Sunday’s post was OBE, so rolling that into today’s.
Economy –
Maersk, the world’s biggest shipper and bellwether for global trade, reported a drop in revenue and profit on Friday, and the company plans to cut 10,000 jobs – about 10% of its workforce.
OBSERVATION - post wuhan supply chain disruptions are still reverberating. This is now combining with the onset of a global recession. In the US, the trucking industry has been hit hard, evidenced by the bankruptcy of Yellow trucking several months ago. Rail roads are also now struggling.
***
(Bloomberg) — Bankers servicing one of the world’s biggest ESG debt markets are now actively seeking legal protections to guard against the potential greenwashing allegations that may be ahead.
In the handful of years they’ve existed, sustainability-linked loans have mushroomed into a $1.5 trillion market. SLLs let borrowers and lenders say that a loan is tied to some environmental or social metric. But the documentation to back those claims generally isn’t available to the public, nor is the market regulated. Lawyers advising SLL bankers say the reputational risks associated with mislabeling such products are now too big to ignore.
OBSERVATION - Coming home to roost and in an increasing big way. FYI, “greenwashing” is “misleading or deceptive publicity disseminated by an organization so as to present an environmentally responsible public image”
***
Revisit on the jobs report to highlight this important note - September was downward revised by 39,000 and August was also revised down, by 62,000 jobs Due to these revisions, the employment numbers over the past two months are more than a hundred thousand less than the BLS initially reported. One can expect that October’s lack luster numbers will also be significantly revised down next month.
CW2 / Domestic violence - Heightened THREAT
Pro-Hamas protests expected to continue thru the foreseeable future. As Israel’s ground offensive continues, Hamas et al will become more desperate to sway opinions across the world and the internal split in the democrat regime is one area they are working to sway back to the anti-Israel strangle hold. This may include increasing violence and attacks on Jewish persons, synagogues, businesses and other organizations.
***
Rep. Robert Garcia (D-CA) and Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) are pushing legislation to require background checks for ammunition purchases.
They are joined by other Democrats, including Rep. Debbie Wasserman Schultz (D-FL).
The Democrats are pushing the Ammunition Modernization and Monitoring Oversight Act, or AMMO Act for short. In addition to requiring background checks for ammo purchases, Redstate noted the Act would also limit the number of rounds law-abiding citizens can buy over a five-day period and mandate that ammo dealers get a license separate from the Federal Firearms License (FFL) required for gun sales.
OBSERVATION - This bill will have trouble passing the senate and if it did would likely be DOA in the house. Question is how hard are democrats going to push for this and similar legislation as we enter the T- 12 months to election period. It also shows the danger if the republicans fail to maintain control of at least the House.
***
Over the weekend, pro-Hamas protestors swarmed DC with the cumulation of the event being an attempt to break into the White House area. Among the slogans were ‘racist state’ Israel ‘does not have the right to exist’: ‘Long live the Intifada’ . They attempted to force one of the gates, and attacked Secret Service / Capitol police, but didn’t manage to gain entry. They vandalized a lot of the surrounding areas. Observers note the similarity between this weekends protests and the BLM/Antifa riots of 2020.
OBSERVATION - Though they likely observed actions during the 2020 protests, AQ, ISIS, Hezbollah, and Hamas operatives in the U.S. watching what these rioters are getting away with.
***
RUMINT - Co-assign to Political
(FO) According to people involved in the discussions, the 2024 Trump campaign and The Heritage Foundation’s Project 2025 group have drafted executive orders (EO) to deploy the U.S. military domestically under the Insurrection Act to deal with a popular revolution against Trump’s possible reelection.
OBSERVATION - It would be highly expected that should Trump be elected, the left will break out into large scale violence to an extent larger than 2016 and 2020. Such an EO would not go unchallenged by congress, even by eGOP establishment. This would come very close to a potential level of civil war given the tectonic stresses already in place in American politics.
***
The Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) raided a “Safe Streets” program site in Baltimore, Maryland, reportedly over allegations that the taxpayer-funded program could be affiliated with gang members in the community. As a result of one of the FBI home raids, a Safe Streets supervisor is now facing criminal charges, according to documents reviewed by Fox45 News.
OBSERVATION - Interesting turn, tax payer funding going to gangs.
Terrorism - Level is HIGH due to increased lone wolf threats.
On Friday, Oconee County Sheriff’s Office arrested 66-year-old Doyle Wayne Whisenhunt in connection with an incident at the Oconee Nuclear Station in South Carolina that occurred Thursday night.
According to the sheriff’s office, Whisenhunt was on the run for a few hours until he was taken into custody Friday after being found in an abandoned home in South Carolina’s Pickens County. According to the sheriff’s office, Whisenhunt was not authorized to be on the site, however, authorities have not revealed any information about the motivation.
***
There might be a terror attack against Jews in the United States due to the alarming rise in antisemitism since the Hamas massacre of Israelis started the war, Israeli United Nations Ambassador Gilad Erdan said Sunday on CNN’s “State of the Union.”
Erdan emphasized that “we are on the brink of a catastrophe. Any moment, we might see a terror attack against a Jewish community here in the United States.”
He said “the situation right now is shocking. We see now thousands of people chanting, ‘Death to Israel, death to the Jews.’ We see Jewish students all across the United States on college campuses that are being threatened not only by other students, [but] by their professors, and presidents of universities cannot even condemn the terror attacks.”
https://www.newsmax.com/world/globaltalk/gilad-erdan-united-states-terrorism/2023/11/05/id/1141086/
OBSERVATION - Keep your head on a swivel. It has been a long time since there have been massive terror attacks on Jews outside of Israel.
Military / Strategic Activity / Deployments –
The Dwight D. Eisenhower Carrier Strike Group has transited the Suez Canal, arriving in the northern Red Sea and the CENTCOM AOR. This comes after a three day delay operating in maneuvers with the USS Ford in the eastern Med.
***
On November 5, 2023, the US Navy announced that an Ohio-class submarine arrived in the U.S. Central Command area of responsibility. This is not generally an announcement you see being made by the Navy.
There are, at present, eighteen (18) Ohio-Class Submarines. Fourteen (14) of those carry TRIDENT II nuclear missiles with Eight (8) independently-targetable warheads each. That means that EACH submarine has 160 nuclear warheads.
Four of those Ohio-class submarines (USS Ohio, USS Florida, USS Michigan, and USS Georgia) carry 154 Tomahawk (Land-attack) Cruise missiles, each.
OBSERVATION - Big stick statement to Iran following their recent threats against the US and US interests. The Navy did not announce WHICH “Ohio-Class” submarine just arrived in CENTCOM’s Area of Responsibility? Nuke or non-nuke?
Wuhan and other “new” Plandemics –
COVID vaccine victims have filed a lawsuit against the Biden administration for shielding drugmakers like Pfizer and Moderna from lawsuits.
OBSERVATION - The EUA grants immunity from lawsuits as long as there was no associated illegalities by the companies - falsified tests, reports, etc. In this case the evidence points to the regime knowingly allowing these jabs to go forward under EUA knowing full well that there were severe adverse results and that they kept that knowledge secret from the public.
***
The U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) is refusing to recall the Pfizer-BioNTech COVID-19 vaccine, promoting the view that the inclusion of a previously-undisclosed DNA sequence that leaves behind fragments is not of concern. The FDA did not provide any evidence to back up its position.
OBSERVATION - Speaking of hiding information and allowing contaminated jabs to remain on the streets………
POLITICAL FRONT –
It is interesting that 0bama crawled out from under the rock he has been under to suddenly try to influence American perception of the Gaza war. The media tried to provide some cover for him, relating his return to celebration of his election in 2008 - like it is some memorial event. The most anti-Israel president of the modern era is trying to blame the whole Gaza war on Israel’s oppression and occupation of gaza - both being an unfounded lie, trying minimizing the evil of genocidal violence, as practiced by Hamas, into merely one perspective among many.“all of us are complicit to some degree” in the violence in Gaza, as he appeared to describe a moral equivalence between Hamas murdering Israelis and the Israeli “occupation” of Gaza.
Gaza has not been “occupied” by Israel since 2005, when Israel withdrew all of its soldiers and civilians in a “disengagement” that aimed to reduce violence in the region. Hamas responded by launching thousands of rockets at Israel and starting several wars.
After the October 7 terror attacks, Obama said that Israel must “dismantle” Hamas — and he has spent the last several weeks backtracking, in the face of anti-Israel (and antisemitic) activism on the “progressive” left.
OBSERVATION - 0bamas sudden jump back to the front page has more to do than just the gaza war. Apparently the marxist left had to remind him who he worked for and now may be trying to leverage that against biden’s current policies. This may be part of a more ominous cloud rising over biden’s 2024 campaign, one designed to get him to step aside for someone that may have a better chance to defeat the Trump juggernaut.
***
Tlaib (D-MI) — a founding member of the far-left collective known as “The Squad” — accused President Joe Biden of “supporting genocide” in Gaza and warned that he may not be able to count on her support in the 2024 election.
“Joe Biden supported the genocide of the Palestinian people. The American people won’t forget,” reads text on the screen. “Biden, support a ceasefire now. Or don’t count on us in 2024.”
OBSERVATION - The rift between the marxist/leftist wing of the democrat party and its more moderate branch is growing bigger. biden’s response to Hamas’ terror has inflamed the left and to what extent it may impact the 2024 race is yet to be seen - will they sit out this one? The weekend’s riot at the WH was directed at biden and the current policy.
BTW - Tlaib is facing another censorship challenge in the House for her inflammatory, genocidal statements agains Israel.
***
Now just one year out from the 2024 Presidential elections and numerous polls are showing that biden is taking on water faster than the Titanic. Traditionally leftist polls show Trump clearly winning 5 of 6 key battle ground states, and rough electoral counts show a landslide growing.
OBSERVATION - I’ve learned over the years not to place much confidence in polls at this stage of the campaign as they are designed to shape the political landscape and influence attitudes. The fact that these traditionally leftist leaning polling organizations are in line with biden’s poor numbers of the past three years does lend credence to them. They may also be an attempt to convince biden to drop out for a younger, fresher face that can challenge Trumps incredible popular support.
Illegal Immigration –
In what should be no shock to anyone, illegal immigrants in NYC are turning to prostitution and illegal activities. This is the tip of the iceberg for cartel based human trafficking and expansion of other crime.
Japan –
Japan is hosting and leading its 10-day “Annual Exercise 2023” beginning on 10 November. The Japanese Maritime Self-Defense Force says this is the largest exercise they’ve run since 1954, the year of their inception. Japan, the U.S., Canada, and Australia are participating with 16, 11, two, and three ships respectively. The Philippines will have observers on site for the first time. The exercise will focus on Anti-Surface Warfare, anti-submarine warfare, and replenishment-at-sea. (FO)
OBSERVATION - Japan continues to be proactive in its preparations for an eventual confrontation with China and is getting its forces well established with allied forces in the region.
Russia -
WAR WATCH - into the second year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022
CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Updated Sept 27, 2023
Russia is on a defensive footing across most of Ukraine, relying on Russian doctrinal defense in depth to blunt the Ukrainian offensive. However, Russian forces continue increasingly stretched and undermanned, with increasingly insufficient artillery support.
Ukrainian action has forced Russia to move forces laterally to meet the Ukraine advance - thinning critical portions of the line and making them vulnerable to assault.
Russia’s strategic ballistic and cruise missiles continue to show evidence of massively reduced inventories. Recent attacks indicate the Russia has started to produce its own Shahed drones with Iranian assistance. Russia capable of continued, though limited, attacks in this arena. The majority of Russian strikes are with these Iranian drones. Major targets are grain shipping facilities in the Odesa region as well as trying to hit logistical targets across the rest of the country.
Supplemental cruise missile attacks using old models will be occasionally used to supplement the drones.
The Russian Black Sea fleet is increasingly hesitant to deploy into now contested waters. Ukraine’s mixture of seaborne and airborne drones and anti-ship missiles beginning to render areas more or less off limits to Russia. The fleet is reportedly in the process of redeploying out of Crimea and moving east to Russian bases, about 600 Km further away from the front lines.
Russia is capable of launching small scale attacks in various sectors of company and small sized elements, but any large scale offensive action in the face of the heavy demands from defending against the Ukrainian offensive are essentially nil.
*****
NUCLEAR THREATS –
Russia’s Defense Ministry has announced the successful test of the “Bulava” intercontinental ballistic missile capable of carrying a nuclear warhead.
The Russian military agency says the Emperor “Alexander the Third” strategic cruiser has successfully launched the “Bulava” sea-based intercontinental ballistic missile from the White Sea.
The report says that the firing of the ballistic missile is the final stage of testing and the cruiser should now be accepted into the service of the Russian Navy.
OBSEREVATION - From what I’ve seen, this is the first successful launch after several failures. However, the simple fact that Russia is accelerating the modernization of its nuclear capability should be a grave concern to us.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Continued cool, 40’s- 50’s with scattered rain.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Action on the fronts continue to be relatively static.
Russia targeted the Odesa region with Ukrainian air defense shooting down 15 of 22 Shahed drones and 1 Kh-59 cruise missile
This weekend in a very stupid move, an awards ceremony very near the front lines, 128th Mountain Assault Brigade confirmed in a statement that it lost 19 fighters as result of Russian missile strike in Zaporizhzhia region.
Russian sources report that a Russian Karakurt-class ship Project 22800 was hit in a Ukrainian strike Saturday at the shipbuilding yard in Kerch, Crimea
Air defenses were active close to the shipyard and several explosions were heard in the area, which is near the Crimean Bridge. The ship was a brand new missile launcher.
Ukraine hit a number of large ammo/logistical sites across occupied southern Ukraine this weekend, evidenced by significant secondary explosions.
OUTLOOK - Continued status quo along all fronts. Growing talk of some sort of ceasefire, especially since the Gaza war has sucked a lot of air out of this war’s coverage and attention.
ISRAEL –
Key overnight developments -
- IAF airstrikes increase significantly in numbers and intensity in Gaza.
- Israel officially declares that they have cut Gaza in half
- Battles on the Lebanese border are increasing in intensity
GENERAL ——————————-
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu announced today (Sunday) the suspension of Heritage Minister Amichai Eliyahu from cabinet meetings until further notice.
The move follows an interview Eliyahu gave to Kol Barama Radio in which he stated in response to a question of whether an atomic bomb should be dropped on Gaza following the Hamas massacre of October 7: “That is one of the possibilities.”
OBSERVATION - A completely brain dead comment played right into the hands of arab propagandists.
***
In a remarkable milestone, “Israel this week used its Arrow missile-defense system to shoot down a ballistic missile outside of Earth’s atmosphere, in what is believed to be the first combat ever to take place in space.”
***
Sec State Blinken made a quick pass through the region trying to meet with numerous govts.
GAZA FRONT ———————————-
Significant intensive airstrikes northern Gaza tonight as the IDF further prepares the ground for expanding urban ground Ops. Israeli army says fighter jets struck some 450 targets in the Gaza Strip over the past day, including Hamas compounds, anti-tank missile launch positions, and observation posts.
Israel provided more evidence that Hamas is using hospitals in Gaza to cover underground command facilities. Even supplied evidence of Hamas firing at Israeli forces from the hospitals proper. These hospitals, according to Hamas, ran out of fuel several weeks ago - yet continue to be brightly lit and operational.
Israel also produced evidence of Hamas rocket launchers installed in school playground and within residential areas.
Hamas continues to manage a few rocket attacks into Israel.
LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
Britain’s Foreign Office temporarily withdraws some British embassy staff from Lebanon. (Reuters)
Kiryat Shmona municipality urges its remaining residents to leave
Hamas/Hezbollah forces continued attacking IDF with rockets, mortars and ATGM with Israel replying with air and artillery strikes. Overall, the level of exchanges has increased as well as attempts at infiltrating into Israel by islamic forces.
SYRIA / HEZBOLLAH / IRAN———————————-
Explosions resonate in the Al-Omar oil field, the largest international coalition base in the country. Nearby, skirmishes between the SDF and Iranian militias continued. A large Iranian cell attack was reported near Dhiban. SDF and Iranian militia then entered an artillery battle along the Euphrates river in that area. (Outskirts of Mayadeen).
Reports of another attack on the Al-Shaddadi base where coalition forces are. No reports of any casualties as yet.
Syria: Reports of another attack on the base at Conoco where coalition forces are.
OBSERVATION - There have now been about 50 attacks on these facilities over the past several weeks with only one US retaliatory strike. This is displaying weakness to these islamic militia and only inviting more attacks where they hope to beat the odds and get one lucky hit.
WEST BANK——————————-
The Israeli army continues a campaign of arrests and raids in the West Bank and Jerusalem. Gun fights reported.
The Israeli army: 38 people were arrested in the West Bank last night, 5 of whom were from Hamas
INTERNATIONAL ——————————-
Long-range rocket fire from the Gaza Strip, heading south. Sirens sounding near Eilat.
Anti-Israel protesters are now using fireworks to attack the British police at Trafalgar Square in London. Violent protests also in Berlin and Paris.
Jordanian Prime Minister: Any Israeli attempt to displace Palestinians from Gaza or the West Bank is a “declaration of war”
FORECAST ————————-
Bottom Line Up Front (BLUF) - Israel will continue its attacks in N Gaza to eliminate Hamas from that portion of land before turning south or turning to confront Hezbollah in a more substantial way if necessary. As it moves deeper into Gaza City, more substantial battles are expected.
Israeli produced evidence of Hamas illegally positioning rocket firing positions in clearly civilian areas and now showing them using hospitals as cover for their under ground command hubs is taking a lot of wind out of the propaganda sails for Hamas. This will be a temporary feature, as the propaganda machine is already spinning the reports in a furious manner.
Hezbollah still seems to be restrained from entering the conflict in a greater manner, taking seriously the counter threats by Israel and the US to intervene.
Iran, in spite of its threats to the US, is not expected to do anything directly, relying on its proxy militias in Syria, Iraq and Yemen to pursue attacks against Israel an US bases. The US is going to have to get tougher and start striking some of these militias back hard before US forces get killed or injured by the persistent rocket/mortar attacks. To not take action is seen as a sign of weakness by these islamists.
Iran –
Top U.S. Senators said over the weekend that they are introducing a bipartisan resolution calling for military strikes against Iran if its terror proxies in the Middle East kill any U.S. soldiers or if Hezbollah opens up a second front against Israel.
Sens. Lindsey Graham (R-SC) and Richard Blumenthal (D-CT) made the remarks during a CNN interview Sunday morning with Dana Bash on “State of the Union.”
“It basically says, if the war expands, if Hezbollah opens up a second front in the north against Israel in a substantial way to overwhelm Iron Dome, then we should hit the Islamic Republic of Iran,” Graham said. “There is no Hamas without the Ayatollahs’ support. There is no Hezbollah without the Ayatollahs’ support. The great Satan in the region is not Israel or the United States. It’s Iran.”
OBSERVATION - There are a number in congress that desire to initiate war against Iran. Iran is a definite threat, but are we positioned to conduct the level of war necessary to eliminate that threat.
Iraq -
Iranian-backed Iraqi militias may be about to escalate attacks against US bases in Iraq and possibly elsewhere in the region.
Ashab Al-Kahaf in a statement: all political solutions were useless, we are only left with military operations aganist US embassy and bases. The US embassy is the source of terrorism in the region, it must be closed.
Sec State Blinken visited with the Iraqi PM for a couple hours overnight. That visit prompted Sadr to rally his supporters and threaten the Green Zone where they were meeting. Upon Blinken’s departure, Sadr called off his forces.
Lebanon -
See Israel above.
Syria -
See Israel above on latest.
Turkey –
In Turkey, a crowd of pro-Palestinian demonstrators gathered near the Turkish-U.S. Incirlik Air Base and attempted to break into it. Police used tear gas and water cannons to disperse the protesters.
FYI this base houses forward positioned US nuclear bombs.
This is usually my first read of the day. Thanks, ‘Zilla.
Globalism / Great Reset –
Energy production sources play a big role in the GGR, leveraging the false narrative of anthropogenic (man caused) climate change, to force global economic change. This has lead many to believe that in order to achieve its goal, there has to be a declared “climate emergency” of the similar nature to wuhan to bypass national laws and force these changes. This effort is hitting some rough spots and pushback as observed below.
****
Despite expressed outrage and a vote of “no confidence” from the Wyoming Republican Party on Saturday over comments he made about climate change and reducing Wyoming’s carbon output, Gov. Mark Gordon stuck to his firm “decarbonization” policy at Monday’s Western Governors’ Association meeting in Jackson.
During a press conference held before the event, Gordon said there has been some confusion about what “decarbonizing the West” means.
“It is about what we do about carbon dioxide in the atmosphere and how we move forward in an aggressive fashion really to address that issue and understanding how all energy sources have a place,” he said.
Gordon has championed the initiative of “decarbonizing the West” in his role as chair of the Western Governors’ Association. On Monday, he said there is a shared, bipartisan commitment amongst Western governors to address climate change in the West. Gordon said these issues are of shared importance throughout the Western states, which produce about 50% of America’s energy.
OBSERVATION - Amazing how WEF has managed to penetrate even dark red states like Wyoming. The end of his term is coming fast, just like Liz Chaney. Oil and coal are big economic foundational pillars for Wyoming, as well as other western states. As such, they are big targets for moles of the WEF to penetrate and enact favorable policies and laws.
***
The wind farm industry globally is having the air sucked out of it as costs explode and problems with deliveries, cables, blades, etc. Others are getting hit trying to renegotiate price per kw to recover losses. Another factor is the push back to ESG scoring with companies that supported wind to boost their score and now seeing that it is no longer worth it to continue and are pulling out of projects.
Similar is impacting the major solar projects, too expensive and not cost effective.
OBSERVATION - These developments have been growing over the course of this year. It is really throwing a kink in the WEF’s efforts to decarbonize the planet. This may cause them to accelerate the forceful shut down of the oil and coal industries - forcing major power shortages - even beyond that which ‘green’ energy is creating.
Economy –
The New York Federal Reserve Bank said the U.S. banking sector is stable, but some banks are still vulnerable to funding pressure and capital shortfalls. These vulnerabilities are made worse by the continued high fed rates and treasury bond rates that have left banks holding lower interest ones deep in the red.
***
Interesting link below on the state of trucking in the US. It has gone from a frenzied, lacking sufficient truckers and rigs to that of companies closing up. Trucking, in a similar fashion that the housing industry is, is another gauge on the state of the economy. And the economy is slumping, not producing and consumers not consuming. Trucking brings products to consumers, and there isn’t the traffic any more.
Rick McQuaide, who runs a freight company in Cambria County, Pennsylvania, as well as in Florida states in the article - “It provides very valuable insights into the health of where the economy is going and into the mindset of the consumer: Are they spending, or are they feeling uncertain and moving within,” he asked rhetorically.
“That is what we are seeing (people rethinking their spending) on the freight side, and that is not a good omen for the U.S. economy. That spending had kept us out of a recession,” he said. “Now that consumers are pulling back, we should be paying more attention to what that means.”
OBSERVATION - This is another indicator of recession folks, the economy is shrinking, not growing as the fluffed up numbers from the biden regime try to convince you otherwise.
CW2 / Domestic violence - Heightened THREAT
Crowder got hold of 3 pages of the Nashville murder’s “manifesto “ and published them on X yesterday. Those three pages were essentially confirmed to be part of the ‘manifesto’ by Nashville’s mayor. They clearly show that that it was an anti-white hate crime. And that much in it parrots DEI teachings in the local schools, building upon the already mentally disturbed nature of being ‘trans’.
The MSM did not report on the leak of the manifesto, no shock to anyone here.
***
Antifa and pro-Palestinian activists are blocking a US military ship, Cape Orlando, from loading weapons and supplies being sent to Israel. This is at the Port of Tacoma in WA. This is phase two of a protest that started a couple days ago in Oakland. That’s where the Cape Orlando left from.
It appears the protesters weren’t able to get to the ship itself this time so they are settling for trying to prevent union dockworkers from getting inside to load it. Protesters are using their cars to block the entrance to a pier in an attempt to stop workers from being able to load the ship.
OBSERVATION - Cross link with Terrorism. This is the second such action against US military cargo ships. There is a security breach in the dock workers who are civilian, feeding this intel to the leftists.
***
A pro-Palestine protester has been arrested after killing a 65 year old Jewish man by hitting him over the head with a megaphone during a verbal altercation in the Thousand Oaks area of LA.
The man suffered from a brain hemorrhage as a result & succumbed to his injuries. The pro-Hamas protestor has been arrested for murder.
Terrorism - Level is HIGH due to increased lone wolf threats.
The Indianapolis Metropolitan Police Department (IMPD) says that Ruba Almaghtheh confessed to purposely backing her car into the Israelite School of Universal and Practical Knowledge while there were people inside the building. The IMPD termed her a “terrorist.” There were no reports of any injuries.
Police said she told them that she was offended by the Hebrew Israelite symbol on the building and planned to attack it after watching coverage of the Israel-Hamas war. She thought it was an “Israel school.”
IMPD said she referred to “her people back in Palestine” and told officers, “Yes. I did it on purpose.”
However, the Anti-Defamation League defines the Israelite School of Universal and Practical Knowledge as an “extreme and antisemitic” sect of the Black Hebrew Israelites.
Jewish Federation of Greater Indianapolis officials wrote in a press release. “Although a Jewish facility was not targeted, solely due to ironic misidentification, this is yet another reminder to maintain security protocols, remain vigilant of suspicious activity and to (report promptly) to the appropriate authorities.”
Almaghtheh is facing a preliminary charge of criminal recklessness.
OBSERVATION - She screwed up bigly by attacking the wrong kind of “Hebrews”, but expect more of these kind of triggered, lone wolf attacks as the war progresses.
***
Another Seattle synagogue has been evacuated for a suspicious envelope, this time on Monday in North Seattle.
The Seattle Fire Department first posted about the investigation around 8:30 p.m. The synagogue is in the 6200 block of 43rd Avenue Northeast.
We spoke with one member of the congregation about the suspicious envelope. That member said they found the letter as they checked the mail from over the weekend. They noticed the letter matched the description of the suspicious envelopes found at other temples in the city.
SFD said the substance inside was non-hazardous. Seattle police are now investigating.
OBSERVATION - Expect more of the same.
Military / Strategic Activity / Deployments –
The DoD clarified that the Ohio-class cruise missile submarine USS Florida (SSGN-728) transited the Suez Canal, heading into the northern Red Sea and the CENTCOM AOR.
USS Florida is armed with up to 154 Tomahawk cruise missiles and is equipped with a dry deck shelter.
OBSERVATION - Still an unusual announcement, but obvious that it is designed to send a message to Iran and even Hezbollah.
***
The USS Eisenhower CSG seems to be holding in the Red Sea area.
Wuhan and other “new” Plandemics –
WHO warning the next big pandemic may come via mosquito vectors. BTW, Bill Gates has been genetically modifying mosquitos for a couple years now . . .
POLITICAL FRONT –
Things reached critical mass yesterday in the Trump civil fraud trial as he took the stand and sparks quickly erupted. The judge’s actions were documented very well and will provide a wealth of basis to claim bias when this is appealed. Fundamentally, the judge ‘prejudged’ the case and said he didn’t need to hear Trumps testimony. Many on the left are scrambling to protect the judge’s actions, but he clearly lost it.
***
In a new leaked State Department Dissent Channel memo, mid-level staffers criticized the Biden administration’s handling of the Israel-Gaza conflict, saying the “tolerance” of a high civilian death toll in Gaza “engenders doubt in the rules-based international order that we have long championed.” This is a continuation of the rift that is growing between the older, more ‘moderate’ democrats supporting Israel, and the younger, marxist democrats who are against Israel. One only has to look at Blinken’s face as he shuttles around the globe trying to establish any kind of a cohesive US policy on the war.
***
Now 10 days away from the end of the current CR, House Republicans are preparing a new stopgap bill that would create “funding cliffs” on 07 December and 19 January 2024. House Republicans plan to put contentious spending bills under the longer “funding cliff” and appropriations with bipartisan support under the shorter “funding cliff” to entice Democrats to make a deal.
OBSERVATION - As speaker Johnson attempts to herd the cats of the republican caucus, this plan seemingly has some merits.
***
Newscum’s stealth presidential campaign continues with another stab in the back to kalifornia.
California is piloting its first state-led universal basic income program as new analysis finds the state has the highest poverty rate in the nation. While state Democrats use figures like these to demonstrate the need for more social spending, critics say these programs ultimately make California more expensive and increase poverty in the long run.
The two “Guaranteed Income Pilot Programs’ will provide 150 former foster youth in Ventura County with $1,000 per month and another 150 in San Francisco with $1,200 per month to “disrupt poverty, advance equity, and support the basic needs of recipients.”
“Guaranteed income programs help level the playing field and will give these former foster youth the support and resources they need to pursue their California dream,” said California governor Gavin Newsom.
OBSERVATION - Can cross reference to Globalism / Great Reset as well. The concept of a universal basic income is one carried by the WEF and will likely be forced on all when the great reset gives them power. In smaller, pilot tests in some kalifornia cities, it has failed miserably, with money being spent more on drugs and crime than actually helping individuals out of poverty.
Illegal Immigration –
Illegal crossings are continuing to increase, due in part to cooler weather facilitating crossings of more desert regions.
China –
News that suggests that China’s economy is close to shrinking and it has the Xi govt moving on infrastructure projects to keep the economy afloat.
Russia -
WAR WATCH - into the second year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022
CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Updated Sept 27, 2023
Russia is on a defensive footing across most of Ukraine, relying on Russian doctrinal defense in depth to blunt the Ukrainian offensive. However, Russian forces continue increasingly stretched and undermanned, with increasingly insufficient artillery support.
Ukrainian action has forced Russia to move forces laterally to meet the Ukraine advance - thinning critical portions of the line and making them vulnerable to assault.
Russia’s strategic ballistic and cruise missiles continue to show evidence of massively reduced inventories. Recent attacks indicate the Russia has started to produce its own Shahed drones with Iranian assistance. Russia capable of continued, though limited, attacks in this arena. The majority of Russian strikes are with these Iranian drones. Major targets are grain shipping facilities in the Odesa region as well as trying to hit logistical targets across the rest of the country.
Supplemental cruise missile attacks using old models will be occasionally used to supplement the drones.
The Russian Black Sea fleet is increasingly hesitant to deploy into now contested waters. Ukraine’s mixture of seaborne and airborne drones and anti-ship missiles beginning to render areas more or less off limits to Russia. The fleet is reportedly in the process of redeploying out of Crimea and moving east to Russian bases, about 600 Km further away from the front lines.
Russia is capable of launching small scale attacks in various sectors of company and small sized elements, but any large scale offensive action in the face of the heavy demands from defending against the Ukrainian offensive are essentially nil.
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putin planning to run for reelection next year. His opposition sits in prision/jail cells.
Economic Impact –
Russia expects its 2024 government revenue to be a record $349 billion. There are plans to sustain this level of revenue by keeping Russian military spending at record level. This means more purchases of weapons and equipment from Russian suppliers as well as continuing generous death and disability payments to soldiers or their families. The impact of these payments is obvious on poor regions of Russia that have a lot of men in the military. So many local men have been killed or disabled that the families of the dead are now relatively wealthy and spending money on new cars or upgrading their housing and lifestyles in general. This is intentional because the government is desperate to avoid large-scale dissatisfaction with the war effort.
https://www.strategypage.com/htmw/htlog/articles/20231105.aspx
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Continued cool, 40’s- 50’s with scattered rain.
RUMINT – Continued reports that western leaders are trying to get Ukraine and Russia to come to some kind of ceasefire agreement. Both have openly rejected such calls.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Both sides launched drones/missiles at each other. Russia focusing on southern Ukraine while Ukraine targeted Crimea and Russian territory around Rostov-on-Don.
It appears that Russian efforts at Adviivka have largely tapered off to a near stop. This may be in part due to muddy conditions making cross country movement very difficult combined with the very heavy losses in men and equipment over the past couple months.
Russian milbloggers are freeking out over evidence that Ukraine is bringing armor/tanks across the Dniper River and into bridge head areas. They also note Ukraine is using a newer drone jamming system at these sites to blind Russian observation and take down attack drones.
Politically, Zelensky, in a nightly video address, told Ukrainians that there would be no elections while the country was at war with Russia. With the war in Gaza sucking all the attention and resources away from his efforts, an election in the midst of a war for existence is not a practical exercise.
OUTLOOK - Continued status quo along all fronts. Increased activity at the Dniper River crossings, combined with up dated jamming of Russian drones, makes for an interesting situation to follow. This suggests that Ukraine may have set conditions for a more aggressive breakout of its current beachheads. This would place Russian planners between a rock and a hard place.
ISRAEL –
Key overnight developments -
- IDF seized another Hamas stronghold in the north
- Gazan evacuees moving south by the thousands along designated safe corridors.
- IDF closing in on the Shifa hospital
GENERAL ——————————-
We are now one month into the Gaza war, and there are still many, many months worth of fighting ahead.
The islamic terror PR campaign continues but has to deal with published evidence of Hamas violations of war.
GAZA FRONT ———————————-
Israel intensified strikes tonight around Shifa & Al Quds hospitals in Gaza, as
IDF ground forces have pushed to within a few hundred meters of Shifa hospital in intense combat with Hamas forces. Hamas has gathered hundreds of civilians around the hospitals to act as a human shield. IDF is firing flares to try to disperse them. It is strongly suspected that the Shifa hospital overlies the main Hamas command bunker in the north and that is one of the most likely places many of the hostages are being held. Similar for the Al Quds hospital. These hospitals have maintained full power now 3 weeks after claiming they’ve run out of fuel for their generators.
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Israeli forces operating in the northern Gaza Strip have located several rocket launchers and some 50 rockets, located in a compound used by a youth movement and a mosque. Additionally, IDF soldiers located several tunnels inside a residential building in a civilian area of Beit Hanoun, northeast of Gaza City. Yahalom Unit combat engineers, in cooperation with reserve soldiers and fighters from the elite Duvdevan Unit, destroyed the tunnels.
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Hamas et al claims to have destroyed several tanks and APCs during fighting. They also managed to fire some more rockets into Israel, with virtually no effect. Photos show how launchers are buried in school yards and similar locations - making them extremely difficult to find and take out except by ground assault.
LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
Another day of increased fighting along the border. Hezbollah increased rhetoric against Israel and added more threats to expand the conflict.
Hamas’ Al-Qassam Brigades - Lebanon claims responsibility for a barrage of 30 rockets towards Haifa and Nahariya yesterday. This is the largest barrage from Lebanon since the start of the war.
After the rocket launches, the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) fighter jets struck Hezbollah targets in Lebanon, including a site housing “technological assets,” a weapons depot, rocket launch positions, and other infrastructure.
Lebanese Hezbollah (LH) and the al Qassem Brigades conducted four cross-border attacks into northern #Israel on November 6. LH claimed two indirect fire attacks and one direct fire attack targeting Israeli positions in northern Israel.
NOTE - Since hezbollah has control of southern Lebanon, any military action taken by any other military / terror organization does so with its tacit approval.
Rumors that Nazerallah will give another speech this Friday.
SYRIA / HEZBOLLAH / IRAN———————————-
Islamic resistance elements using Syria as bases to strike at US bases in the region.
WEST BANK——————————-
Continued Israeli security operations to arrest Hamas and associated terrorists.
“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” (new add) ———————————
This category is to collect the various Iranian - backed militias attacking US interests in Syria and Iraq as well as Houthi attacks toward Israel
The Islamic Resistance in Iraq released a footage of today’s attacks on multiple US bases in Iraq and Syria. They also claimed there was attack on Green Village base in Deir ez-Zor
The number of attacks on U.S. troops in Iraq and Syria rose significantly over the weekend, from 30 to 38 in total, according to the Pentagon. Number of service members wounded also rose, to 46 in total, as troops continued to report injuries from the Oct 17-18 attacks
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Houthis fired ballistic missiles and drones from Yemen towards Israel, but most of those have been intercepted by either US naval assets in the Red Sea, or by Saudi Arabia itself.
Today, the Houthis formally “warned” Saudi Arabia that if they continue to intercept missiles destined for Israel, the Houthis will begin targeting “all Saudi oil production facilities.”
FORECAST ————————-
Bottom Line Up Front (BLUF) - Israel will continue its attacks in N Gaza to eliminate Hamas from that portion of land before turning south or turning to confront Hezbollah in a more substantial way if necessary. As it moves deeper into Gaza City, more substantial battles are expected.
The battle to secure Shifa hospital is developing into the most critical battle of the ground offensive. I expect it to last over the better part of a months Hamas will desperately mount a last stand defense. Here is where Hamas has hidden its main command post and facilities. Remember, the hospital was crying that it would be out of fuel in 24hours - 20 days ago. It has plenty of power, and that power runs the command center. How this battle will pan out is yet to be seen, but because a large number of hostages are likely to be there, it will be mano e mano in the tunnels so as to minimize the risk as much as possible to the hostages. Hamas, OTOH may at that critical moment start killing them in an effort to stop the Israeli assault.
Hezbollah is very much still worth monitoring, especially if Hamas’ defenses collapse too quickly. Right now they seem willing to allow Hamas to go down while offering minimal military support. This can change in a massive rocket barrage minute. They have to weigh that against the threat from the US to get involved with them AND Iran. If the US shows signs of weakness in its resolve, it will increase the likelyhood of Hezbollah involvement. Very danger calculations that could escalate into a major regional war.
Lebanon -
See Israel above.
Syria -
See Israel above on latest.
Misc of Note –
The Icelandic Met Office (IMO) has reported a considerable upsurge in seismic activity on the Reykjanes Peninsula, with over 18 500 earthquakes recorded since the swarm began on October 25, just north of Grindavík.
This region, known for its volcanic activity, has experienced a substantial increase in both the frequency and magnitude of seismic events, including five earthquakes exceeding magnitude 4 (M4), with the strongest being a M4.5.
Significant uplift of 7 cm (2.7 inches) has been registered in 10 days at GNSS station on Mt. Þorbjörn
Recent models, based on data collected since October 27, have shown that the volume change associated with this inflation event is nearly double that of the cumulative changes observed during the four previous inflation events between 2020 and 2022.
https://watchers.news/2023/11/06/rapid-crustal-uplift-at-mt-thorbjorn-iceland/
OBSERVATION - This pending eruption, like the recent ones in 2020, and 2022 are expected to be the fluid, basaltic type and not explosive. However, the double volume estimates suggest that it will be a very big and possibly expansive event on the peninsula. It carries the potential for some ash and gasses to reach the British Isles which potentially could delay airline flights and cause other health effects. I’m looking forward to monitoring it cause of the old retired geologist that I am.