite lowering qualification standards, it cannot attract enough recruits to fill its ranks. The size and serviceability of its combat aircraft are at all-time lows. Truncated training has weakened pilot readiness.
The active duty Air Force missed its FY 2023 recruiting goals by 11 percent. Its Air Reserve component fell short by 30 percent. The chief of Air Force recruiting said the numbers would have been much worse had the service not changed its policies regarding drug use, body composition, age, and the like. While some deny that equates to lower standards, it most certainly brings them into question.
OBSERVATION - Like the other branches, after years of demonizing white, conservative Americans who by far have volunteered to fill the ranks of the military, the hens are coming home to roost. Diversity has gutted the officer corps, placing incompetent officers in charge of critical operations on the basis of race at times. The current Chair of the Joint Chiefs - an AF general is the eptimomy of that problem. It has become more important to make sure we don’t misgender the enemy than it is to kill them.
***
The Navy grounded its V-22 Osprey fleet following a deadly crash in Japan last week, Naval Air Systems Command said Wednesday.
The grounding went into effect on Dec. 6 and applies to all of the Navy’s variants, which include the Marine Corps MV-22B and the Navy’s CMV-22B. The CMV-22 is the service’s new carrier onboard delivery aircraft.
“Preliminary investigation information indicates a potential materiel failure caused the mishap, but the underlying cause of the failure is unknown at this time,” NAVAIR said in a statement.
OBSERVATION - The Osprey is a mechanically complex machine that has had mechanical issues since it was first introduced into active duty. Some of its new woes cold well be related to lack of qualified mechanics who would catch these issues before flight or otherwise tapered back maintenance due to budget cuts, etc.
Wuhan and other “new” Plandemics – HEIGHTENED ALERT STATUS
One of the biggest new items continues to be DNA contamination in the Pfizer/Moderna jabs and the potential link to turbo cancer and other ailments.
POLITICAL FRONT –
The House of Representatives has voted to censure Rep. Jamaal Bowman for intentionally pulling a fire alarm at the Capitol.
***
According to the Hill, “Republicans will only be able to afford three GOP defections to pass any party-line legislation,” after Santos’ expulsion, McCarthy’s departure, and Rep. Bill Johnson (R-OH) is also expected to exit Congress next year.
OBSERVATION - The dems could throw the entire House into chaos if they challenge the Chair as Gaetz did with McCarthy. This would mean a probable govt shutdown in a couple months, and infighting throughout most of the 2024 campaign season.
Biden / Harris Watch –
A Trump-appointed judge is set to oversee Hunter Biden’s tax evasion case as the First Son faces nine new charges filed by the Justice Department on Thursday.
Judge Mark Scarsi, an appointee of the former President Donald Trump, has been assigned the case which alleges Hunter was involved in a four-year $1.4m tax evasion scheme.
All nine charges relate to tax, including two felony charges for filing a false return, a felony charge for tax evasion, four failure to pay charges, and a further two charges for failure to file. The charges span the 2016, 2017, 2018 and 2019 tax years.
OBSERVATION - With these announcements, the circle tightens around biden’s 2024 run. He’s made too many documented lies that will be torn open in a race against Trump and it looks like the press is no longer going to provide cover.
***
A new CNN poll revealed that Biden has now reached the lowest approval rating of his presidency. He stands at just 37 percent approval in November, two points less than in October, and the lowest since he assumed office in January 2021.
OBSERVATION - A CNN!!!! poll destroying biden. Klaxon bells should be ringing off the wall at the DNC. Granted, this is still waaaaaay early in the election run-up, but the trends are solidly there. The simple fact that CNN apparently didn’t add special sauce to bolster his numbers strongly suggest that the media is preparing for biden to be hung out to dry.
Illegal Immigration –
Immigrants who illegally cross the border into Arizona are being handed $5,000 in good-as-cash gift cards, along with cell phones and costly plane tickets, all of which are being paid for by the American taxpayer, according to Arizona Sheriff Mark Lamb.
OBSERVATION - It is unimaginable that so much money would be thrown at illegals - no wonder they are all trying to get here to start mooching off the system. In many places they stop at, they will get even more money and things. One study in NYC IIRC is that only 4% of the illegals sought real work, the rest belly ached that they weren’t getting enough free stuff.
Hundreds of newly arrived migrants have been living in a “secret migrant camp” at San Antonio Airport in Texas for more than half a year, according to reports, which found the existence of the facility was kept hidden from local officials in the area despite taxpayers funding its operation. The camp, located in an empty airport hanger, has hosted migrants bussed to the city from the southern border, with migrants spending anywhere between hours and even days in the facility. It is believed up to 400 migrants sleep in the hangar every evening, including women and children.
San Antonio city, although long having guarded the secret of its existence closely, admitted to the Daily Mail that it has been managing the facility since May. It refused to reveal how much money has been spent on the facility. The hanger is run by the charity Interfaith Welcome Coalition (IWC), which describes itself as a “faith-based movement meeting the changing needs of asylum seekers, refugees and at-risk immigrants in collaboration with others.” Tori Salas, the coordinating director of the IWC, claims the facility is a “hidden area where they take the migrants… basically until four or hours before they fly.”
OBSERVATION - There are likely many, many more ‘secrets’ out there. NGOs receiving $$$$ from secret financiers to corrupt our national population with these millions of interlopers.
Russia -
WAR WATCH - into the second year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022
CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Updated Nov 12, 2023
Russia is struggling to gain the initiative on several fronts in easter Ukraine. Attacks to take Adviivka, located near occupied Donetsk has been their priority as well as further north. However, it is on a defensive footing across most of Ukraine.
The Russian army has lost a considerable amount of armor/tanks and personnel in the fight to take Adviivka, causing that offensive to stall considerably and resort to “meat” attacks.
With the arrival of the muddy season, significant offensive actions by Russia are unlikely.
Ukrainian action has forced Russia to move forces laterally to meet the Ukraine advance - thinning critical portions of the line and making them vulnerable to assault.
Russia’s strategic ballistic and cruise missiles continue to show evidence of massively reduced inventories. With the onset of winter, it is believed that Russian is shepherding its stockpile of missiles/drones for an effort to take down the Ukraine power grid as it did last year. This task has become increasingly difficult as Ukraine adds air defense systems and gets better coverage.
The Russian Black Sea fleet is is essentially impotent and hesitant to deploy into now contested waters. Ukraine’s recent attacks on ships in Crimean harbors has forced the majority of the fleet to redeploying out of Crimea and to Russian bases, about 600 Km further away from the front lines.
Russian leadership reportedly planning for a long duration conflict, hoping to wear the Ukraine army down and cause European allies to tire of their support - forcing some sort of cease fire and negotiated peace.
*****
Russia launched their first cruise missile attacks from strategic bombers in 2 months - see Ukraine below.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temps in the 20-30 degree range with mostly cloudy conditions and more snow towards the end of the forecast period.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
After a 2 month lull, Russian Tu-95MS bombers launched long-range cruise missiles against Ukraine. Ukrainian air defense shot down 14 of 19 Kh-101/Kh-555 missiles Also 5 of 7 Shahed drones downed. And 6 S-300 missiles from Belgorod hit Kharkiv
Russia also continued major attacks in the Adviivka area, with no significant gains being made.
Outlook —-
Weather and mud conditions are dictating operations. No real significant battles today, just a continuation of minor skirmishes.
The absence of Russian high tech missiles launched from strategic bombers was mentioned yesterday - and overnight they launched an attack. The bulk of the missiles were directed towards Kyiv and those were all shot down. Minor damage elsewhere. Too early to tell if this is the leading edge of a new missile campaign by Russia or a sortie to keep the air crews ready.
ISRAEL –
Key overnight developments -
- Mass surrenders of Hamas forces in Khan Younis
- IDF continues to clear out Hamas pocket in N Gaza as well as Khan Younis.
——— GENERAL ——————————-
Blinken: There is still a gap between Israel’s intention to protect civilians and the results on the ground.
The White House: We are not close to reaching another agreement to stop the conflict between Israel and Hamas
——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-
Fierce fighting continued in N and S Gaza. In S Gaza, clashes and violent Israeli bombing in the eastern areas of the city of Khan Yunis. The IDF struck about 450 targets in the Gaza Strip on Thursday, eliminating many Hamas terrorists in Khan Yunis as Israeli forces continued their advance in southern Gaza, according to the IDF Spokesperson’s Unit.
Reports of en mass surrenders of over 100 Hamas in Khan Younis. Most reports state that they were members of the Hamas Shejaiya Battalion.
Hamas attempted to fire rockets toward the Tel Aviv area, but they apparently landed in the sea. 6 missiles were fired from the Gaza Strip towards the city of Sderot and were intercepted. Hamas was also observed firing rockets at Israeli civilians from within the Al-Mawasi humanitarian zone designated by the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) as a “safe zone,” deliberately endangering Palestinian civilians, an Israeli spokesman said on Thursday.
——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
Reports of multiple ATGM and mortar shell launches towards Mount Dov area.
NOTE - The radar and other sensors on Mt Dov continue to be a target and are critical to Israeli strategic defenses.
IDF continues to respond to these attacks using combinations o artillery, and tank fire as well as airstrikes.
——— SYRIA / HEZBOLLAH / IRAN———————————-
Number of rockets were fired from Syria, impacted open areas in Buq’ata in the northern part of the Golan Heights.
Sounds of explosions were heard in the southwestern Damascus countryside and the Quneitra countryside, resulting from Israeli bombing in response to the firing of a missile from Syria at the town of Baqatha in the Golan.
———WEST BANK——————————-
Israeli security forces continue to operate to capture Hamas and affiliated terrorists.
Confrontations broke out with Israeli security forces in the Wadi al-Joz neighborhood in Jerusalem
———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————
Iranian militias targeted the Conoco oil field base east of Deir Ezzor with a number of rockets.
———INTERNATIONAL ——————————-
The Jordanian King, in a phone call with the US President, calls for an immediate ceasefire in Gaza and the protection of civilians
——— FORECAST ————————-
Bottom Line Up Front (BLUF) - Israel continues the methodical elimination of Hamas forces throughout Gaza. The lightening strike on Khan Yunis is moving fast and Israel may have the terror center of S Gaza sealed off within days.
Much ado was made about the Hamas terrorists sitting in their underwear pending transport to a holding facility. This is standard POW fare and is to ensure Israelis are not surprised by hidden weaponry. It also serves as a psychological hit to the prisoner. The second reason they were circulated was to further demoralize Hamas and affiliated terrorists. Mass surrenders are big, especially when dealing with religiously influenced islamic zealotry . Another fact not to be ignored is that this is the result of the lighting offensive into Khan Yunis that is proving to have caught Hamas unprepared.
biden via blinken is trying to sabotage the Israeli war effort by trying to enforce unrealistic and unachievable efforts to minimize civilian casualties. As I’ve noted before, Israel has consistently gone out of their way to warn civilians out of combat zones. Hamas OTOH, continues to purposefully place its operations right in the middle of civilians - note the rockets launched from the Al-Mawasi humanitarian zone from above. Along with this are the constant bleats of a new ceasefire and two state solution. Hamas has already pretty well ruled out further hostage exchanges and Israel is done playing the hostage game.
Venezuela - Increasing potential for war
The United States has said it will conduct joint flight drills with Guyana amid growing border tensions between Guyana and Venezuela.
The statement said the drills were part of “routine engagement and operations to enhance [the] security partnership between the United States and Guyana” but has been widely interpreted as an effort to deter military intervention by Venezuela.
Caracas rejected the US announcement of flights as a “provocation”.
Reuters reported that Brazil’s army intelligence has detected a build-up in Venezuelan forces near the border with Guyana, citing an unnamed senior military official.
OBSERVATION - This is increasingly looking like a fight the US will put boots on the ground over.
Globally, things appear to have attained a new plateau and even backing down a bit. However, the world is never going to return to the likes of the BEFORE YEARS, so time to shake off the normalcy bias and get a grasp of what is the new norm.
Globalism / Great Reset –
“We’ve got to cut down on farming due to ‘Climate Change’…or people are going to starve…” -John Kerry
OBSERVATION - Another example of the absurdity coming out of COP28.
***
Senior climate experts are calling for an overhaul of the structure and powers of the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change in despair at the slow pace of climate action.
Five lead authors of IPCC reports told the Guardian that scientists should be given the right to make policy prescriptions and, potentially, to oversee their implementation by the 195 states signed up to the UN framework convention on climate change (UNFCCC).
…
Yamina Saheb, the lead author of a chapter in AR6, said: “I would like to see a situation where scientists make recommendations and then you track them. You ask governments to sign off on what they will do and then you evaluate how much progress they have made.”
…
“I think this Cop will demonstrate the impossibility of viable climate diplomacy while the fossil fuel industry runs so many governments and infiltrates negotiating teams,” Steinberger said.
…
Not all IPCC scientists agree. Joyashree Roy, a coordinating lead author on AR6, argued that the IPCC was already becoming more independent and that transforming it into an oversight group would lead to “fragmented decisions [that] cannot solve this unique problem for humanity”.
…
Read more:
https://amp.theguardian.com/environment/2023/dec/07/we-need-power-to-prescribe-climate-policy-ipcc-scientists-say
OBSERVATION - A technical ‘elite’ unelected, dictating how our lives are to be lived. In the broader picture this is one of the goals of the WEF - a technocracy dictating to the underclass.
CW2 / Domestic violence - Heightened THREAT
Scattered pro-hamas protests continue to disrupt Christmas events and celebrations. Threats have been enough for many locations to cancel Hanukkah celebrations.
Terrorism - Level is HIGH due to increased lone wolf threats.
Attacks continue on Jewish individuals, especially in NYC.
Wuhan and other “new” Plandemics – HEIGHTENED ALERT STATUS
Authorities in China have started testing people for COVID-19 again in hospitals and transportation hubs as a wave of respiratory disease tears through the country, according to local residents and government directives.
As parents and children continued to flock to pediatric clinics and emergency rooms in Beijing with severe respiratory disease, hospitals are once more performing COVID-19 tests on patients, although there has been little on the news regarding a resurgence of the virus, new variants of which are emerging globally.
Chinese health officials have acknowledged the spike in pneumonia and other respiratory cases, blaming a cocktail of pathogens including mycoplasma pneumonia, respiratory syncytial virus, seasonal influenza and COVID-19.
OBSERVATION - While there are many that are poo-pooing this outbreak as propaganda to corrupt the 2024 election, I remain vigilant. China’s economy is still reverberating from the draconian lockdowns of wuhan 1.0 and now is looking into the abyss of more potential lock downs. It has been pretty well established that those who got the jab - especially the 4 jab series - have had their immune systems compromised and more susceptible to regular diseases. Keep alert to how this outbreak progresses.
POLITICAL FRONT –
Implications that hunter’s recent indictments are serving a a ruse to prevent testimony before congress. Concerns that Fed prosecutors will keep the indictments in place long enough to protect biden thru the election, then drop the charges all together.
Biden / Harris Watch –
biden on high-speed rail investments today: “Over a billion three hundred million trillion three hundred million dollars!”
Further RUMINT that biden is so adle minded that he wanders around the residential quarters at the WH at night naked and has to be drugged up for public appearances.
OBSERVATION - I initially thought biden wouldn’t last a year before his mental illness would cause him to be put of office. Clearly the powers that be found him to be drugable and controllable as a puppet, keeping him in office. Now there is every evidence that they are trying to give him the hint that he needs to step down.
Illegal Immigration –
Massive daily numbers still pouring into the US.
China –
See “wuhan” above.
***
China is experiencing a full banking system collapse. With local government debts exceeding $13 trillion USD equivalents (90% are in default) and $4 trillion in real estate losses, China only has $2 trillion in bank equity.
OBSERVATION - China is facing a disaster and has been able to paper over it by govt intervention so far. It has caused an economic slump that has affected the world in positive and negative ways. To distract from these woes, Xi may be motivated to play the Taiwan card even more.
Russia -
WAR WATCH - into the second year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022
CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Updated Nov 12, 2023
Russia is struggling to gain the initiative on several fronts in easter Ukraine. Attacks to take Adviivka, located near occupied Donetsk has been their priority as well as further north. However, it is on a defensive footing across most of Ukraine.
The Russian army has lost a considerable amount of armor/tanks and personnel in the fight to take Adviivka, causing that offensive to stall considerably and resort to “meat” attacks.
With the arrival of the muddy season, significant offensive actions by Russia are unlikely.
Ukrainian action has forced Russia to move forces laterally to meet the Ukraine advance - thinning critical portions of the line and making them vulnerable to assault.
Russia’s strategic ballistic and cruise missiles continue to show evidence of massively reduced inventories. With the onset of winter, it is believed that Russian is shepherding its stockpile of missiles/drones for an effort to take down the Ukraine power grid as it did last year. This task has become increasingly difficult as Ukraine adds air defense systems and gets better coverage.
The Russian Black Sea fleet is is essentially impotent and hesitant to deploy into now contested waters. Ukraine’s recent attacks on ships in Crimean harbors has forced the majority of the fleet to redeploying out of Crimea and to Russian bases, about 600 Km further away from the front lines.
Russian leadership reportedly planning for a long duration conflict, hoping to wear the Ukraine army down and cause European allies to tire of their support - forcing some sort of cease fire and negotiated peace.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temps in the 20-30 degree range with mostly cloudy conditions and more snow towards the end of the forecast period.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Weather continues to slow fighting. The two hot spots of Bakhmut and Adviivka have been the busiest.
Outlook —-
Weather and mud conditions are dictating operations. As such, the tempo has slowed considerably for both sides. Russia, however, still is taking very high estimated losses, in the 900-1000 KIA range on a daily basis, and is having very little to nothing to show from it. Stubby pencil math indicates that at those rates (which have been steady for over a month now), they are losing nearly 9,000 every week and that is close to 2% of their fighting force of roundly 400,000 every week.
Belarus -
Some remnants of Wagner still training in country.
ISRAEL –
Key overnight developments -
- US vetos UNSC resolution demanding an immediate cease fire.
- IDF is essentially in full control of N Gaza, closing in on Hamas command bunkers in S Gaza.
- Among recent Hamas POWs, UN paid employees have been arrested as well, fighting for/with Hamas against Israel.
——— GENERAL ——————————-
The United States on Friday vetoed a United Nations Security Council demand for an immediate humanitarian ceasefire in the war between Israel and Hamas in Gaza, diplomatically isolating Washington as it shields its ally.
Thirteen Security Council members voted in favor of a brief draft resolution, put forward by the United Arab Emirates, while Britain abstained.
The vote came after UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres made a rare move on Wednesday to formally warn the 15-member council of a global threat from the two-month-long war.
Hamas denounces U.S. use of its veto power against a draft resolution demanding a ceasefire in Gaza
***
Families of Israelis being held hostage by Hamas were reprimanded by representatives of the Red Cross in a meeting earlier this week, with the Red Cross telling one family they need to “think about the Palestinian side,” KAN reported on Thursday night.
Roni and Simona, the parents of Doron Steinbrecher who was kidnapped by Hamas terrorists from Kfar Azza on October 7, were invited to a meeting with the Red Cross earlier this week.
Doron needs a medication she takes daily and her parents thought that the Red Cross was finally willing to transfer the medication to her, but instead they were sat down and reprimanded by representatives of the Red Cross.
“Think about the Palestinian side,” the representatives of the Red Cross told Simona, according to KAN. “It’s hard for the Palestinians, they’re being bombed.”
NOTE TO THE RED CROSS - They wouldn’t be getting bombed if the Hamas terrorists - who are popularly supported by these same Gazans - hadn’t violated a ceasefire and ruthlessly invaded Israel murdering over 1000 and taking over 200 hostage.
***
Increasing numbers of videos on social networks showing Hamas stealing relief supplies for themselves. In some instances, civilians are trying to fight back by throwing rocks and what ever.
——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-
A senior Israeli official told Israeli Defense Forces “have made significant progress” in the northern part of the Gaza Strip, but that the operation in the southern city of Khan Younis, where Israel believes Hamas leadership is located, “has just started.”
Khan Younis is reported to be surrounded by Israeli forces from eastern and northern sides. The tanks are slowly moving towards the Jalal Street, which is one of the main streets that lead to the heart of the city. Local, fierce fire fights when IDF hits a Hamas command area with bunkers - commonly around schools and mosques.
Hamas still manages to get smaller and smaller rocket barrages into the air towards Israel, but have become inconsequential to the war.
——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
Reports of multiple ATGM/mortar shell launches towards Mount Dov area.
IDF conducts counter fire operations into Lebanese territory .
———WEST BANK——————————-
Israeli security forces continue to operate to capture Hamas and affiliated terrorists.
———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————
The U.S. embassy in Baghdad was attacked by mortar fire on Friday morning that caused minor material damage but no casualties, U.S. and Iraqi officials said.
Explosions were heard near the embassy in the capital city of Iraq at approximately 4:15 a.m. on Friday. An embassy spokesperson then confirmed the U.S. Embassy was attacked, adding: “Assessments are ongoing, but there are no reported casualties on the Embassy compound.”
***
The United States informed Israel that it would lead a response to attacks in the Red Sea and the Gulf of Aden by the Houthis, a Shiite Islamist militant group based in North Yemen.
In a Thursday report, The Wall Street Journal cited unnamed government officials as attesting to the dialogue, which is intended to keep Israel’s war against the Hamas-controlled Gaza Strip from expanding.
The news came after a series of missile launches at commercial vessels by the Houthis, which the Islamic Republic of Iran backs.
———INTERNATIONAL ——————————-
Egypt’s envoy to the United Nations: What is happening in Gaza is a “genocidal war against the Palestinian people”
***
Qatari Foreign Minister: There must be a ceasefire in Gaza
***
Russia said that reports of proposals to flood the tunnels were shocking and warned that “if done, this will be a war crime.”
“Such flooding could be considered analogous to ‘do not spare them’ order, but it is not only about that and not only about civilians who may be in those tunnels,” the statement read. “Of course, there most likely will be civilians, for where else would they go from the indiscriminate bombing of Gaza.”
——— FORECAST ————————-
Increasing international pressure for a unilateral ceasefire by Israel continues to grow. Such calls have completely ignored the fact that Hamas as consistently been the ceasefire breaker and still holds over 100 hostages in violation of international law. That simple fact alone has helped bulwarked Israel’s resolve to wipe out Hamas.
Currently, the US still nominally supports Israel’s efforts to eliminate Hamas, but is increasingly falling under the influence - both foreign and domestically - to pro-hamas / anti-israel factions. The US’ lone veto in the UNSC is evidence of the growing isolation and how much longer the US will remain supportive remains to be seen. Already Blinken is demanding Israel not to hurt civilians.
Again, I’d like to point out Israel has done far more than any other country ever to warn civilians out of combat zones and use precision weapons to limit collateral damages and deaths. Hamas deliberately places their rocket firing positions and munitions storage as well as bunkers to maximize any civilian losses in a strike. One Hamas figure reportedly said recently that they are willing to sacrifice Gazans in this war as human shields.
Israel’s ground operations continue to move faster than expected as Hamas’ resistance continues to crumble and leadership continues to be taken out. This leaves uncoordinated and isolated cells to confront the better organized and lead IDF . Operations will continue for some time as bunkers and their entrances continue to be located and liquidated.
Finally, the potential for Hezbollah and Iran getting more directly involved in the war remains low. At this stage, they see Hama’s tactics failing fast and likely too far gone for any support to be of any benefit to Hamas, but full of very negative consequences to them. Israel is too prepped and ready to rumble. If Israel turns towards clearing S Lebanon after getting things mostly wrapped up in Gaza, this could be another matter. However, I still expect that Israel’s own estimates of several months to complete the Gaza operation is valid and that would be the initial window I’m most worried about.
We already have seen what science can do and how it affects the nation
with Mr. "I AM SCIENCE" Fauci and his "gain-of-function" research, and the authority to see its single response implementation .
Thus far, there has been no accountability nor responsibility ascribed since Mr. "I AM SCIENCE" Fauci for ignoring already known medical methods and possible medications.
Also, joining him is the CDC 'scientists' who totally and purposely ignored their VIERS adverse reactions on their information website.
The effects of "Kancel Kulture" still exist, and are not scientifically based.
That was my first reaction when I heard charges were coming out of California. Just one more way for the corrupt 'legal' system to protect Hunter and the Big Guy.
Not only fauci et al, but my community keeps hard pushing it even though data speaks otherwise.
Most definitely, or could be considered to be a warning for Biden to “gracefully “ back out of 2024.
Globalism / Great Reset –
French Energy Minister Agnes Pannier-Runacher said Saturday she was “stunned” after the oil cartel OPEC urged its members to thwart any deal targeting fossil fuels at the COP28 conference.
“I am stunned by these statements from OPEC+. And I am angry,” she said from the climate conference in Dubai, adding that “OPEC+’s position endangers the most vulnerable countries and the poorest populations who are the first victims of this situation”.
The minister said she was “counting on the presidency of the COP not to be influenced by these declarations, and to reach an agreement which affirms a clear objective of phasing out fossil fuels”.
OBSERVATION - All is not well for the end fossil fuel contingent at COP. France may want to freeze to death in the dark, but OPEC nations would rather keep warm.
CW2 / Domestic violence - Heightened THREAT
Friday and Saturday were busy days for pro-hamas protestors. Pro-hamas protesters LA vandalized buildings near synagogues, as well as a nearby church, with anti-Israel graffiti on Friday night after demonstrating against President Joe Biden at a nearby fundraiser on Friday night.
Terrorism - Level is HIGH due to increased lone wolf threats.
Attacks continue on Jewish individuals and facilities, especially in NYC.
Military / Strategic Activity / Deployments –
The veil of secrecy over the X-37B continues ahead of its launch Sunday at 8:14 p.m. Eastern on its seventh mission. But this time there are some clues that at least something is different.
(T)he drone, which flies without anyone on board, is to be launched for the first time on SpaceX’s powerful Falcon Heavy, which is more powerful than the rockets that have launched it in the past. That’s led to speculation that the mission will be in a much higher orbit, which appears to be the case according to recent documents. SpaceX won the $130 million contract for the launch in 2018.
Still, what it might do in that higher orbit remains unknown
POLITICAL FRONT –
A clip of an Oct. 28 address given at Oxford University in the UK has gone viral (oddly, or not, within a day of the former speaker’s endorsement of Donald Trump), in which the former speaker sings the praises of the Democratic party, while slamming Republicans just three weeks after his ouster as House Speaker.
“When you look at the Democrats, they actually look like America. When I look at my party, we look like the most restrictive country club in America,” McCarthy said to laughter and applause.
OBSERVATION - Yet this slime ball is pandering for a cabinet position with Trump WH.
Biden / Harris Watch –
Again - hold polls at this stage at arms length as they tend to be trying to shape perception and attitudes and not so much actual views.
With that said, another left leaning polling outfit is out with troublesome data for democrats. With Biden’s approval rating reaching a new low, former President Donald Trump has taken the lead over the incumbent in the hypothetical 2024 presidential race, according to the latest poll by The Wall Street Journal.
This is the first time Trump has led Biden in the poll as the incumbent’s approval rating has reached a new low in the poll at 37% (and a record-high 61% disapproval). Trump has a 4-point edge outside the margin of error (47%-43%) among registered voters in the head-to-head matchup.
The poll also debunks the narratives that third-party and independent candidates might help Biden against Trump. Trump’s lead expands to 6 points (37%-31%) when five other candidates are added to the poll.
OBSERVATION - Again, I don’t embrace polls unconditionally. However, a number of historically left leaning polling out fits are giving the same results - Trump is ahead. I think this reflects two things - Trump has the support and second, there is an effort to try to convince biden’s handlers to call it quits so the democrats can get someone more electable in place. If these polls hold out, the dems will be hard pressed to fabricate the numbers of fake votes to keep biden in office.
As substitutes , both Harris and Newscum are not that popular either.
Cyber attacks/warfare – HEIGHTENED ALERT
The United States, South Korea and Japan agreed new initiatives on Saturday to respond to North Korea’s threats in cyberspace, including cryptocurrency abuses and space launches, White House National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan said.
Illegal Immigration –
Border Patrol agents working the nine southwest border sectors apprehended more than 50,000 migrants during the first week of December, according to unofficial Border Patrol reports obtained by Breitbart Texas. The Del Rio and Tucson Sectors lead the list with the most apprehensions.
According to unofficial Border Patrol reports reviewed by Breitbart Texas, agents assigned to the southwest border apprehended just over 50,000 migrants during the first seven days of December. This follows a total of at least 379,000 apprehended in October and November. If the December average daily apprehension rate of more than 7,000 migrants continues, the agency could apprehend nearly 224,000 migrants by the end of the month.
OBSERVATION - These numbers are exploding. Short of massive sweeps of cities, the efforts to deport the numerous illegals that have poured into the country are reaching the impossible zone.
***
On Thursday, New York City Mayor Eric Adams went to Washington, DC, for the 10th time, to plead for help from Biden but admitted, “help is not on its way.”
“I did not leave with optimism,” Adams said to reporters on Friday.
OBSERVATION - Heads up Mayor Adams, the regime could care less about your problems. They are deliberately causing them.
China –
A Philippine boat and Chinese ship have collided near a contested reef, in the latest territorial dispute between the two countries in the South China Sea.
The Philippines said China had “harassed, blocked, and executed dangerous manoeuvres”.
It comes a day after the Philippines accused China of using water cannons to obstruct three of its vessels.
The South China Sea is at the centre of a territorial dispute between China, the Philippines and other countries.
The Philippines said on Sunday that China had targeted Philippine civilian supply vessels in the Second Thomas Shoal in the Spratly Islands, a flashpoint between the two countries.
One of two boats carrying provisions was “rammed” by a Chinese coast guard ship, the National Task Force for the West Philippine Sea said in a statement.
It also accused China of causing “severe damage” to the engine of one boat after using water cannon.
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-67668930
OBSERVATION - China continues their aggressive blockade of the island. I wonder just how soon the Philippines will call on the US to honor its treaty and send a ship to defend Philippine vessels.
Phillipines –
See China above
Russia -
WAR WATCH - into the second year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022
CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Updated Nov 12, 2023
Russia is struggling to gain the initiative on several fronts in easter Ukraine. Attacks to take Adviivka, located near occupied Donetsk has been their priority as well as further north. However, it is on a defensive footing across most of Ukraine.
The Russian army has lost a considerable amount of armor/tanks and personnel in the fight to take Adviivka, causing that offensive to stall considerably and resort to “meat” attacks.
With the arrival of the muddy season, significant offensive actions by Russia are unlikely.
Ukrainian action has forced Russia to move forces laterally to meet the Ukraine advance - thinning critical portions of the line and making them vulnerable to assault.
Russia’s strategic ballistic and cruise missiles continue to show evidence of massively reduced inventories. With the onset of winter, it is believed that Russian is shepherding its stockpile of missiles/drones for an effort to take down the Ukraine power grid as it did last year. This task has become increasingly difficult as Ukraine adds air defense systems and gets better coverage.
The Russian Black Sea fleet is is essentially impotent and hesitant to deploy into now contested waters. Ukraine’s recent attacks on ships in Crimean harbors has forced the majority of the fleet to redeploying out of Crimea and to Russian bases, about 600 Km further away from the front lines.
Russian leadership reportedly planning for a long duration conflict, hoping to wear the Ukraine army down and cause European allies to tire of their support - forcing some sort of cease fire and negotiated peace.
Economic Impact –
Russian Federal Antimonopoly Service plans to introduce a ban on increasing food prices in 2024 by more than 30% within 60 days. The corresponding bill, developed on behalf of Deputy Prime Minister Andrei Belousov, has already been sent to the government.
NOTE - Economics was one of the major contributors to the fall of the Soviet Union. Economics is causing similar disruption today. Many of the areas hardest hit are outside the realm of Moscow, in rural areas in the eastern half of the nation.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temps in the 20-30 degree range with mostly cloudy conditions and more snow towards the end of the forecast period.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Weather continues to slow fighting. Russian forces continue to press the attacks at Bakhmut and Adviivka.
Outlook —-
Weather and mud conditions are dictating operations. Russia’s drive to continue the attacks combined with shortages of munitions for Ukrainian forces have caused Russia to regain the initiative in some portions of the front. Though those attacks come with a high loss, there has been some success in pushing Ukraine back. They seem to be back to the tactic that they will out bleed Ukraine.
Any related ‘break through’ of Ukranian lines is not expected because Ukraine has demonstrated the discipline to fall back to alternative positions and Russia just doesn’t have the mobile forces to exploit - especially during the mud season. Ukraine’s down tempo may also indicate rest, refit and rearm for winter offensive operations.
ISRAEL –
Key overnight developments -
- Israel continues to systematically reduce Hamas resistance throughout Gaza.
- Mass surrender of Hamas forces appear to be on the increase.
——— GENERAL ——————————-
Netanyahu speaking to government officials - International pressures to end the war are not compatible with supporting the elimination of Hamas
***
Abu Obaydah, Hamas’ spokesman, has been absent from Hamas video publications since the end of November. Since Friday, Palestinian Arab media has reported that he was either killed or seriously injured in an IDF attack last week.
***
More than twice as many Democrats (50%) as Republicans (21%) say that the Israeli government bears “a lot” of responsibility for the war against the Hamas terror organization in the Gaza Strip. That’s according to a new poll that the Pew Research Center conducted of 5,203 adults between Nov. 27 and Dec. 3.
***
Despite Egypt’s continuous and public opposition to Gazans entering its territory following Israel’s war against Hamas, Cairo is preparing for the possibility such a scenario would happen against its will.
***
Israeli hostage Sahar Baruch, 25, an engineering student who was abducted from Kibbutz Be’eri on October 7, has been killed in Gaza — and the Hamas terrorist group is blaming Israel, saying that he was killed during an attempted rescue earlier this week.
Hamas released a propaganda this week video showing a blood-soaked floor and staircase, suggesting a body having been dragged through a building, and then showing Baruch’s bloodied, battered body (which Breitbart News will not publish). Israeli sources confirmed his death, and the community of Kibbutz Be’eri said that Hamas itself had murdered Baruch in captivity.
The official number of hostages in Gaza is 138.
That said, the IDF has confirmed the deaths of 18 of the hostages following intelligence and findings obtained by troops inside Gaza.
——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-
Action in both N and S Gaza resulted in more mass surrenders of multiple dozens of Hamas and affiliated fighters, while in other sectors, fierce fighting has locally broken out.
In one instance, over 100 armed Hamas terrorists surrendered in Jabalia, N Gaza overnight. Even more now being reported in Khan Yunis.
Unconfirmed reports that many of those surrendering to the IDF report that they had lost all communications with higher headquarters and had no instructions on how to continue the fight.
Israeli tanks have reportedly battled their way to the center of Khan Younis on Sunday in a major new push into the heart of the main city in the southern Gaza Strip.
After a lull of 20 hours, rocket sirens sound in the Gaza border communities of Yad Mordechai and Netiv Ha’assara. This is the largest gap between rocket attacks from Gaza, aside from the week-long truce.
IDF Spokesperson, Rear Admiral Daniel Hagari said in his daily statement, regarding the report stating that Hamas leader in Gaza Yahya Sinwar and the head of the military wing, Mohammed Deif, fled to Khan Yunis, that IDF is hunting them around the clock. “Military Intelligence, the Air Force, Southern Command - around the clock, we are searching for them,” he said. “And we are also reaching them, wherever they are.” He emphasized, ‘Anywhere in the Gaza Strip, we will target anyone involved in attacks, and certainly the leaders of Hamas.”
NOTE - This is not a surprise, the ‘pause’ was designed to allow Hamas leadership to exfiltrate into the south. However, the quick strike into Khan Younis may have pinned him and his henchmen down and unable to make it out of Gaza.
——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
Israeli warplanes flew over Dahiye and Beirut International Airport. Al-Arabiya security sources also report that Israeli warplanes flew over Mount Lebanon, the North, and the Bekaa Valley.
IDF launched some of the largest strikes into S Lebanon in recent days while Hezbollah/Hamas continued harassment attacks.
———WEST BANK——————————-
Israeli security forces continued operations in the area, preemptively hitting hamas affiliated terror cells and leaders.
———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————
The Islamic Resistance in Iraq claims responsibility for yesterday’s 11 attacks on US forces in Iraq and Syria. Islamic Resistance in Iraq is the umbrella group for Kataib Hezbollah, Al-nujabaa and Kataib Sayyed Al-Shuhadaa.
The talks over a military response to Houthi attacks on shipping are at a preliminary stage and both the US and partners still favor diplomacy over direct confrontation, said the people, who asked not to be identified due to the sensitivity of the matter. That said, the fact the discussions are taking place at all underscores how seriously the US takes the threat, the people added. This follows several Pentagon officials complaining to US media outlets over the lack of response from President Biden over the increased attacks from the Houthis.
Houthi rebels in Yemen yesterday announced that they will start attacking all ships which are on their way to, or departing, Israeli ports. They are trying to use the narrow Bab Al-Mandab Strait to impose a maritime blockade of Israel.
A French Navy FREMM class frigate just shot down 2 drones over the Red Sea launched by the Houthi rebels in Yemen
———INTERNATIONAL ——————————-
Pressure continues for Israel to unilaterally cease fire for ‘humanitarian’ purposes. Movement hasn’t gained much traction since the revelations from the last ‘pause’ of hostage abuse (and Hamas currently refuses to bring the remaining hostages to the negotiation table), and cooperation between UN / NGOs assisting in the fight and knowingly holding some hostages.
——— FORECAST ————————-
While Israel continues to mop up Hamas and affiliated forces, the calls for a unilateral ceasefire continue but are failing to gain traction. Israel has no motivation to do so as Hamas refuses to release hostages and Israel is eliminating large portions of jihadi fighters.
Some big ticket items watching out for is the surrender or death of Yahya Sinwar and the head of the military wing, Mohammed Deif. Along with this is the continued mass surrender of Hamas and affiliated forces.
Houthi’s will continue to attack shipping and it will take a serious counter strike by US/allied forces to convince them to discontinue them. I don’t anticipate any shock and awe attacks, on symbolic ones. As with the other islamic groups, they only respect power and will see such weak strikes as evidence of weakness.
Black Swans
A powerful storm system brought snow, wind and heavy rainfall across the eastern U.S. this weekend also brought with it deadly tornadoes that tore across parts of the South on Saturday.
Officials in Montgomery County said they have confirmed at least three deaths and nearly two dozen injuries as a result of a tornado that tore through the Clarksville area, one of the largest cities in Tennessee. Officials in Nashville confirmed there have been at least three deaths there after a tornado ripped across the northern side of the metro area.
OBSERVATION - The immediate view is the growing chaos from the multiple wars and political strife in the world today. However, in my threat matrix I keep an eye on Mother Nature. Unpredictable for the most part, natural disasters can heap troubles on humanity above and beyond that of war and political protests.
Be alert to your home area. Seasonal changes bring floods, fires, tornados, hurricanes etc. Active fault zones and tsunami prone regions too. Your preparations should be broad enough to cover these as well as political / societal storms.
.... but fabricate, they will. They don't care how obviously they cheat. It was glaringly obvious in 2020, yet any attempt to challenge the cheat was framed as insurrection and prosecuted vigorously.
I expect the Democraps to double down, and start summarily executing anyone who spreads 'misinformation'.
BTW: Later today, I see the new movie about you. :^)
I'm jelly, it won't hit the little theatre here for a couple more weeks at best. Reviews say it is excellent - enjoy.
We don't have to use massive sweeps. The Cartels have the names and addresses of all the folks who still owe them and are making payments. Also when we go to war with the cartels, they'll hand over the info on most of the rest of 'em.
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