Dec 7th, a day that will live in infamy.
Today, our country has been set up for possible equivalent attacks across several sectors, and the WEF driven agendas of the biden regime are only making matters worse. Many commentators suggest that 2024 could be the most dangerous period in our country’s history. This is not national paranoia, but rational examination of all the goings on in the country - economic, politically, militarily, socially, etc. It is scary to think that we may look at 2023 as good times, but realities going back to 0bama show otherwise.
Globalism / Great Reset –
COP28 continues.
CW2 / Domestic violence - Heightened THREAT
It seems that the pro-hamas elements / protests have plateaued off or even declined slightly over the past week. They still have some traction to pull supporters for action events, but recent revelations of Hamas additional atrocities and lies may have taken some steam out of them.
Universities remain a hot bed for anti-Israeli sentiment however, the disgusting testimony of three Ivy League college presidents - with their sudden backpedaling the next day - indicates that the campus leaders may be realizing that they are on increasingly thin ice. This may put a chill in some support to pro-hamas campus groups and their rallies and protests.
Terrorism - Level is HIGH due to increased lone wolf threats.
DHS is warning of increased terror threats. However, to me they are still inferring that the primary threat is still from white Christian conservatives.
Economy-
Crude oil prices drop below $70/barrel for the first time since July 2023. Since the September 28th high, oil prices are now down ~27%. Meanwhile, the national average gas price is down for 10-straight weeks to $3.25/gallon.
OBSERVATION - Early this year OPEC+ set production goals and prices expecting China’s economy to finally get rebooted. This hasn’t happened and its economy has continued to falter. Drops in oil consumption are a symptom of an incipient recession - no industrial demand. The drop in prices, even after another significant production reduction accentuates the economic realities of a likely recession.
POLITICAL FRONT –
Fourth presidential ‘debate’ was held last night. Lots of personal attacks, but little on issues passing today. None of the candidates on the stage even come close to Trump who didn’t attend..
OBSERVATION - Some pundits think these debates are essentially to see who will fill the VP portion of the ticket. However, they haven’t bothered to discuss this with Trump. I cannot see him having a #2 who is openly willing to stab him in the back again.
Biden / Harris Watch –
biden was confronted on his interactions with hunter’s business ‘partners’. He called it a lie and then walked out of the press conference. CNN later showed the receipts documenting biden was the one lying.
Illegal Immigration –
Per CBP sources, there were more than 12,000 migrant encounters at the southern border yesterday, the highest single day total ever recorded. This includes 10,200+ Border Patrol apprehensions of illegal immigrants, amongst the highest daily totals for BP ever recorded.
OBSERVATON - The border situation is completely coming unraveled even more - if that was ever possible to begin with. Even more illegals are getting into position south of the border to cross in another massive wave.
Russia -
WAR WATCH - into the second year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022
CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Updated Nov 12, 2023
Russia is struggling to gain the initiative on several fronts in easter Ukraine. Attacks to take Adviivka, located near occupied Donetsk has been their priority as well as further north. However, it is on a defensive footing across most of Ukraine.
The Russian army has lost a considerable amount of armor/tanks and personnel in the fight to take Adviivka, causing that offensive to stall considerably and resort to “meat” attacks.
With the arrival of the muddy season, significant offensive actions by Russia are unlikely.
Ukrainian action has forced Russia to move forces laterally to meet the Ukraine advance - thinning critical portions of the line and making them vulnerable to assault.
Russia’s strategic ballistic and cruise missiles continue to show evidence of massively reduced inventories. With the onset of winter, it is believed that Russian is shepherding its stockpile of missiles/drones for an effort to take down the Ukraine power grid as it did last year. This task has become increasingly difficult as Ukraine adds air defense systems and gets better coverage.
The Russian Black Sea fleet is is essentially impotent and hesitant to deploy into now contested waters. Ukraine’s recent attacks on ships in Crimean harbors has forced the majority of the fleet to redeploying out of Crimea and to Russian bases, about 600 Km further away from the front lines.
Russian leadership reportedly planning for a long duration conflict, hoping to wear the Ukraine army down and cause European allies to tire of their support - forcing some sort of cease fire and negotiated peace.
*****
putin continues his middle east meetings in an apparent effort to shore up support for his regime in the region.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temps in the 20-30 degree range with mostly cloudy conditions and more snow towards the end of the forecast period.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Moderately busy day with Ukrainian air defense shot down 15 of 18 Shahed drones overnight. Most of the artillery and infantry fighting continued sporadically along the eastern and southern fronts.
Significant statement from the biden regime are ominous. John Kirby is prepping the press corps for a NATO vs Russia war with America ground troops:
“If you think the cost of supporting Ukraine is high now, just imagine how much higher it’s gonna be, not just in national treasure but in American blood!”
biden and Sec Def Austin have threatened to put US boots on the ground in Ukraine if congress fails to pass additional aid for Ukraine. This is a serious raising of the stakes between the House Republicans and biden.
OBSERVATION - How willing is biden to commit US forces to directly engage Russians in Ukraine? One thing is for certain, such an act prior to the 2024 elections will certainly increase the level of chaos into the campaigns as well as further degrade our overall military readiness.
Outlook —-
Weather and mud conditions are dictating operations. No real significant battles today, just a continuation of minor skirmishes.
What is needed to be noticed is the continued absence of Russian high tech missiles. They continue to rely on Shahed drones. Neither the Black Sea missile cruisers, or Strategic bombers have sortied out in months. This suggests that Russia is building their stockpile of these weapons while trying to force Ukraine to waste air defense resources on the cheaper drones.
ISRAEL –
Key overnight developments -
- UN Sec Gen invokes Art 99 of the UN charter.
- Unconfirmed reports that Israeli forces have surrounded the house of Yahiya Sinwar, the Hamas leader responsible for the October 7th attack.
- Israel has started pumping seawater into Hamas tunnels.
——— GENERAL ——————————-
United Nations (UN) Secretary-General António Guterres on Wednesday invoked Article 99 of the UN charter for the first time, citing a “severe risk of collapse of the humanitarian system in Gaza,” as the war rages on between Israel and militant group Hamas. The invocation of Article 99 allows the UN secretary-general to bring the attention of the security council to “any matter which in his opinion may threaten the maintenance of international peace and security,” per the UN. Gutteres called on the Security Council to “press to avert a humanitarian catastrophe,” and reiterated his “urgent appeal for a humanitarian cease-fire to allow the means of survival” to be restored and the safe and timely delivery of aid to Gaza.
Israel’s foreign minister accused United Nations Secretary-General Antonio Guterres of supporting Palestinian terror group Hamas, called for his resignation, and said his tenure as head of the world body was “a danger to world peace,” in a furious reaction on Wednesday to Guterres’ letter urging an immediate ceasefire in the war between Israel and Hamas and his invocation of a rare clause in the UN charter to urge Security Council intervention.
——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-
Observers note that air strikes throughout Gaza are essentially ‘non-stop’.
Hamas launched rocket attacks towards Sderot and the Gaza Strip settlements.
Israel has made further gains in the south of Gaza city, and also advanced into the Jabalia camp.
Though Israel reported that it has Khan Yunis ‘surrounded’, battle tracking by OSINT folks do not see closure, although they admit their data may be relatively old.
The IDF has advanced into the centre of Khan Yunis. Their advance has followed 2 main routes, one from the northeast and one from the east.
The Israel Defense Forces’ 98th Division, which includes the Commando Brigade and other special forces, is spearheading the fight at Khan Yunis. IDF Spokesperson Rear Adm. Daniel Hagari announced on Wednesday evening, adding that Hamas was surprised by the raid. From the outset, the troops eliminated a number of terrorists and with aerial support, located approximately 30 tunnel shafts and destroyed them,”
The 98th is one of the most elite units of the IDF and historically the go to force when they want something done and done quickly.
The folks at War mapper provide the latest ground action map
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GAs4G3SXwAAoAo5?format=jpg&name=4096x4096
(War mapper)
——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
Hezbollah/Hamas continued to fire ATGMs, mortars and rockets into N Israel and the IDF responding with artillery and airstrikes.
***
Defense Minister Gallant to the heads of regional/local councils and mayors in northern Israel: “The evacuees will not return until the UNSC Resolution 1701 will not be implemented and Hezbollah will leave southern Lebanon beyond the Litani river, low chances that this will be achieved through diplomatic means and if not, military force will be used”
———WEST BANK——————————-
Israeli security forces continue to operate to capture Hamas and affiliated terrorists.
Israeli security forces storm the Jalazoun camp, north of Ramallah.
———INTERNATIONAL ——————————-
G7: Regional parties must stop destabilizing activities, and we call on Iran to refrain from providing support to Hamas, Hezbollah, and the Houthis.
Global leaders continue to call on Israel to ‘limit civilian casualities”, which is essentially a euphemism for a unilateral cease fire. Literally, no other military force has gone as far as Israel has to warn civilians out of harms way.
——— FORECAST ————————-
Bottom Line Up Front (BLUF) - Israel resumes the methodical elimination of Hamas forces throughout Gaza. The lightening strike on Khan Yunis is moving fast and Israel may have the terror center of S Gaza sealed off within days. It is probable that the most senior of Hamas battle leadership relocated here after Israel announced its broad invasion plans for the north. In Hamas mind, their forces in the north would provide sufficient delay that command and control could be reestablished in the south with minimal Israeli action. They misjudged Israel.
For those who pay attention, the quick, focused strike to encircle Khan Yunis is also one that preserves civilian lives. Israel avoids the bulk of the refugees from the north and has already warned the civilian population of Khan Yunis to flee. I think this tactic has successfully taken a lot of the air out of the hamas victim propaganda.
Israel may be telegraphing a more aggressive action against Hezbollah once Hamas has been dealt with. United Nations Security Council Resolution 1701 is a resolution that was intended to resolve the 2006 Lebanon War. Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah said that his militia would honor the call for a ceasefire. He also said that once the Israeli offensive stops, Hezbollah’s rocket attacks on Israel would stop.
Three key other components of the resolution that the UN has failed to enforce include -
- Disarmament of all armed groups in Lebanon (implying Hezbollah)
- No armed forces other than UNIFIL and Lebanese (implying Hezbollah and Israeli forces) will be south of the Litani River
- No foreign forces in Lebanon without the consent of its government
Since Hezbollah continued to maintain forces S of the Litani River and not disarm, Israel sees them in violation of the agreement and subject to Israeli action.
NOTE- Any significant ground action in S Lebanon is unlikely to occur for several months at least - until Israel is done mopping up the remnants of Hamas and affiliated terror groups. The only thing that could change is if Hezbollah launches a peremptory attack which from a global perspective would be bad PR.
An Israeli attack against Hezbollah will most certainly bring Iran into direct combat with Israel and involve the rest of the world thru likely oil blockades at the Straits of Hormuz, cyber attack and terror attacks. That they have been very reluctant to get deeper involved in the Gaza war suggests that they are’t ready for such confrontation yet and are likely working to replan any action and response to this new, aggressive Israeli resolve. Its evident that Israel has learned from its mistakes in the 2006 War, while Hezbollah/Iran haven’t
Venezuela - Increasing potential for war
The US has vowed its “unwavering support” for Guyana after Nicolás Maduro threatened to snatch more than half of the country and take its oil.
Guyana‘s tiny army is on full alert for an invasion from Venezuela, and Brazil also moved troops to the area amid fears a conflict could spill over the border.
A possible incursion by Venezuela into Guyana by land could see Venezuelan forces passing through Brazil, which shares a border with both countries, to reach the southern half of the disputed territory.
OBSERVATION - If Madero launches an attack, the most likely center of mass will be the northern half of Essequibo, where it could immediately place claims on the off shore oil deposits recently discovered, then pivot south to seize the remaining portions with the minerals therein. This would avoid direct combat with Brazilian forces.
If you're right on this - and it feela that way - the debates are even less relevant...
Globalism / Great Reset –
COP28 continues.
Economy-
Increasing talk that the Fed will start lowering the prime rate next year. Not firm, but they are at a point that increasing it further to reduce inflation is a cure worse than the disease.
Military / Strategic Activity / Deployments –
The Air Force today would struggle to execute another Desert Storm, much less take on a peer adversary like China. Despite lowering qualification standards, it cannot attract enough recruits to fill its ranks. The size and serviceability of its combat aircraft are at all-time lows. Truncated training has weakened pilot readiness.
The active duty Air Force missed its FY 2023 recruiting goals by 11 percent. Its Air Reserve component fell short by 30 percent. The chief of Air Force recruiting said the numbers would have been much worse had the service not changed its policies regarding drug use, body composition, age, and the like. While some deny that equates to lower standards, it most certainly brings them into question.
OBSERVATION - Like the other branches, after years of demonizing white, conservative Americans who by far have volunteered to fill the ranks of the military, the hens are coming home to roost. Diversity has gutted the officer corps, placing incompetent officers in charge of critical operations on the basis of race at times. The current Chair of the Joint Chiefs - an AF general is the eptimomy of that problem. It has become more important to make sure we don’t misgender the enemy than it is to kill them.
***
The Navy grounded its V-22 Osprey fleet following a deadly crash in Japan last week, Naval Air Systems Command said Wednesday.
The grounding went into effect on Dec. 6 and applies to all of the Navy’s variants, which include the Marine Corps MV-22B and the Navy’s CMV-22B. The CMV-22 is the service’s new carrier onboard delivery aircraft.
“Preliminary investigation information indicates a potential materiel failure caused the mishap, but the underlying cause of the failure is unknown at this time,” NAVAIR said in a statement.
OBSERVATION - The Osprey is a mechanically complex machine that has had mechanical issues since it was first introduced into active duty. Some of its new woes cold well be related to lack of qualified mechanics who would catch these issues before flight or otherwise tapered back maintenance due to budget cuts, etc.
Wuhan and other “new” Plandemics – HEIGHTENED ALERT STATUS
One of the biggest new items continues to be DNA contamination in the Pfizer/Moderna jabs and the potential link to turbo cancer and other ailments.
POLITICAL FRONT –
The House of Representatives has voted to censure Rep. Jamaal Bowman for intentionally pulling a fire alarm at the Capitol.
***
According to the Hill, “Republicans will only be able to afford three GOP defections to pass any party-line legislation,” after Santos’ expulsion, McCarthy’s departure, and Rep. Bill Johnson (R-OH) is also expected to exit Congress next year.
OBSERVATION - The dems could throw the entire House into chaos if they challenge the Chair as Gaetz did with McCarthy. This would mean a probable govt shutdown in a couple months, and infighting throughout most of the 2024 campaign season.
Biden / Harris Watch –
A Trump-appointed judge is set to oversee Hunter Biden’s tax evasion case as the First Son faces nine new charges filed by the Justice Department on Thursday.
Judge Mark Scarsi, an appointee of the former President Donald Trump, has been assigned the case which alleges Hunter was involved in a four-year $1.4m tax evasion scheme.
All nine charges relate to tax, including two felony charges for filing a false return, a felony charge for tax evasion, four failure to pay charges, and a further two charges for failure to file. The charges span the 2016, 2017, 2018 and 2019 tax years.
OBSERVATION - With these announcements, the circle tightens around biden’s 2024 run. He’s made too many documented lies that will be torn open in a race against Trump and it looks like the press is no longer going to provide cover.
***
A new CNN poll revealed that Biden has now reached the lowest approval rating of his presidency. He stands at just 37 percent approval in November, two points less than in October, and the lowest since he assumed office in January 2021.
OBSERVATION - A CNN!!!! poll destroying biden. Klaxon bells should be ringing off the wall at the DNC. Granted, this is still waaaaaay early in the election run-up, but the trends are solidly there. The simple fact that CNN apparently didn’t add special sauce to bolster his numbers strongly suggest that the media is preparing for biden to be hung out to dry.
Illegal Immigration –
Immigrants who illegally cross the border into Arizona are being handed $5,000 in good-as-cash gift cards, along with cell phones and costly plane tickets, all of which are being paid for by the American taxpayer, according to Arizona Sheriff Mark Lamb.
OBSERVATION - It is unimaginable that so much money would be thrown at illegals - no wonder they are all trying to get here to start mooching off the system. In many places they stop at, they will get even more money and things. One study in NYC IIRC is that only 4% of the illegals sought real work, the rest belly ached that they weren’t getting enough free stuff.
Hundreds of newly arrived migrants have been living in a “secret migrant camp” at San Antonio Airport in Texas for more than half a year, according to reports, which found the existence of the facility was kept hidden from local officials in the area despite taxpayers funding its operation. The camp, located in an empty airport hanger, has hosted migrants bussed to the city from the southern border, with migrants spending anywhere between hours and even days in the facility. It is believed up to 400 migrants sleep in the hangar every evening, including women and children.
San Antonio city, although long having guarded the secret of its existence closely, admitted to the Daily Mail that it has been managing the facility since May. It refused to reveal how much money has been spent on the facility. The hanger is run by the charity Interfaith Welcome Coalition (IWC), which describes itself as a “faith-based movement meeting the changing needs of asylum seekers, refugees and at-risk immigrants in collaboration with others.” Tori Salas, the coordinating director of the IWC, claims the facility is a “hidden area where they take the migrants… basically until four or hours before they fly.”
OBSERVATION - There are likely many, many more ‘secrets’ out there. NGOs receiving $$$$ from secret financiers to corrupt our national population with these millions of interlopers.
Russia -
WAR WATCH - into the second year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022
CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Updated Nov 12, 2023
Russia is struggling to gain the initiative on several fronts in easter Ukraine. Attacks to take Adviivka, located near occupied Donetsk has been their priority as well as further north. However, it is on a defensive footing across most of Ukraine.
The Russian army has lost a considerable amount of armor/tanks and personnel in the fight to take Adviivka, causing that offensive to stall considerably and resort to “meat” attacks.
With the arrival of the muddy season, significant offensive actions by Russia are unlikely.
Ukrainian action has forced Russia to move forces laterally to meet the Ukraine advance - thinning critical portions of the line and making them vulnerable to assault.
Russia’s strategic ballistic and cruise missiles continue to show evidence of massively reduced inventories. With the onset of winter, it is believed that Russian is shepherding its stockpile of missiles/drones for an effort to take down the Ukraine power grid as it did last year. This task has become increasingly difficult as Ukraine adds air defense systems and gets better coverage.
The Russian Black Sea fleet is is essentially impotent and hesitant to deploy into now contested waters. Ukraine’s recent attacks on ships in Crimean harbors has forced the majority of the fleet to redeploying out of Crimea and to Russian bases, about 600 Km further away from the front lines.
Russian leadership reportedly planning for a long duration conflict, hoping to wear the Ukraine army down and cause European allies to tire of their support - forcing some sort of cease fire and negotiated peace.
*****
Russia launched their first cruise missile attacks from strategic bombers in 2 months - see Ukraine below.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temps in the 20-30 degree range with mostly cloudy conditions and more snow towards the end of the forecast period.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
After a 2 month lull, Russian Tu-95MS bombers launched long-range cruise missiles against Ukraine. Ukrainian air defense shot down 14 of 19 Kh-101/Kh-555 missiles Also 5 of 7 Shahed drones downed. And 6 S-300 missiles from Belgorod hit Kharkiv
Russia also continued major attacks in the Adviivka area, with no significant gains being made.
Outlook —-
Weather and mud conditions are dictating operations. No real significant battles today, just a continuation of minor skirmishes.
The absence of Russian high tech missiles launched from strategic bombers was mentioned yesterday - and overnight they launched an attack. The bulk of the missiles were directed towards Kyiv and those were all shot down. Minor damage elsewhere. Too early to tell if this is the leading edge of a new missile campaign by Russia or a sortie to keep the air crews ready.
ISRAEL –
Key overnight developments -
- Mass surrenders of Hamas forces in Khan Younis
- IDF continues to clear out Hamas pocket in N Gaza as well as Khan Younis.
——— GENERAL ——————————-
Blinken: There is still a gap between Israel’s intention to protect civilians and the results on the ground.
The White House: We are not close to reaching another agreement to stop the conflict between Israel and Hamas
——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-
Fierce fighting continued in N and S Gaza. In S Gaza, clashes and violent Israeli bombing in the eastern areas of the city of Khan Yunis. The IDF struck about 450 targets in the Gaza Strip on Thursday, eliminating many Hamas terrorists in Khan Yunis as Israeli forces continued their advance in southern Gaza, according to the IDF Spokesperson’s Unit.
Reports of en mass surrenders of over 100 Hamas in Khan Younis. Most reports state that they were members of the Hamas Shejaiya Battalion.
Hamas attempted to fire rockets toward the Tel Aviv area, but they apparently landed in the sea. 6 missiles were fired from the Gaza Strip towards the city of Sderot and were intercepted. Hamas was also observed firing rockets at Israeli civilians from within the Al-Mawasi humanitarian zone designated by the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) as a “safe zone,” deliberately endangering Palestinian civilians, an Israeli spokesman said on Thursday.
——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
Reports of multiple ATGM and mortar shell launches towards Mount Dov area.
NOTE - The radar and other sensors on Mt Dov continue to be a target and are critical to Israeli strategic defenses.
IDF continues to respond to these attacks using combinations o artillery, and tank fire as well as airstrikes.
——— SYRIA / HEZBOLLAH / IRAN———————————-
Number of rockets were fired from Syria, impacted open areas in Buq’ata in the northern part of the Golan Heights.
Sounds of explosions were heard in the southwestern Damascus countryside and the Quneitra countryside, resulting from Israeli bombing in response to the firing of a missile from Syria at the town of Baqatha in the Golan.
———WEST BANK——————————-
Israeli security forces continue to operate to capture Hamas and affiliated terrorists.
Confrontations broke out with Israeli security forces in the Wadi al-Joz neighborhood in Jerusalem
———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————
Iranian militias targeted the Conoco oil field base east of Deir Ezzor with a number of rockets.
———INTERNATIONAL ——————————-
The Jordanian King, in a phone call with the US President, calls for an immediate ceasefire in Gaza and the protection of civilians
——— FORECAST ————————-
Bottom Line Up Front (BLUF) - Israel continues the methodical elimination of Hamas forces throughout Gaza. The lightening strike on Khan Yunis is moving fast and Israel may have the terror center of S Gaza sealed off within days.
Much ado was made about the Hamas terrorists sitting in their underwear pending transport to a holding facility. This is standard POW fare and is to ensure Israelis are not surprised by hidden weaponry. It also serves as a psychological hit to the prisoner. The second reason they were circulated was to further demoralize Hamas and affiliated terrorists. Mass surrenders are big, especially when dealing with religiously influenced islamic zealotry . Another fact not to be ignored is that this is the result of the lighting offensive into Khan Yunis that is proving to have caught Hamas unprepared.
biden via blinken is trying to sabotage the Israeli war effort by trying to enforce unrealistic and unachievable efforts to minimize civilian casualties. As I’ve noted before, Israel has consistently gone out of their way to warn civilians out of combat zones. Hamas OTOH, continues to purposefully place its operations right in the middle of civilians - note the rockets launched from the Al-Mawasi humanitarian zone from above. Along with this are the constant bleats of a new ceasefire and two state solution. Hamas has already pretty well ruled out further hostage exchanges and Israel is done playing the hostage game.
Venezuela - Increasing potential for war
The United States has said it will conduct joint flight drills with Guyana amid growing border tensions between Guyana and Venezuela.
The statement said the drills were part of “routine engagement and operations to enhance [the] security partnership between the United States and Guyana” but has been widely interpreted as an effort to deter military intervention by Venezuela.
Caracas rejected the US announcement of flights as a “provocation”.
Reuters reported that Brazil’s army intelligence has detected a build-up in Venezuelan forces near the border with Guyana, citing an unnamed senior military official.
OBSERVATION - This is increasingly looking like a fight the US will put boots on the ground over.
Globalism / Great Reset –
From Fox News:
The ongoing United Nations COP28 climate summit in Dubai is offering a wide variety of gourmet food options from vendors who serve beef, even as it prepares a report that is expected to call for the West to reduce consumption of beef.
According to the summit’s online portal, its food offerings include “juicy beef,” “slabs of succulent meat,” smoked wagyu burgers, Philly cheesesteaks and “melt-in-your-mouth BBQ” in addition to African street BBQ, fast casual Mexican fare and an Asian option that has a “touch of French flair.” The revelation comes as the U.N. faces criticism for preparing a first-of-its-kind report that is expected to be published at the summit and call for lower meat consumption.
OBSERVATION - Remember - you only get to eat bugs. . . .
***
China’s Social Credit Scoring System Is getting a CBDC upgrade.
Now, China’s digital wallet app WeChat (or Alipay) only allows people will a 550 or higher social credit score to recharge their electric cars.
OBSERVATION - China’s system has been considered for years to be the prototype design of the eventual WEF system. Biometric ID, programmed CBDC and social credit score. The system is growing in China, and is demonstrating what is coming our way.
Wuhan and other “new” Plandemics – HEIGHTENED ALERT STATUS
Independent evaluations of new data published by the UK government has indicate that one million Covid mRNA vaccinated citizens have died suddenly in the past year.
The fact that there were only 61,000 unvaccinated deaths compared to one million vaccinated deaths based on the 1:3 ratio of vaccinated versus unvaccinated across English society shows that the fully jabbed are dying at a significantly higher rate than the unvaccinated.
OBSERVATION - Note, these numbers have not been fully validated. The results do run parallel to other studies (also not fully vetted as well) that indicate much the same. The jab has created a high death count of its own.
POLITICAL FRONT –
Trump fraud trial in NYC due to start wrapping up by tomorrow. Kangaroo court with a fully expected guilty verdict in one of the most biased DA/Judge combinations seen in national politics.
In other legal assaults, Special prosecutor Smith has accused Trump of “stochastic terrorism “
Stochastic terrorism is “the public demonization of a person or group resulting in the incitement of a violent act, which is statistically probable but whose specifics cannot be predicted.”
The word stochastic, in everyday language, means “random.” Terrorism, here, refers to “violence motivated by ideology.”
Here’s the idea behind stochastic terrorism:
A leader or organization uses rhetoric in the mass media against a group of people.
This rhetoric, while hostile or hateful, doesn’t explicitly tell someone to carry out an act of violence against that group, but a person, feeling threatened, is motivated to do so as a result.
That individual act of political violence can’t be predicted as such, but that violence will happen is much more probable thanks to the rhetoric.
This rhetoric is thus called stochastic terrorism because of the way it incites random violence.
https://www.dictionary.com/e/what-is-stochastic-terrorism/
OBSERVATION - Basically, if you say just about anything - they believe you can be prosecuted for this because it might just trigger someone into actions.
China –
Tighter social credit controls - See “Globalism / Great Reset” above.
Russia -
WAR WATCH - into the second year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022
CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Updated Nov 12, 2023
Russia is struggling to gain the initiative on several fronts in easter Ukraine. Attacks to take Adviivka, located near occupied Donetsk has been their priority as well as further north. However, it is on a defensive footing across most of Ukraine.
The Russian army has lost a considerable amount of armor/tanks and personnel in the fight to take Adviivka, causing that offensive to stall considerably and resort to “meat” attacks.
With the arrival of the muddy season, significant offensive actions by Russia are unlikely.
Ukrainian action has forced Russia to move forces laterally to meet the Ukraine advance - thinning critical portions of the line and making them vulnerable to assault.
Russia’s strategic ballistic and cruise missiles continue to show evidence of massively reduced inventories. With the onset of winter, it is believed that Russian is shepherding its stockpile of missiles/drones for an effort to take down the Ukraine power grid as it did last year. This task has become increasingly difficult as Ukraine adds air defense systems and gets better coverage.
The Russian Black Sea fleet is is essentially impotent and hesitant to deploy into now contested waters. Ukraine’s recent attacks on ships in Crimean harbors has forced the majority of the fleet to redeploying out of Crimea and to Russian bases, about 600 Km further away from the front lines.
Russian leadership reportedly planning for a long duration conflict, hoping to wear the Ukraine army down and cause European allies to tire of their support - forcing some sort of cease fire and negotiated peace.
Economic Impact –
External review of Russia’s oil exporting indicates that it has successfully worked around the sanctions put in place by the Ukraine war and now results in higher income than before the war started.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temps in the 20-30 degree range with on again, off again rain and snow.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Weather continues to dominate action.
Ukrainian air defense shot down 18 of 18 Shahed drones and 8 of 8 ballistic missiles. Odesa and Kyiv were primary target areas.
Russia launched new wave of ground attacks all along the fronts. Concentrated in the Avdiivka and Bakhmut areas.
Outlook —-
Weather and mud conditions are dictating operations. Russia has taken the initiative in the Avdiivka region. It is estimated that over the past several months Russian has captured about 11 sq km of Ukraine territory. The cost to Russian has been in the tens of thousands dead and even more wounded, hundreds of tanks and armored vehicles destroyed. Ukraine losses not published, have to be high as well.
The effectiveness of Russia’s renewed pushes along the eastern and southern fronts elsewhere is minimal. It does serve to wear down Ukraine defenders, but then Russian losses come into play. They may be successful in pushing Ukraine back in some instances, but lack follow on to exploit.
Ukraine is very soon to be certified to handle the F-16 and receive them for combat use. How aggressively they will employ them is yet to be seen.
ISRAEL –
Key overnight developments -
- IDF continues to strike Hamas et al infrastructure across Gaza, locating and destroying weapons caches, and underground terror tunnel shafts.
- Israel has given Hezbollah a deadline to withdraw from the northern border or they will launch an operation against them.
——— GENERAL ——————————-
A Hamas spokesman suggested Sunday that the terror organization could kill all of the presumed 137 hostages in its custody if Israel does not accede to its demands.
“Neither the fascist enemy and its arrogant leadership… nor its supporters… can take their prisoners alive without an exchange and negotiation and meeting the demands of the resistance,” he said, according to the Times of Israel.
Part of the demands are further prisoner exchanges.
——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-
Pockets of fierce fighting continue in the Gaza city and Khan Younis.
***
Still largely RUMINT combined with a heavy dose of propaganda. Arab news outlets are reporting that the Islamic Jihad in Gaza is calling out to Hamas for help saying that they have run out of all the rockets and combat equipment and ammunition depots.
The Israeli security sources believe the Islamic Jihad in Gaza has completely collapsed, following the Air Force’s surgical strikes in Gaza and the ground maneuver that mainly neutralized the Islamic Jihad’s rockets.
These unconfirmed reports are supported in part by the massive surrendering of Hamas and affiliated forces throughout Gaza, reporting in part that they’ve had no commotion with higher command for instructions.
——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
There are reports that Israel has given the Lebanese Government and Military a “48-Hour Ultimatum” to begin negotiations on an agreement to return Hezbollah to their positions which were agreed upon by United Nations Security Council Resolution 1701, or else the IDF will launch a military operation to destroy any and all Hezbollah infrastructure in Southern Lebanon up to the Litani River.
Link below to map showing the area.
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GBAilbOWYAA4c1K?format=jpg&name=large
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Hezbollah and Israel continue to trade fire across the border.
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Hezbollah has named another two members killed by Israeli strikes, bringing the total toll since the beginning of the war to 100 (both in southern Lebanon and Syria). Israeli defense officials estimate that this number is higher
——— SYRIA / HEZBOLLAH / IRAN———————————-
Overnight, Israel struck Hezbollah facilities in and around Damascus.
———WEST BANK——————————-
Israeli security forces storm the outskirts of Balata camp, east of Nablus.
An armed clash between Palestinian fighters and Israeli security forces at Mount Gerizim point in Nablus.
———INTERNATIONAL ——————————-
Speaker of the Turkish Parliament: Whoever rejected the ceasefire resolution in the Security Council is ultimately responsible for crimes against humanity in Gaza.
The European Union woke up and put Hamas leaders Yahya Sanwar, Mohammed Deif and Marwan Issa on the list of wanted terrorist operatives.
——— FORECAST ————————-
Bottom Line Up Front (BLUF) - Israel continues the methodical elimination of Hamas forces throughout Gaza.
How soon will Israel begin full scale operations against Hezbollah? Back on the 7th I posted initial warnings that Israel was shifting its attention to Hezbollah and Resolution 1701. At that time I figured that it would be several months before action would occur. The issue of a 48 hour ultimatum indicates that Israel believes it has matters in Gaza under adequate control that assets could be diverted against Hezbollah. Hezbollah has always been the greater threat to Israel. A demilitarized Gaza is only as good as a demilitarized Lebanese border. Israel still has the majority of the 300,000 reserves available for any fight. Hezbollah has an estimate 50,000 man force.
According to reports, this 48 hour warning is only for the initiation of ‘negotiations’ with Lebanese govt and military to uphold their portions of 1701. My guess is that these ‘negotiations’ will take some time - giving Israel to complete the Gaza operation and focus north.
An expansion of the war into Lebanon and Hezbollah would likely force Iran to join in. Iran has too much invested in Hezbollah and S Lebanon to throw it under the bus like they did Hamas. This would also place the Lebanese govt and army into a tight fix as Hezbollah dominates both but there is tension resulting from the belief that Hezbollah is the cause for much of the economic instability of the country. Hezbollah abuses have also turned a sizable portion of the population against them.
Watching the 48 (now 24 ) hour countdown. Watch any spin up of Reservists put on standby and movement towards the border. Will the Lebanese govt and military balk at the demand? And will Hezbollah heed any order to withdraw. My several month window seems initially intact, giving time for ‘negotiations’ which gives time for Israel to set its units in place to act when these ‘negotiatons’ effectively and expectantly fail.
Lebanon -
See Israel above - 48 hour warning.
Syria -
See Israel above - airstrikes around Damascus hitting Hezbollah related targets.
Venezuela - Increasing potential for war
Continuing reports that Venezuela is expanding border military bases.