Replies

Globalism / Great Reset –

The World Health Organization (WHO) has released the latest draft of its controversial International Health Regulations, with the purported aim to eventually establish a global accord on how to handle future pandemics. Expert observers are continuing to express concern with the regulations, saying that they are covertly designed to take away sovereignty from countries and push contentious issues such as abortion.

Jim Roguski, a member of the Law & Activism Committee at the World Council for Health, has been closely monitoring the WHO’s activities in the wake of the “serious failures” that the organization made since the COVID pandemic broke out in 2020. On Tuesday, he joined “Washington Watch with Tony Perkins” to provide an update on where the accord currently stands.

“The fact that it’s not referred to as a treaty is actually very important,” he explained. “What they are setting up is an ongoing series of what they call ‘the Conference of the Parties’ that would meet pretty much forever. And the idea is they’re trying to hash out an agreement just to have an agreement so that they can pat themselves on the back and say, ‘Look what great work we did.’”

https://www.prophecynewswatch.com/article.cfm?recent_news_id=6479

OBSERVATION - The globalist powers that be are pushing for a global governance via several vectors. One vector is the WHO trying to take advantage of the vestiges of the fear and chaos that wuhan caused. A second vector is economics - creating massive govt debts, undercutting the foundations of nations economies, and setting up digital currencies. The third vector is similar to the second - controlling food and other commodities via threat of ‘climate change’.

Economy –

Mining analysts are indicating that there will be a surplus of copper production in 2024. This in due to contractions in the western markets and sluggish demand from China Old school metal, copper is increasingly important in the so called ‘green revolution’ and that there are many other critical ores that are found at these copper mines as well. This surplus will likely cool the hot market and lower prices somewhat.

CW2 / Domestic violence - Heightened THREAT

This thread is good brain food for what to do if caught in one of these traffic terror stops that the current crop of leftist - proHamas groups are resurrecting.

https://freerepublic.com/focus/f-bloggers/4194396/posts

OBSERVATION - For those who live in Antifa et al strongholds of dark blue urban areas, keep up to date on local activity. If there are major protests scheduled for your areas/cities, stay the heck away, don’t tempt fate.

***
Cross ref the following under potential terrorism
Far-left protesters stormed the Port of Oakland in CA and chained themselves to a US military ship they believed was delivering weapons to Israel. This is an unconfirmed rumor which union officials claim is false. The ship later left port and some protestors were arrested.

OBSERVATION - Insider information - hinted at by the ‘union’ official - is a greater threat towards all military related shipping.

***
Jewish-Americans across the country are arming themselves for protection amid the FBI warning about rising threats of extremists in the U.S., with gun shops from California to Texas to Florida reporting an increase in sales.

OBSERVATION - Violence being directed towards Jews in the US is beginning to take off like a rocket. Current epicenter continues to be colleges and universities, but other jewish facilities and businesses are now being targeted. First with graffiti - to identify the targets for attacks associated with protests to come.

Terrorism - Level is HIGH due to increased lone wolf threats.

The Oconee County Sheriff’s Office conducted an investigation following a concerning incident at the Oconee Nuclear Station in South Carolina on Thursday night.

At approximately 8:05 p.m. on Thursday, deputies from the Oconee County Sheriff’s Office responded immediately to an emergency call from the Oconee Nuclear Station. An unknown individual had reportedly driven a car through the exit side of the facility’s gate, facing Highway 183, FOX Carolina reported.
According to on-site accounts, following the unauthorized entry, the facility’s security systems activated pop-up barricades designed to immobilize intruding vehicles. The rogue driver, however, managed to reverse the vehicle upon encountering these barricades and proceeded down an adjacent dirt road. It was here that Duke Energy security personnel made an effort to block the intruding car.

Undeterred, the driver escalated the situation by ramming through a fence and attempting to strike the security personnel on-site. Making a hasty exit from the plant premises, the driver, in his bid to escape, tried to ram a security member’s truck parked near the exit.

The car then continued its reckless rampage, speeding back onto Highway 183 and eventually diverting to a property on Jones Mill Road. It was at this location that gunshots were reported, though the source remains unconfirmed by the deputies.

The Oconee County Sheriff’s Office, led by Master Deputy Jimmy Watt, is currently on a manhunt for the suspect and the vehicle involved, WYFF News 4 reported.

Approximately an hour prior to this incident, the same vehicle and its driver had made an appearance on the premises of the Oconee Nuclear Station. Upon confrontation, the individual was asked to leave, to which he complied before the later intrusion.

https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2023/11/security-breach-duke-power-nuclear-plant-man-rams/

OBSERVATION - potential terror probe of security of this facility.

Military / Strategic Activity / Deployments –

The ships and aircraft of two U.S. Navy aircraft carrier strike groups — the Gerald R. Ford and the Dwight D. Eisenhower — conducted joint exercises over the last three days in the Mediterranean Sea, according to US Navy release.

OBSERVATION - With the all fired hurry to get assets in place in the event Iran gets froggy, the Ike and Ford spend three days exercising in the Med. I’ve seen nothing that indicates the Ike’s orders to the Persian Gulf have been changed.

POLITICAL FRONT –

Lots of stuff, just don’t have the time to process it at this juncture

Japan –

Prime Minister Fumio Kishida of Japan said on Friday that his country would start formal talks with the Philippines to allow the deployment of Japanese troops to the Southeast Asian country, further strengthening ties between two countries that have embraced each other as bulwarks against China.
“We share serious concerns on the situation in the East China Sea and South China Sea,” Mr. Kishida said, referring to Beijing’s increasingly assertive actions in the region. “The attempt to unilaterally change the status quo by force is unacceptable.”…

The proposed pact, known as a reciprocal access agreement, would give the Japanese military access to bases in the Philippines and make it easier to conduct more joint drills.

OBSERVATION - Needless to say China is not happy about this development. Both Japan and the Philippines are facing aggressive efforts by China to physically take islands under their globally acknowledged control

Russia -

WAR WATCH - into the second year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022

CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Updated Sept 27, 2023

Russia is on a defensive footing across most of Ukraine, relying on Russian doctrinal defense in depth to blunt the Ukrainian offensive. However, Russian forces continue increasingly stretched and undermanned, with increasingly insufficient artillery support.

Ukrainian action has forced Russia to move forces laterally to meet the Ukraine advance - thinning critical portions of the line and making them vulnerable to assault.

Russia’s strategic ballistic and cruise missiles continue to show evidence of massively reduced inventories. Recent attacks indicate the Russia has started to produce its own Shahed drones with Iranian assistance. Russia capable of continued, though limited, attacks in this arena. The majority of Russian strikes are with these Iranian drones. Major targets are grain shipping facilities in the Odesa region as well as trying to hit logistical targets across the rest of the country.

Supplemental cruise missile attacks using old models will be occasionally used to supplement the drones.

The Russian Black Sea fleet is increasingly hesitant to deploy into now contested waters. Ukraine’s mixture of seaborne and airborne drones and anti-ship missiles beginning to render areas more or less off limits to Russia. The fleet is reportedly in the process of redeploying out of Crimea and moving east to Russian bases, about 600 Km further away from the front lines.

Russia is capable of launching small scale attacks in various sectors of company and small sized elements, but any large scale offensive action in the face of the heavy demands from defending against the Ukrainian offensive are essentially nil.

Ukraine –

WEATHER FORECAST – Continued cool, 50’s- 60’s with scattered rain.

RUMINT – Growing talk of trying to negotiate some sort of ceasefire lead by western nations. This due to unfulfilled expectations of the Ukraine summer offensive and analysis that Ukraine doesn’t have the capabilities to archive its goals of the liberation of Southern Ukraine any time soon.

24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Action on the fronts continue to be relatively static.

OUTLOOK - Continued status quo along all fronts. Growing talk of some sort of ceasefire.

Europe / NATO General –

Five European countries, Denmark, Finland, Iceland, Norway & Sweden have agreed to cooperate in deportations of illegal migrants. They will share flights & expertise.
They will also help migrants who have reached the North African coast to be repatriated”.

OBSERVATION - The recent pro-Hamas protests have demonstrated that they have lost control of these millions of migrants and that the situation is fast approaching one of a potential civil war with them.

Pakistan –

Reports of a well coordinated terrorist attack on the Pakistan Airforce Base, Mianwali, Punja. Reports of suicide bombers involved in the attack with casualties heavy. Pakistan security forces are responding and clearing the base. The Tehrik-e-Jihad Pakistan group, Taliban affiliated, are already claiming the attack.

OBSERVATION - Pakistan is in the process of expelling about 1.7 million Afghanis due to increasing terror attacks by Afghanistan related groups like this.

ISRAEL –

Key overnight developments -

- Nasrallah’s speech is a flop

- Hamas attempting to use ambulances for the transport of fighters and war materials exposed

- Hamas trying to blend in with wounded being evacuated out of Gaza

- Reported slaughter by Hamas in S Gaza of gazans trying to flee to the Egyptian border

- IDF continues systematic operations to clear N Gaza of Hamas fighters and destroy underground tunnel network.

GENERAL ——————————-

Nasrallah’s speech - In his first public address since the war, was widely expected to give an indication, or possibly even an explicit proclamation of war against Israel but failed to do so.

Look at yesterday’s post - my initial observations on his comments have held out to later analysis. His speech was in many ways a nothing burger, as it was widely anticipated to be a full up declaration of war against Israel. As it turns out, it was largely a message to Hamas telling them they are on their own.

Nasrallah still maintained some threats against the west, but with no clear indicators of what might trigger events. Clearly Hezbollah’s earlier “Red Line” of the IDF invasion of Gaza didn’t pan out as per the threats, so it is uncertain just how firm these other threats are. As stated by Nasrallah-

“The Lebanese front and the escalation in many directions depends on two things: the progress of events in Gaza and their development, and the second, the activities of Israel in Lebanon,” the Iranian-backed terror chief stated, per Maariv reporting.

Nasrallah’s lack luster speech was not received well by some radical elements in the “resistance” but the separation of Iran’s participation from the actions of Hamas is a clear message that they will not be unleashed to do much more than what they have the past couple of weeks.

***
Israel has stopped warning Russia about its attacks on Syrian territory, although it always did so before, Bloomberg writes. This indicates a significant deterioration in Russian-Israeli relations.

After Putin sent troops to Syria in 2015 to prevent President Bashar al-Assad from being overthrown in the ensuing civil war, Israel and Russia began coordinating their actions. That’s how they tried to avoid their forces clashing or shelling by mistake.

***
Handle these remarks carefully, not fully confirmed. The founder of Hezbollah, Subhi Al-Tufayli, courses Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei for not ordering Hezbollah to come to Gaza’s aid by attacking Israel.
“You are an enemy of Allah, a despicable killer of Muslim children,” - he shouts at the camera

Head of Palestinian Authority, Mahmoud Abbas:
“Hamas leaders were the first to flee from Gaza to Sinai hiding in ambulances, leaving their people to be slaughtered”
Abbas’ Fatah movement were thrown out from Gaza in 2007 by Hamas.

OBSERVATION - The first quote, combined with Nasrallah’s speech yesterday does indicate a schism with Iran and indicates that tight control Iran has on Hezbollah.
The second statement by Abbas (who has fled to Jordan BTW), is supported by the discovery of Hamas elements trying to sneak out of Gaza with wounded yesterday. Abbas and the PA are mortal enemies of Hamas, so it would be totally likely that he is trying to score points against them.

***
US officials report that Hamas members are sneaking themselves onto the departure list of foreign nationals slated to leave Gaza. As a result they are delaying the process for everyone.

GAZA FRONT ———————————-

Israel continues to systematically move through N Gaza, identifying tunnels and killing any Hamas forces that sorte out from them. IDF forces south of Gaza City are noted moving upon the coast to apparently meet up with forces coming from the north. IAF continues airstrikes, but at lower levels than in the previous 3 weeks.

IDF is having considerable success locating and destroying Hamas’ tunnel network and have hit intelligence gold in some cases. IDF soldiers following extensive searches of some of these bunkers have located intelligence information that included operational orders belonging to Hamas. This also included operational maps, means of communication, command and control tables and personal details of Hamas commanders and terrorists.

***
The IDF Spokesperson said Friday that an aircraft struck an ambulance in the Gaza Strip, which, according to intelligence was being used by a specific Hamas unit closely positioned to the combat zone. It was further reported that several Hamas terrorists were killed in the attack, and the IDF has information suggesting that the terrorist organization utilized the ambulance for transporting terrorists and weaponry.

****

Hamas snipers have reportedly killed dozens of children and women on the streets, targeting those attempting to travel from north to south Gaza and those displaying white flags as a sign of peace. Similar acts have previously been attributed to Palestinian and Hezbollah terrorists in Syria. They do not want civilians to leave; they want to use them as human shields and kill anyone who attempts to leave. Hamas terrorists in Gaza will, as usual, blame Israel because it is easy and there is media that accepts this propaganda.
Hamas did similar using car bombs to deter Gazans from fleeing south following Israels first warnings to leave along designated routes.

***

The IDF says it carried out a limited raid in the southern Gaza Strip overnight, to map out buildings and to clear the area of explosive devices. It says that during the operation, combat engineering forces and tanks, led by the Gaza Division, encountered a Hamas cell that came out of a tunnel. Troops shelled the operatives, killing them.

***

Not fully confirmed - the head of Hamas, Ismail Haniyeh, appealed to the Egyptian President with a demand to open the border with the Gaza Strip for refugees. This is the first statement of this kind from the terrorist leader since the beginning of the war. He previously called on all Gazan residents to remain in their apartments and not evacuate.

***

Shifa Hospital in Gaza 20 days ago: “In 24 hours we will run out of fuel for the generators and won’t have any electricity.” Photos published by Hamas favored news outlets show the lights still on bright at the hospital
NOTE - This is clear evidence that these generators also provide power to Hamas military base located beneath the hospital - the reason the power is still on.

LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-

Hezbollah escalated its attacks slightly yesterday, with the most significant development being the used of a Burkan rocket against Mt Dov facilities. This would be the first time that Hezbollah has used this weapon in this war, marking an escalatory step due to its increased payload. The Burkan, also known as “The Volcano”, has a range of 500-2,000 meters and can carry explosive warheads that weigh hundreds of kilograms.

IAF launched counter strikes against Hezbollah positions and facilities as a result of this and other attacks. The size of the explosions indicated Israel is using larger bombs, probably targeting ammo and command facilities.

SYRIA / HEZBOLLAH / IRAN———————————-

The Iranian militias targeted the American base in northeastern Syria (Al-Shaddadi) with three missiles. This is the second attack on the American bases in less than 24 hours.

WEST BANK——————————-

The Israeli army continues a campaign of arrests and raids in the West Bank and Jerusalem. Gun fights reported.

INTERNATIONAL ——————————-

An Iranian proxy-group in Iraq announces it launched suicide drones toward Israel yesterday. It’s the first air attack against Israel from Iraqi territory since Saddam did it

Continued calls for a ceasefire by some nations - including the US (who is trying to massage the message to call it “pauses”) have been flat-out refused by Israel.

FORECAST ————————-

Bottom Line Up Front (BLUF) - Israel will continue its attacks in N Gaza to eliminate Hamas from that portion of land before turning south or turning to confront Hezbollah in a more substantial way if necessary.

Hamas is losing ground fast and evidence suggests that they are trying to flee the onslaught. Israeli forces have handily dealt with the small groups of Hamas fighters that poke their heads out of their bunkers to challenge the IDF.

To make matters worse for Hamas - it appears that Iran, Hezbollah, the PA and the ‘resistance’ is poised to toss them under the bus. As I think I initiated in earlier posts, Hamas may have jumped the gun in its attack and it was supposed to be held back until a large, combined attack lead by Hezbollah was initiated. The Oct7 attack blew the cover off that effort - exposing Hezbollah and Iran to potential serious retaliation by Israel. The Israeli response this time was far stronger than they also anticipated - showing that Israel wasn’t going to play by the same rules as previous conflicts and they will go for the jugular and world opinion be damned.

Expect more panicked Hamas fighters and leaders to try to escape through the south rather than die in the dark in their bunkers. I expect fierce fighting though as the IDF penetrates into what’s left of the urban areas of Gaza City and especially around hospitals like Shifa where there is clear evidence that they are hiding their main command bunkers.

At this stage, I don’t anticipate any major escalation by Hezbollah, though there is a remote possibility of Nasrallah’s speech being a diversion, a common tactic by radical islamists. I think Israel will maintain a very strong readiness level against Hezbollah and Iran based militias reportedly massing in Syria. But is see the developing panic of Hamas to suggest that help is not on the way.

Iraq -

Iranian backed militias threaten to expand attacks on US/coalition bases in Iraq.

Lebanon -

See Israel above.

Saudi Arabia –

See Israel above.

Syria -

See Israel above on latest.

Sunday’s post was OBE, so rolling that into today’s.

Economy –

Maersk, the world’s biggest shipper and bellwether for global trade, reported a drop in revenue and profit on Friday, and the company plans to cut 10,000 jobs – about 10% of its workforce.

OBSERVATION - post wuhan supply chain disruptions are still reverberating. This is now combining with the onset of a global recession. In the US, the trucking industry has been hit hard, evidenced by the bankruptcy of Yellow trucking several months ago. Rail roads are also now struggling.

***
(Bloomberg) — Bankers servicing one of the world’s biggest ESG debt markets are now actively seeking legal protections to guard against the potential greenwashing allegations that may be ahead.
In the handful of years they’ve existed, sustainability-linked loans have mushroomed into a $1.5 trillion market. SLLs let borrowers and lenders say that a loan is tied to some environmental or social metric. But the documentation to back those claims generally isn’t available to the public, nor is the market regulated. Lawyers advising SLL bankers say the reputational risks associated with mislabeling such products are now too big to ignore.

OBSERVATION - Coming home to roost and in an increasing big way. FYI, “greenwashing” is “misleading or deceptive publicity disseminated by an organization so as to present an environmentally responsible public image”

***
Revisit on the jobs report to highlight this important note - September was downward revised by 39,000 and August was also revised down, by 62,000 jobs Due to these revisions, the employment numbers over the past two months are more than a hundred thousand less than the BLS initially reported. One can expect that October’s lack luster numbers will also be significantly revised down next month.

CW2 / Domestic violence - Heightened THREAT

Pro-Hamas protests expected to continue thru the foreseeable future. As Israel’s ground offensive continues, Hamas et al will become more desperate to sway opinions across the world and the internal split in the democrat regime is one area they are working to sway back to the anti-Israel strangle hold. This may include increasing violence and attacks on Jewish persons, synagogues, businesses and other organizations.

***

Rep. Robert Garcia (D-CA) and Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) are pushing legislation to require background checks for ammunition purchases.
They are joined by other Democrats, including Rep. Debbie Wasserman Schultz (D-FL).

The Democrats are pushing the Ammunition Modernization and Monitoring Oversight Act, or AMMO Act for short. In addition to requiring background checks for ammo purchases, Redstate noted the Act would also limit the number of rounds law-abiding citizens can buy over a five-day period and mandate that ammo dealers get a license separate from the Federal Firearms License (FFL) required for gun sales.

OBSERVATION - This bill will have trouble passing the senate and if it did would likely be DOA in the house. Question is how hard are democrats going to push for this and similar legislation as we enter the T- 12 months to election period. It also shows the danger if the republicans fail to maintain control of at least the House.

***
Over the weekend, pro-Hamas protestors swarmed DC with the cumulation of the event being an attempt to break into the White House area. Among the slogans were ‘racist state’ Israel ‘does not have the right to exist’: ‘Long live the Intifada’ . They attempted to force one of the gates, and attacked Secret Service / Capitol police, but didn’t manage to gain entry. They vandalized a lot of the surrounding areas. Observers note the similarity between this weekends protests and the BLM/Antifa riots of 2020.

OBSERVATION - Though they likely observed actions during the 2020 protests, AQ, ISIS, Hezbollah, and Hamas operatives in the U.S. watching what these rioters are getting away with.

***
RUMINT - Co-assign to Political
(FO) According to people involved in the discussions, the 2024 Trump campaign and The Heritage Foundation’s Project 2025 group have drafted executive orders (EO) to deploy the U.S. military domestically under the Insurrection Act to deal with a popular revolution against Trump’s possible reelection.

OBSERVATION - It would be highly expected that should Trump be elected, the left will break out into large scale violence to an extent larger than 2016 and 2020. Such an EO would not go unchallenged by congress, even by eGOP establishment. This would come very close to a potential level of civil war given the tectonic stresses already in place in American politics.

***
The Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) raided a “Safe Streets” program site in Baltimore, Maryland, reportedly over allegations that the taxpayer-funded program could be affiliated with gang members in the community. As a result of one of the FBI home raids, a Safe Streets supervisor is now facing criminal charges, according to documents reviewed by Fox45 News.

OBSERVATION - Interesting turn, tax payer funding going to gangs.

Terrorism - Level is HIGH due to increased lone wolf threats.

On Friday, Oconee County Sheriff’s Office arrested 66-year-old Doyle Wayne Whisenhunt in connection with an incident at the Oconee Nuclear Station in South Carolina that occurred Thursday night.
According to the sheriff’s office, Whisenhunt was on the run for a few hours until he was taken into custody Friday after being found in an abandoned home in South Carolina’s Pickens County. According to the sheriff’s office, Whisenhunt was not authorized to be on the site, however, authorities have not revealed any information about the motivation.

***
There might be a terror attack against Jews in the United States due to the alarming rise in antisemitism since the Hamas massacre of Israelis started the war, Israeli United Nations Ambassador Gilad Erdan said Sunday on CNN’s “State of the Union.”

Erdan emphasized that “we are on the brink of a catastrophe. Any moment, we might see a terror attack against a Jewish community here in the United States.”

He said “the situation right now is shocking. We see now thousands of people chanting, ‘Death to Israel, death to the Jews.’ We see Jewish students all across the United States on college campuses that are being threatened not only by other students, [but] by their professors, and presidents of universities cannot even condemn the terror attacks.”

https://www.newsmax.com/world/globaltalk/gilad-erdan-united-states-terrorism/2023/11/05/id/1141086/

OBSERVATION - Keep your head on a swivel. It has been a long time since there have been massive terror attacks on Jews outside of Israel.

Military / Strategic Activity / Deployments –

The Dwight D. Eisenhower Carrier Strike Group has transited the Suez Canal, arriving in the northern Red Sea and the CENTCOM AOR. This comes after a three day delay operating in maneuvers with the USS Ford in the eastern Med.

***
On November 5, 2023, the US Navy announced that an Ohio-class submarine arrived in the U.S. Central Command area of responsibility. This is not generally an announcement you see being made by the Navy.

There are, at present, eighteen (18) Ohio-Class Submarines. Fourteen (14) of those carry TRIDENT II nuclear missiles with Eight (8) independently-targetable warheads each. That means that EACH submarine has 160 nuclear warheads.
Four of those Ohio-class submarines (USS Ohio, USS Florida, USS Michigan, and USS Georgia) carry 154 Tomahawk (Land-attack) Cruise missiles, each.

OBSERVATION - Big stick statement to Iran following their recent threats against the US and US interests. The Navy did not announce WHICH “Ohio-Class” submarine just arrived in CENTCOM’s Area of Responsibility? Nuke or non-nuke?

Wuhan and other “new” Plandemics –

COVID vaccine victims have filed a lawsuit against the Biden administration for shielding drugmakers like Pfizer and Moderna from lawsuits.

OBSERVATION - The EUA grants immunity from lawsuits as long as there was no associated illegalities by the companies - falsified tests, reports, etc. In this case the evidence points to the regime knowingly allowing these jabs to go forward under EUA knowing full well that there were severe adverse results and that they kept that knowledge secret from the public.

***
The U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) is refusing to recall the Pfizer-BioNTech COVID-19 vaccine, promoting the view that the inclusion of a previously-undisclosed DNA sequence that leaves behind fragments is not of concern. The FDA did not provide any evidence to back up its position.

OBSERVATION - Speaking of hiding information and allowing contaminated jabs to remain on the streets………

POLITICAL FRONT –

It is interesting that 0bama crawled out from under the rock he has been under to suddenly try to influence American perception of the Gaza war. The media tried to provide some cover for him, relating his return to celebration of his election in 2008 - like it is some memorial event. The most anti-Israel president of the modern era is trying to blame the whole Gaza war on Israel’s oppression and occupation of gaza - both being an unfounded lie, trying minimizing the evil of genocidal violence, as practiced by Hamas, into merely one perspective among many.“all of us are complicit to some degree” in the violence in Gaza, as he appeared to describe a moral equivalence between Hamas murdering Israelis and the Israeli “occupation” of Gaza.

Gaza has not been “occupied” by Israel since 2005, when Israel withdrew all of its soldiers and civilians in a “disengagement” that aimed to reduce violence in the region. Hamas responded by launching thousands of rockets at Israel and starting several wars.

After the October 7 terror attacks, Obama said that Israel must “dismantle” Hamas — and he has spent the last several weeks backtracking, in the face of anti-Israel (and antisemitic) activism on the “progressive” left.

OBSERVATION - 0bamas sudden jump back to the front page has more to do than just the gaza war. Apparently the marxist left had to remind him who he worked for and now may be trying to leverage that against biden’s current policies. This may be part of a more ominous cloud rising over biden’s 2024 campaign, one designed to get him to step aside for someone that may have a better chance to defeat the Trump juggernaut.

***
Tlaib (D-MI) — a founding member of the far-left collective known as “The Squad” — accused President Joe Biden of “supporting genocide” in Gaza and warned that he may not be able to count on her support in the 2024 election.

“Joe Biden supported the genocide of the Palestinian people. The American people won’t forget,” reads text on the screen. “Biden, support a ceasefire now. Or don’t count on us in 2024.”

OBSERVATION - The rift between the marxist/leftist wing of the democrat party and its more moderate branch is growing bigger. biden’s response to Hamas’ terror has inflamed the left and to what extent it may impact the 2024 race is yet to be seen - will they sit out this one? The weekend’s riot at the WH was directed at biden and the current policy.
BTW - Tlaib is facing another censorship challenge in the House for her inflammatory, genocidal statements agains Israel.

***
Now just one year out from the 2024 Presidential elections and numerous polls are showing that biden is taking on water faster than the Titanic. Traditionally leftist polls show Trump clearly winning 5 of 6 key battle ground states, and rough electoral counts show a landslide growing.

OBSERVATION - I’ve learned over the years not to place much confidence in polls at this stage of the campaign as they are designed to shape the political landscape and influence attitudes. The fact that these traditionally leftist leaning polling organizations are in line with biden’s poor numbers of the past three years does lend credence to them. They may also be an attempt to convince biden to drop out for a younger, fresher face that can challenge Trumps incredible popular support.

Illegal Immigration –

In what should be no shock to anyone, illegal immigrants in NYC are turning to prostitution and illegal activities. This is the tip of the iceberg for cartel based human trafficking and expansion of other crime.

Japan –

Japan is hosting and leading its 10-day “Annual Exercise 2023” beginning on 10 November. The Japanese Maritime Self-Defense Force says this is the largest exercise they’ve run since 1954, the year of their inception. Japan, the U.S., Canada, and Australia are participating with 16, 11, two, and three ships respectively. The Philippines will have observers on site for the first time. The exercise will focus on Anti-Surface Warfare, anti-submarine warfare, and replenishment-at-sea. (FO)

OBSERVATION - Japan continues to be proactive in its preparations for an eventual confrontation with China and is getting its forces well established with allied forces in the region.

Russia -

WAR WATCH - into the second year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022

CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Updated Sept 27, 2023

Ukrainian action has forced Russia to move forces laterally to meet the Ukraine advance - thinning critical portions of the line and making them vulnerable to assault.

Supplemental cruise missile attacks using old models will be occasionally used to supplement the drones.

*****

NUCLEAR THREATS –

Russia’s Defense Ministry has announced the successful test of the “Bulava” intercontinental ballistic missile capable of carrying a nuclear warhead.
The Russian military agency says the Emperor “Alexander the Third” strategic cruiser has successfully launched the “Bulava” sea-based intercontinental ballistic missile from the White Sea.
The report says that the firing of the ballistic missile is the final stage of testing and the cruiser should now be accepted into the service of the Russian Navy.

OBSEREVATION - From what I’ve seen, this is the first successful launch after several failures. However, the simple fact that Russia is accelerating the modernization of its nuclear capability should be a grave concern to us.

Ukraine –

WEATHER FORECAST – Continued cool, 40’s- 50’s with scattered rain.

24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Action on the fronts continue to be relatively static.

Russia targeted the Odesa region with Ukrainian air defense shooting down 15 of 22 Shahed drones and 1 Kh-59 cruise missile

This weekend in a very stupid move, an awards ceremony very near the front lines, 128th Mountain Assault Brigade confirmed in a statement that it lost 19 fighters as result of Russian missile strike in Zaporizhzhia region.

Russian sources report that a Russian Karakurt-class ship Project 22800 was hit in a Ukrainian strike Saturday at the shipbuilding yard in Kerch, Crimea
Air defenses were active close to the shipyard and several explosions were heard in the area, which is near the Crimean Bridge. The ship was a brand new missile launcher.

Ukraine hit a number of large ammo/logistical sites across occupied southern Ukraine this weekend, evidenced by significant secondary explosions.

OUTLOOK - Continued status quo along all fronts. Growing talk of some sort of ceasefire, especially since the Gaza war has sucked a lot of air out of this war’s coverage and attention.

ISRAEL –

Key overnight developments -

- IAF airstrikes increase significantly in numbers and intensity in Gaza.

- Israel officially declares that they have cut Gaza in half

- Battles on the Lebanese border are increasing in intensity

GENERAL ——————————-

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu announced today (Sunday) the suspension of Heritage Minister Amichai Eliyahu from cabinet meetings until further notice.
The move follows an interview Eliyahu gave to Kol Barama Radio in which he stated in response to a question of whether an atomic bomb should be dropped on Gaza following the Hamas massacre of October 7: “That is one of the possibilities.”

OBSERVATION - A completely brain dead comment played right into the hands of arab propagandists.

***
In a remarkable milestone, “Israel this week used its Arrow missile-defense system to shoot down a ballistic missile outside of Earth’s atmosphere, in what is believed to be the first combat ever to take place in space.”

***
Sec State Blinken made a quick pass through the region trying to meet with numerous govts.

GAZA FRONT ———————————-

Significant intensive airstrikes northern Gaza tonight as the IDF further prepares the ground for expanding urban ground Ops. Israeli army says fighter jets struck some 450 targets in the Gaza Strip over the past day, including Hamas compounds, anti-tank missile launch positions, and observation posts.

Israel provided more evidence that Hamas is using hospitals in Gaza to cover underground command facilities. Even supplied evidence of Hamas firing at Israeli forces from the hospitals proper. These hospitals, according to Hamas, ran out of fuel several weeks ago - yet continue to be brightly lit and operational.

Israel also produced evidence of Hamas rocket launchers installed in school playground and within residential areas.

Hamas continues to manage a few rocket attacks into Israel.

LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-

Britain’s Foreign Office temporarily withdraws some British embassy staff from Lebanon. (Reuters)

Kiryat Shmona municipality urges its remaining residents to leave

Hamas/Hezbollah forces continued attacking IDF with rockets, mortars and ATGM with Israel replying with air and artillery strikes. Overall, the level of exchanges has increased as well as attempts at infiltrating into Israel by islamic forces.

SYRIA / HEZBOLLAH / IRAN———————————-

Explosions resonate in the Al-Omar oil field, the largest international coalition base in the country. Nearby, skirmishes between the SDF and Iranian militias continued. A large Iranian cell attack was reported near Dhiban. SDF and Iranian militia then entered an artillery battle along the Euphrates river in that area. (Outskirts of Mayadeen).

Reports of another attack on the Al-Shaddadi base where coalition forces are. No reports of any casualties as yet.

Syria: Reports of another attack on the base at Conoco where coalition forces are.

OBSERVATION - There have now been about 50 attacks on these facilities over the past several weeks with only one US retaliatory strike. This is displaying weakness to these islamic militia and only inviting more attacks where they hope to beat the odds and get one lucky hit.

WEST BANK——————————-

The Israeli army continues a campaign of arrests and raids in the West Bank and Jerusalem. Gun fights reported.
The Israeli army: 38 people were arrested in the West Bank last night, 5 of whom were from Hamas

INTERNATIONAL ——————————-

Long-range rocket fire from the Gaza Strip, heading south. Sirens sounding near Eilat.

Anti-Israel protesters are now using fireworks to attack the British police at Trafalgar Square in London. Violent protests also in Berlin and Paris.

Jordanian Prime Minister: Any Israeli attempt to displace Palestinians from Gaza or the West Bank is a “declaration of war”

FORECAST ————————-

Israeli produced evidence of Hamas illegally positioning rocket firing positions in clearly civilian areas and now showing them using hospitals as cover for their under ground command hubs is taking a lot of wind out of the propaganda sails for Hamas. This will be a temporary feature, as the propaganda machine is already spinning the reports in a furious manner.

Hezbollah still seems to be restrained from entering the conflict in a greater manner, taking seriously the counter threats by Israel and the US to intervene.

Iran, in spite of its threats to the US, is not expected to do anything directly, relying on its proxy militias in Syria, Iraq and Yemen to pursue attacks against Israel an US bases. The US is going to have to get tougher and start striking some of these militias back hard before US forces get killed or injured by the persistent rocket/mortar attacks. To not take action is seen as a sign of weakness by these islamists.

Iran –

Top U.S. Senators said over the weekend that they are introducing a bipartisan resolution calling for military strikes against Iran if its terror proxies in the Middle East kill any U.S. soldiers or if Hezbollah opens up a second front against Israel.

Sens. Lindsey Graham (R-SC) and Richard Blumenthal (D-CT) made the remarks during a CNN interview Sunday morning with Dana Bash on “State of the Union.”

“It basically says, if the war expands, if Hezbollah opens up a second front in the north against Israel in a substantial way to overwhelm Iron Dome, then we should hit the Islamic Republic of Iran,” Graham said. “There is no Hamas without the Ayatollahs’ support. There is no Hezbollah without the Ayatollahs’ support. The great Satan in the region is not Israel or the United States. It’s Iran.”

OBSERVATION - There are a number in congress that desire to initiate war against Iran. Iran is a definite threat, but are we positioned to conduct the level of war necessary to eliminate that threat.

Iraq -

Iranian-backed Iraqi militias may be about to escalate attacks against US bases in Iraq and possibly elsewhere in the region.
Ashab Al-Kahaf in a statement: all political solutions were useless, we are only left with military operations aganist US embassy and bases. The US embassy is the source of terrorism in the region, it must be closed.

Sec State Blinken visited with the Iraqi PM for a couple hours overnight. That visit prompted Sadr to rally his supporters and threaten the Green Zone where they were meeting. Upon Blinken’s departure, Sadr called off his forces.

Lebanon -

See Israel above.

Syria -

See Israel above on latest.

Turkey –

In Turkey, a crowd of pro-Palestinian demonstrators gathered near the Turkish-U.S. Incirlik Air Base and attempted to break into it. Police used tear gas and water cannons to disperse the protesters.
FYI this base houses forward positioned US nuclear bombs.