Posted on 01/01/2023 6:02:12 AM PST by Godzilla
Israel fights like their officers are chosen on skill and merit...and a strong strategy based on getting the war over BY WINNING IT>
Globalism / Great Reset –
The World Health Organization (WHO) has released the latest draft of its controversial International Health Regulations, with the purported aim to eventually establish a global accord on how to handle future pandemics. Expert observers are continuing to express concern with the regulations, saying that they are covertly designed to take away sovereignty from countries and push contentious issues such as abortion.
Jim Roguski, a member of the Law & Activism Committee at the World Council for Health, has been closely monitoring the WHO’s activities in the wake of the “serious failures” that the organization made since the COVID pandemic broke out in 2020. On Tuesday, he joined “Washington Watch with Tony Perkins” to provide an update on where the accord currently stands.
“The fact that it’s not referred to as a treaty is actually very important,” he explained. “What they are setting up is an ongoing series of what they call ‘the Conference of the Parties’ that would meet pretty much forever. And the idea is they’re trying to hash out an agreement just to have an agreement so that they can pat themselves on the back and say, ‘Look what great work we did.’”
https://www.prophecynewswatch.com/article.cfm?recent_news_id=6479
OBSERVATION - The globalist powers that be are pushing for a global governance via several vectors. One vector is the WHO trying to take advantage of the vestiges of the fear and chaos that wuhan caused. A second vector is economics - creating massive govt debts, undercutting the foundations of nations economies, and setting up digital currencies. The third vector is similar to the second - controlling food and other commodities via threat of ‘climate change’.
Economy –
Mining analysts are indicating that there will be a surplus of copper production in 2024. This in due to contractions in the western markets and sluggish demand from China Old school metal, copper is increasingly important in the so called ‘green revolution’ and that there are many other critical ores that are found at these copper mines as well. This surplus will likely cool the hot market and lower prices somewhat.
CW2 / Domestic violence - Heightened THREAT
This thread is good brain food for what to do if caught in one of these traffic terror stops that the current crop of leftist - proHamas groups are resurrecting.
https://freerepublic.com/focus/f-bloggers/4194396/posts
OBSERVATION - For those who live in Antifa et al strongholds of dark blue urban areas, keep up to date on local activity. If there are major protests scheduled for your areas/cities, stay the heck away, don’t tempt fate.
***
Cross ref the following under potential terrorism
Far-left protesters stormed the Port of Oakland in CA and chained themselves to a US military ship they believed was delivering weapons to Israel. This is an unconfirmed rumor which union officials claim is false. The ship later left port and some protestors were arrested.
OBSERVATION - Insider information - hinted at by the ‘union’ official - is a greater threat towards all military related shipping.
***
Jewish-Americans across the country are arming themselves for protection amid the FBI warning about rising threats of extremists in the U.S., with gun shops from California to Texas to Florida reporting an increase in sales.
OBSERVATION - Violence being directed towards Jews in the US is beginning to take off like a rocket. Current epicenter continues to be colleges and universities, but other jewish facilities and businesses are now being targeted. First with graffiti - to identify the targets for attacks associated with protests to come.
Terrorism - Level is HIGH due to increased lone wolf threats.
The Oconee County Sheriff’s Office conducted an investigation following a concerning incident at the Oconee Nuclear Station in South Carolina on Thursday night.
At approximately 8:05 p.m. on Thursday, deputies from the Oconee County Sheriff’s Office responded immediately to an emergency call from the Oconee Nuclear Station. An unknown individual had reportedly driven a car through the exit side of the facility’s gate, facing Highway 183, FOX Carolina reported.
According to on-site accounts, following the unauthorized entry, the facility’s security systems activated pop-up barricades designed to immobilize intruding vehicles. The rogue driver, however, managed to reverse the vehicle upon encountering these barricades and proceeded down an adjacent dirt road. It was here that Duke Energy security personnel made an effort to block the intruding car.
Undeterred, the driver escalated the situation by ramming through a fence and attempting to strike the security personnel on-site. Making a hasty exit from the plant premises, the driver, in his bid to escape, tried to ram a security member’s truck parked near the exit.
The car then continued its reckless rampage, speeding back onto Highway 183 and eventually diverting to a property on Jones Mill Road. It was at this location that gunshots were reported, though the source remains unconfirmed by the deputies.
The Oconee County Sheriff’s Office, led by Master Deputy Jimmy Watt, is currently on a manhunt for the suspect and the vehicle involved, WYFF News 4 reported.
Approximately an hour prior to this incident, the same vehicle and its driver had made an appearance on the premises of the Oconee Nuclear Station. Upon confrontation, the individual was asked to leave, to which he complied before the later intrusion.
https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2023/11/security-breach-duke-power-nuclear-plant-man-rams/
OBSERVATION - potential terror probe of security of this facility.
Military / Strategic Activity / Deployments –
The ships and aircraft of two U.S. Navy aircraft carrier strike groups — the Gerald R. Ford and the Dwight D. Eisenhower — conducted joint exercises over the last three days in the Mediterranean Sea, according to US Navy release.
OBSERVATION - With the all fired hurry to get assets in place in the event Iran gets froggy, the Ike and Ford spend three days exercising in the Med. I’ve seen nothing that indicates the Ike’s orders to the Persian Gulf have been changed.
POLITICAL FRONT –
Lots of stuff, just don’t have the time to process it at this juncture
Japan –
Prime Minister Fumio Kishida of Japan said on Friday that his country would start formal talks with the Philippines to allow the deployment of Japanese troops to the Southeast Asian country, further strengthening ties between two countries that have embraced each other as bulwarks against China.
“We share serious concerns on the situation in the East China Sea and South China Sea,” Mr. Kishida said, referring to Beijing’s increasingly assertive actions in the region. “The attempt to unilaterally change the status quo by force is unacceptable.”…
The proposed pact, known as a reciprocal access agreement, would give the Japanese military access to bases in the Philippines and make it easier to conduct more joint drills.
OBSERVATION - Needless to say China is not happy about this development. Both Japan and the Philippines are facing aggressive efforts by China to physically take islands under their globally acknowledged control
Russia -
WAR WATCH - into the second year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022
CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Updated Sept 27, 2023
Russia is on a defensive footing across most of Ukraine, relying on Russian doctrinal defense in depth to blunt the Ukrainian offensive. However, Russian forces continue increasingly stretched and undermanned, with increasingly insufficient artillery support.
Ukrainian action has forced Russia to move forces laterally to meet the Ukraine advance - thinning critical portions of the line and making them vulnerable to assault.
Russia’s strategic ballistic and cruise missiles continue to show evidence of massively reduced inventories. Recent attacks indicate the Russia has started to produce its own Shahed drones with Iranian assistance. Russia capable of continued, though limited, attacks in this arena. The majority of Russian strikes are with these Iranian drones. Major targets are grain shipping facilities in the Odesa region as well as trying to hit logistical targets across the rest of the country.
Supplemental cruise missile attacks using old models will be occasionally used to supplement the drones.
The Russian Black Sea fleet is increasingly hesitant to deploy into now contested waters. Ukraine’s mixture of seaborne and airborne drones and anti-ship missiles beginning to render areas more or less off limits to Russia. The fleet is reportedly in the process of redeploying out of Crimea and moving east to Russian bases, about 600 Km further away from the front lines.
Russia is capable of launching small scale attacks in various sectors of company and small sized elements, but any large scale offensive action in the face of the heavy demands from defending against the Ukrainian offensive are essentially nil.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Continued cool, 50’s- 60’s with scattered rain.
RUMINT – Growing talk of trying to negotiate some sort of ceasefire lead by western nations. This due to unfulfilled expectations of the Ukraine summer offensive and analysis that Ukraine doesn’t have the capabilities to archive its goals of the liberation of Southern Ukraine any time soon.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Action on the fronts continue to be relatively static.
OUTLOOK - Continued status quo along all fronts. Growing talk of some sort of ceasefire.
Europe / NATO General –
Five European countries, Denmark, Finland, Iceland, Norway & Sweden have agreed to cooperate in deportations of illegal migrants. They will share flights & expertise.
They will also help migrants who have reached the North African coast to be repatriated”.
OBSERVATION - The recent pro-Hamas protests have demonstrated that they have lost control of these millions of migrants and that the situation is fast approaching one of a potential civil war with them.
Pakistan –
Reports of a well coordinated terrorist attack on the Pakistan Airforce Base, Mianwali, Punja. Reports of suicide bombers involved in the attack with casualties heavy. Pakistan security forces are responding and clearing the base. The Tehrik-e-Jihad Pakistan group, Taliban affiliated, are already claiming the attack.
OBSERVATION - Pakistan is in the process of expelling about 1.7 million Afghanis due to increasing terror attacks by Afghanistan related groups like this.
ISRAEL –
Key overnight developments -
- Nasrallah’s speech is a flop
- Hamas attempting to use ambulances for the transport of fighters and war materials exposed
- Hamas trying to blend in with wounded being evacuated out of Gaza
- Reported slaughter by Hamas in S Gaza of gazans trying to flee to the Egyptian border
- IDF continues systematic operations to clear N Gaza of Hamas fighters and destroy underground tunnel network.
GENERAL ——————————-
Nasrallah’s speech - In his first public address since the war, was widely expected to give an indication, or possibly even an explicit proclamation of war against Israel but failed to do so.
Look at yesterday’s post - my initial observations on his comments have held out to later analysis. His speech was in many ways a nothing burger, as it was widely anticipated to be a full up declaration of war against Israel. As it turns out, it was largely a message to Hamas telling them they are on their own.
Nasrallah still maintained some threats against the west, but with no clear indicators of what might trigger events. Clearly Hezbollah’s earlier “Red Line” of the IDF invasion of Gaza didn’t pan out as per the threats, so it is uncertain just how firm these other threats are. As stated by Nasrallah-
“The Lebanese front and the escalation in many directions depends on two things: the progress of events in Gaza and their development, and the second, the activities of Israel in Lebanon,” the Iranian-backed terror chief stated, per Maariv reporting.
Nasrallah’s lack luster speech was not received well by some radical elements in the “resistance” but the separation of Iran’s participation from the actions of Hamas is a clear message that they will not be unleashed to do much more than what they have the past couple of weeks.
***
Israel has stopped warning Russia about its attacks on Syrian territory, although it always did so before, Bloomberg writes. This indicates a significant deterioration in Russian-Israeli relations.
After Putin sent troops to Syria in 2015 to prevent President Bashar al-Assad from being overthrown in the ensuing civil war, Israel and Russia began coordinating their actions. That’s how they tried to avoid their forces clashing or shelling by mistake.
***
Handle these remarks carefully, not fully confirmed. The founder of Hezbollah, Subhi Al-Tufayli, courses Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei for not ordering Hezbollah to come to Gaza’s aid by attacking Israel.
“You are an enemy of Allah, a despicable killer of Muslim children,” - he shouts at the camera
Head of Palestinian Authority, Mahmoud Abbas:
“Hamas leaders were the first to flee from Gaza to Sinai hiding in ambulances, leaving their people to be slaughtered”
Abbas’ Fatah movement were thrown out from Gaza in 2007 by Hamas.
OBSERVATION - The first quote, combined with Nasrallah’s speech yesterday does indicate a schism with Iran and indicates that tight control Iran has on Hezbollah.
The second statement by Abbas (who has fled to Jordan BTW), is supported by the discovery of Hamas elements trying to sneak out of Gaza with wounded yesterday. Abbas and the PA are mortal enemies of Hamas, so it would be totally likely that he is trying to score points against them.
***
US officials report that Hamas members are sneaking themselves onto the departure list of foreign nationals slated to leave Gaza. As a result they are delaying the process for everyone.
GAZA FRONT ———————————-
Israel continues to systematically move through N Gaza, identifying tunnels and killing any Hamas forces that sorte out from them. IDF forces south of Gaza City are noted moving upon the coast to apparently meet up with forces coming from the north. IAF continues airstrikes, but at lower levels than in the previous 3 weeks.
IDF is having considerable success locating and destroying Hamas’ tunnel network and have hit intelligence gold in some cases. IDF soldiers following extensive searches of some of these bunkers have located intelligence information that included operational orders belonging to Hamas. This also included operational maps, means of communication, command and control tables and personal details of Hamas commanders and terrorists.
***
The IDF Spokesperson said Friday that an aircraft struck an ambulance in the Gaza Strip, which, according to intelligence was being used by a specific Hamas unit closely positioned to the combat zone. It was further reported that several Hamas terrorists were killed in the attack, and the IDF has information suggesting that the terrorist organization utilized the ambulance for transporting terrorists and weaponry.
****
Hamas snipers have reportedly killed dozens of children and women on the streets, targeting those attempting to travel from north to south Gaza and those displaying white flags as a sign of peace. Similar acts have previously been attributed to Palestinian and Hezbollah terrorists in Syria. They do not want civilians to leave; they want to use them as human shields and kill anyone who attempts to leave. Hamas terrorists in Gaza will, as usual, blame Israel because it is easy and there is media that accepts this propaganda.
Hamas did similar using car bombs to deter Gazans from fleeing south following Israels first warnings to leave along designated routes.
***
The IDF says it carried out a limited raid in the southern Gaza Strip overnight, to map out buildings and to clear the area of explosive devices. It says that during the operation, combat engineering forces and tanks, led by the Gaza Division, encountered a Hamas cell that came out of a tunnel. Troops shelled the operatives, killing them.
***
Not fully confirmed - the head of Hamas, Ismail Haniyeh, appealed to the Egyptian President with a demand to open the border with the Gaza Strip for refugees. This is the first statement of this kind from the terrorist leader since the beginning of the war. He previously called on all Gazan residents to remain in their apartments and not evacuate.
***
Shifa Hospital in Gaza 20 days ago: “In 24 hours we will run out of fuel for the generators and won’t have any electricity.” Photos published by Hamas favored news outlets show the lights still on bright at the hospital
NOTE - This is clear evidence that these generators also provide power to Hamas military base located beneath the hospital - the reason the power is still on.
LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
Hezbollah escalated its attacks slightly yesterday, with the most significant development being the used of a Burkan rocket against Mt Dov facilities. This would be the first time that Hezbollah has used this weapon in this war, marking an escalatory step due to its increased payload. The Burkan, also known as “The Volcano”, has a range of 500-2,000 meters and can carry explosive warheads that weigh hundreds of kilograms.
IAF launched counter strikes against Hezbollah positions and facilities as a result of this and other attacks. The size of the explosions indicated Israel is using larger bombs, probably targeting ammo and command facilities.
SYRIA / HEZBOLLAH / IRAN———————————-
The Iranian militias targeted the American base in northeastern Syria (Al-Shaddadi) with three missiles. This is the second attack on the American bases in less than 24 hours.
WEST BANK——————————-
The Israeli army continues a campaign of arrests and raids in the West Bank and Jerusalem. Gun fights reported.
INTERNATIONAL ——————————-
An Iranian proxy-group in Iraq announces it launched suicide drones toward Israel yesterday. It’s the first air attack against Israel from Iraqi territory since Saddam did it
Continued calls for a ceasefire by some nations - including the US (who is trying to massage the message to call it “pauses”) have been flat-out refused by Israel.
FORECAST ————————-
Bottom Line Up Front (BLUF) - Israel will continue its attacks in N Gaza to eliminate Hamas from that portion of land before turning south or turning to confront Hezbollah in a more substantial way if necessary.
Hamas is losing ground fast and evidence suggests that they are trying to flee the onslaught. Israeli forces have handily dealt with the small groups of Hamas fighters that poke their heads out of their bunkers to challenge the IDF.
To make matters worse for Hamas - it appears that Iran, Hezbollah, the PA and the ‘resistance’ is poised to toss them under the bus. As I think I initiated in earlier posts, Hamas may have jumped the gun in its attack and it was supposed to be held back until a large, combined attack lead by Hezbollah was initiated. The Oct7 attack blew the cover off that effort - exposing Hezbollah and Iran to potential serious retaliation by Israel. The Israeli response this time was far stronger than they also anticipated - showing that Israel wasn’t going to play by the same rules as previous conflicts and they will go for the jugular and world opinion be damned.
Expect more panicked Hamas fighters and leaders to try to escape through the south rather than die in the dark in their bunkers. I expect fierce fighting though as the IDF penetrates into what’s left of the urban areas of Gaza City and especially around hospitals like Shifa where there is clear evidence that they are hiding their main command bunkers.
At this stage, I don’t anticipate any major escalation by Hezbollah, though there is a remote possibility of Nasrallah’s speech being a diversion, a common tactic by radical islamists. I think Israel will maintain a very strong readiness level against Hezbollah and Iran based militias reportedly massing in Syria. But is see the developing panic of Hamas to suggest that help is not on the way.
Iraq -
Iranian backed militias threaten to expand attacks on US/coalition bases in Iraq.
Lebanon -
See Israel above.
Saudi Arabia –
See Israel above.
Syria -
See Israel above on latest.
https://freerepublic.com/focus/f-bloggers/4194396/posts
OBSERVATION - For those who live in Antifa et al strongholds of dark blue urban areas, keep up to date on local activity. If there are major protests scheduled for your areas/cities, stay the heck away, don’t tempt fate
When riots were happening our Governor - DeSantis - told us if we felt our lives were at risk - to just keep driving. The result? Antifa didn’t do their crap in Florida.
I remember that. Unfortunately too few had same attitude. Iirc some states passed laws granting coverage for drivers caught in those situations, but don’t remember which ones
Sunday’s post was OBE, so rolling that into today’s.
Economy –
Maersk, the world’s biggest shipper and bellwether for global trade, reported a drop in revenue and profit on Friday, and the company plans to cut 10,000 jobs – about 10% of its workforce.
OBSERVATION - post wuhan supply chain disruptions are still reverberating. This is now combining with the onset of a global recession. In the US, the trucking industry has been hit hard, evidenced by the bankruptcy of Yellow trucking several months ago. Rail roads are also now struggling.
***
(Bloomberg) — Bankers servicing one of the world’s biggest ESG debt markets are now actively seeking legal protections to guard against the potential greenwashing allegations that may be ahead.
In the handful of years they’ve existed, sustainability-linked loans have mushroomed into a $1.5 trillion market. SLLs let borrowers and lenders say that a loan is tied to some environmental or social metric. But the documentation to back those claims generally isn’t available to the public, nor is the market regulated. Lawyers advising SLL bankers say the reputational risks associated with mislabeling such products are now too big to ignore.
OBSERVATION - Coming home to roost and in an increasing big way. FYI, “greenwashing” is “misleading or deceptive publicity disseminated by an organization so as to present an environmentally responsible public image”
***
Revisit on the jobs report to highlight this important note - September was downward revised by 39,000 and August was also revised down, by 62,000 jobs Due to these revisions, the employment numbers over the past two months are more than a hundred thousand less than the BLS initially reported. One can expect that October’s lack luster numbers will also be significantly revised down next month.
CW2 / Domestic violence - Heightened THREAT
Pro-Hamas protests expected to continue thru the foreseeable future. As Israel’s ground offensive continues, Hamas et al will become more desperate to sway opinions across the world and the internal split in the democrat regime is one area they are working to sway back to the anti-Israel strangle hold. This may include increasing violence and attacks on Jewish persons, synagogues, businesses and other organizations.
***
Rep. Robert Garcia (D-CA) and Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) are pushing legislation to require background checks for ammunition purchases.
They are joined by other Democrats, including Rep. Debbie Wasserman Schultz (D-FL).
The Democrats are pushing the Ammunition Modernization and Monitoring Oversight Act, or AMMO Act for short. In addition to requiring background checks for ammo purchases, Redstate noted the Act would also limit the number of rounds law-abiding citizens can buy over a five-day period and mandate that ammo dealers get a license separate from the Federal Firearms License (FFL) required for gun sales.
OBSERVATION - This bill will have trouble passing the senate and if it did would likely be DOA in the house. Question is how hard are democrats going to push for this and similar legislation as we enter the T- 12 months to election period. It also shows the danger if the republicans fail to maintain control of at least the House.
***
Over the weekend, pro-Hamas protestors swarmed DC with the cumulation of the event being an attempt to break into the White House area. Among the slogans were ‘racist state’ Israel ‘does not have the right to exist’: ‘Long live the Intifada’ . They attempted to force one of the gates, and attacked Secret Service / Capitol police, but didn’t manage to gain entry. They vandalized a lot of the surrounding areas. Observers note the similarity between this weekends protests and the BLM/Antifa riots of 2020.
OBSERVATION - Though they likely observed actions during the 2020 protests, AQ, ISIS, Hezbollah, and Hamas operatives in the U.S. watching what these rioters are getting away with.
***
RUMINT - Co-assign to Political
(FO) According to people involved in the discussions, the 2024 Trump campaign and The Heritage Foundation’s Project 2025 group have drafted executive orders (EO) to deploy the U.S. military domestically under the Insurrection Act to deal with a popular revolution against Trump’s possible reelection.
OBSERVATION - It would be highly expected that should Trump be elected, the left will break out into large scale violence to an extent larger than 2016 and 2020. Such an EO would not go unchallenged by congress, even by eGOP establishment. This would come very close to a potential level of civil war given the tectonic stresses already in place in American politics.
***
The Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) raided a “Safe Streets” program site in Baltimore, Maryland, reportedly over allegations that the taxpayer-funded program could be affiliated with gang members in the community. As a result of one of the FBI home raids, a Safe Streets supervisor is now facing criminal charges, according to documents reviewed by Fox45 News.
OBSERVATION - Interesting turn, tax payer funding going to gangs.
Terrorism - Level is HIGH due to increased lone wolf threats.
On Friday, Oconee County Sheriff’s Office arrested 66-year-old Doyle Wayne Whisenhunt in connection with an incident at the Oconee Nuclear Station in South Carolina that occurred Thursday night.
According to the sheriff’s office, Whisenhunt was on the run for a few hours until he was taken into custody Friday after being found in an abandoned home in South Carolina’s Pickens County. According to the sheriff’s office, Whisenhunt was not authorized to be on the site, however, authorities have not revealed any information about the motivation.
***
There might be a terror attack against Jews in the United States due to the alarming rise in antisemitism since the Hamas massacre of Israelis started the war, Israeli United Nations Ambassador Gilad Erdan said Sunday on CNN’s “State of the Union.”
Erdan emphasized that “we are on the brink of a catastrophe. Any moment, we might see a terror attack against a Jewish community here in the United States.”
He said “the situation right now is shocking. We see now thousands of people chanting, ‘Death to Israel, death to the Jews.’ We see Jewish students all across the United States on college campuses that are being threatened not only by other students, [but] by their professors, and presidents of universities cannot even condemn the terror attacks.”
https://www.newsmax.com/world/globaltalk/gilad-erdan-united-states-terrorism/2023/11/05/id/1141086/
OBSERVATION - Keep your head on a swivel. It has been a long time since there have been massive terror attacks on Jews outside of Israel.
Military / Strategic Activity / Deployments –
The Dwight D. Eisenhower Carrier Strike Group has transited the Suez Canal, arriving in the northern Red Sea and the CENTCOM AOR. This comes after a three day delay operating in maneuvers with the USS Ford in the eastern Med.
***
On November 5, 2023, the US Navy announced that an Ohio-class submarine arrived in the U.S. Central Command area of responsibility. This is not generally an announcement you see being made by the Navy.
There are, at present, eighteen (18) Ohio-Class Submarines. Fourteen (14) of those carry TRIDENT II nuclear missiles with Eight (8) independently-targetable warheads each. That means that EACH submarine has 160 nuclear warheads.
Four of those Ohio-class submarines (USS Ohio, USS Florida, USS Michigan, and USS Georgia) carry 154 Tomahawk (Land-attack) Cruise missiles, each.
OBSERVATION - Big stick statement to Iran following their recent threats against the US and US interests. The Navy did not announce WHICH “Ohio-Class” submarine just arrived in CENTCOM’s Area of Responsibility? Nuke or non-nuke?
Wuhan and other “new” Plandemics –
COVID vaccine victims have filed a lawsuit against the Biden administration for shielding drugmakers like Pfizer and Moderna from lawsuits.
OBSERVATION - The EUA grants immunity from lawsuits as long as there was no associated illegalities by the companies - falsified tests, reports, etc. In this case the evidence points to the regime knowingly allowing these jabs to go forward under EUA knowing full well that there were severe adverse results and that they kept that knowledge secret from the public.
***
The U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) is refusing to recall the Pfizer-BioNTech COVID-19 vaccine, promoting the view that the inclusion of a previously-undisclosed DNA sequence that leaves behind fragments is not of concern. The FDA did not provide any evidence to back up its position.
OBSERVATION - Speaking of hiding information and allowing contaminated jabs to remain on the streets………
POLITICAL FRONT –
It is interesting that 0bama crawled out from under the rock he has been under to suddenly try to influence American perception of the Gaza war. The media tried to provide some cover for him, relating his return to celebration of his election in 2008 - like it is some memorial event. The most anti-Israel president of the modern era is trying to blame the whole Gaza war on Israel’s oppression and occupation of gaza - both being an unfounded lie, trying minimizing the evil of genocidal violence, as practiced by Hamas, into merely one perspective among many.“all of us are complicit to some degree” in the violence in Gaza, as he appeared to describe a moral equivalence between Hamas murdering Israelis and the Israeli “occupation” of Gaza.
Gaza has not been “occupied” by Israel since 2005, when Israel withdrew all of its soldiers and civilians in a “disengagement” that aimed to reduce violence in the region. Hamas responded by launching thousands of rockets at Israel and starting several wars.
After the October 7 terror attacks, Obama said that Israel must “dismantle” Hamas — and he has spent the last several weeks backtracking, in the face of anti-Israel (and antisemitic) activism on the “progressive” left.
OBSERVATION - 0bamas sudden jump back to the front page has more to do than just the gaza war. Apparently the marxist left had to remind him who he worked for and now may be trying to leverage that against biden’s current policies. This may be part of a more ominous cloud rising over biden’s 2024 campaign, one designed to get him to step aside for someone that may have a better chance to defeat the Trump juggernaut.
***
Tlaib (D-MI) — a founding member of the far-left collective known as “The Squad” — accused President Joe Biden of “supporting genocide” in Gaza and warned that he may not be able to count on her support in the 2024 election.
“Joe Biden supported the genocide of the Palestinian people. The American people won’t forget,” reads text on the screen. “Biden, support a ceasefire now. Or don’t count on us in 2024.”
OBSERVATION - The rift between the marxist/leftist wing of the democrat party and its more moderate branch is growing bigger. biden’s response to Hamas’ terror has inflamed the left and to what extent it may impact the 2024 race is yet to be seen - will they sit out this one? The weekend’s riot at the WH was directed at biden and the current policy.
BTW - Tlaib is facing another censorship challenge in the House for her inflammatory, genocidal statements agains Israel.
***
Now just one year out from the 2024 Presidential elections and numerous polls are showing that biden is taking on water faster than the Titanic. Traditionally leftist polls show Trump clearly winning 5 of 6 key battle ground states, and rough electoral counts show a landslide growing.
OBSERVATION - I’ve learned over the years not to place much confidence in polls at this stage of the campaign as they are designed to shape the political landscape and influence attitudes. The fact that these traditionally leftist leaning polling organizations are in line with biden’s poor numbers of the past three years does lend credence to them. They may also be an attempt to convince biden to drop out for a younger, fresher face that can challenge Trumps incredible popular support.
Illegal Immigration –
In what should be no shock to anyone, illegal immigrants in NYC are turning to prostitution and illegal activities. This is the tip of the iceberg for cartel based human trafficking and expansion of other crime.
Japan –
Japan is hosting and leading its 10-day “Annual Exercise 2023” beginning on 10 November. The Japanese Maritime Self-Defense Force says this is the largest exercise they’ve run since 1954, the year of their inception. Japan, the U.S., Canada, and Australia are participating with 16, 11, two, and three ships respectively. The Philippines will have observers on site for the first time. The exercise will focus on Anti-Surface Warfare, anti-submarine warfare, and replenishment-at-sea. (FO)
OBSERVATION - Japan continues to be proactive in its preparations for an eventual confrontation with China and is getting its forces well established with allied forces in the region.
Russia -
WAR WATCH - into the second year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022
CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Updated Sept 27, 2023
Russia is on a defensive footing across most of Ukraine, relying on Russian doctrinal defense in depth to blunt the Ukrainian offensive. However, Russian forces continue increasingly stretched and undermanned, with increasingly insufficient artillery support.
Ukrainian action has forced Russia to move forces laterally to meet the Ukraine advance - thinning critical portions of the line and making them vulnerable to assault.
Russia’s strategic ballistic and cruise missiles continue to show evidence of massively reduced inventories. Recent attacks indicate the Russia has started to produce its own Shahed drones with Iranian assistance. Russia capable of continued, though limited, attacks in this arena. The majority of Russian strikes are with these Iranian drones. Major targets are grain shipping facilities in the Odesa region as well as trying to hit logistical targets across the rest of the country.
Supplemental cruise missile attacks using old models will be occasionally used to supplement the drones.
The Russian Black Sea fleet is increasingly hesitant to deploy into now contested waters. Ukraine’s mixture of seaborne and airborne drones and anti-ship missiles beginning to render areas more or less off limits to Russia. The fleet is reportedly in the process of redeploying out of Crimea and moving east to Russian bases, about 600 Km further away from the front lines.
Russia is capable of launching small scale attacks in various sectors of company and small sized elements, but any large scale offensive action in the face of the heavy demands from defending against the Ukrainian offensive are essentially nil.
*****
NUCLEAR THREATS –
Russia’s Defense Ministry has announced the successful test of the “Bulava” intercontinental ballistic missile capable of carrying a nuclear warhead.
The Russian military agency says the Emperor “Alexander the Third” strategic cruiser has successfully launched the “Bulava” sea-based intercontinental ballistic missile from the White Sea.
The report says that the firing of the ballistic missile is the final stage of testing and the cruiser should now be accepted into the service of the Russian Navy.
OBSEREVATION - From what I’ve seen, this is the first successful launch after several failures. However, the simple fact that Russia is accelerating the modernization of its nuclear capability should be a grave concern to us.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Continued cool, 40’s- 50’s with scattered rain.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Action on the fronts continue to be relatively static.
Russia targeted the Odesa region with Ukrainian air defense shooting down 15 of 22 Shahed drones and 1 Kh-59 cruise missile
This weekend in a very stupid move, an awards ceremony very near the front lines, 128th Mountain Assault Brigade confirmed in a statement that it lost 19 fighters as result of Russian missile strike in Zaporizhzhia region.
Russian sources report that a Russian Karakurt-class ship Project 22800 was hit in a Ukrainian strike Saturday at the shipbuilding yard in Kerch, Crimea
Air defenses were active close to the shipyard and several explosions were heard in the area, which is near the Crimean Bridge. The ship was a brand new missile launcher.
Ukraine hit a number of large ammo/logistical sites across occupied southern Ukraine this weekend, evidenced by significant secondary explosions.
OUTLOOK - Continued status quo along all fronts. Growing talk of some sort of ceasefire, especially since the Gaza war has sucked a lot of air out of this war’s coverage and attention.
ISRAEL –
Key overnight developments -
- IAF airstrikes increase significantly in numbers and intensity in Gaza.
- Israel officially declares that they have cut Gaza in half
- Battles on the Lebanese border are increasing in intensity
GENERAL ——————————-
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu announced today (Sunday) the suspension of Heritage Minister Amichai Eliyahu from cabinet meetings until further notice.
The move follows an interview Eliyahu gave to Kol Barama Radio in which he stated in response to a question of whether an atomic bomb should be dropped on Gaza following the Hamas massacre of October 7: “That is one of the possibilities.”
OBSERVATION - A completely brain dead comment played right into the hands of arab propagandists.
***
In a remarkable milestone, “Israel this week used its Arrow missile-defense system to shoot down a ballistic missile outside of Earth’s atmosphere, in what is believed to be the first combat ever to take place in space.”
***
Sec State Blinken made a quick pass through the region trying to meet with numerous govts.
GAZA FRONT ———————————-
Significant intensive airstrikes northern Gaza tonight as the IDF further prepares the ground for expanding urban ground Ops. Israeli army says fighter jets struck some 450 targets in the Gaza Strip over the past day, including Hamas compounds, anti-tank missile launch positions, and observation posts.
Israel provided more evidence that Hamas is using hospitals in Gaza to cover underground command facilities. Even supplied evidence of Hamas firing at Israeli forces from the hospitals proper. These hospitals, according to Hamas, ran out of fuel several weeks ago - yet continue to be brightly lit and operational.
Israel also produced evidence of Hamas rocket launchers installed in school playground and within residential areas.
Hamas continues to manage a few rocket attacks into Israel.
LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
Britain’s Foreign Office temporarily withdraws some British embassy staff from Lebanon. (Reuters)
Kiryat Shmona municipality urges its remaining residents to leave
Hamas/Hezbollah forces continued attacking IDF with rockets, mortars and ATGM with Israel replying with air and artillery strikes. Overall, the level of exchanges has increased as well as attempts at infiltrating into Israel by islamic forces.
SYRIA / HEZBOLLAH / IRAN———————————-
Explosions resonate in the Al-Omar oil field, the largest international coalition base in the country. Nearby, skirmishes between the SDF and Iranian militias continued. A large Iranian cell attack was reported near Dhiban. SDF and Iranian militia then entered an artillery battle along the Euphrates river in that area. (Outskirts of Mayadeen).
Reports of another attack on the Al-Shaddadi base where coalition forces are. No reports of any casualties as yet.
Syria: Reports of another attack on the base at Conoco where coalition forces are.
OBSERVATION - There have now been about 50 attacks on these facilities over the past several weeks with only one US retaliatory strike. This is displaying weakness to these islamic militia and only inviting more attacks where they hope to beat the odds and get one lucky hit.
WEST BANK——————————-
The Israeli army continues a campaign of arrests and raids in the West Bank and Jerusalem. Gun fights reported.
The Israeli army: 38 people were arrested in the West Bank last night, 5 of whom were from Hamas
INTERNATIONAL ——————————-
Long-range rocket fire from the Gaza Strip, heading south. Sirens sounding near Eilat.
Anti-Israel protesters are now using fireworks to attack the British police at Trafalgar Square in London. Violent protests also in Berlin and Paris.
Jordanian Prime Minister: Any Israeli attempt to displace Palestinians from Gaza or the West Bank is a “declaration of war”
FORECAST ————————-
Bottom Line Up Front (BLUF) - Israel will continue its attacks in N Gaza to eliminate Hamas from that portion of land before turning south or turning to confront Hezbollah in a more substantial way if necessary. As it moves deeper into Gaza City, more substantial battles are expected.
Israeli produced evidence of Hamas illegally positioning rocket firing positions in clearly civilian areas and now showing them using hospitals as cover for their under ground command hubs is taking a lot of wind out of the propaganda sails for Hamas. This will be a temporary feature, as the propaganda machine is already spinning the reports in a furious manner.
Hezbollah still seems to be restrained from entering the conflict in a greater manner, taking seriously the counter threats by Israel and the US to intervene.
Iran, in spite of its threats to the US, is not expected to do anything directly, relying on its proxy militias in Syria, Iraq and Yemen to pursue attacks against Israel an US bases. The US is going to have to get tougher and start striking some of these militias back hard before US forces get killed or injured by the persistent rocket/mortar attacks. To not take action is seen as a sign of weakness by these islamists.
Iran –
Top U.S. Senators said over the weekend that they are introducing a bipartisan resolution calling for military strikes against Iran if its terror proxies in the Middle East kill any U.S. soldiers or if Hezbollah opens up a second front against Israel.
Sens. Lindsey Graham (R-SC) and Richard Blumenthal (D-CT) made the remarks during a CNN interview Sunday morning with Dana Bash on “State of the Union.”
“It basically says, if the war expands, if Hezbollah opens up a second front in the north against Israel in a substantial way to overwhelm Iron Dome, then we should hit the Islamic Republic of Iran,” Graham said. “There is no Hamas without the Ayatollahs’ support. There is no Hezbollah without the Ayatollahs’ support. The great Satan in the region is not Israel or the United States. It’s Iran.”
OBSERVATION - There are a number in congress that desire to initiate war against Iran. Iran is a definite threat, but are we positioned to conduct the level of war necessary to eliminate that threat.
Iraq -
Iranian-backed Iraqi militias may be about to escalate attacks against US bases in Iraq and possibly elsewhere in the region.
Ashab Al-Kahaf in a statement: all political solutions were useless, we are only left with military operations aganist US embassy and bases. The US embassy is the source of terrorism in the region, it must be closed.
Sec State Blinken visited with the Iraqi PM for a couple hours overnight. That visit prompted Sadr to rally his supporters and threaten the Green Zone where they were meeting. Upon Blinken’s departure, Sadr called off his forces.
Lebanon -
See Israel above.
Syria -
See Israel above on latest.
Turkey –
In Turkey, a crowd of pro-Palestinian demonstrators gathered near the Turkish-U.S. Incirlik Air Base and attempted to break into it. Police used tear gas and water cannons to disperse the protesters.
FYI this base houses forward positioned US nuclear bombs.
This is usually my first read of the day. Thanks, ‘Zilla.
Globalism / Great Reset –
Energy production sources play a big role in the GGR, leveraging the false narrative of anthropogenic (man caused) climate change, to force global economic change. This has lead many to believe that in order to achieve its goal, there has to be a declared “climate emergency” of the similar nature to wuhan to bypass national laws and force these changes. This effort is hitting some rough spots and pushback as observed below.
****
Despite expressed outrage and a vote of “no confidence” from the Wyoming Republican Party on Saturday over comments he made about climate change and reducing Wyoming’s carbon output, Gov. Mark Gordon stuck to his firm “decarbonization” policy at Monday’s Western Governors’ Association meeting in Jackson.
During a press conference held before the event, Gordon said there has been some confusion about what “decarbonizing the West” means.
“It is about what we do about carbon dioxide in the atmosphere and how we move forward in an aggressive fashion really to address that issue and understanding how all energy sources have a place,” he said.
Gordon has championed the initiative of “decarbonizing the West” in his role as chair of the Western Governors’ Association. On Monday, he said there is a shared, bipartisan commitment amongst Western governors to address climate change in the West. Gordon said these issues are of shared importance throughout the Western states, which produce about 50% of America’s energy.
OBSERVATION - Amazing how WEF has managed to penetrate even dark red states like Wyoming. The end of his term is coming fast, just like Liz Chaney. Oil and coal are big economic foundational pillars for Wyoming, as well as other western states. As such, they are big targets for moles of the WEF to penetrate and enact favorable policies and laws.
***
The wind farm industry globally is having the air sucked out of it as costs explode and problems with deliveries, cables, blades, etc. Others are getting hit trying to renegotiate price per kw to recover losses. Another factor is the push back to ESG scoring with companies that supported wind to boost their score and now seeing that it is no longer worth it to continue and are pulling out of projects.
Similar is impacting the major solar projects, too expensive and not cost effective.
OBSERVATION - These developments have been growing over the course of this year. It is really throwing a kink in the WEF’s efforts to decarbonize the planet. This may cause them to accelerate the forceful shut down of the oil and coal industries - forcing major power shortages - even beyond that which ‘green’ energy is creating.
Economy –
The New York Federal Reserve Bank said the U.S. banking sector is stable, but some banks are still vulnerable to funding pressure and capital shortfalls. These vulnerabilities are made worse by the continued high fed rates and treasury bond rates that have left banks holding lower interest ones deep in the red.
***
Interesting link below on the state of trucking in the US. It has gone from a frenzied, lacking sufficient truckers and rigs to that of companies closing up. Trucking, in a similar fashion that the housing industry is, is another gauge on the state of the economy. And the economy is slumping, not producing and consumers not consuming. Trucking brings products to consumers, and there isn’t the traffic any more.
Rick McQuaide, who runs a freight company in Cambria County, Pennsylvania, as well as in Florida states in the article - “It provides very valuable insights into the health of where the economy is going and into the mindset of the consumer: Are they spending, or are they feeling uncertain and moving within,” he asked rhetorically.
“That is what we are seeing (people rethinking their spending) on the freight side, and that is not a good omen for the U.S. economy. That spending had kept us out of a recession,” he said. “Now that consumers are pulling back, we should be paying more attention to what that means.”
OBSERVATION - This is another indicator of recession folks, the economy is shrinking, not growing as the fluffed up numbers from the biden regime try to convince you otherwise.
CW2 / Domestic violence - Heightened THREAT
Crowder got hold of 3 pages of the Nashville murder’s “manifesto “ and published them on X yesterday. Those three pages were essentially confirmed to be part of the ‘manifesto’ by Nashville’s mayor. They clearly show that that it was an anti-white hate crime. And that much in it parrots DEI teachings in the local schools, building upon the already mentally disturbed nature of being ‘trans’.
The MSM did not report on the leak of the manifesto, no shock to anyone here.
***
Antifa and pro-Palestinian activists are blocking a US military ship, Cape Orlando, from loading weapons and supplies being sent to Israel. This is at the Port of Tacoma in WA. This is phase two of a protest that started a couple days ago in Oakland. That’s where the Cape Orlando left from.
It appears the protesters weren’t able to get to the ship itself this time so they are settling for trying to prevent union dockworkers from getting inside to load it. Protesters are using their cars to block the entrance to a pier in an attempt to stop workers from being able to load the ship.
OBSERVATION - Cross link with Terrorism. This is the second such action against US military cargo ships. There is a security breach in the dock workers who are civilian, feeding this intel to the leftists.
***
A pro-Palestine protester has been arrested after killing a 65 year old Jewish man by hitting him over the head with a megaphone during a verbal altercation in the Thousand Oaks area of LA.
The man suffered from a brain hemorrhage as a result & succumbed to his injuries. The pro-Hamas protestor has been arrested for murder.
Terrorism - Level is HIGH due to increased lone wolf threats.
The Indianapolis Metropolitan Police Department (IMPD) says that Ruba Almaghtheh confessed to purposely backing her car into the Israelite School of Universal and Practical Knowledge while there were people inside the building. The IMPD termed her a “terrorist.” There were no reports of any injuries.
Police said she told them that she was offended by the Hebrew Israelite symbol on the building and planned to attack it after watching coverage of the Israel-Hamas war. She thought it was an “Israel school.”
IMPD said she referred to “her people back in Palestine” and told officers, “Yes. I did it on purpose.”
However, the Anti-Defamation League defines the Israelite School of Universal and Practical Knowledge as an “extreme and antisemitic” sect of the Black Hebrew Israelites.
Jewish Federation of Greater Indianapolis officials wrote in a press release. “Although a Jewish facility was not targeted, solely due to ironic misidentification, this is yet another reminder to maintain security protocols, remain vigilant of suspicious activity and to (report promptly) to the appropriate authorities.”
Almaghtheh is facing a preliminary charge of criminal recklessness.
OBSERVATION - She screwed up bigly by attacking the wrong kind of “Hebrews”, but expect more of these kind of triggered, lone wolf attacks as the war progresses.
***
Another Seattle synagogue has been evacuated for a suspicious envelope, this time on Monday in North Seattle.
The Seattle Fire Department first posted about the investigation around 8:30 p.m. The synagogue is in the 6200 block of 43rd Avenue Northeast.
We spoke with one member of the congregation about the suspicious envelope. That member said they found the letter as they checked the mail from over the weekend. They noticed the letter matched the description of the suspicious envelopes found at other temples in the city.
SFD said the substance inside was non-hazardous. Seattle police are now investigating.
OBSERVATION - Expect more of the same.
Military / Strategic Activity / Deployments –
The DoD clarified that the Ohio-class cruise missile submarine USS Florida (SSGN-728) transited the Suez Canal, heading into the northern Red Sea and the CENTCOM AOR.
USS Florida is armed with up to 154 Tomahawk cruise missiles and is equipped with a dry deck shelter.
OBSERVATION - Still an unusual announcement, but obvious that it is designed to send a message to Iran and even Hezbollah.
***
The USS Eisenhower CSG seems to be holding in the Red Sea area.
Wuhan and other “new” Plandemics –
WHO warning the next big pandemic may come via mosquito vectors. BTW, Bill Gates has been genetically modifying mosquitos for a couple years now . . .
POLITICAL FRONT –
Things reached critical mass yesterday in the Trump civil fraud trial as he took the stand and sparks quickly erupted. The judge’s actions were documented very well and will provide a wealth of basis to claim bias when this is appealed. Fundamentally, the judge ‘prejudged’ the case and said he didn’t need to hear Trumps testimony. Many on the left are scrambling to protect the judge’s actions, but he clearly lost it.
***
In a new leaked State Department Dissent Channel memo, mid-level staffers criticized the Biden administration’s handling of the Israel-Gaza conflict, saying the “tolerance” of a high civilian death toll in Gaza “engenders doubt in the rules-based international order that we have long championed.” This is a continuation of the rift that is growing between the older, more ‘moderate’ democrats supporting Israel, and the younger, marxist democrats who are against Israel. One only has to look at Blinken’s face as he shuttles around the globe trying to establish any kind of a cohesive US policy on the war.
***
Now 10 days away from the end of the current CR, House Republicans are preparing a new stopgap bill that would create “funding cliffs” on 07 December and 19 January 2024. House Republicans plan to put contentious spending bills under the longer “funding cliff” and appropriations with bipartisan support under the shorter “funding cliff” to entice Democrats to make a deal.
OBSERVATION - As speaker Johnson attempts to herd the cats of the republican caucus, this plan seemingly has some merits.
***
Newscum’s stealth presidential campaign continues with another stab in the back to kalifornia.
California is piloting its first state-led universal basic income program as new analysis finds the state has the highest poverty rate in the nation. While state Democrats use figures like these to demonstrate the need for more social spending, critics say these programs ultimately make California more expensive and increase poverty in the long run.
The two “Guaranteed Income Pilot Programs’ will provide 150 former foster youth in Ventura County with $1,000 per month and another 150 in San Francisco with $1,200 per month to “disrupt poverty, advance equity, and support the basic needs of recipients.”
“Guaranteed income programs help level the playing field and will give these former foster youth the support and resources they need to pursue their California dream,” said California governor Gavin Newsom.
OBSERVATION - Can cross reference to Globalism / Great Reset as well. The concept of a universal basic income is one carried by the WEF and will likely be forced on all when the great reset gives them power. In smaller, pilot tests in some kalifornia cities, it has failed miserably, with money being spent more on drugs and crime than actually helping individuals out of poverty.
Illegal Immigration –
Illegal crossings are continuing to increase, due in part to cooler weather facilitating crossings of more desert regions.
China –
News that suggests that China’s economy is close to shrinking and it has the Xi govt moving on infrastructure projects to keep the economy afloat.
Russia -
WAR WATCH - into the second year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022
CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Updated Sept 27, 2023
Russia is on a defensive footing across most of Ukraine, relying on Russian doctrinal defense in depth to blunt the Ukrainian offensive. However, Russian forces continue increasingly stretched and undermanned, with increasingly insufficient artillery support.
Ukrainian action has forced Russia to move forces laterally to meet the Ukraine advance - thinning critical portions of the line and making them vulnerable to assault.
Russia’s strategic ballistic and cruise missiles continue to show evidence of massively reduced inventories. Recent attacks indicate the Russia has started to produce its own Shahed drones with Iranian assistance. Russia capable of continued, though limited, attacks in this arena. The majority of Russian strikes are with these Iranian drones. Major targets are grain shipping facilities in the Odesa region as well as trying to hit logistical targets across the rest of the country.
Supplemental cruise missile attacks using old models will be occasionally used to supplement the drones.
The Russian Black Sea fleet is increasingly hesitant to deploy into now contested waters. Ukraine’s mixture of seaborne and airborne drones and anti-ship missiles beginning to render areas more or less off limits to Russia. The fleet is reportedly in the process of redeploying out of Crimea and moving east to Russian bases, about 600 Km further away from the front lines.
Russia is capable of launching small scale attacks in various sectors of company and small sized elements, but any large scale offensive action in the face of the heavy demands from defending against the Ukrainian offensive are essentially nil.
*****
putin planning to run for reelection next year. His opposition sits in prision/jail cells.
Economic Impact –
Russia expects its 2024 government revenue to be a record $349 billion. There are plans to sustain this level of revenue by keeping Russian military spending at record level. This means more purchases of weapons and equipment from Russian suppliers as well as continuing generous death and disability payments to soldiers or their families. The impact of these payments is obvious on poor regions of Russia that have a lot of men in the military. So many local men have been killed or disabled that the families of the dead are now relatively wealthy and spending money on new cars or upgrading their housing and lifestyles in general. This is intentional because the government is desperate to avoid large-scale dissatisfaction with the war effort.
https://www.strategypage.com/htmw/htlog/articles/20231105.aspx
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Continued cool, 40’s- 50’s with scattered rain.
RUMINT – Continued reports that western leaders are trying to get Ukraine and Russia to come to some kind of ceasefire agreement. Both have openly rejected such calls.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Both sides launched drones/missiles at each other. Russia focusing on southern Ukraine while Ukraine targeted Crimea and Russian territory around Rostov-on-Don.
It appears that Russian efforts at Adviivka have largely tapered off to a near stop. This may be in part due to muddy conditions making cross country movement very difficult combined with the very heavy losses in men and equipment over the past couple months.
Russian milbloggers are freeking out over evidence that Ukraine is bringing armor/tanks across the Dniper River and into bridge head areas. They also note Ukraine is using a newer drone jamming system at these sites to blind Russian observation and take down attack drones.
Politically, Zelensky, in a nightly video address, told Ukrainians that there would be no elections while the country was at war with Russia. With the war in Gaza sucking all the attention and resources away from his efforts, an election in the midst of a war for existence is not a practical exercise.
OUTLOOK - Continued status quo along all fronts. Increased activity at the Dniper River crossings, combined with up dated jamming of Russian drones, makes for an interesting situation to follow. This suggests that Ukraine may have set conditions for a more aggressive breakout of its current beachheads. This would place Russian planners between a rock and a hard place.
ISRAEL –
Key overnight developments -
- IDF seized another Hamas stronghold in the north
- Gazan evacuees moving south by the thousands along designated safe corridors.
- IDF closing in on the Shifa hospital
GENERAL ——————————-
We are now one month into the Gaza war, and there are still many, many months worth of fighting ahead.
The islamic terror PR campaign continues but has to deal with published evidence of Hamas violations of war.
GAZA FRONT ———————————-
Israel intensified strikes tonight around Shifa & Al Quds hospitals in Gaza, as
IDF ground forces have pushed to within a few hundred meters of Shifa hospital in intense combat with Hamas forces. Hamas has gathered hundreds of civilians around the hospitals to act as a human shield. IDF is firing flares to try to disperse them. It is strongly suspected that the Shifa hospital overlies the main Hamas command bunker in the north and that is one of the most likely places many of the hostages are being held. Similar for the Al Quds hospital. These hospitals have maintained full power now 3 weeks after claiming they’ve run out of fuel for their generators.
***
Israeli forces operating in the northern Gaza Strip have located several rocket launchers and some 50 rockets, located in a compound used by a youth movement and a mosque. Additionally, IDF soldiers located several tunnels inside a residential building in a civilian area of Beit Hanoun, northeast of Gaza City. Yahalom Unit combat engineers, in cooperation with reserve soldiers and fighters from the elite Duvdevan Unit, destroyed the tunnels.
***
Hamas et al claims to have destroyed several tanks and APCs during fighting. They also managed to fire some more rockets into Israel, with virtually no effect. Photos show how launchers are buried in school yards and similar locations - making them extremely difficult to find and take out except by ground assault.
LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
Another day of increased fighting along the border. Hezbollah increased rhetoric against Israel and added more threats to expand the conflict.
Hamas’ Al-Qassam Brigades - Lebanon claims responsibility for a barrage of 30 rockets towards Haifa and Nahariya yesterday. This is the largest barrage from Lebanon since the start of the war.
After the rocket launches, the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) fighter jets struck Hezbollah targets in Lebanon, including a site housing “technological assets,” a weapons depot, rocket launch positions, and other infrastructure.
Lebanese Hezbollah (LH) and the al Qassem Brigades conducted four cross-border attacks into northern #Israel on November 6. LH claimed two indirect fire attacks and one direct fire attack targeting Israeli positions in northern Israel.
NOTE - Since hezbollah has control of southern Lebanon, any military action taken by any other military / terror organization does so with its tacit approval.
Rumors that Nazerallah will give another speech this Friday.
SYRIA / HEZBOLLAH / IRAN———————————-
Islamic resistance elements using Syria as bases to strike at US bases in the region.
WEST BANK——————————-
Continued Israeli security operations to arrest Hamas and associated terrorists.
“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” (new add) ———————————
This category is to collect the various Iranian - backed militias attacking US interests in Syria and Iraq as well as Houthi attacks toward Israel
The Islamic Resistance in Iraq released a footage of today’s attacks on multiple US bases in Iraq and Syria. They also claimed there was attack on Green Village base in Deir ez-Zor
The number of attacks on U.S. troops in Iraq and Syria rose significantly over the weekend, from 30 to 38 in total, according to the Pentagon. Number of service members wounded also rose, to 46 in total, as troops continued to report injuries from the Oct 17-18 attacks
***
Houthis fired ballistic missiles and drones from Yemen towards Israel, but most of those have been intercepted by either US naval assets in the Red Sea, or by Saudi Arabia itself.
Today, the Houthis formally “warned” Saudi Arabia that if they continue to intercept missiles destined for Israel, the Houthis will begin targeting “all Saudi oil production facilities.”
FORECAST ————————-
Bottom Line Up Front (BLUF) - Israel will continue its attacks in N Gaza to eliminate Hamas from that portion of land before turning south or turning to confront Hezbollah in a more substantial way if necessary. As it moves deeper into Gaza City, more substantial battles are expected.
The battle to secure Shifa hospital is developing into the most critical battle of the ground offensive. I expect it to last over the better part of a months Hamas will desperately mount a last stand defense. Here is where Hamas has hidden its main command post and facilities. Remember, the hospital was crying that it would be out of fuel in 24hours - 20 days ago. It has plenty of power, and that power runs the command center. How this battle will pan out is yet to be seen, but because a large number of hostages are likely to be there, it will be mano e mano in the tunnels so as to minimize the risk as much as possible to the hostages. Hamas, OTOH may at that critical moment start killing them in an effort to stop the Israeli assault.
Hezbollah is very much still worth monitoring, especially if Hamas’ defenses collapse too quickly. Right now they seem willing to allow Hamas to go down while offering minimal military support. This can change in a massive rocket barrage minute. They have to weigh that against the threat from the US to get involved with them AND Iran. If the US shows signs of weakness in its resolve, it will increase the likelyhood of Hezbollah involvement. Very danger calculations that could escalate into a major regional war.
Lebanon -
See Israel above.
Syria -
See Israel above on latest.
Misc of Note –
The Icelandic Met Office (IMO) has reported a considerable upsurge in seismic activity on the Reykjanes Peninsula, with over 18 500 earthquakes recorded since the swarm began on October 25, just north of Grindavík.
This region, known for its volcanic activity, has experienced a substantial increase in both the frequency and magnitude of seismic events, including five earthquakes exceeding magnitude 4 (M4), with the strongest being a M4.5.
Significant uplift of 7 cm (2.7 inches) has been registered in 10 days at GNSS station on Mt. Þorbjörn
Recent models, based on data collected since October 27, have shown that the volume change associated with this inflation event is nearly double that of the cumulative changes observed during the four previous inflation events between 2020 and 2022.
https://watchers.news/2023/11/06/rapid-crustal-uplift-at-mt-thorbjorn-iceland/
OBSERVATION - This pending eruption, like the recent ones in 2020, and 2022 are expected to be the fluid, basaltic type and not explosive. However, the double volume estimates suggest that it will be a very big and possibly expansive event on the peninsula. It carries the potential for some ash and gasses to reach the British Isles which potentially could delay airline flights and cause other health effects. I’m looking forward to monitoring it cause of the old retired geologist that I am.
I'm sure the parts (of the manifesto} held back are much worse than the parts released... very telling.
So many items where is seems things are waiting for the other shoe to drop.
Globalism / Great Reset –
(Bloomberg) — Australia’s central bank resumed raising interest rates on Tuesday in a widely anticipated move, while signaling a higher hurdle to further policy tightening that pushed the local currency lower.
The Reserve Bank increased its cash rate to a 12-year high of 4.35% and revised up its inflation forecast slightly to 3.5% by end-2024. It also edged down the predicted peak in unemployment to 4.25%, underscoring the resilience in the broader economy to the central bank’s tightening so far.
OBSERVATION - Rate hikes so far have done as much if not more damage to economies as the wuhan plandemic. Like in the US they are claiming a ‘resilient’ broader economy. In doing so they paper over the serious damage being done. All to the happiness of the WEF.
Economy –
Americans now owe $1.08 trillion on their credit cards, according to a new report on household debt from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
Credit card balances spiked by $154 billion year over year, notching the largest increase since 1999, the New York Fed found.
The average credit card annual percentage rate, or APR, hit a new record of 20.72% last week, according to a Bankrate database that goes back to 1985. The previous record was 19% in July 1991.
OBSERVATION - Very dangerous trend heading into a probable recession. Defaults here could domino into other aspects of the lending industry - homes and cars.
***
(FO) Deutsche Bank analysts wrote that the Conference Board’s Leading Economic Index (LEI) – which includes new manufacturing orders, new building permits, initial unemployment claims, and seven other components – has only been this low and for this long during recessions. The LEI has been negative on a year-on-year basis for the second-longest period on record.
OBSERVATION - With little doubt the regime wants to avoid calling economic conditions a “recession”, especially when headed into a highly contentious election year. Some note that technically, the continued GDP doesn’t meet the definition, it is being sustained by high govt spending and doesn’t accurately reflect true economic conditions. Like jobs and inflation data - the methodology has been so contorted to give a false impression of happy times, that conditions surrounding a recession are being given a load of lipstick.
***
The combination of high levels of debt and higher interest rates has pushed the annualized interest cost of government debt past $1 trillion, an analysis from Bloomberg showed Tuesday.
This amounts to a doubling of interest costs over the past 19 months, according to Bloomberg. It is the equivalent of 15.9 percent of the Federal budget for fiscal year 2022.
The Congressional Budget Office estimates that the cumulative deficit for the 2024–2033 period will total $20.2 trillion, or 6.1 percent of GDP. Deficits are expected to be at least 5.5 percent of GDP every year for the coming decade. Since 1973, the federal government budget deficit has averaged 3.6 percent of GDP.
OBSERVATION - This is a time bomb and it may have long past the tipping point of no return. Countries around the globe are facing the same doom. The puppet masters in the WEF are rubbing their hands in glee.
CW2 / Domestic violence - Heightened THREAT
Very heavy RUMINT at this stage. Fox news yesterday announced that the DOD issued an advisory issued for today allegedly warning of threats from threats from a Pro-Palestinian day of action.
Targets include “All possible cities and sites of production and headquarters of the largest transnational weapons companies.” The companies identified were Northrup Grummand , Lockheed Martin, Raytheon , Boeing and General Dynamics.
RUMINT - the DoD website contains no such warning and further news about this has completely dropped off the radar screen. Typically DHS would issue such warnings.
On the flip side, fliers have been distributed calling for just such a day of protests for today (Nov 8) at these locations. The group associated with the fliers is “Resist US Led Wars”. A visit to their web page shows the same symbol representing the group as found on the fliers. However, no action is listed for Nov 8th. The last posted action was a multinational call to protest on March 26, 2022.
OBSERVATION - Close watch just the same. In “X” commentary, some posters said they work for some of the companies named and they said they received a ‘briefing’ about the potential protests. Some DoD civilians noted similar warnings/briefings.
Terrorism - Level is HIGH due to increased lone wolf threats.
U.S. Capitol Police responded to an emergency call concerning a man with an AR-15 outside the US Capitol in Washington, D.C. The individual carrying the AR-15 was tased by US Capitol Police in a park near the Senate office building after disregarding commands to drop the weapon. Concurrently, law enforcement is investigating a suspicious package in the Upper Senate Park, where the suspect was reportedly sighted. Staff and other personnel are advised to steer clear of this area. Suspect is a black male. The so called rifle was actually a 5.56 pistol.
OBSERVATION - Just what the heck is some body - any color - doing walking around outside govt buildings with a pistol like this? Please don’t get me wrong, we should be able to carry just about anywhere, but in gun control fanatic DC?
***
A 19-year-old from Maine who the FBI says built homemade explosives and plotted to attack a mosque in the name of the Islamic State group was sentenced Monday to 15 years in prison.
Xavier Pelkey, of Waterville, entered an agreement with prosecutors in April in which he pleaded guilty to providing material support to terrorists while a second charge was dropped.
Pelkey planned to contribute firearms, ammunition and explosives for a mass shooting at a Shiite mosque in the Chicago area and possibly other houses of worship, and he was in communication with a pair of juveniles, one in Canada and one Chicago, about the plot, law enforcement officials said. Investigators found a handwritten document about the planned mosque attack, claiming it in the name of the Islamic State group.
OBSERVATION - As the mix of illegals continue to pour into the nation, layered on top of an existing unstable base of non-integrating foreigners and backgrounds, grudges like this will increasingly more common as they bring their fights here. Religious and criminal gangs are a growing threat.
Military / Strategic Activity / Deployments –
The White House announces the United States will suspend operations of all Conventional Armed Forces (CFE) Treaty obligations between itself and every other State Party, effective December 7 in light of Russia withdrawing from the treaty. See also NATO countries doing same below under “Europe / NATO General”.
Wuhan and other “new” Plandemics –
The U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) has issued a notice to healthcare providers, emphasizing the importance of administering the correct dosage of Moderna’s COVID-19 vaccine to children, following reports of inadvertent double doses being given to young recipients.
“We are advising healthcare providers who administer the Moderna COVID-19 vaccine to individuals six months through 11 years of age to ensure that the correct volume of the vaccine is withdrawn from the vial so that the correct dose is administered to the vaccine recipient.”
The FDA has updated its fact sheet for healthcare providers regarding the mRNA vaccine to provide clearer instructions. It now specifies that 0.25 mL should be drawn from the vial, and any remaining contents in the vial should be discarded.
OBSERVATION - This is concerning, not only for the jab, but are our medical people unable to read and understand dosage levels for other medicines? Further, there is absolutely no reason for children under the age of 11 receiving the jab in the first place - it is only to contaminate their immune systems making them more likely to get sick and die - suddenly.
POLITICAL FRONT –
Last night was generally a disappointing one for republicans, losing a number of high profile contests. This has sparked calls for the resignation of the do noting RNC Chairwoman Ronna McDaniel, niece of the nefarious Mitt Romney.
***
One good thing did arise yesterday, the US House of Representatives voted 234-188 to censure Democratic Representative Rashida Tlaib of Michigan. 22 Democrats joined with Republicans to censure Tlaib. The pre-vote debate also brought a massive melt down of the “Squad” who vociferously tried to defend Tlaib.
Before the vote, Democratic leader Hakeem Jeffries said the phrase “from the river to the sea’ was “widely understood as calling for the complete destruction of Israel”
Illegal Immigration –
(FO) Senator Dick Durbin (D-IL) and Rep. Pramila Jayapal (D-WA) are gathering signatures for a draft letter urging President Biden to designate the Palestinian territories for Temporary Protected Status (TPS) and Deferred Enforced Departure (DED).
Granting Temporary Protected Status to Palestinians on nonimmigrant visas already in the U.S. could be setting up for a surge of refugees who would also have protected status once they reach the border. Screening a surge of refugees for ideological support for Hamas would be impossible.
OBSERVATION - There is a republican attempt to ban all Palestinians from the US being put forth by Congressman (R) Zinke. The marxist left seems willing to import 1 million of these troublemakers from Gaza. NOTE - no other Arab country wants to take them in as they have a history of trying to disrupt/overthrow the govt of the countries they have resided in in the past.
***
House Republicans are urging President Joe Biden’s Department of Transportation (DOT) Secretary, Pete Buttigieg, to reject reported plans that would see United States airports transformed into migrant camps for tens of thousands of illegal aliens.
A total of 70 House Republicans, led by House Transportation and Infrastructure Committee Chairman Sam Graves (R-MO), are asking Buttigieg to drop plans in which the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) “has proposed housing 60,000 migrants at four public airports and various other facilities in New York and New Jersey,” they write:
These airports and their communities rightfully fear being transformed into larger versions of Chicago O’Hare International Airport, which has reportedly converted portions of its terminal into a shelter for hundreds of migrants. At a time when the Administration is proposing higher screening requirements on known airline crewmembers due to security risks, we are extremely concerned about the lack of regard for security risks posed by housing thousands of unknown persons at airports, many of which support passenger air service and host sensitive military facilities.
OBSERVATION - It isn’t rocket science to see that this is not a very good idea. The amount of general crime and damage to facilities alone would be staggering, let alone terror danger to airlines.
Russia -
WAR WATCH - into the second year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022
CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Updated Sept 27, 2023
Russia is on a defensive footing across most of Ukraine, relying on Russian doctrinal defense in depth to blunt the Ukrainian offensive. However, Russian forces continue increasingly stretched and undermanned, with increasingly insufficient artillery support.
Ukrainian action has forced Russia to move forces laterally to meet the Ukraine advance - thinning critical portions of the line and making them vulnerable to assault.
Russia’s strategic ballistic and cruise missiles continue to show evidence of massively reduced inventories. Recent attacks indicate the Russia has started to produce its own Shahed drones with Iranian assistance. Russia capable of continued, though limited, attacks in this arena. The majority of Russian strikes are with these Iranian drones. Major targets are grain shipping facilities in the Odesa region as well as trying to hit logistical targets across the rest of the country.
Supplemental cruise missile attacks using old models will be occasionally used to supplement the drones.
The Russian Black Sea fleet is increasingly hesitant to deploy into now contested waters. Ukraine’s mixture of seaborne and airborne drones and anti-ship missiles beginning to render areas more or less off limits to Russia. The fleet is reportedly in the process of redeploying out of Crimea and moving east to Russian bases, about 600 Km further away from the front lines.
Russia is capable of launching small scale attacks in various sectors of company and small sized elements, but any large scale offensive action in the face of the heavy demands from defending against the Ukrainian offensive are essentially nil.
*****
Putin will today receive Deputy Chairman of the Central Military Council of the People’s Republic of China Zhang Yuxia, who previously met with Shoigu - Kremlin.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Continued cool, 40’s- 50’s with scattered rain.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Minor developments listed below. Ukraine also reportedly hit a training facility for Russian drone pilots in Donetsk.
Kherson Axis -
Unconfirmed reports that at least a battalion of armored vehicles have been shuttled to the left bank of Kherson region. Russia is also - unconfirmed - reportedly moving airborne (VDV) forces to the region, possibly being stripped from the Tokmok front, to meet this growing threat.
Avdiivka Front -
There are unconfirmed reports that Russia is trying to muster 40,000 troops to renew the assault on Avdiivka. This also includes armor and artillery.
OUTLOOK - Continued status quo along all fronts. Watching developments in Kherson and Bakhmut to see if these rumors pan out. Weather continues to be the main factor now until the temperatures cool enough to freeze the ground.
Europe / NATO General –
NATO on Tuesday announced the formal suspension of a key Cold War-era security treaty in response to Russia’s pullout from the deal just hours earlier. The alliance also said its members who signed the treaty are now freezing their participation in the pact.
Most of NATO’s 31 allies have signed the Treaty of Conventional Armed Forces in Europe (CFE), which was aimed at preventing Cold War rivals from massing forces at or near mutual borders. It was signed in November 1990, but not fully ratified until two years later.
NATO said its action was required because “a situation whereby Allied State Parties abide by the Treaty, while Russia does not, would be unsustainable.”
State Department spokesperson Matthew Miller said the U.S. fully supports NATO’s decision.
“Our suspension of CFE obligations is consistent with our rights under international law, in response to a fundamental change of circumstances caused by the combination of Russia’s withdrawal from the CFE Treaty and its continuing full-scale war of aggression against Ukraine, another CFE State Party, using the very forces the Treaty aims to constrain,” Miller said in a statement.
“The U.S. suspension will take effect on December 7. A number of our CFE partners that are not NATO Allies also support and intend to join us in suspending CFE Treaty obligations in response to Russia’s actions. Russia’s continued destabilizing behavior undermines the key arms control principles of reciprocity, transparency, compliance, and verification, which have for decades been the bedrock of the Euro-Atlantic security architecture.”
Earlier in the day, Moscow said it had finalized its withdrawal from the treaty, also known as CFE. The long-expected move came after both houses of the Russian parliament approved a bill proposed by President Vladimir Putin denouncing the CFE. Putin signed that bill it into force in May this year.
https://www.newsmax.com/us/nato-russia-armed-forces/2023/11/07/id/1141246/
OBSERVATION - The guardrails between NATO and Russia are being torn down fast. This will hit Russia first as its border forces have been stripped to provide support to the Ukraine war. This could heighten the concerns that Russia will initially rely on nukes at the borders.
ISRAEL –
Key overnight developments -
- Israel pushes into Gaza City proper.
- Israel flat out rejects any ceasefire without complete and unconditional release of all hostages.
GENERAL ——————————-
Hamas has been trying to manipulate international calls for a cease fire by announcing they want to release a few hostages. Israel has flat out rejected any ceasefire without total release of hostages, unconditionally.
***
Looking forward to the post-Hamas era in Gaza, Netanyahu said Israel will have an “overall security responsibility” in Gaza for an “indefinite period” after the war in the interview with ABC News. He added that Israel seeks to guarantee that only “those who don’t want to continue the way of Hamas” will govern Gaza in the future.
***
Palestinian terrorists in the Gaza Strip have fired more than 9,500 rockets at Israeli territory since Hamas launched its multi-pronged attack on the Jewish state one month ago, according to data published by the Israeli Foreign Ministry on Tuesday. Since Oct. 7, the Israel Defense Forces has attacked over 14,000 terror targets in Gaza, IDF Spokesman Brig. Gen. Daniel Hagari said on Tuesday night. Troops have killed “thousands of terrorists above and beneath the ground” in the coastal enclave, according to Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.
GAZA FRONT ———————————-
Intense airstrikes on Gaza again tonight after a day of what seemed like a reduced tempo. Rockets continue to attack Israel as IDF ground ops moved into Gaza city today. Tel Aviv came under rocket attacks overnight.
IDF spokesman reported that ground forces were advancing faster than anticipated into Gaza City. The Israeli government has confirmed that the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) are now in “the heart of Gaza City” amid their war against Hamas terrorists. They also claim that Hamas’s most senior official in Gaza, Yahya Sinwar, was isolated in his bunker in Gaza.
IDF also reported taking out more key Hamas commanders in strikes overnight.
The pace of Palestinian civilians fleeing the combat zone in northern Gaza has picked up as Israel’s air and ground campaign there intensifies, the UN Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs said Wednesday, adding that 15,000 people had fled the north on Tuesday alone.
NOTE - Some portions of the evacuation route were under Israeli protection as Hamas has been attacking and killing evacuees in an effort to force them to say in the battle zone as unwilling human shields.
Hamas launched two large rocket barrages at the Tel Aviv area in a half-hour period Tuesday night. Some damage was reported.
LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
Continued harassing fire from Hamas affiliated groups and Israeli counter fire.
Israeli army says fighter jets struck Hezbollah sites in southern Lebanon in response to the rocket fire earlier. The sites included a weapons depot, rocket launching positions, infrastructure, and sites where “technological means” are stored
Israeli army footage shows a massive blast after one such strike on a Hezbollah weapons depot in southern Lebanon last night. Reports of Israeli jets flying low over Beirut.
WEST BANK——————————-
IDF continues to launch security operations at various locations across the West Bank. These operations have been quite violent at times with serious resistance from West Bankers.
“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” (new add) ———————————
When asked whether there is any hesitancy to respond to Iran-backed groups’ continued attacks on US forces, Pentagon spox says the attacks have not resulted in “significant” casualties or damage to infrastructure. At least 46 US servicemen have been injured by these attacks.
Reports the IDF intercepted more drones launched towards Israel by Houthi rebels in Yemen yesterday. Houthi attacks have been inconsequential to the fight so far, being easily handled by Israeli and Saudi Arabian air defense assets.
INTERNATIONAL ——————————-
Canadian police are investigating attempted firebombing of a synagogue and Jewish community center in the Montreal suburb of Dollard-Des Ormeaux, local media reported on Tuesday. The suspected arson attacks at Congregation Beth Tikvah and a nearby community center took place overnight on Tuesday, a police spokesperson told the Montreal Gazette.
FORECAST ————————-
Bottom Line Up Front (BLUF) - Israel will continue its attacks in N Gaza to eliminate Hamas from that portion of land before turning south or turning to confront Hezbollah in a more substantial way if necessary. As it moves deeper into Gaza City, more substantial battles are expected.
Continued bleats for a ‘ceasefire’ by some world leaders continue to completely ignore the fact that Hamas violated a cease fire from 2022 when they attacked Israel - plus the fact that Hamas continues to hold over 200 individuals hostage. Though one of Israel’s primary objective is to rescue as many as possible, the likelihood that will happen on a large scale is growing less and less, as Hamas will probably kill them as one last spit in the face as their stronghold on Gaza fades. Not a really happy thought, but an observation based on how these terrorists have operated over the past many decades.
Iran –
Continued threats against US forces in the region.
Lebanon -
See Israel above.
Syria -
See Israel above on latest.
Misc of Note –
It is all too easy to try to wrap oneself in normalcy bias with all the chaos going on around us. It is critical that we wake up and take stock of our level of preparedness when (no longer if) things go sideways. Basics such as food, water and shelter must be inventoried and updated as necessary. Security -ie guns and ammo - likewise need to be evaluated and an area study of your local conducted to identify potential threats that those weapons may have to be used against.
Given the current housing crisis, it is becoming increasingly hard to flee these blue city deathtraps. But if you have the means, you need to make that decision sooner than later. Don’t expect to be able to ‘bugout’, as things are likely to happen too fast to allow response.
Again, today is the day to get on this.
Thank you, ‘zilla for this thread. I look forward to it every day.
Globalism / Great Reset –
NOTE - Globalists depend on local action to further its overall goals and objectives. They coordinate these efforts.
**
On November 8th 2023, a virtual launch event took place for what was termed the “50-in-5” agenda.
The United Nations, the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, and partners of the Rockefeller Foundation are launching a campaign to accelerate digital ID, digital payments, and data-sharing rollouts in 50 countries under the umbrella of digital public infrastructure (DPI) by 2028.
The United Nations Development Program (UNDP) has announced plans to roll out “digital IDs” worldwide by the year 2030, and they will be mandatory for people who wish to participate in society, say Reclaim the Net, who advocate for free speech and individual liberty online,
Social Credit System The push for DigitalPublic Infrastructure (DPI) which includes. “Digital IDs,” vaccine passports, and central bank digital currencies (CBDC) – is being championed by the globalist WEF and unsurprisingly is backed by Bill Gates along with the UN, and the European Union (EU).
The Sociable editor Tim Hinchliffe says “Advocates are adamant that DPI is essential for participation in markets and society — just like we saw with vaccine passports — only on a much broader scope and “If successful, DPI will give governments and corporations the power to implement systems of social credit that can determine where and how you can travel, what you are allowed to consume, and how you will be able to transact with your programmable money.
The “50 in 5” bills itself as “a country-led advocacy campaign. By 2028, the 50-in-5 campaign will have helped 50 countries design, launch, and scale components of their digital public infrastructure,” according to the official announcement. The 50 countries are designated as global testbeds, and the DPI’s will first in Africa (sub-Saharan, particularly) and India but the plan is to roll digital IDs globally by 2030 to include all citizens of UN member-states, according to Planet Today
OBSERVATION - At the current trend, digital files like this will easily be accomplished by 2028. An easy step to global digital id’s.
***
Federal Communications Commission Commissioner Brendan Carr is calling the Biden administration’s “digital equity” plan for all internet services and infrastructure an “unlawful power grab.”
“President Biden’s plan hands the Administrative State effective control of all Internet services and infrastructure in the country. Never before, in the roughly 40-year history of the public Internet, has the FCC (or any federal agency for that matter) claimed this degree of control over it. Indeed, President Biden’s plan calls for the FCC to apply a far-reaching set of government controls that the agency has not applied to any technology in the modern era, including Title II common carriers,” Carr said in a statement on Monday.
“Congress never contemplated the sweeping regulatory regime that President Biden asked the FCC to adopt—let alone authorized the agency to implement it,” he said.
If passed, the FCC would be empowered, for the first time, to regulate every ISP’s service termination terms, use of customer credit, account history, credit checks, and account termination, among many other items.
OBSERVATION - A few days old, but is very pertinent. It has been clearly established that the regime coordinated with Big Tech / social media to censor posters, reports, etc that were true but contrary to the narrative they wanted to force feed the sheeple. Now they are resorting to another trick they’ve used with other alphabet agencies to get their way on other topics - trying to use regulatory powers not granted by congress/law. The regime won’t have to coordinate anymore- they would dictate.
Similar new internet law have sprung up elsewhere - such as the EU which is demanding that US based social media - primarily targeted “X” - to censor postings. Control of the information space is critical for the future globalist powers to develop and maintain power - shades of 1984.
***
The government of Brazil is threatening to cut welfare payments if parents refuse to give their children the dangerous and ineffective COVID-19 injections once a year.
The government-owned news agency Agência Brasil reported that the COVID injections will be added to the National Immunization Program (PNI), making the shots mandatory for children aged six months to five years, starting in 2024, even though numerous studies have shown that COVID poses virtually no risk to children.
OBSERVATION - Once again, the jab is being introduced and forced as a population control measure.
Economy –
Economists are still looking at their tea leaves trying to discern 2024. The economic markers and gauges used in the past are being tightly skewed by the continuing issues of the post-wuhan lockdown and massive federal spending of the past few years. Some see a definite economic slowdown in 2024, but uncertain if it would reach the levels for a declared recession. You can bet the powers that be will do everything in their power to censor and deny a recession in the middle of a presidential election cycle.
***
Tanker tracking data suggests that the highest number of vessels in years is headed to the U.S. to pick up crude oil cargoes. As a result of rising production and often favorable arbitrage economics, exports have grown so much that oil is on track to be the largest export item for the United States this year for the first time in history.
OBSERVATION - The bad part of this is we don’t have the refinery facilities to process the oil here, and are reliant on imports for that. On the good side, oil is maintaining a degree of competitiveness in the face of biden regime persecution .
CW2 / Domestic violence - Heightened THREAT
I’ve mentioned before the growing anti-colonialist movement - an umbrella for many anarchist and now anti-israeli groups. This concept is rooted in CRT in response to their continued bleating how they are continually enslaved by “colonists” and such need to be forever cleared out of society - code words for white genocide.
The Gaza war appears to be becoming the ‘glue’ that is pulling these anarcho-marxist groups together- much like the BLM riots did. As non-violent protests fail to change US policy, expect them to fully embrace violence once again.
Now add to the mix the most probable presidential candidate - Trump - who represents to the anti-colonialists the epitome of the rich, white oppressor and capitalist. This could result in increasing the fervor of the left and increase the scale of violence.
2024 could well be the most violent period our country has faced outside of civil war.
***
Anti-Israel protestors (most likely core Antifa elements) showed up at Gal Gadot’s screening of the video of 10/7 atrocities at the Museum of Tolerance in LA tonight. They immediately began attacking Israel supporters there. Israelis fought back.
Before the streetfights occurred, several leftist groups like the DSA were calling for action. Police did eventually show up and order everyone to disperse. Another radical group - “Jewish Voice for Peace,” a pro-terror organization that exploits Jewish identity to cover for violent Palestinian extremists also participated in the call up.
OBSERVATION - Classical Antifa - like response. Better expect a lot more of this kind of violence.
***
Atlanta Antifa terror and RICO suspect Ayla Elegla King, of Worchester, Mass., appeared at the arraignment. Her attorney asked the judge to release the names of the grand jury who indicted the 61 violent suspects. This was denied.
OBSERVATION - Antifa and far-left extremists have often tried to dox jurors to intimidate them or threaten acts of revenge.
***
Suspect in murder of Detroit synagogue leader Samantha Woll taken into custody. Won’t release details of the suspect. Investigators said in an October press conference that there were no signs of forced entry, and that Woll had her phone and ID with her. He would not provide a possible motive.
OBSERVATION - Most likely the perp is a member of a protected class - a black criminal or a moslem radical. Given that nothing was stolen, weight shifts to islamic radical who’s identity police likely will likely try to keep under wraps to prevent “islamophobia”.
***
CAIR, the radical spokespersons and apologists for radical islam following the 9/11 attacks has crawled out from beneath its rock, trying to gain spotlight thru the Gaza war. It has used its time flying under the radar to become an accepted member of Washington’s lobbying community. The New York Times and other influential newspapers routinely describe CAIR as a “Muslim civil rights and advocacy organization.” CAIR is now trying to use that clout to further the genocidal efforts against Israel
***
Seven Nashville police officers have been placed on administrative leave amid an investigation into how the ‘manifesto’ of school shooter Audrey Hale leaked online. Nashville Police Department told WSMV that the officers were suspended after a probe into how three pages of notes written by Hale before she opened fire at The Covenant School in March. She fatally shot three nine-year-olds and three teachers before being shot dead by police.
OBSERVATION - Obsession with keeping the details about this case under wraps - because the perp displayed all the evidence of the brainwashing cult of the trans movement and their hatred of everything not trans.
POLITICAL FRONT –
Sparks are still flying in the aftermath of the so called Republican debate. Perhaps a highlight many are talking about is Vivek Ramaswamy tongue lashing of Ronna McDaniel TO HER FACE over her sub, sub par record as RNC chair. She was later overheard trashing Ramaswamy saying ‘He Won’t Get a Cent From Us’.
In doing so she clearly violated the mandated neutrality of the RNC chair.
OBSERVATION - IMHO, none of the debaters last night will get the GOP nod to run for president - that is strongly wrapped up by Trump. I have serious concerns over Vivek’s policies and some obfuscation on issues, but he does have a way of being a fighter and said what needed to be said in many ways.
***
The full extent of the kangaroo court that is brewing in NYC is coming to the surface. The judge has posted images of his partially clothed body on social media site of his school. His wife’s X account (which she claims she never had) was exposed and Xeets of her anti-Trump rants - especially those related to the case her husband is sitting, exposed.
Biden / Harris Watch –
Increasing pressure for Biden to step down as candidate for 2024 as his poll numbers continue to crumble and democrats become increasingly nervous of a Trump landslide and long associated coattails.
Illegal Immigration –
Gov. Maura Healy announced this week there are 40 to 50 new families arriving in the state every day and seeking state assistance with housing, and the influx of people to Massachusetts — many without a lawful presence in the U.S. — has pushed the state’s shelter system close to its 7,500-family limit, according to a report in the Boston Herald.
Massachusetts has a “right-to-shelter law,” which entitles migrant families to taxpayer-funded emergency shelter. The Bay State is the only one in the country with a statewide right-to-shelter law, signed into law in 1983 by Gov. Michael Dukakis.
Healy, a Democrat, said she hopes the crisis doesn’t devolve into homeless people sleeping at Boston’s Logan Airport or in emergency rooms. She also suggested other states should consider accepting migrants.
OBSERVATION - Its coming home to these self declared “sanctuary” states and cities. This is going to create even more stress as crime correspondingly increases and friction between ethnic groups develop in the fight over resources - in this case housing.
Russia -
WAR WATCH - into the second year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022
CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Updated Sept 27, 2023
Russia is on a defensive footing across most of Ukraine, relying on Russian doctrinal defense in depth to blunt the Ukrainian offensive. However, Russian forces continue increasingly stretched and undermanned, with increasingly insufficient artillery support.
Ukrainian action has forced Russia to move forces laterally to meet the Ukraine advance - thinning critical portions of the line and making them vulnerable to assault.
Russia’s strategic ballistic and cruise missiles continue to show evidence of massively reduced inventories. Recent attacks indicate the Russia has started to produce its own Shahed drones with Iranian assistance. Russia capable of continued, though limited, attacks in this arena. The majority of Russian strikes are with these Iranian drones. Major targets are grain shipping facilities in the Odesa region as well as trying to hit logistical targets across the rest of the country.
Supplemental cruise missile attacks using old models will be occasionally used to supplement the drones.
The Russian Black Sea fleet is increasingly hesitant to deploy into now contested waters. Ukraine’s mixture of seaborne and airborne drones and anti-ship missiles beginning to render areas more or less off limits to Russia. The fleet is reportedly in the process of redeploying out of Crimea and moving east to Russian bases, about 600 Km further away from the front lines.
Russia is capable of launching small scale attacks in various sectors of company and small sized elements, but any large scale offensive action in the face of the heavy demands from defending against the Ukrainian offensive are essentially nil.
Logistics –
RUMINT??? The Wall Street Journal reports that “Russia asks Belarus, Pakistan, Egypt and Brazil to return weapons sold to them due to huge losses in Ukraine”
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Continued cool, 40’s- 50’s with scattered rain.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Russian forces are attempting counter attacks in the Bakhmut and Avdiivka areas. Russian milbloggers continue to report additional Ukraine armor being shuttled across the Dniper River near Kherson.
Ukraine says a Russian jet hit a Liberian-flagged commercial vessel entering the port of Odesa with a missile, killing the pilot and injuring other sailors. It is being called an act of piracy. Some suggest that this is in revenge for the Ukraine missile attack that destroyed a Russian corvette earlier last week.
OUTLOOK - Continued status quo along all fronts. The most significant of current battles/operations are those to improve their local tactical situation versus larger offensive actions.
Russian attack on the Liberian flagged cargo ship could be the start of a more aggressive push against shipping to Ukraine - to include grain cargos. That would allow Ukraine justification to do the same to cargo vessels headed to Russian Black Sea ports.
ISRAEL –
Key overnight developments -
- Hamas leaders admit they hope for ‘permanent’ war, do not care about running Gaza.
- Israeli forces continue to discover weapons storage and production sites located in schools and residential houses across N Gaza. Closely associated are entrances to underground bunkers.
- Claims being made that Hamas forces are increasingly becoming disenchanted and demoralized.
GENERAL ——————————-
The Israel Defense Force has stated that over 50,000 Palestinians have been evacuated from northern to southern Gaza over the last 3 Days, utilizing IDF protected evacuation routes which prevent Hamas and the Palestinian Islamic Jihad from launching attacks against the evacuees as has happened on previous occasions.
Israel is keeping those evacuation routes open.
****
Minister of Communications Dr. Shlomo Karai appealed to well-known media outlets such as CNN, Reuters, the New York Times and the AP agency with a request to immediately provide qualified explanations regarding the revealing publication about the “involvement” of journalists acting on their behalf in the events of the bloody October 7 massacre .
According to the ‘Honest Reporting’, these journalists, together with Hamas’ terrorists entered Israeli territory and filmed massacres and atrocities that were happening in the communities bordering the Gaza Strip.
Photographers working for AP, Reuters, nytimes and CNN were embedded with Hamas on the Oct 7th massacre. Did they know about the attack beforehand?! Rhetorical question - of course they did.
OBSERVATION - These are serious charges, journalists being active participants in a massive terror spree. These media outlets are trying to hide behind a fig leaf saying they are “freelance” reporters, not directly answerable to them. That excuse is becoming increasingly thin as photos and videos of the ‘journalists’ are being made pubic.
Observers have known for quite some time journalists have been in bed with Hamas - often co-locating their offices with those of Hamas. But this cranks the issue up a couple orders of magnitude - being complicit with horrific murders and kidnappings.
RELATED - International news organization Reuters denied Thursday any suggestion it had prior knowledge of the Oct. 7 attack by Hamas on Israeli civilians and soldiers, in a statement responding to a report by media advocacy group HonestReporting.
“We are aware of a report by HonestReporting and accusations made against two freelance photographers who contributed to Reuters coverage of the Oct. 7 attack,” Reuters said.
“Reuters categorically denies that it had prior knowledge of the attack or that we embedded journalists with Hamas on Oct 7.
***
The second in command of Hezbollah has again warned that Israel’s killing of civilians in Gaza risks causing the conflict to spill over into surrounding countries. “The danger is real,” he told the BBC’s Orla Guerin.
***
According to the Hamas leaders, that was one of the primary goals of their Oct. 7 invasion of the northwestern Negev, in which thousands of armed terrorists massacred 1,400 people, mostly civilians, wounded over 5,000 others and took back to Gaza more than 200 hostages.
“I hope that the state of war with Israel will become permanent on all the borders, and that the Arab world will stand with us,” Taher el-Nounou, a Hamas media adviser, told the U.S.-based newspaper.
Khalil al-Hayya, a member of the terrorist group’s politburo in Qatar, said they planned the Oct. 7 assault to “change the entire equation and not just have a clash,” adding that “we succeeded in putting the Palestinian issue back on the table, and now no one in the region is experiencing calm.”
“Hamas’s goal is not to run Gaza and to bring it water and electricity and such,” said al-Hayya. “Hamas, the Qassam and the resistance woke the world up from its deep sleep and showed that this issue must remain on the table.”
GAZA FRONT ———————————-
IDF says troops have found and destroyed some 130 tunnel shafts in the Gaza Strip since the ground operation began last month.
Israel forces captured a Hamas stronghold in western Jabaliya after 10 hours of fighting, the IDF said on Thursday. Israel is exploiting the considerable amount of plans and other documents obtained there.
“The troops completed the takeover of the outpost after 10 hours of fighting, during which they eliminated terrorists, captured many weapons and uncovered terrorist tunnel shafts, including a shaft located near a kindergarten and leading to an extensive underground route,” according to the IDF. Troops also found “significant” operational plans, the army said.
Forces of the Nahal Infantry Brigade captured a Hamas training camp in northern Gaza. The IDF says that the troops found a staging ground within the camp, where Hamas operatives had prepared weapons and food in order to carry out an attack. Within the camp, several tunnel entrances were also found.
Israeli aircraft continue to launch raids on the vicinity of Al-Shifa Medical Complex in Gaza City. Israel continued to claim a large Hamas command facility is located beneath the building and the IAF bombing raids likely are being used to cut off potential escape tunnels from the site, as well as in support of IDF ground assault efforts.
The effects of the Israeli effort continue to wear down Hamas et al’s rocket capabilities. Rockets were launched from the Gaza Strip toward Ashdod overnight, marking the first time in 36 hours that long-range projectiles have been fired.
Hamas sources report that Israeli forces have closed to within 700 meters of the Al Quds hospital in Gaza City, with fierce fighting ongoing.
LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
Hamas/Hezbollah forces continue their harassing attacks using ATGMs against Israeli targets, with Israel responding by taking out those launch sites with air/artillery strikes.
Israeli air forces carried out an air attack near Baalbek in Lebanon, targeting some military posts in the southern region, which led to some material losses.
Hezbollah has reportedly acquired Russian P-800 supersonic anti-ship missiles with a range of 300km. The Yakhont export version skims the sea at an altitude of 30 feet and a speed of Mach 2.5 (about 1900 miles per hour) and is a credible threat to Western warships in the eastern Mediterranean. Hezbollah Secretary General Hassan Nasrullah said, in a speech last Friday, “We have prepared for the [U.S.] fleets with which you threaten us.”
SYRIA / HEZBOLLAH / IRAN———————————-
Syria accused Israel of carrying out an airstrike against military sites in southern Syria late last night, causing damage.
WEST BANK——————————-
IDF continues to launch security operations at various locations across the West Bank. These operations have been quite violent at times with serious resistance from West
Bankers.
“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” (new add) ———————————
Secretary of Defense, Lloyd Austin has announced that U.S. Air Force F-15s have carried out airstrikes tonight in eastern Syria against weapons storage sites owned by the “Quds Force” of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, Secretary Austin further stated, “The United States is fully-prepared to take further necessary measures to protect our people and our facilities. We urge against any escalation.”
Syrian State Media is reporting that several members of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps of Iran are dead and injured from those strikes.
These strikes come after 50+ recent incidents of American troops coming under fire from Iran-backed terrorists.
OBSERVATION - The US leadership still doesn’t get it. The only thing these terror militias understand is power and unless the US is willing to more aggressively attack their facilities these Iranian backed militias will continue to try to escalate their attacks.
IN Related
Rockets fell on the American military base in the city of Al-Shaddadi in the Hasakah region
***
U.S. Central Command has now confirmed that a Air Force MQ-9A “Reaper” surveillance drone was downed by the Houthis earlier today, while it was in international airspace over the Red Sea off the coast of Yemen. DoD spokesman says that the incident is currently under investigation.
INTERNATIONAL ——————————-
Egyptian President Abdel Fattah Al Sisi met with CIA director Bill Burns and rejected a proposal for the North African country to manage security in the Gaza Strip until the Palestinian Authority can take over after Hamas’s defeat, according to senior Egyptian officials. - WSJ
FORECAST ————————-
Bottom Line Up Front (BLUF) - Israel will continue its attacks in N Gaza to eliminate Hamas from that portion of land before turning south or turning to confront Hezbollah in a more substantial way if necessary. As it moves deeper into Gaza City, more substantial battles are expected.
The Al-Shifa Medical Complex has become the focal point of the current Israeli ground offensive. Rightfully believed to house a substantial subterranean Hamas command and control bunker, it is also thought to be where most of the hostages are being held. The one hostage that was rescued was kept in an apartment immediately across from the hospital. IAF is bombing all around the complex - probably looking to close off potential escape tunnels.
Reports that the Israeli operation is progressing faster than expected may well be due to timely collection, analysis and distribution of intelligence finds in these Hamas command centers. Maps and other documents - combined with other sources of intel - would give the IDF a definite advantage, especially in the realm of the underground networks.
So far expect Hezbollah and Iran to do what they can to keep out of the direct fight. Israel has the majority of its called up Army/Air Force on standby for any Hezbollah fogginess. As I’ve mentioned in the past, when an opponent shows strength, islamic elements like Hezbollah and Iran back down - and the Gaza operation is a massive show of strength by Israel. It is not being constrained by manufactured, anti-israel propaganda and calls for ceasefire and is ripping Hamas apart inspire of the millions (billions?) spent by the terrorist rulers of Gaza.
Weakness on the part of the US is promoting attacks by Iranian backed militias on US bases in the Syria/Iraq region - but even those are relatively restrained because as demonstrated overnight, the US can hit very hard with just 2 F-15’s, let alone the dozens of other F-15s, F-16s and A-10s. Expect more harassing attacks, hoping for a lucky shot.
Houthi attacks have been more show than go. I do think the US may respond to the shooting down of the MQ-9A “Reaper”. I think the Houthi’s are going to have a FAFO experience.
Iran –
Continued threats against US forces in the region.
Observers are speculating that the Hamas attack, with Iranian support (though denied) may have pushed Israel closer to launching a preemptive attack on Iran’s nuclear bomb program than ever before. A single nuclear airburst over an Israel city could kill several hundred thousand Israelis. Even if Israel doesn’t pre-emptively nuke Iran, Israel certainly will if Iran nukes Israel first. It’s really a question of who nukes who first.
Iran has dispersed and hardened its nuclear development facilities, making any conventional take out strikes by Israel virtually impossible - even extremely difficult for the US as well. But Iran has a critical vulnerability, 98% of Iran’s oil exports flow through the one port of Karg Island. Iran’s other oil ports lack even 10% of Karg Island’s capacity. Iran would likely respond with attacks on Gulf nations oil production and exports, but once again, thought it may be initially successful, it wouldn’t have the legs for combined attacks by hostile Gulf nations like Saudi Arabia as well as the US.
For all its bluster, I’m not sure that Iran is ready to commit to a self-destructing plan.
Lebanon -
See Israel above.
Syria -
See Israel above on latest.
Big ISIS attack yesterday an area around Resafa (S. Raqqa desert). At least 30 pro-Assad fighters dead.
OBSERVATION - ISIS is bound to take the initiate against Syria and its anti-ISIS supporters because Syria is having to deal with wars on multiple other fronts - Gaza and Idlib to name a couple. Iranian backed militias that have been after ISIS have been diverted toward Lebanon to support Hezbollah or towards the US bases in Syria / Iraq. US/Coalition is diverting intel assets to monitor and target these iranian militias, and not so much on ISIS. Now ISIS has a much freer ability to operate.
Central / South America General-
Brazilian security authorities with the support of Mossad have reportedly managed to arrest the 2 Hezbollah leaders in plot to launch attacks against Jewish communities and synagogues across Brazil, while also recruiting more terrorists to their cause for further attacks in the region; the plot is said to have been planned by Iranian Intelligence and executed by members of Hezbollah.
The operation comes against the backdrop of Brazil’s strict anti-terrorism legislation enacted prior to the 2016 Rio Olympics, which takes a firm stance against acts motivated by xenophobia or racial, ethnic, and religious discrimination. According to the World Jewish Congress, there are about 92,000 Jews in Brazil, making it the 10th-largest Jewish community in the world and second largest in Latin America, behind Argentina.
Dead or in prison for war crimes would be better - but at this stage 'disenchanted and demoralized' works...
Makes them easier to kill
Ok, who had Spanish civil war in November on their Bingo card?
News literally exploded on my feeds overnight - see CW2 and Spain for details. With all heck breaking loose in the world, now potential civil war .
Today Veteran’s Day is observed though tomorrow is the actual Holiday. I thank my fellow veterans for their service and dedication to our country.
Globalism / Great Reset –
It appears that “AI bots” are now posting false comments on climate change related articles online. In an article about glaciers in Chile, there are several pro-climate alarm comments that have a suspicious similarity. Expansion of AI bot propaganda will have a very dangerous end - obfuscating truth from misinformation.
CW2 / Domestic violence - Heightened THREAT
American Jews and supporters of Israel will descend on the National Mall on Tuesday, November 14, for a massive “March for Israel” to show solidarity with the Jewish state in its war against terror, and to stand up against rising antisemitism at home.
The march, which is drawing participants from all over the country, is being organized by the Jewish Federations of North America and the Conference of Presidents of Major American Jewish Organizations. Many local communities are sending buses.
Participants will be demanding the return of the estimated 240 hostages Hamas terrorists abducted during its October 7 onslaught on Israel, Fingerhut said. They will also be calling for efforts to combat antisemitism, which has spiked worldwide since the attack. And they will be demonstrating their support for the unabashed backing Israel has so far received from both parties in Congress and the Biden administration.
A similar march in 2002 supported Israel in the midst of the second intifada, and one in 1987 supported Soviet Jews in their effort to leave the USSR for Israel, the U.S., and elsewhere.
The march will take place on the National Mall from 1:00 to 3:00 p.m. on November 14. Gates are expected to open at 10:00 a.m. It is unclear whether there will be counter-demonstrations.
OBSERVATION - Without a doubt, the pro-Hamas, antifa embedded, left will be deploying to oppose this gathering and to inflict as much damage and chaos as possible. The potential for ugly confrontations is high.
****
Kinda putting the cart before the horse here, but that is due to the outline I use. Events in Spain could potentially play out here in the US should a high level political figure get targeted - such as a Trump, or Gaetz, etc. Violence literally exploded overnight and the country is on the precipice of a civil war, with marxist/socalists on one side and nationalists on the other. Much like the first Spanish civil war.
***
It appears that “AI bots” are now posting false comments on climate change related articles online. In an article about glaciers in Chile, there are several pro-climate alarm comments that have a suspicious similarity. Protesters then started to march and made their way to the NY Times building with some of them getting inside the lobby and held chants demanding a ceasefire.
Terrorism - Level is HIGH due to increased lone wolf threats.
Unknown assailant fires a gun at 2 Jewish facilities - Yeshiva Gedolah and Talmud Torah Elementary School - in Montreal, Canada
Happening in Canada, can easily happen here as well.
.
***
Pierce County Elections confirmed that this is the letter it received yesterday that prompted the emergency response.
It had a white powdery substance on it and the building was evacuated
Letter has Antifa, trans, and satanic emblems on it.
***
Follow-up.. Authorities have identified the armed man apprehended near the United States Capitol in Washington, DC on Tuesday as Ahmir Lavon Merrell of Georgia. The 21-year-old black Atlanta native was tased and arrested by US Capitol Police in a park just blocks from the house of government after refusing to drop his firearm.
According to the USCP, “it is not yet clear what Merrell was doing in Washington, DC.” He has been charged with felon in possession of a firearm, unregistered ammunition, unregistered firearm, fugitive from justice, and unlawful activities.
Wuhan and other “new” Plandemics –
An international campaign — funded in large part by the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation — to inject tens of millions of young girls with the human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccine is drawing fire from critics who allege the vaccine will cause far more harm than good.
Claiming the initiative will avert “over 1.4 million future deaths,” Gavi, the Vaccine Alliance announced it is investing more than $600 million to reach its goal of vaccinating 86 million girls in low- and middle-income countries by 2025.
The Gates Foundation co-founded Gavi and is one of its four permanent board members. UNICEF, the World Bank and the World Health Organization (WHO) — whose second-largest donor is Gates — hold the other permanent seats.
https://childrenshealthdefense.org/defender/gates-gavi-invest-vaccinate-african-girls-hpv/
OBSERVATION - Anything Gates is associated with should be avoided like the plague.
POLITICAL FRONT –
Jill Stein announced that she is entering the 2024 presidential race as a Green Party candidate - Washington Post
OBSERVATION - The democrats will use every dirty trick in the book to keep the greens off the ballots. With leftist dissatisfaction with biden over support to Israel, this would syphon a lot of votes away from him.
Joe Manchin’s announced that he will not seek reelection. initial analyst of the move strongly suggests a republican pick-up. What his status will be in Nov 2024 is unknown at this time.
***
Congress recessed and when it returns will only have 8 days to address the federal budget or face a govt shutdown.
Russia -
WAR WATCH - into the second year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022
CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Updated Sept 27, 2023
Russia is on a defensive footing across most of Ukraine, relying on Russian doctrinal defense in depth to blunt the Ukrainian offensive. However, Russian forces continue increasingly stretched and undermanned, with increasingly insufficient artillery support.
Ukrainian action has forced Russia to move forces laterally to meet the Ukraine advance - thinning critical portions of the line and making them vulnerable to assault.
Russia’s strategic ballistic and cruise missiles continue to show evidence of massively reduced inventories. Recent attacks indicate the Russia has started to produce its own Shahed drones with Iranian assistance. Russia capable of continued, though limited, attacks in this arena. The majority of Russian strikes are with these Iranian drones. Major targets are grain shipping facilities in the Odesa region as well as trying to hit logistical targets across the rest of the country.
Supplemental cruise missile attacks using old models will be occasionally used to supplement the drones.
The Russian Black Sea fleet is increasingly hesitant to deploy into now contested waters. Ukraine’s mixture of seaborne and airborne drones and anti-ship missiles beginning to render areas more or less off limits to Russia. The fleet is reportedly in the process of redeploying out of Crimea and moving east to Russian bases, about 600 Km further away from the front lines.
Russia is capable of launching small scale attacks in various sectors of company and small sized elements, but any large scale offensive action in the face of the heavy demands from defending against the Ukrainian offensive are essentially nil.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Continued cool, 40’s- 50’s with scattered rain.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Ukrainian air defense shot down 5 of 6 Shahed drones, 1 Kh-31 and 1 Kh-59 missile overnight.
Unconfirmed reports that Russia is attempting to restart an offensive on Kupyansk that failed 3 months ago. These reports state that Russia is now actively deploying units there.
Kherson Axis -
Reports that Ukraine is shuttling armor and other materials across the Dniper River unopposed and growing the bridgehead breakout.
Crimean front —
Ukrainian Military intelligence claims destruction of 2 Russian speedboats in Chornomorske town in occupied Crimea
Partisan Resistance ——
A vehicle belonging to occupational police was blown up in Mariupol
OUTLOOK - Continued status quo along all fronts. The most significant of current battles/operations are those to improve their local tactical situation versus larger offensive actions.
Europe / NATO General –
SPANISH Civil Unrest/War -
Background - This past July, Spain held its parliamentary elections with the results being that no single party won enough parliamentary seats to form a government. The center-right Partido Popular (PP) is set to come in first, winning 136 seats. The upstart far-right Vox party, a possible coalition partner to PP, is forecast to win 33 seats.
Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez’s ruling center-left Socialist party meanwhile is on course to win 122 seats, with likely coalition partners Sumar at 31 seats. In order to govern, a party or coalition must achieve a working majority of 176 seats in the 350-seat legislature. The results showed the center-right increasing its support to 33% up from 21%.
Thus began a prolonged effort by both sides to sway the support of smaller regionalist parties in order to gain the working majority. The deadline is the end of November, if neither group has success, new elections will be held.
Current - Earlier this week, Spanish Prime Minister Sanchez gov’s made an agreement to issue an amnesty to the separatist leaders behind the illegal 2017 Catalan independence referendum. This in exchange for its key backing of acting Sánchez in forming a new government. Opposition parties declared the action a “coup”. The move angered many traditional socialist voters as well. A poll in mid-September showed 70% of Spaniards opposed an amnesty, and about 200,000 people have taken part in three large, recent rallies against the measure, organized by the PP and Vox.
The legality of such amnesty was immediately challenged. The Permanent Commission of the Spanish General Council of the Judiciary has just pronounced against Sánchez’s amnesty. Their vote in favor of the statement included 2 judges appointed by the socialist ruling party: Roser Bach and Mar Cabrejas. They stated that the amnesty would tear apart the constitution of the country.
Matters went from bad to volcanic overnight when Alejo Vidal-Quadras, the founder of Vox (3rd largest party, anti-immigration, pro-family) was shot in the face. He is in stable condition, while his assailant escaped on a motorcycle and has yet to be found.
President of Vox called for mass mobilization in the streets of Madrid amid socialist takeover of the Spanish government
“Now is not the moment for parties. Now is the moment to defend the nation”
Tens (hundreds?) of thousands poured into the streets of Madrid in answer to the call. Fighting with police broke out as the crowds converged on the socialist party headquarters.
Adding fuel to this fire is broad dislike of the massive number of moslems from N Africa that have poured into the country in recent years under the socialist rule. Chants of ‘Spain is Christian, not Muslim!’ were heard on the streets of Madrid with the anti-socialist protests.
OBSERVATION - Passions are very high over these events, and could continue to escalate into full blown civil war between the socialists and nationalist. One wild card is the presence of a substantial population of N African moslems that will most likely side with the socialists - to protect themselves from being deported. This could make things very ugly indeed.
A scenario like this in the US could be looming, another stolen election, an attempt on the life of Trump, pro-Hamas riots, illegal immigrant riots, etc are all pushing higher and higher on the threat meter. No doubt that an attempt - successful or not - on Trump will light a fire that won’t be quenched and grant the regime the excuse it needs to declare martial law prior to the election, perhaps as a way to stop the election and retain power; an act that would only serve to inflame matters worse.
ISRAEL –
Key overnight developments -
- Israel demands accountability from major news networks over employed “journalists” participation in the Oct 7 terror attacks.
- IDF continues to close in on hospitals believed to have Hamas command bunkers located beneath them.
- biden claims Israel accepted a call for a 4 hour daily pause in fighting. Israel denied the claim.
GENERAL ——————————-
US claims Israel has agreed to 4-hour pauses in fighting for humanitarian relief efforts. Israel has denied the claim. Claim is denied by Israel.
***
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s administration is demanding answers from several prominent news agencies after criticism emerged of their photographers appearing to have been embedded with Hamas terrorists during the October 7 attack.
In a statement, the National Public Diplomacy Directorate of the Prime Ministers’s Office demanded action by news agencies:
The National Public Diplomacy Directorate in the Prime Minister’s Office views with utmost gravity that photojournalists working with international media joined in covering the brutal acts of murder perpetrated by Hamas terrorists on Saturday October 7th in the communities adjacent to the Gaza Strip.
These journalists were accomplices in crimes against humanity; their actions were contrary to professional ethics.
Overnight the Government Press Office issued an urgent letter to the bureau chiefs of the media organizations that employed these photographers and sought clarifications on the matter.
The National Public Diplomacy Directorate demands that immediate action be taken.
Israel’s Government Press Office (GPO), which regulates press access in Israel, also issued a statement demanding explanations:
GPO Director Nitzan Chen demands explanations from the bureau chiefs of AP, Reuters, CNN and The New York Times regarding the disturbing findings in the Honest Reporting report on the involvement of their photographers in the events of October 7th, which crosses every red line, professional and moral.
Four photographers who work for these networks documented the horrors perpetrated by the Hamas terrorists after they broke through border fence with Israel. They filmed the murder of civilians, the abuse of bodies and the abduction of men and women.
RELATED - AP, and CNN have cut ties to Gaza-based freelance photojournalist Hassan Eslaiah. He was photographed with a hand grenade in his hand, riding on a motorcycle used by the Hamas terrorists.
CNN spokesperson told DailyMail.com: ‘We had no prior knowledge of the October 7th attacks. Hassan Eslaiah, who was a freelance journalist working for us and many other outlets, was not working for the network on October 7th. As of today, we have severed all ties with him.’
GAZA FRONT ———————————-
Multiple interceptions reported over central Israel. First rocket fire on Tel Aviv since Tuesday night
According to reports from Gaza: the encirclement of Shifa’ hospital has been completed. There is an exchange of fire on the outskirts of the hospital between Israeli army forces and Hamas militants. Questions remain just how close Israel is to the hospital. Reports have IDF forces between 400 and 2000 meters away. IDF has also taken control over night of several other, smaller hospitals and are preceding to evacuate the patients and medical staff.
Israeli army says overnight ground forces killed a number of members of Hamas’s elite Nukhba forces, who participated in the October 7 massacre. Among them was Ahmed Musa, a Nukhba company commander, and Amr Alhandi, a platoon commander, who were holed up in Jabaliya
IDF says the 162nd Division is operating in Hamas’s “security quarter” of Gaza City, clashing frequently with terror operatives. According to the IDF, the so-called security quarter, adjacent to Shifa Hospital, is “the heart” of Hamas’s intelligence and operational activities, and sites in the area were used to plan and prepare the October 7 onslaught.
It says that in recent days forces of the Givati Infantry Brigade and tanks entered the quarter to destroy Hamas infrastructure. Amid clashes in the area, more than 50 Hamas operatives were killed, the IDF says.
The IDF says troops found intelligence materials, tunnels, weapons manufacturing plants, and anti-tank missile launch positions.
The quarter houses “strategic” Hamas sites, according to the IDF, including the terror group’s intelligence and air defense headquarters, political bureau offices, and a police station.
The IDF says the largest Hamas training camp is also in the quarter, along with other military positions, weapons manufacturing plants and warehouses, command centers, offices of Hamas commanders, and underground infrastructure.
Thousands of Gazans continue to move south along designated evacuation routes.
LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
Continued tit - for - tat with Israel gradually expanding the target list in southern Lebanon to include more Hezbollah munitions facilities.
SYRIA / HEZBOLLAH / IRAN———————————-
The Israeli army says it carried out bombing in Syria in response to a drone attack on Eilat on Thursday
WEST BANK——————————-
Israeli forces raided the Palestinian city of Jenin on Thursday and fought an hours-long battle with gunmen in which 14 people were killed, one of the heaviest clashes in the occupied West Bank in months
Armed clashes broke out after an Israeli storming of Balata camp, east of Nablus
“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” (new add) ———————————
An unknown attack drone has reportedly struck the City of Eilat in southeastern Israel on the Red Sea causing a large explosion; another blast was also reported at a school in Eilat.
East Syria: US airstrike in outskirts of Deir ez-Zur Airbase killed last night at least one Assad’s soldier. This is a first since 2019. He was from E. Homs province
US defense official now tells VOA there have been FORTY-SIX attacks on US forces in Iraq & Syria since 10/17. 4 of these happened AFTER the US strike overnight on IRGC weapons storage facility. 3 Americans were injured during the attack today at MSS Green Village
A significant attack was launched overnight on U.S. Forces at Al-Asad Airbase in Western Iraq by Iranian-Backed Militias, with at least 3 waves of rockets and drones said to have struck in and around the base. Damage to base facilities and casualties are currently unknown.
A missile interception overnight over Eilat was with an Arrow 3, for the first time. Previous interceptions used the Arrow 2
Confirmation of another missile intercepted by the IDF launched from Yemen towards southern Israel. The Arrow Air Defense System was used again. Reports of drones also intercepted by IDF/others over the Red Sea today. Houthi militants claiming attacks.
Israeli army says it intercepted a “suspicious target” in the Arabah region in southern Israel using the Patriot air defense system. The target did not enter Israeli airspace, according to the Israeli army
INTERNATIONAL ——————————-
President Erdoğan on Riyadh Summit: The decisions that will come out of this summit, where the countries of the region and the Islamic world are represented, will be a big step to stop Israel’s oppression.”
FORECAST ————————-
Bottom Line Up Front (BLUF) - Israel will continue its attacks in N Gaza to eliminate Hamas from that portion of land before turning south or turning to confront Hezbollah in a more substantial way if necessary. As it moves deeper into Gaza City, more substantial battles are expected. Israel has not effectively gained control of almost half of the northern Gaza operational area.
Houthi and the other ‘resistance’ forces increased their activities overnight. Houthi’s are managing to range their drones and missiles more effectively towards southern Israel while the Iranian backed militias have increased the number and intensity of attacks. Again, the currency is the show of strength and the US’ lack of response tells them the US is weak. This does not bode well for forces there.
So called peaceful protests around the world have not yielded the desired goal of swinging opinion away from Israel and onto its narrative. Acts of violence are increasing as it appears they can only get attention via that method of intimidation.
Apart from the pittance Hezbollah, the ‘resistance’ and Iran have offered, Hamas is essentially on its own.
Lebanon -
See Israel above.
Syria -
See Israel above on latest.
Black Swans
What was already a strong El Niño event is getting stronger, and the odds of it reaching “historic” levels have increased for the winter, according to NOAA’s latest update on the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) cycle.
Sea-surface temperature anomalies in the central tropical Pacific Ocean, where El Niño thresholds are calculated, reached 1.8 degrees Celsius (3.2 degrees Fahrenheit) above average in the October measurement, keeping this event squarely in the “strong” category. Other areas farther east in the Pacific have reached 2.2 degrees Celsius (4 degrees Fahrenheit) above average.
OBSERVATION - Much crystal ball looking as El Nino’s can have a mind of their own. This could be bad news for the Pacific Northwest and northern plains with less moisture affecting hydropower production and winter/spring crops.
Thank you so much for this thread.
Your work is appreciated.
:-)
Happy Veterans day.
Our world is increasingly becoming a less stable environment, and the memory of the destructive WW1, reflected in Veterans Day, is lost to most of the world. Today, it is not Axis vs Allies - its islam vs civilization, with globalist overlords maneuvering behind the scenes to come to outcomes that favor the establishment of a global govt that puts them in charge.
Globalism / Great Reset –
President of the European Central Bank, Christine Lagarde, announces the launch of the EU’s central bank digital currency (CBDC)—the digital euro—which will enable unelected technocrats at the ECB to program how, when, where, on what and by whom it can be spent, including the imposition of social credit, carbon allowance and vaccine passport systems.
OBSERVATION - Great time to roll this out while everyones eyes are fixed on Ukraine and Gaza.
***
The executive order on “Safe, Secure, and Trustworthy Development and Use of Artificial Intelligence”, signed by President Biden last week, sets out in detail how federal agencies are to use and regulate artificial intelligence (AI), including promoting global standards to moderate online content.
The new tools to silence and cancel conservatives are being created under the rubric of providing “safeguards” against discrimination, bias, and disinformation and promoting “rights-affirming” approaches in digital technologies.
OBSERVATION - Ive noted this before but deserves a repeat. Beta test of means to control global information for the globalists. We saw how biden used people interface to control “disinformation” over the past three years, now it will become orders of magnitude larger with use of AI.
Economy –
The outlook on the US credit rating was changed to negative from stable by Moody’s Investors Service, citing risks to the nation’s fiscal strength.
OBSERVATION - Others apparently don’t share the regime’s view that everything is awesome with our economy.
CW2 / Domestic violence - Heightened THREAT
Massive pro-Hamas protests/riots broke out in NYC overnight. In one instance demonstrators attempted to kick down a door in at Grand Central trying to get at police sheltering inside. Jews in New York were told to “shelter in place.”
OBSERVATION - These ‘protests’ are building toward 2020 scale violence. As the focus of the Hamas crowd is against the city/state/fed govt, it is picking up support from Antifa/BLM elements as well as transtifa forces (though they really don’t seem to realize that Hamas would happily throw them off the roof of skyscrapers when their usefulness is finished). This level of violence is spreading globally - See under Israel violence in Australia and New Zealand as well as in England.
With today being Veterans / Armistice day - things could continue to grow more violent as they focus on disrupting those events as well.
Also - major cities have lost a lot of their police forces due to hostile marxist democrat administrations and “defund the police’ efforts. The pull of participants for these riots may well exceed police capabilities to keep them contained. This would put other areas - primarily richer neighborhoods - in danger of a crime spree as police resources are pulled out to deal with these riots.
Folk living in blue urban areas need to pay close attention to what is happening around them.
IN RELATED - The Jewish Federations of North America conducted a comprehensive poll revealing the sentiments and concerns within the American Jewish community following the October 7, 2023 attack by Hamas terrorists on Israel.
The poll found that 70% of Jewish respondents felt less safe than a few months ago, with none reporting increased feelings of safety.
A significant number of Jews expressed apprehension that their communities could feasibly face security challenges due to the ongoing conflict. Accordingly, gun sales to Jews seem to be spiking since the hamas terror attack last month.
***
Interesting view on the current alliance of radical leftists and moslem, pro-Hamas forces. Currently the standard of “The enemy of my enemy is my friend” that has stoked a lot of the current protesting appears to be starting to unravel. Good read at links below.
https://pjmedia.com/christopherskeet/2023/11/10/grab-the-popcorn-islamists-versus-leftists-n4923792
Terrorism - Level is HIGH due to increased lone wolf threats.
Lone wolf attacks on Jewish related targets is the primary concern. Assassination attempts on politicians - particularly those on the right is an increasing concern as well.
Military / Strategic Activity / Deployments –
The Dwight D. Eisenhower carrier strike group entered the Gulf of Aden. The CSG transited the Bab el-Mandeb strait after covering the entire Red Sea from north to south in 5-6 days.
***
The B-21 Raider has taken its first flight yesterday. One feature that some seem to overlook is that this plane can operate unmanned - a big freeking nuclear capable drone.
***
The Space Force announced yesterday that X-37B Mission 7 is scheduled to launch from the Kennedy Space Center, Florida, on December 7, 2023. The spaceplane’s first mission on a Falcon Heavy rocket will be designated USSF-52 and it will be run by the Space Force together with the Air Force Rapid Capabilities Office.
In a typically tersely worded statement, the Space Force said that X-37B Mission 7 will have “a wide range of test and experimentation objectives.” It continued: “These tests include operating the reusable spaceplane in new orbital regimes, experimenting with future space domain awareness technologies, and investigating the radiation effects on materials provided by NASA.”
OBSERVATION - Speculation that the term “new orbital regimes” may represent maneuvering further into orbits, perhaps as deep as the moon. The use of the Falcon Heavy also permits larger payloads.
POLITICAL FRONT –
The Republican National Committee has warned some of the 2024 GOP presidential candidates about attending an Iowa Christian organization’s Thanksgiving forum, saying it would disqualify them from participating in future RNC presidential debates.
Five candidates – former President Donald Trump, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley, entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy and South Carolina Sen. Tim Scott – were invited to the Family Leader’s “Thanksgiving Family Forum” on November 17.
“It has come to the attention of the RNC Counsel’s Office that several Republican presidential candidates have been invited to participate in an open-press event in Iowa in November at which they would ‘gather around the table to have a moderated, friendly, and open discussion about the issues.’ In other words, a debate,” the RNC counsel’s office said in a letter obtained by CNN.
“Accordingly, please be advised that any Republican presidential candidate who participates in this or other similar events will be deemed to have violated this pledge and will be disqualified from taking part in any future RNC-sanctioned presidential primary debates,” the office said.
In its letter, dated October 28, the office reminded the candidates that they had agreed not to participate in any non-RNC-sanctioned debates during the campaign.
OBSERVATION - RNC unwisely trying to control the primaries and keep others from interacting with candidates. This follows the disastrous viewing of the third debate, where almost more people attended the Trump rally than watched the debate (sarc). The candidates who attend should assert their 1st Amendment rights over that of the ruling eGOP at the RNC.
***
Lots of other political chaos I don’t have time to get into - FR threads cover them pretty well.
Illegal Immigration –
Thousands of illegals marching towards the US were video’d chanting “biden, biden, biden” last week.
China –
(Daily Caller)—China is offloading its production abroad, flooding the world market with cheaper goods, as its domestic economy struggles with its own citizens having less discretionary income for purchases, according to The Wall Street Journal.
The price of exports from China has dropped around 20% this year, partially reflecting the need of Chinese sellers to discount their products to offload excess inventory, expanding their market share abroad and hurting countries’ domestic industries that have to compete with the discounted goods, according to the WSJ. The Chinese economy has recently faced a number of concerning indicators, including disappointing economic growth, falling consumer spending, possible deflation and decreasing producer prices, according to the Financial Times.
China’s real estate industry, which accounts for a large amount of its growth, is also in crisis, with the country’s top developers facing the possibility of defaulting on huge debts to both foreign and domestic bondholders. Since the beginning of the debt crisis in the real estate market in 2021, companies that are responsible for 40% of Chinese home sales have defaulted.
OBSERVATION - The immensity of China’s export market significantly affects the global economy. It historically has attacked other markets by undercutting prices and creating reliance on it as source of critical items - a situation that was clearly illustrated during the wuhan plandemic. If its economy goes further down the tubes, it could drag the rest of the world into a recession as a result.
***
China’s Xi is coming to the U.S. on November 14-17th. Meets with Biden in San Fran and suddenly the streets of SF are clean and free of homeless and druggies.
Russia -
WAR WATCH - into the second year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022
CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Updated Sept 27, 2023
Russia is on a defensive footing across most of Ukraine, relying on Russian doctrinal defense in depth to blunt the Ukrainian offensive. However, Russian forces continue increasingly stretched and undermanned, with increasingly insufficient artillery support.
Ukrainian action has forced Russia to move forces laterally to meet the Ukraine advance - thinning critical portions of the line and making them vulnerable to assault.
Russia’s strategic ballistic and cruise missiles continue to show evidence of massively reduced inventories. Recent attacks indicate the Russia has started to produce its own Shahed drones with Iranian assistance. Russia capable of continued, though limited, attacks in this arena. The majority of Russian strikes are with these Iranian drones. Major targets are grain shipping facilities in the Odesa region as well as trying to hit logistical targets across the rest of the country.
Supplemental cruise missile attacks using old models will be occasionally used to supplement the drones.
The Russian Black Sea fleet is increasingly hesitant to deploy into now contested waters. Ukraine’s mixture of seaborne and airborne drones and anti-ship missiles beginning to render areas more or less off limits to Russia. The fleet is reportedly in the process of redeploying out of Crimea and moving east to Russian bases, about 600 Km further away from the front lines.
Russia is capable of launching small scale attacks in various sectors of company and small sized elements, but any large scale offensive action in the face of the heavy demands from defending against the Ukrainian offensive are essentially nil.
*****
The President of Kazakhstan pulled what appears to be a power move by starting his speech to Vladimir Putin and the Russian delegation by speaking Kazakh instead of Russian.
This is extremely abnormal and offensive to the Russian government. Many of those on hand were shocked.
Many of those in the Russian government feel similar about Kazakhstan as they do about Ukraine.
NOTE - This is huge and a major put down of putin.
NUCLEAR THREATS –
Russia continues to pull up the guard rail treaties on nuclear weapons. Russian Prime Minister Mikhail Mishustin signed an order on Thursday that eliminated his country’s agreement with Japan that aimed to reduce and contain nuclear stockpiles.
That agreement between Moscow and Tokyo came together in 1993 after North Korea stated that it would no longer negotiate with the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA).
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Continued cool, 40’s- 50’s with scattered rain.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Kyiv was targeted by Russian missiles for the first time in months. Ukrainian air defense shot down ballistic missile near Kyiv. Overall, Ukrainian air defense shot down 19 of 31 Shahed drones launched by Russia overnight. Explosions were heard in Zaporizhzhia and Odesa as well.
Russian forces have resumed efforts to surround and capture Avdiivka. However it appears muddy soil conditions are limiting their use of armor, and the attacks seem mostly by leg infantry.
Outlook —-
More of the same. Rumored Russian offensive actions will likely be very limited because they can’t get support from their remaining armor/tanks due to the onset of the mud season. This is reflect in the continued high personnel losses being reported, but with fewer tanks/apc’s being destroyed - indication more leg infantry “meat” attacks.
Appears that Russia is beginning to ramp up its winter missile/drone campaign targeting Ukraine power grid.
Europe / NATO General –
Tensions are high in London ahead of Remembrance Day/Veterans Day on Nov. 11 because of the “Million Man March” being organized by groups with links to Hamas. They’ve refused to cancel the direct action and have announced they will bus people in & target the US embassy in London. Meanwhile, Antifa have put out a call for their members to come as well.
Today, British police attempted to stop patriotic citizens from going to the Cenotaph. They pushed through the police lines anyway. World War I soldiers will be remembered in Britain on Saturday and there are fears that the pro-Hamas demonstration planned that day will desecrate memorials and the honor of the fallen.
UPDATE
Now reports that British hooligans and right-wing groups are descending on London today to crack down on pro-Hamas protesters.
****
SPANISH Civil Unrest/War -
Situation remains tense across the country. German Chancellor Olaf Scholz & Spanish PM Pedro Sanchez have been trapped in a building in Malaga by a large crowd of anti-separatist protesters spearheaded by opposition groups. The German Chancellor’s security detail is trying to figure out a way to get him out of the building
ISRAEL –
Key overnight developments -
- The noose around Al-Shifa and Al-Quds hospitals grows tighter
- More global calls for an unconditional ceasefire by Israel, soundly rejected by Israel.
- Arab conference meeting on ways to stop the Gaza war.
GENERAL ——————————-
Another speech by Hezbollah is expected today. A teaser video message was released:
“On the occasion of Hezbollah Martyr’s Day, a gift from His Eminence the Secretary-General, Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah, to all the families of the martyrs, and a message to them in his handwriting: “You should be proud of your martyrs in this world and rejoice in them in the afterlife because they are your relics and intercessors with God.”
***
News reports that Israel is preparing for possible Fentanyl-filled rockets from Hamas, Hezbollah.
NOTE - The possibility is real. Fentanyl based terror has been a concern here in the US for quite a while as a very, very little bit can kill and the drug is easily absorbed through the skin - making it a bane to first responders. The question is do they have the warhead/delivery capability to get it to targets and how much would be released from an Iron Dome interception. Even an attempt would be very nasty and create a serious level of fear. OTOH, that would qualify as an NBC attack and especially Hezbollah would quickly be in the receiving end of a massive retaliation by Israel, and Iran may catch some of the retaliation as well.
***
An analysis of the Israel-Hamas war by leading strategic expert Ayelet Frish at the link below - gives great insight to the Israeli psyche on the current war.
https://www.jpost.com/middle-east/article-772649
GAZA FRONT ———————————-
Health sources in Gaza claiming Al-Shifa and Al-Quds hospitals are out of service due to running out of fuel.
NOTE - these same sources claimed that these hospitals ran out of fuel over three weeks ago.
Four hospitals in Gaza are now surrounded by the IDF based on precise data and intelligence that Hamas leaders are hiding inside alongside massive piles of weapons and bombs.
Gazan civilians are exiting the hospital with white flags (very significant) and are being brought to safety as the IDF advances toward the hospitals. Hamas forces have been firing at them to try to prevent them from leaving (and thus losing their human shields).
Sources in the Arab media report the cooperation of thousands of Gazans with the IDF in handing over locations of Hamas forces, locations of tunnels and IDF warehouses and launch sites. The cooperation began after the IDF distributed leaflets calling for the provision of information about the location of the Israeli abductees while promising financial compensation and safety for informants. The sources report that, most of the information transmitters do not demand money but safe passage for them and their families.
Tens of thousands continue to move southward along designated routes in spite of Hamas efforts to force them to remain in place.
Heavy clashes and IAF strikes reported outside Shifa Hospital as Israeli army forces move further into Gaza City. It is still unclear just how close to the hospital IDF forces have penetrated. Unconfirmed reports that Israeli snipers have the facility surrounded. Artillery/Air strikes continue to form a ring of fire around the facility.
IDF says troops have captured key Hamas outposts in Gaza City today, killing some 150 terror operatives in the process. The military says that in recent days, its 401st Brigade led an assault on the so-called Bader outpost — the main outpost of Hamas’s Al-Shati Refugee Camp Battalion — located adjacent to civilian homes near the refugee camp. It says that during the raid on the Bader post, troops destroyed military headquarters and rocket launching sites
LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
Continued tit - for - tat with Israel gradually expanding the target list in southern Lebanon to include more Hezbollah munitions facilities.
SYRIA / HEZBOLLAH / IRAN———————————-
Monitoring for another speech by Hezbollah is expected today. Current assessment is that it will be another nothing burger, but one never knows.
WEST BANK——————————-
Hamas- Our operations against the Israeli army in the West Bank are continuing.
Israeli raids to arrest Hamas other terror elements continue.
“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————
Continued attacks on US bases in eastern Syria/western Iraq. Houthi continue launching drones and ballistic missiles towards southern Israel.
INTERNATIONAL ——————————-
President Erdoğan on Riyadh Summit: The decisions that will come out of this summit, where the countries of the region and the Islamic world are represented, will be a big step to stop Israel’s oppression.”
Hamas is calling for Arab-Islamic action to stop the Israeli aggression and save Gaza’s hospitals. Emir of Qatar (Hamas ally) How long will Israel be allowed to violate international laws with its brutal and endless war on the country’s indigenous people
***
Pro-Hamas supporters travelled an hour from Melbourne’s north to the Jewish community in Caulfield only to break through a police line and violently attack local Jews. Reports included pro-Hamas protesters attempting to run down locals in the Melbourne Jewish community. Jewish residents reportedly assembling to defend against future attacks.
In New Zealand, leftists attempted to disrupt and attack a pro-Israeli rally. That was until a Maori contingent arrived and threatened them off with a haka.
FORECAST ————————-
Bottom Line Up Front (BLUF) - Israel will continue its attacks in N Gaza to eliminate Hamas from that portion of land before turning south or turning to confront Hezbollah in a more substantial way if necessary. The battle is now focused on the Al-Shifa and Al-Quds hospitals - both considered to contain beneath them extensive Hamas underground bunkers. It may take on the order of weeks to completely seize and then penetrate into these bunkers.
Captured Hamas documents, combined with more Gazans providing intel to Israeli forces appears to have accelerated the success and lethality of IDF attacks. However, IDF appears to be holding back to a degree to avoid running into traps/ambushes by Hamas in their haste.
Nations and globalist entities continue to call for unconditional cease fire by Israel - and are completely silent on the issue of Hamas holding hostages as well as the terror attack that started this. As the Jpost article i linked to above indicates, Oct 7 caused Israel to cross a Rubicon of sorts, recognizing that a policy of appeasement is deadlier to the nation than putting Hamas out of business permanently.
The arab summit will likely just put out a lot of chest thumping and hot air for moslem consumption. The only players that could act militarily - and have already threatened to do so - are Iran and Turkey. Iran prefers not to get its hands dirty, relying on its proxy forces and seeing the US hammer over its head. Turkey will face pushback and even combat with NATO if they challenge the multi-national naval fleet in the eastern Med operating to deter Hezbollah and Iran. Turkey’s time is not quite now.
Global riots / protests will continue and attempt to grow. However, they are meeting with greater pushback as locals resentment of these islamic migrants are reaching a boiling point as well.
Lebanon -
See Israel above.
Syria -
See Israel above on latest.
Misc of Note –
Moving away from man-caused chaos, nature is taking center stage for those interested in Iceland.
Iceland’s Department of Civil Protection has just ordered a mandatory evacuation of the city of Grindavík and the Svartsengi Power Station as a volcanic eruption appears imminent. Over 1,000 earthquakes reported over the past 24 hours. Data from the meteorological office indicate that a magma tunnel has extended under Grindavík. That’s why the town was evacuated and the Civil Defense Level of Danger was declared. It cannot be ruled out that a volcanic fissure may open within the town limits.
OBSERVATION - The potential magnitude of the impending eruption at this stage looks to be larger than both of the previous two. Again, it is expected that this eruption will follow typical basaltic pattern, creating dazzling lava fire fountains and extensive lava flows. But even basaltic events, when pushed, can be much more severe.
The area in danger also has a major geothermal power plant that supplies power to 30,000.
The computer ate some of my overnight notes, so I may have missed a few items - don’t have the time to reconstruct, so going off memory for some.
However, with that, the pace of events has slowed down a little, giving my fingers a chance to recover from the past week.
Economy –
Unconfirmed rumors that Bank of America (BOA) is nearly insolvent due to impacts from high treasury bonds. Some say that if the treasury bond hits 6%, BoA may take a hit at the waterline and start to go down. They also include Wells Fargo in the potential meltdown as well.
CW2 / Domestic violence - Heightened THREAT
Riots/Protests by pro-Hamas groups in NYC marked Veterans day for the big apple. There was some vandalism reported.
More evidence that the pro-Hamas are increasingly rejecting the support and presence of LGBT/TRANS community in their marches. Videos show confrontations between these elements at recent protests.
Terrorism - Level is HIGH due to increased lone wolf threats.
Lone wolf attacks on Jewish related targets is the primary concern. Assassination attempts on politicians - particularly those on the right is an increasing concern as well.
Military / Strategic Activity / Deployments –
The Army has changed their marketing methods / videos to that which has more white males and the absence of women and trans. This appears to be a pivot back to trying to reach the red staters who have largely filled the ranks of the military but who the regime and military leadership have demonized over the past three years.
POLITICAL FRONT –
The house is putting together a 2 part, 2 month CR for the fed budget.
The new speaker is taking a lot of heat for delaying the release of the J6 videos and for saying that there isn’t enough evidence at this stage to go forward with a biden impeachment action.
Biden / Harris Watch –
Biden appearing to forget what he was supposed to be doing at the official Veterans Day memorial at Arlington National Cemetery on Saturday.
X users tore into Biden for freezing at the wreath laying ceremony at the Tomb of the Unknown Soldier and having to be directed where to stand by U.S. service members attending to the solemn memorial.
OBSERVATION - biden is way, way past the stage he should be removed from office due to his dementia alone. To screw up on an important ceremony as this is unforgivable.
Russia -
WAR WATCH - into the second year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022
CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Updated Nov 12, 2023
Russia is struggling to gain the initiative on several fronts in easter Ukraine. Attacks to take Adviivka, located near occupied Donetsk has been their priority as well as further north. However, it is on a defensive footing across most of Ukraine.
The Russian army has lost a considerable amount of armor/tanks and personnel in the fight to take Adviivka, causing that offensive to stall considerably and resort to “meat” attacks.
With the arrival of the muddy season, significant offensive actions by Russia are unlikely.
Ukrainian action has forced Russia to move forces laterally to meet the Ukraine advance - thinning critical portions of the line and making them vulnerable to assault.
Russia’s strategic ballistic and cruise missiles continue to show evidence of massively reduced inventories. With the onset of winter, it is believed that Russian is shepherding its stockpile of missiles/drones for an effort to take down the Ukraine power grid as it did last year. This task has become increasingly difficult as Ukraine adds air defense systems and gets better coverage.
The Russian Black Sea fleet is is essentially impotent and hesitant to deploy into now contested waters. Ukraine’s recent attacks on ships in Crimean harbors has forced the majority of the fleet to redeploying out of Crimea and to Russian bases, about 600 Km further away from the front lines.
Russian leadership reportedly planning for a long duration conflict, hoping to wear the Ukraine army down and cause European allies to tire of their support - forcing some sort of cease fire and negotiated peace.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Continued cool, 40’s- 50’s with rain throughout the forecast period.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Relatively quiet along the fronts. Action is subdued most likely due to heavy mud in the fields. This is forcing much of the fighting to be by light infantry in dismounted attacks.
Outlook —-
Both sides in essentially an operational pause. Russia desiring to get an offensive underway in the eastern front area as well as resume operations to capture Adviivka.
I expect no significant ground action by either side for the near future.
Europe / NATO General –
Remembrance Day/Veterans Day - London police arrested more than 120 people Saturday night, as a pro-Palestinian rally in the city drew a crowd of over 300,000 protesters. Demonstrators were observed wearing face coverings, setting off fireworks, waving Palestinian flags and carrying anti-Israel signs. Right-wing counter-protesters also attended the event, causing skirmishes to break out.
ISRAEL –
Key overnight developments -
- IDF continues to close in on Al-Shifa Hospital.
- Increased calls for cease fire by the international community.
- Results from the emergency Arab council in Saudi Arabia largely talk.
GENERAL ——————————-
Organizations like the World Health Organization and Red Cross are bemoaning that hospitals in Gaza are now apparently out of power. The Israeli military says it has agreed to help evacuate babies from the hospital to a “safer” facility but denies Al-Shifa has lost power. An evacuation corridor is being opened from the Al-Shifa hospital to Gaza’s main road south, the Israeli military’s Arabic spokesman has announced.
Israel’s president Isaac Herzog says Hamas has its base underneath the building - something Hamas denies. The Israeli military says it is not hitting the hospital during fighting.
Gaza’s second biggest hospital, Al-Quds, is also reported by a charity to have run out of fuel
GAZA FRONT ———————————-
The IDF reportedly eliminated Saturday Hamas’ Sabra Tel al-Hawa Battalion, after a week and a half of intense battles led by the Golani Brigade.
The Sabra Battalion of the terror organization is considered one of the four strongest battalions in Gaza City. According to Golani Brigade data, its troops, together with forces from the 7th Armored Brigade, undoubtedly killed about 300 terrorists. And approximately 150 more are estimated to be under the rubble of buildings or in destroyed tunnels. Additional senior Hamas figures were also taken out.
By Friday night, the IDF announced that the 401st Brigade had destroyed Outpost “Badr” of Hamas’s Shati Battalion, killing 150 terrorists in the stronghold.
***
As with other days, Hamas rocket attacks are becoming fewer and fewer with larger time gaps between barrages.
The link below depicts the projected Israeli force deployments and key locations
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/F-sw-LmXAAAeD9D?format=jpg&name=large
LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
Continued tit - for - tat with Israel gradually expanding the target list in southern Lebanon to include more Hezbollah munitions and other facilities.
SYRIA / HEZBOLLAH / IRAN———————————-
The Israeli army is striking Syrian territory after two launches were detected into the Golan. The rockets fell in open areas - Israeli army
WEST BANK——————————-
Israeli raids to arrest Hamas and other terror elements continue.
“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————
Continued attacks on US bases in eastern Syria/western Iraq. Houthi continue launching drones and ballistic missiles towards southern Israel.
INTERNATIONAL ——————————-
Arab summit in Saudi Arabia finished with very little other than rhetoric to show.
FORECAST ————————-
Bottom Line Up Front (BLUF) - The drama continues to center on the Al-Shifa and Qods hospitals as IDF continues to close in and prepares to seize them. IDF is facilitating evacuations from those hospitals by opening safe routes, while Hamas continues to try to keep patents and refugees in place. This will be THE defining battle of the war and won’t be resolved in a quick or clean manner.
The rest of the arab world has essentially tossed Hamas under the bus. Apart from beating their chests and wordy statements, they are sitting on the sidelines.
Iraq -
An Iraqi armed faction announces the targeting of the “Ain al-Assad” base, where American forces are stationed in Anbar Governorate
Lebanon -
See Israel above.
Saudi Arabia –
Saudi Arabia on Saturday helped to block a bid by Arab and Muslim countries to militarily and economically isolate Israel, according to Israeli media reports.
Most of the states present at an Arab League and Organization of Islamic Cooperation (OIC) emergency summit in Riyadh focusing on the Israel-Hamas war in Gaza sought to impose five measures against the Jewish state, Channel 12 reported.
The demands were to prevent the transfer of U.S. military equipment to Israel from American bases in the Middle East region; suspend all diplomatic and economic contacts with Israel; cut back oil sales to the United States over Washington’s support for Israel; stop Israeli air traffic over the skies of the Gulf and send a joint delegation to the United States, Europe and Russia to push for a ceasefire.
The resolution to adopt these measures was blocked by Israel’s Abraham accords partner states the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Sudan and Morocco. They were joined by Egypt and Jordan, two countries with long-standing peace agreements with Israel. Saudi Arabia, Mauritania and Djibouti also opposed the measures.
OBSERVATION - The Abraham accords and the prospect of prosperity with trade relations with Israel did show fruit at the conference. Hamas has been tossed under the bus and these nations are looking past the war to restoration of a more stable region.
Syria -
See Israel above on latest.
The computer ate some of my overnight notes, so I may have missed a few items - don’t have the time to reconstruct, so going off memory for some.
However, with that, the pace of events has slowed down a little, giving my fingers a chance to recover from the past week.
Economy –
Unconfirmed rumors that Bank of America (BOA) is nearly insolvent due to impacts from high treasury bonds. Some say that if the treasury bond hits 6%, BoA may take a hit at the waterline and start to go down. They also include Wells Fargo in the potential meltdown as well.
CW2 / Domestic violence - Heightened THREAT
Riots/Protests by pro-Hamas groups in NYC marked Veterans day for the big apple. There was some vandalism reported.
More evidence that the pro-Hamas are increasingly rejecting the support and presence of LGBT/TRANS community in their marches. Videos show confrontations between these elements at recent protests.
Terrorism - Level is HIGH due to increased lone wolf threats.
Lone wolf attacks on Jewish related targets is the primary concern. Assassination attempts on politicians - particularly those on the right is an increasing concern as well.
Military / Strategic Activity / Deployments –
The Army has changed their marketing methods / videos to that which has more white males and the absence of women and trans. This appears to be a pivot back to trying to reach the red staters who have largely filled the ranks of the military but who the regime and military leadership have demonized over the past three years.
POLITICAL FRONT –
The house is putting together a 2 part, 2 month CR for the fed budget.
The new speaker is taking a lot of heat for delaying the release of the J6 videos and for saying that there isn’t enough evidence at this stage to go forward with a biden impeachment action.
Biden / Harris Watch –
Biden appearing to forget what he was supposed to be doing at the official Veterans Day memorial at Arlington National Cemetery on Saturday.
X users tore into Biden for freezing at the wreath laying ceremony at the Tomb of the Unknown Soldier and having to be directed where to stand by U.S. service members attending to the solemn memorial.
OBSERVATION - biden is way, way past the stage he should be removed from office due to his dementia alone. To screw up on an important ceremony as this is unforgivable.
Russia -
WAR WATCH - into the second year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022
CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Updated Nov 12, 2023
Russia is struggling to gain the initiative on several fronts in easter Ukraine. Attacks to take Adviivka, located near occupied Donetsk has been their priority as well as further north. However, it is on a defensive footing across most of Ukraine.
The Russian army has lost a considerable amount of armor/tanks and personnel in the fight to take Adviivka, causing that offensive to stall considerably and resort to “meat” attacks.
With the arrival of the muddy season, significant offensive actions by Russia are unlikely.
Ukrainian action has forced Russia to move forces laterally to meet the Ukraine advance - thinning critical portions of the line and making them vulnerable to assault.
Russia’s strategic ballistic and cruise missiles continue to show evidence of massively reduced inventories. With the onset of winter, it is believed that Russian is shepherding its stockpile of missiles/drones for an effort to take down the Ukraine power grid as it did last year. This task has become increasingly difficult as Ukraine adds air defense systems and gets better coverage.
The Russian Black Sea fleet is is essentially impotent and hesitant to deploy into now contested waters. Ukraine’s recent attacks on ships in Crimean harbors has forced the majority of the fleet to redeploying out of Crimea and to Russian bases, about 600 Km further away from the front lines.
Russian leadership reportedly planning for a long duration conflict, hoping to wear the Ukraine army down and cause European allies to tire of their support - forcing some sort of cease fire and negotiated peace.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Continued cool, 40’s- 50’s with rain throughout the forecast period.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Relatively quiet along the fronts. Action is subdued most likely due to heavy mud in the fields. This is forcing much of the fighting to be by light infantry in dismounted attacks.
Outlook —-
Both sides in essentially an operational pause. Russia desiring to get an offensive underway in the eastern front area as well as resume operations to capture Adviivka.
I expect no significant ground action by either side for the near future.
Europe / NATO General –
Remembrance Day/Veterans Day - London police arrested more than 120 people Saturday night, as a pro-Palestinian rally in the city drew a crowd of over 300,000 protesters. Demonstrators were observed wearing face coverings, setting off fireworks, waving Palestinian flags and carrying anti-Israel signs. Right-wing counter-protesters also attended the event, causing skirmishes to break out.
ISRAEL –
Key overnight developments -
- IDF continues to close in on Al-Shifa Hospital.
- Increased calls for cease fire by the international community.
- Results from the emergency Arab council in Saudi Arabia largely talk.
GENERAL ——————————-
Organizations like the World Health Organization and Red Cross are bemoaning that hospitals in Gaza are now apparently out of power. The Israeli military says it has agreed to help evacuate babies from the hospital to a “safer” facility but denies Al-Shifa has lost power. An evacuation corridor is being opened from the Al-Shifa hospital to Gaza’s main road south, the Israeli military’s Arabic spokesman has announced.
Israel’s president Isaac Herzog says Hamas has its base underneath the building - something Hamas denies. The Israeli military says it is not hitting the hospital during fighting.
Gaza’s second biggest hospital, Al-Quds, is also reported by a charity to have run out of fuel
GAZA FRONT ———————————-
The IDF reportedly eliminated Saturday Hamas’ Sabra Tel al-Hawa Battalion, after a week and a half of intense battles led by the Golani Brigade.
The Sabra Battalion of the terror organization is considered one of the four strongest battalions in Gaza City. According to Golani Brigade data, its troops, together with forces from the 7th Armored Brigade, undoubtedly killed about 300 terrorists. And approximately 150 more are estimated to be under the rubble of buildings or in destroyed tunnels. Additional senior Hamas figures were also taken out.
By Friday night, the IDF announced that the 401st Brigade had destroyed Outpost “Badr” of Hamas’s Shati Battalion, killing 150 terrorists in the stronghold.
***
As with other days, Hamas rocket attacks are becoming fewer and fewer with larger time gaps between barrages.
The link below depicts the projected Israeli force deployments and key locations
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/F-sw-LmXAAAeD9D?format=jpg&name=large
LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
Continued tit - for - tat with Israel gradually expanding the target list in southern Lebanon to include more Hezbollah munitions and other facilities.
SYRIA / HEZBOLLAH / IRAN———————————-
The Israeli army is striking Syrian territory after two launches were detected into the Golan. The rockets fell in open areas - Israeli army
WEST BANK——————————-
Israeli raids to arrest Hamas and other terror elements continue.
“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————
Continued attacks on US bases in eastern Syria/western Iraq. Houthi continue launching drones and ballistic missiles towards southern Israel.
INTERNATIONAL ——————————-
Arab summit in Saudi Arabia finished with very little other than rhetoric to show.
FORECAST ————————-
Bottom Line Up Front (BLUF) - The drama continues to center on the Al-Shifa and Qods hospitals as IDF continues to close in and prepares to seize them. IDF is facilitating evacuations from those hospitals by opening safe routes, while Hamas continues to try to keep patents and refugees in place. This will be THE defining battle of the war and won’t be resolved in a quick or clean manner.
The rest of the arab world has essentially tossed Hamas under the bus. Apart from beating their chests and wordy statements, they are sitting on the sidelines.
Iraq -
An Iraqi armed faction announces the targeting of the “Ain al-Assad” base, where American forces are stationed in Anbar Governorate
Lebanon -
See Israel above.
Saudi Arabia –
Saudi Arabia on Saturday helped to block a bid by Arab and Muslim countries to militarily and economically isolate Israel, according to Israeli media reports.
Most of the states present at an Arab League and Organization of Islamic Cooperation (OIC) emergency summit in Riyadh focusing on the Israel-Hamas war in Gaza sought to impose five measures against the Jewish state, Channel 12 reported.
The demands were to prevent the transfer of U.S. military equipment to Israel from American bases in the Middle East region; suspend all diplomatic and economic contacts with Israel; cut back oil sales to the United States over Washington’s support for Israel; stop Israeli air traffic over the skies of the Gulf and send a joint delegation to the United States, Europe and Russia to push for a ceasefire.
The resolution to adopt these measures was blocked by Israel’s Abraham accords partner states the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Sudan and Morocco. They were joined by Egypt and Jordan, two countries with long-standing peace agreements with Israel. Saudi Arabia, Mauritania and Djibouti also opposed the measures.
OBSERVATION - The Abraham accords and the prospect of prosperity with trade relations with Israel did show fruit at the conference. Hamas has been tossed under the bus and these nations are looking past the war to restoration of a more stable region.
Syria -
See Israel above on latest.
Ping above and sorry for the double clutch - darn mouse!
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