Globalism / Great Reset –
COP28 continues.
Economy-
Increasing talk that the Fed will start lowering the prime rate next year. Not firm, but they are at a point that increasing it further to reduce inflation is a cure worse than the disease.
Military / Strategic Activity / Deployments –
The Air Force today would struggle to execute another Desert Storm, much less take on a peer adversary like China. Despite lowering qualification standards, it cannot attract enough recruits to fill its ranks. The size and serviceability of its combat aircraft are at all-time lows. Truncated training has weakened pilot readiness.
The active duty Air Force missed its FY 2023 recruiting goals by 11 percent. Its Air Reserve component fell short by 30 percent. The chief of Air Force recruiting said the numbers would have been much worse had the service not changed its policies regarding drug use, body composition, age, and the like. While some deny that equates to lower standards, it most certainly brings them into question.
OBSERVATION - Like the other branches, after years of demonizing white, conservative Americans who by far have volunteered to fill the ranks of the military, the hens are coming home to roost. Diversity has gutted the officer corps, placing incompetent officers in charge of critical operations on the basis of race at times. The current Chair of the Joint Chiefs - an AF general is the eptimomy of that problem. It has become more important to make sure we don’t misgender the enemy than it is to kill them.
***
The Navy grounded its V-22 Osprey fleet following a deadly crash in Japan last week, Naval Air Systems Command said Wednesday.
The grounding went into effect on Dec. 6 and applies to all of the Navy’s variants, which include the Marine Corps MV-22B and the Navy’s CMV-22B. The CMV-22 is the service’s new carrier onboard delivery aircraft.
“Preliminary investigation information indicates a potential materiel failure caused the mishap, but the underlying cause of the failure is unknown at this time,” NAVAIR said in a statement.
OBSERVATION - The Osprey is a mechanically complex machine that has had mechanical issues since it was first introduced into active duty. Some of its new woes cold well be related to lack of qualified mechanics who would catch these issues before flight or otherwise tapered back maintenance due to budget cuts, etc.
Wuhan and other “new” Plandemics – HEIGHTENED ALERT STATUS
One of the biggest new items continues to be DNA contamination in the Pfizer/Moderna jabs and the potential link to turbo cancer and other ailments.
POLITICAL FRONT –
The House of Representatives has voted to censure Rep. Jamaal Bowman for intentionally pulling a fire alarm at the Capitol.
***
According to the Hill, “Republicans will only be able to afford three GOP defections to pass any party-line legislation,” after Santos’ expulsion, McCarthy’s departure, and Rep. Bill Johnson (R-OH) is also expected to exit Congress next year.
OBSERVATION - The dems could throw the entire House into chaos if they challenge the Chair as Gaetz did with McCarthy. This would mean a probable govt shutdown in a couple months, and infighting throughout most of the 2024 campaign season.
Biden / Harris Watch –
A Trump-appointed judge is set to oversee Hunter Biden’s tax evasion case as the First Son faces nine new charges filed by the Justice Department on Thursday.
Judge Mark Scarsi, an appointee of the former President Donald Trump, has been assigned the case which alleges Hunter was involved in a four-year $1.4m tax evasion scheme.
All nine charges relate to tax, including two felony charges for filing a false return, a felony charge for tax evasion, four failure to pay charges, and a further two charges for failure to file. The charges span the 2016, 2017, 2018 and 2019 tax years.
OBSERVATION - With these announcements, the circle tightens around biden’s 2024 run. He’s made too many documented lies that will be torn open in a race against Trump and it looks like the press is no longer going to provide cover.
***
A new CNN poll revealed that Biden has now reached the lowest approval rating of his presidency. He stands at just 37 percent approval in November, two points less than in October, and the lowest since he assumed office in January 2021.
OBSERVATION - A CNN!!!! poll destroying biden. Klaxon bells should be ringing off the wall at the DNC. Granted, this is still waaaaaay early in the election run-up, but the trends are solidly there. The simple fact that CNN apparently didn’t add special sauce to bolster his numbers strongly suggest that the media is preparing for biden to be hung out to dry.
Illegal Immigration –
Immigrants who illegally cross the border into Arizona are being handed $5,000 in good-as-cash gift cards, along with cell phones and costly plane tickets, all of which are being paid for by the American taxpayer, according to Arizona Sheriff Mark Lamb.
OBSERVATION - It is unimaginable that so much money would be thrown at illegals - no wonder they are all trying to get here to start mooching off the system. In many places they stop at, they will get even more money and things. One study in NYC IIRC is that only 4% of the illegals sought real work, the rest belly ached that they weren’t getting enough free stuff.
Hundreds of newly arrived migrants have been living in a “secret migrant camp” at San Antonio Airport in Texas for more than half a year, according to reports, which found the existence of the facility was kept hidden from local officials in the area despite taxpayers funding its operation. The camp, located in an empty airport hanger, has hosted migrants bussed to the city from the southern border, with migrants spending anywhere between hours and even days in the facility. It is believed up to 400 migrants sleep in the hangar every evening, including women and children.
San Antonio city, although long having guarded the secret of its existence closely, admitted to the Daily Mail that it has been managing the facility since May. It refused to reveal how much money has been spent on the facility. The hanger is run by the charity Interfaith Welcome Coalition (IWC), which describes itself as a “faith-based movement meeting the changing needs of asylum seekers, refugees and at-risk immigrants in collaboration with others.” Tori Salas, the coordinating director of the IWC, claims the facility is a “hidden area where they take the migrants… basically until four or hours before they fly.”
OBSERVATION - There are likely many, many more ‘secrets’ out there. NGOs receiving $$$$ from secret financiers to corrupt our national population with these millions of interlopers.
Russia -
WAR WATCH - into the second year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022
CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Updated Nov 12, 2023
Russia is struggling to gain the initiative on several fronts in easter Ukraine. Attacks to take Adviivka, located near occupied Donetsk has been their priority as well as further north. However, it is on a defensive footing across most of Ukraine.
The Russian army has lost a considerable amount of armor/tanks and personnel in the fight to take Adviivka, causing that offensive to stall considerably and resort to “meat” attacks.
With the arrival of the muddy season, significant offensive actions by Russia are unlikely.
Ukrainian action has forced Russia to move forces laterally to meet the Ukraine advance - thinning critical portions of the line and making them vulnerable to assault.
Russia’s strategic ballistic and cruise missiles continue to show evidence of massively reduced inventories. With the onset of winter, it is believed that Russian is shepherding its stockpile of missiles/drones for an effort to take down the Ukraine power grid as it did last year. This task has become increasingly difficult as Ukraine adds air defense systems and gets better coverage.
The Russian Black Sea fleet is is essentially impotent and hesitant to deploy into now contested waters. Ukraine’s recent attacks on ships in Crimean harbors has forced the majority of the fleet to redeploying out of Crimea and to Russian bases, about 600 Km further away from the front lines.
Russian leadership reportedly planning for a long duration conflict, hoping to wear the Ukraine army down and cause European allies to tire of their support - forcing some sort of cease fire and negotiated peace.
*****
Russia launched their first cruise missile attacks from strategic bombers in 2 months - see Ukraine below.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temps in the 20-30 degree range with mostly cloudy conditions and more snow towards the end of the forecast period.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
After a 2 month lull, Russian Tu-95MS bombers launched long-range cruise missiles against Ukraine. Ukrainian air defense shot down 14 of 19 Kh-101/Kh-555 missiles Also 5 of 7 Shahed drones downed. And 6 S-300 missiles from Belgorod hit Kharkiv
Russia also continued major attacks in the Adviivka area, with no significant gains being made.
Outlook —-
Weather and mud conditions are dictating operations. No real significant battles today, just a continuation of minor skirmishes.
The absence of Russian high tech missiles launched from strategic bombers was mentioned yesterday - and overnight they launched an attack. The bulk of the missiles were directed towards Kyiv and those were all shot down. Minor damage elsewhere. Too early to tell if this is the leading edge of a new missile campaign by Russia or a sortie to keep the air crews ready.
ISRAEL –
Key overnight developments -
- Mass surrenders of Hamas forces in Khan Younis
- IDF continues to clear out Hamas pocket in N Gaza as well as Khan Younis.
——— GENERAL ——————————-
Blinken: There is still a gap between Israel’s intention to protect civilians and the results on the ground.
The White House: We are not close to reaching another agreement to stop the conflict between Israel and Hamas
——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-
Fierce fighting continued in N and S Gaza. In S Gaza, clashes and violent Israeli bombing in the eastern areas of the city of Khan Yunis. The IDF struck about 450 targets in the Gaza Strip on Thursday, eliminating many Hamas terrorists in Khan Yunis as Israeli forces continued their advance in southern Gaza, according to the IDF Spokesperson’s Unit.
Reports of en mass surrenders of over 100 Hamas in Khan Younis. Most reports state that they were members of the Hamas Shejaiya Battalion.
Hamas attempted to fire rockets toward the Tel Aviv area, but they apparently landed in the sea. 6 missiles were fired from the Gaza Strip towards the city of Sderot and were intercepted. Hamas was also observed firing rockets at Israeli civilians from within the Al-Mawasi humanitarian zone designated by the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) as a “safe zone,” deliberately endangering Palestinian civilians, an Israeli spokesman said on Thursday.
——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
Reports of multiple ATGM and mortar shell launches towards Mount Dov area.
NOTE - The radar and other sensors on Mt Dov continue to be a target and are critical to Israeli strategic defenses.
IDF continues to respond to these attacks using combinations o artillery, and tank fire as well as airstrikes.
——— SYRIA / HEZBOLLAH / IRAN———————————-
Number of rockets were fired from Syria, impacted open areas in Buq’ata in the northern part of the Golan Heights.
Sounds of explosions were heard in the southwestern Damascus countryside and the Quneitra countryside, resulting from Israeli bombing in response to the firing of a missile from Syria at the town of Baqatha in the Golan.
———WEST BANK——————————-
Israeli security forces continue to operate to capture Hamas and affiliated terrorists.
Confrontations broke out with Israeli security forces in the Wadi al-Joz neighborhood in Jerusalem
———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————
Iranian militias targeted the Conoco oil field base east of Deir Ezzor with a number of rockets.
———INTERNATIONAL ——————————-
The Jordanian King, in a phone call with the US President, calls for an immediate ceasefire in Gaza and the protection of civilians
——— FORECAST ————————-
Bottom Line Up Front (BLUF) - Israel continues the methodical elimination of Hamas forces throughout Gaza. The lightening strike on Khan Yunis is moving fast and Israel may have the terror center of S Gaza sealed off within days.
Much ado was made about the Hamas terrorists sitting in their underwear pending transport to a holding facility. This is standard POW fare and is to ensure Israelis are not surprised by hidden weaponry. It also serves as a psychological hit to the prisoner. The second reason they were circulated was to further demoralize Hamas and affiliated terrorists. Mass surrenders are big, especially when dealing with religiously influenced islamic zealotry . Another fact not to be ignored is that this is the result of the lighting offensive into Khan Yunis that is proving to have caught Hamas unprepared.
biden via blinken is trying to sabotage the Israeli war effort by trying to enforce unrealistic and unachievable efforts to minimize civilian casualties. As I’ve noted before, Israel has consistently gone out of their way to warn civilians out of combat zones. Hamas OTOH, continues to purposefully place its operations right in the middle of civilians - note the rockets launched from the Al-Mawasi humanitarian zone from above. Along with this are the constant bleats of a new ceasefire and two state solution. Hamas has already pretty well ruled out further hostage exchanges and Israel is done playing the hostage game.
Venezuela - Increasing potential for war
The United States has said it will conduct joint flight drills with Guyana amid growing border tensions between Guyana and Venezuela.
The statement said the drills were part of “routine engagement and operations to enhance [the] security partnership between the United States and Guyana” but has been widely interpreted as an effort to deter military intervention by Venezuela.
Caracas rejected the US announcement of flights as a “provocation”.
Reuters reported that Brazil’s army intelligence has detected a build-up in Venezuelan forces near the border with Guyana, citing an unnamed senior military official.
OBSERVATION - This is increasingly looking like a fight the US will put boots on the ground over.
Globally, things appear to have attained a new plateau and even backing down a bit. However, the world is never going to return to the likes of the BEFORE YEARS, so time to shake off the normalcy bias and get a grasp of what is the new norm.
Globalism / Great Reset –
“We’ve got to cut down on farming due to ‘Climate Change’…or people are going to starve…” -John Kerry
OBSERVATION - Another example of the absurdity coming out of COP28.
***
Senior climate experts are calling for an overhaul of the structure and powers of the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change in despair at the slow pace of climate action.
Five lead authors of IPCC reports told the Guardian that scientists should be given the right to make policy prescriptions and, potentially, to oversee their implementation by the 195 states signed up to the UN framework convention on climate change (UNFCCC).
…
Yamina Saheb, the lead author of a chapter in AR6, said: “I would like to see a situation where scientists make recommendations and then you track them. You ask governments to sign off on what they will do and then you evaluate how much progress they have made.”
…
“I think this Cop will demonstrate the impossibility of viable climate diplomacy while the fossil fuel industry runs so many governments and infiltrates negotiating teams,” Steinberger said.
…
Not all IPCC scientists agree. Joyashree Roy, a coordinating lead author on AR6, argued that the IPCC was already becoming more independent and that transforming it into an oversight group would lead to “fragmented decisions [that] cannot solve this unique problem for humanity”.
…
Read more:
https://amp.theguardian.com/environment/2023/dec/07/we-need-power-to-prescribe-climate-policy-ipcc-scientists-say
OBSERVATION - A technical ‘elite’ unelected, dictating how our lives are to be lived. In the broader picture this is one of the goals of the WEF - a technocracy dictating to the underclass.
CW2 / Domestic violence - Heightened THREAT
Scattered pro-hamas protests continue to disrupt Christmas events and celebrations. Threats have been enough for many locations to cancel Hanukkah celebrations.
Terrorism - Level is HIGH due to increased lone wolf threats.
Attacks continue on Jewish individuals, especially in NYC.
Wuhan and other “new” Plandemics – HEIGHTENED ALERT STATUS
Authorities in China have started testing people for COVID-19 again in hospitals and transportation hubs as a wave of respiratory disease tears through the country, according to local residents and government directives.
As parents and children continued to flock to pediatric clinics and emergency rooms in Beijing with severe respiratory disease, hospitals are once more performing COVID-19 tests on patients, although there has been little on the news regarding a resurgence of the virus, new variants of which are emerging globally.
Chinese health officials have acknowledged the spike in pneumonia and other respiratory cases, blaming a cocktail of pathogens including mycoplasma pneumonia, respiratory syncytial virus, seasonal influenza and COVID-19.
OBSERVATION - While there are many that are poo-pooing this outbreak as propaganda to corrupt the 2024 election, I remain vigilant. China’s economy is still reverberating from the draconian lockdowns of wuhan 1.0 and now is looking into the abyss of more potential lock downs. It has been pretty well established that those who got the jab - especially the 4 jab series - have had their immune systems compromised and more susceptible to regular diseases. Keep alert to how this outbreak progresses.
POLITICAL FRONT –
Implications that hunter’s recent indictments are serving a a ruse to prevent testimony before congress. Concerns that Fed prosecutors will keep the indictments in place long enough to protect biden thru the election, then drop the charges all together.
Biden / Harris Watch –
biden on high-speed rail investments today: “Over a billion three hundred million trillion three hundred million dollars!”
Further RUMINT that biden is so adle minded that he wanders around the residential quarters at the WH at night naked and has to be drugged up for public appearances.
OBSERVATION - I initially thought biden wouldn’t last a year before his mental illness would cause him to be put of office. Clearly the powers that be found him to be drugable and controllable as a puppet, keeping him in office. Now there is every evidence that they are trying to give him the hint that he needs to step down.
Illegal Immigration –
Massive daily numbers still pouring into the US.
China –
See “wuhan” above.
***
China is experiencing a full banking system collapse. With local government debts exceeding $13 trillion USD equivalents (90% are in default) and $4 trillion in real estate losses, China only has $2 trillion in bank equity.
OBSERVATION - China is facing a disaster and has been able to paper over it by govt intervention so far. It has caused an economic slump that has affected the world in positive and negative ways. To distract from these woes, Xi may be motivated to play the Taiwan card even more.
Russia -
WAR WATCH - into the second year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022
CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Updated Nov 12, 2023
Russia is struggling to gain the initiative on several fronts in easter Ukraine. Attacks to take Adviivka, located near occupied Donetsk has been their priority as well as further north. However, it is on a defensive footing across most of Ukraine.
The Russian army has lost a considerable amount of armor/tanks and personnel in the fight to take Adviivka, causing that offensive to stall considerably and resort to “meat” attacks.
With the arrival of the muddy season, significant offensive actions by Russia are unlikely.
Ukrainian action has forced Russia to move forces laterally to meet the Ukraine advance - thinning critical portions of the line and making them vulnerable to assault.
Russia’s strategic ballistic and cruise missiles continue to show evidence of massively reduced inventories. With the onset of winter, it is believed that Russian is shepherding its stockpile of missiles/drones for an effort to take down the Ukraine power grid as it did last year. This task has become increasingly difficult as Ukraine adds air defense systems and gets better coverage.
The Russian Black Sea fleet is is essentially impotent and hesitant to deploy into now contested waters. Ukraine’s recent attacks on ships in Crimean harbors has forced the majority of the fleet to redeploying out of Crimea and to Russian bases, about 600 Km further away from the front lines.
Russian leadership reportedly planning for a long duration conflict, hoping to wear the Ukraine army down and cause European allies to tire of their support - forcing some sort of cease fire and negotiated peace.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temps in the 20-30 degree range with mostly cloudy conditions and more snow towards the end of the forecast period.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Weather continues to slow fighting. The two hot spots of Bakhmut and Adviivka have been the busiest.
Outlook —-
Weather and mud conditions are dictating operations. As such, the tempo has slowed considerably for both sides. Russia, however, still is taking very high estimated losses, in the 900-1000 KIA range on a daily basis, and is having very little to nothing to show from it. Stubby pencil math indicates that at those rates (which have been steady for over a month now), they are losing nearly 9,000 every week and that is close to 2% of their fighting force of roundly 400,000 every week.
Belarus -
Some remnants of Wagner still training in country.
ISRAEL –
Key overnight developments -
- US vetos UNSC resolution demanding an immediate cease fire.
- IDF is essentially in full control of N Gaza, closing in on Hamas command bunkers in S Gaza.
- Among recent Hamas POWs, UN paid employees have been arrested as well, fighting for/with Hamas against Israel.
——— GENERAL ——————————-
The United States on Friday vetoed a United Nations Security Council demand for an immediate humanitarian ceasefire in the war between Israel and Hamas in Gaza, diplomatically isolating Washington as it shields its ally.
Thirteen Security Council members voted in favor of a brief draft resolution, put forward by the United Arab Emirates, while Britain abstained.
The vote came after UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres made a rare move on Wednesday to formally warn the 15-member council of a global threat from the two-month-long war.
Hamas denounces U.S. use of its veto power against a draft resolution demanding a ceasefire in Gaza
***
Families of Israelis being held hostage by Hamas were reprimanded by representatives of the Red Cross in a meeting earlier this week, with the Red Cross telling one family they need to “think about the Palestinian side,” KAN reported on Thursday night.
Roni and Simona, the parents of Doron Steinbrecher who was kidnapped by Hamas terrorists from Kfar Azza on October 7, were invited to a meeting with the Red Cross earlier this week.
Doron needs a medication she takes daily and her parents thought that the Red Cross was finally willing to transfer the medication to her, but instead they were sat down and reprimanded by representatives of the Red Cross.
“Think about the Palestinian side,” the representatives of the Red Cross told Simona, according to KAN. “It’s hard for the Palestinians, they’re being bombed.”
NOTE TO THE RED CROSS - They wouldn’t be getting bombed if the Hamas terrorists - who are popularly supported by these same Gazans - hadn’t violated a ceasefire and ruthlessly invaded Israel murdering over 1000 and taking over 200 hostage.
***
Increasing numbers of videos on social networks showing Hamas stealing relief supplies for themselves. In some instances, civilians are trying to fight back by throwing rocks and what ever.
——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-
A senior Israeli official told Israeli Defense Forces “have made significant progress” in the northern part of the Gaza Strip, but that the operation in the southern city of Khan Younis, where Israel believes Hamas leadership is located, “has just started.”
Khan Younis is reported to be surrounded by Israeli forces from eastern and northern sides. The tanks are slowly moving towards the Jalal Street, which is one of the main streets that lead to the heart of the city. Local, fierce fire fights when IDF hits a Hamas command area with bunkers - commonly around schools and mosques.
Hamas still manages to get smaller and smaller rocket barrages into the air towards Israel, but have become inconsequential to the war.
——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
Reports of multiple ATGM/mortar shell launches towards Mount Dov area.
IDF conducts counter fire operations into Lebanese territory .
———WEST BANK——————————-
Israeli security forces continue to operate to capture Hamas and affiliated terrorists.
———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————
The U.S. embassy in Baghdad was attacked by mortar fire on Friday morning that caused minor material damage but no casualties, U.S. and Iraqi officials said.
Explosions were heard near the embassy in the capital city of Iraq at approximately 4:15 a.m. on Friday. An embassy spokesperson then confirmed the U.S. Embassy was attacked, adding: “Assessments are ongoing, but there are no reported casualties on the Embassy compound.”
***
The United States informed Israel that it would lead a response to attacks in the Red Sea and the Gulf of Aden by the Houthis, a Shiite Islamist militant group based in North Yemen.
In a Thursday report, The Wall Street Journal cited unnamed government officials as attesting to the dialogue, which is intended to keep Israel’s war against the Hamas-controlled Gaza Strip from expanding.
The news came after a series of missile launches at commercial vessels by the Houthis, which the Islamic Republic of Iran backs.
———INTERNATIONAL ——————————-
Egypt’s envoy to the United Nations: What is happening in Gaza is a “genocidal war against the Palestinian people”
***
Qatari Foreign Minister: There must be a ceasefire in Gaza
***
Russia said that reports of proposals to flood the tunnels were shocking and warned that “if done, this will be a war crime.”
“Such flooding could be considered analogous to ‘do not spare them’ order, but it is not only about that and not only about civilians who may be in those tunnels,” the statement read. “Of course, there most likely will be civilians, for where else would they go from the indiscriminate bombing of Gaza.”
——— FORECAST ————————-
Increasing international pressure for a unilateral ceasefire by Israel continues to grow. Such calls have completely ignored the fact that Hamas as consistently been the ceasefire breaker and still holds over 100 hostages in violation of international law. That simple fact alone has helped bulwarked Israel’s resolve to wipe out Hamas.
Currently, the US still nominally supports Israel’s efforts to eliminate Hamas, but is increasingly falling under the influence - both foreign and domestically - to pro-hamas / anti-israel factions. The US’ lone veto in the UNSC is evidence of the growing isolation and how much longer the US will remain supportive remains to be seen. Already Blinken is demanding Israel not to hurt civilians.
Again, I’d like to point out Israel has done far more than any other country ever to warn civilians out of combat zones and use precision weapons to limit collateral damages and deaths. Hamas deliberately places their rocket firing positions and munitions storage as well as bunkers to maximize any civilian losses in a strike. One Hamas figure reportedly said recently that they are willing to sacrifice Gazans in this war as human shields.
Israel’s ground operations continue to move faster than expected as Hamas’ resistance continues to crumble and leadership continues to be taken out. This leaves uncoordinated and isolated cells to confront the better organized and lead IDF . Operations will continue for some time as bunkers and their entrances continue to be located and liquidated.
Finally, the potential for Hezbollah and Iran getting more directly involved in the war remains low. At this stage, they see Hama’s tactics failing fast and likely too far gone for any support to be of any benefit to Hamas, but full of very negative consequences to them. Israel is too prepped and ready to rumble. If Israel turns towards clearing S Lebanon after getting things mostly wrapped up in Gaza, this could be another matter. However, I still expect that Israel’s own estimates of several months to complete the Gaza operation is valid and that would be the initial window I’m most worried about.